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Re: RULiquid post# 600574

Wednesday, 07/02/2014 7:04:04 PM

Wednesday, July 02, 2014 7:04:04 PM

Post# of 640606
How the jobs report could disrupt the market’s snooze
If report surprises, markets could reprice Fed views

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Investors have been content to take a summer slumber as central bankers sing easy-money lullabies. But don’t discount the possibility that a strong jobs report could shake traders awake.

It would take a particularly strong U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on Thursday to alter market expectations about the economy. But should it sharply exceed expectations of 215,000 nonfarm jobs and a steady 6.3% unemployment rate, it could force a rethink toward a Federal Reserve that’s less committed to low-rate policies, investors and strategists say.

Wednesday’s report from Automatic Data Processing Inc. provided one surprise: 281,000 new private-sector jobs last month, and the most since November 2012. The report is often used as an early indicator of the payrolls number. Despite its mixed record in predicting that part of the official monthly jobs report, it’s the latest in a string of improving data points that many say shows an economy gaining steam.

“The risks are on the upside in terms of the number of jobs created” after that ADP report, said Robert Tipp, chief investment strategist at Prudential Fixed Income. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-the-jobs-report-could-disrupt-the-markets-snooze-2014-07-02?dist=countdown

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