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Friday, April 07, 2006 9:26:43 AM
Let's assume that the company knows their numbers better than we do. Per the last filing:
6,000 subs
Top end projections in the 2,000's subs per month by GZFX. Lower end is in the 1,000's per month. So I will actually take higher than the top end to show best cased.
* Know that this projection by GZFX INCLUDES CC being factored in
CC has accounted for much less subs during the Pilot Program than expected. You will see this on the next Q. CC does not care because GZFX is a cash cow to them. So anything from GZFX is more profitable than most items on their floor. CC gets immediate cash to the bottom line for a sub.
Let's be very generous and say they can pull off 3,000 subs per month total. CC will take time to rollout and ramp up. So most subs will come in 07 and beyond as the name gets out, imo.
6,000 subs on last filing + 3,000 per month * 12 (way too generous as added some extra months in) = 36,000 + 3,000 = 39,000 best cased scenario this year.
My best guess is 25,000 subs by year end.
Chip HOPES to reach breakeven by year end. This guy has a strong history of Overpromising and Underdelivering.
Perhaps if we are realistic about expectations, people would not sell off as bad on the filings ??
all imo.
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