InvestorsHub Logo
Post# of 252107
Next 10
Followers 14
Posts 898
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 03/07/2011

Re: None

Thursday, 07/03/2014 8:18:11 PM

Thursday, July 03, 2014 8:18:11 PM

Post# of 252107
IMGN sell of on Morgan Stanley's bearish call. Sold off from 13.7 to 11.60 today. Anybody interested in IMGN at these levels?

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/shares-immunogen-down-morgan-stanleys-122612608.html

Citing “no upside driver beyond Kadcyla,” Morgan Stanley initiated coverage on ImmunoGen (NASDAQ: IMGN) with an Underweight rating and $10 price target

In the best case scenario, Morgan Stanley analyst Matthew Harrison sees Kadcyla capturing 50 percent of the market. Further, “We model Kadcyla with $6B in peak sales and $8/share in value (NOLs offset Kadcyla taxes until 2023).
...
Harrison is more bearish on ImmunoGen’s pipeline. He puts a $0 value on the proprietary pipeline and $2 per share value on the partnered pipeline.


Hmm! $6B in peak sales and price target of $10?. This doesn't make any sense!

IMGN was one of the six in Ohad's watch list.

http://www.orf-blog.com/6-stocks-on-my-watch-list/

Immunogen’s market cap (~$1B) is predominantly derived from the Kadcyla royalty stake ($600-700M assuming $1.5B peak sales). Immunogen’s pipeline (10 programs in clinical development), partnership deals [Sanofi, Novartis (NVS), Lilly (LLY) and Amgen (AMGN)] and the technology platform are assigned a reasonable valuation of ~$350M. At ASCO, clear efficacy for SAR650984 in multiple myeloma or IMGN853 in ovarian cancer should lead to further price appreciation.



I am guessing that since Ohad only purchased FMI after Asco, he was underwhelmed by IMGN as well.

I was lucky in that I bought some calls in the 11-11.50 range and sold them when it hit $13+.

I was wondering if it made sense to buy shares for the long term here at these levels.

Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.