Tuesday, March 14, 2006 10:58:27 PM
Triple whammy of weak natgas prices, insider selling and calpine receivables.
1. Shoulder season has 4 to 6 more weeks to run it's course.
2. Insider selling is a blind trust spread out over 3 to 6 months. (and not really that much stock).
3. Calpine rec'd 2 bil in bridge financing and will pay their bills. (they have to or get cut-off).
A perfect storm for buying.
3 out of 4 good wells or 1 good big well and 7.50 will happen so fast you won't know what hit you. 9.00 is very real by yearend.
Hedges were below mkt last qtr and are above mkt this qtr..eps will stay strong and pe ridiculously low.
North American assets and production will trade at a significant premium to the rest of the world in the forseeable future. (safety factor).
I'm buyin' large here and lower. 2 more qtrs and I think I'll be happy but that's just me.
All imho and best of health and luck to all,
Vic
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