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Thursday, 05/18/2006 3:56:33 PM

Thursday, May 18, 2006 3:56:33 PM

Post# of 92056
Scary scenario:

Terrorism Experts Predict Concurrent Port Attacks
May 18, 2006 8:31 am US/Pacific


(CBS) LOS ANGELES A potential terrorist attack could involve strikes on several port complexes -- including Los Angeles and Long Beach -- and claim hundreds of thousands of lives, according to terrorism experts.

The startling prediction was announced Wednesday during a conference hosted at the University of Southern California by the USC-based Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, which is funded by the Department of Homeland Security.

Local experts at the conference predicted there would be another terror strike and, as one expert said, it would make 9/11 "look like peanuts," the Daily News reported.

A likely scenario involves separate or simultaneous attacks on the nation's largest ports -- Los Angeles/Long Beach, New York City/New Jersey and Houston -- which could cripple the nation's economy, according to the experts quoted by the Daily News.

"Instead of talking 3,000 casualties, we are going to be talking about hundreds of thousands or millions of casualties," Mike Intriligator, one of the nation's leading economists and a professor of economics, political science and public policy at UCLA, said in remarks reported by the newspaper.

Jim Moore II, a USC professor of industrial and systems engineering, said research on the impact of a "dirty bomb" or other weapon of mass destruction at the nation's three largest port complexes found it would cost tens of billions of dollars a month, the Daily News reported.

A large attack on the ports in Los Angeles and Long Beach alone would have a $23 billion-a-month impact on the local economy, according to the newspaper.



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