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Thursday, January 15, 2015 11:29:47 AM
Huge being a relative term obviously.
You mean huge as possible given the destructive dilution?
Problem is that whatever your perception of huge is/was, that potential market cap converted into price per share has been drastically reduced by massive dilution. We're not talking about 10%-20%, we're talking 80+% dilution over the last ~10 years.
Based on (split adjusted) shares for the quarter ended October 31, 2004 reporting period: ( 141,545,829 / 5 = 28.3 million)
$1 billion market cap would have been equal to split adjusted PPS of ~$35.33.
That same $1 billion market cap would now be worth a PPS of ~$5.55.
That's the REALITY of massive dilution. That's an 84.3% REDUCTION in share price potential based on any given market cap and the dilution already suffered since that date. Obviously if you go back in time more the numbers get even worse.
Doing a deal to give up 50% of the rights for Bavi YEARS ago would have given the credibility to move the stock in the right direction, and provided operating cash of some amount. That way any dilutions from that point forward could have been done at a superior price which means less shares for more dollars.
People say "we don't want to trade away the rights to 50% of Bavi which could be a blockbuster platform......"
The reality is......because of dilution, you may have 100% of the rights of Bavi, BUT you've already lost 84.3% of the potential value per share.
(since end Oct 2004). Of course and unfortunately, that dilution train keeps on chugging so the numbers keep getting worse.
Use any point in time and calculate your own numbers.
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