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Re: I Need Help post# 95288

Monday, 07/28/2014 4:02:02 PM

Monday, July 28, 2014 4:02:02 PM

Post# of 146240
On 7/24 I did some technical analysis and posted this:

Thinking out loud:

I'm still thinking the most likely scenario will be higher lows and higher highs.

Last short term low was $3.82. Going to start getting support at $3.98. So, a guess, bottom between $3.82 and $3.98.

Assuming no news and normal technical correction.

...

Bottom probably in from 1 to 3 sessions.

Decent volume would likely speed things up. Really large volume, and I would start wondering about news; but, very unlikely--especially with yesterday's volume.

I'll continue to monitor for myself. Would prefer to trade with a little confirmation. Just like top is tested a few times; likely, same will be true of bottom.

Reversal likely will be due to oversold condition, bargain hunting (including institutions), technical trading, and shorts covering (profit taking for them).

I think there are lots of reasons for NNVC not to sell off too sharply. Especially, improving news fundamentals and institutional ownership.



I have taken another look, but still have pretty much the same conclusions.

Since this post, it appears the bottom will not be in place for awhile. Looks like the bottom will get tested a few times before recovery starts. Indications of a failure would occur if $3.82 falls; then, likely we could go back to the prior range of trading--$2.90 to $3.50 (approx.).

My thinking: 1) very high probability that a new higher range cycle will develop ($3.82 - $4.70 (about)), 2) Significant news, as always, could be the game changer.
Volume:
Day Range:
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Total Trades:
  • 1D
  • 1M
  • 3M
  • 6M
  • 1Y
  • 5Y
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