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Thursday, 04/13/2006 1:30:13 AM

Thursday, April 13, 2006 1:30:13 AM

Post# of 12642
I'm having real difficulty understanding how Avian Flu is the right play or market thrust for AIDO.

Avian Flu is spread exclusively by wild birds that you can't tag and you can't control.

Yes, you can tag every domestic chicken or turkey, etc. but that doesn't stop Avian Flu. These type of domestic birds don't really live long enough to make it economically cost effective. I doubt that you can tag them as chicks; they have to be adult birds. And tagging might give a false sense of security and create even more of a problem in the long run.

I've been thru more than a few chicken farms and mostly they are locked up tighter than a drum. Bird illnesses have been around for hundreds of years, if not thousands. The solution is to just lock up the domestic birds and not allow free ranging birds. Isolation is the only way to stop the progress of the Avian Flu.

In Taiwan and Indonesia and all over asia, most rural families have a few birds. They are everywhere. You can't possibly expect to tag ALL of these birds in any reasonable time frame. And even if they did it doesn't STOP the Avian Flu. The real solution is to just lock the domestic birds into coops. Very simple non-technical solution.

I think this hype over the Avian Flu is really getting out-of-control. I am beginning to suspect that these, so called, deals are really some sort of Trojan Horse and not really feasable. They are being fed by the mania and fear that is running rampant. It may disapate very quickly.

I would suggest that the AIDO investors, that's YOU and me, step back and consider this for a moment. I believe that the real "meat on the table" is still with the Mad Cow problem, the Elk herds, domestic cats and dogs, AND of course, Goodyear Racing Tires. There are other markets that haven't been exploited, like wool sheep that live 20 years, etc.

RFID tags are really used for inventory control. They are really not a defense whatsoever against Avian Flu and are IMO inappropriate for tagging birds in the current AF outbreak. But if the Taiwanesse and Indonesians are so scared as to want AIDO RFID tags, then for sure we should sell them tags. But this is NOT going to get very far and NOT going to be long lasting. It is just a stupid use of the tech. Therefore AIDO will NOT grow and florish on this business. In fact, it could backfire and bring about bad publicity.

We really ought to be focusing on what implementations are practical. And what AIDO has achieved so far. I am all in favor of AIDO making money, but I am just skeptical that the Avian Flu is the right business to pursue.

Of course, this is all just my opinion as a longterm shareholder and technologist...


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