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Thursday, November 27, 2014 2:18:43 PM
As long as ethanol inventories continue to decrease, ethanol prices will stay high and the stock price will continue to work its way to fair value. The cheaper the gas, the more the public drives. Since ethanol is mandated, prices will be supported. And with increasing exports, all of these factors, including decreasing oil prices, ultimately help ethanol producers.
I actually think OPEC not cutting production could make PEIX and others an even better buyout target. A lot of oil companies will probably decide not to move forward with large capital expenditures in shale, etc. However, there is still money to be spent. And since it doesn't look like the EPA is going to budge on ethanol quotas, these companies might put their money to work here instead.
Tomorrow the stock price could be hit, but it will primarily be due to churning on an otherwise slow, low volume market half day. If we are hit, it should be short-lived, as margins are now as good or better than when we were in the $20s. At least in my humble opinion.
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