Horse Racing

[Nemer]

don't let me talk you away from the Lawyer ... Holthus can stretch a pony out nicely beyond his natural ability and this one is winning at a rapid clip ...

I was asked via email to post my thoughts on ALL entries ...
so, to oblige, here is a short, concise evaluation of strong and weak areas of each ....

1 Jazil
+++ l/o was below 13 final fl and getting better
--- post position and lotsa horses in way down the stretch

2 Stepenwolfer
+++ l/o was decent
--- not as good as Jazil, who is also a deep closer

3 Keyed Entry
+++ fast early with a great Texas trainer
--- distance

4 Sinister Minister
+++ fast early and Baffet will try wiring it like WarEmblem
--- suspect he's a rabbit for the other two

5 Point Determined
+++ stalking racing style fits this race
--- might be tired as Garret definitely picked B&J

6 Showing UP
+++ wins 3of3
--- BUT mdn, alw and Lex won't develop a sufficient "bottom"

7 Bob and John
+++ can be rated, doesn't need the front and getting stronger
--- slightly suspect speed

8 Barbaro
+++ two great graded races in Fla last two outs
--- I think he'll be better on grass than dirt

9 Sharp Humor
+++ Guidry will get the best from him
--- too fast early

10 A P Warrior
+++ changed trainer and jockey (for better) this year
--- distance

11 Sweetnorthernsaint
+++ early speed and can handle it pretty well
--- not too well bred

12 Private Vow
+++ dual qualifier from Exp Free and can run like the wind
--- condition is highly suspect

13 Bluegrass Cat
+++ Pletcher knows what he's doing with this colt here
--- appears outmatched

14 Deputy Glitters
+++ has showed a little bit of flash
--- appears outmatched

15 Seaside Retreat
+++ favorable running style for here
--- most likely will retreat

16 Cause to Believe
+++ favorable running style
--- way outgunned

17 Lawyer Ron
+++ colt know how to win and win nicely
--- far outside post and his demand for early speed

18 Brother Derek
+++ Exp Free- fast- in shape- Solis- class- got everything
--- I suspect the distance will kill his chances

19 Storm Treasure
+++ heck of a good trainer
--- no way

20 Flash Bull
+++ good breeding
--- flashed too long ago

there it is
any questions or comments .... fire away