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Re: rule_rationale post# 22303

Saturday, 08/16/2014 2:23:53 PM

Saturday, August 16, 2014 2:23:53 PM

Post# of 403039
Since my prior valuation in January of 2013 (below), revenue multiples by sector data has been updated: Price/Sales of Biotech is now at 10.27 and Cellceutix has added significantly to their pipeline.

Brilacidin, Kevetrin, Prurisol - lets keep it at $20 Billion to be conservative wink. Outstanding shares really haven't taken a huge hit due to the brilliance of our management - I'll assume 170M in a few years.

pps=10.27*$20B/170M = $1208.24

Yep, CTIX is going to need to forward split a couple times.





Since we're all speculating - here are my scary numbers:

first look here for industry values

http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/psdata.html

Biotech Price per Revenue per Share (P/S) is 6.01 average as of Jan 2013.

Now we must make a BIG assumption, but lets make that assumption of revenue for curing cancer,psoriasis,etc. to be equal to $20B annually. We also must assume the fully diluted share count, let's say about 150M - I think everyone can agree that is close from prior discussions.

Now for the math:

6.01 = pps/(Revenue/Outstanding shares), or pps= 6.01*Revenue/Outstanding shares

pps=6.01*$20B/150M= $801.33

Now that is far in the future if Cellceutix were to get all the way through studies and then take market share, and develope to $20 Billion in Revenue... it could happen...

$800 WOW

Let me know if there are any gross errors in there.




When mathematics and data are used in prediction we call this an 'educated guess'.

So, for those that might think I am daydreaming at $800 CTIX, please at least agree to call it 'educated daydreaming'.

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