Hid SoxFan, You may want to take a look at this .. imo, it explains it better than anyone I've read. And I just read on tpm, that Arkansas is tied now, sheesh! anyway, when you have the time, I would like your thoughts on this one. Why election forecasters disagree about who will win the Senate http://www.vox.com/2014/9/6/6106047/who-will-win-the-senate-nate-silver-sam-wang-2014 Poll: GOPer Cotton Pulls Ahead Of Pryor In Arkansas Senate Race http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/cotton-leads-pryor-poll-arkansas And McConnell is adding to his lead http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/mcconnell-ahead-lundergan-grimes-poll