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Re: obiterdictum post# 223623

Sunday, 06/08/2014 11:27:56 PM

Sunday, June 08, 2014 11:27:56 PM

Post# of 802851
Did you take a stagnant point some 30, 60, 90 days and "back" test either method?

Since Andy and you are starting around October. Did you consider the data points that could be predictive of say April 30, May, 30 and test whether the prior data sets where predictive of the averages seen on those days relative to the slopes being created from the actual results?

Seemingly the appreciation if we stay on the current trajectory will accumulate so that it will not be a straight 1.4 cents per day for the next 6 years. As at some point percentages of appreciation on the base values would dictate expanding data points.

Of course there is no guarantee of the accuracy of the projections, if news one way or the other is released; that could materially alter the path.