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Saturday, November 15, 2014 1:49:32 PM
**My opinion is that the near term fundamentals will trump technicals; Hence fundamentals create technicals & not the other way around. Nat gas is not like ordinary stocks. It is hugely based on speculations of demand/supply & affected by seasons, more so than standard technicals/charting rationale.
And forecasts are predominantly showing an equal or colder Winter than last year. Nat gas may gyrate around up-down in next few weeks, and we will have periods of cooling/warming taking turns as always with weather patterns, but likely we will have serious cold spells that will demand large nat gas amounts. Between now & December-January-February, it is likely we see break out above 4.5-'s again in nat gas at the least. UGAZ can easily see 20+ yet over Winter, with my view of 30-40 possible.
Even using an average Winter (& not excessive cold expectations), I see UGAZ hitting 20+
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