Argle bargle. Its apallingly self serving to roundabout saying the War was narrowly because of an eventual revaluation and oil. No doubt it was a factor but there were more deep seated (seeded?) factors too, (finish Daddies removal of SH, wars political benefits of holding dissenters (Democrats) at bay to ram through tax cuts for wealthy,etc). It was a full court press hot mess of deception and evil.
Again your drifting around the edges of the meat of our original tussle, which was that youve been adamant for months (a year and counting i guess) that weve been on the cusp of massive wealth which will fundamentally reshape various world markets at a historical level, to the point of believing weve been days or a day away for an extended period of time now. All of that was taking place without the country being carved up, and now that were in this situation your still clinging to the notion that we are still perhaps days away from earth shattering profits. Its a blatant refusal to acknowledge new relevent data in real time. Youve just stuck to towing the most optimistic of tones instead of taking some meds and thinking that perhaps taking caution moving forward may be the best course.
Im not advocating anyone selling, and perhaps I may buy some more if, and more likely when, the situation is resolved. My issue/opinion is you being so ridiculously wrong about the time frame, as well as the serious implications of the current political climate there, that you just ignore so as not to get pinned down. Its like you're worried about losing credbility by acknowledging that the last year has been an unexpected shitstorm thats made things far more uncertain than they were. The majority of your analysis has been spot on, and even higher majority has been relevent in some way....this is indeed an opportunity for above average gains... if things work out....but the probability of a quick fix and along with it quick profits has gone down, in fact come and gone if we start the clock many moons ago when I heard that we only have days left to make a buy.
As for your revaluation "chart". I can throw out random numbers too and do the math. And the difference between Kuwait is that they had a legitimate MARKET valuation, were invaded, tanked, and then RETURNED to their market valuation. Iraqs RV will be *artificially* creating a higher market valuation with the hopes it stays there and doesnt retrace....but if there are big gains of COURSE it there will be downward pressure as profit takers exit....but alas ive drifted back out toward the edges.
