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Wednesday, May 07, 2014 12:42:10 PM
If our high ball numbers of $.25/bottle to bottle and package and if they use $500K for "other operating expenses", heres what the math says:
$1.5M worth of production:
$1.5M/$.25 = 6 MILLION bottles
Profit margin = ~40% (norm is 30-50%, so lets split difference):
Profit per bottle: $.10
Total Profits from 6 million bottles: $600,000
If this contract requires quarterly restocking:
annualized profits= $2.4M
P/E ration on Beverages: 20.26 (as of Jan 2014) see link:
http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/pedata.html
2.4M * P/E ratio of 20.26 = $48,624,000
MINE is a 51% owner of Level 5, so 51% of 48.6M = $24,798,240
MINE ANNUALIZED PROFITS FROM JUST THIS ACCOUNT: $24.8 MILLION
this is the profits just from the "BI-COASTAL Soft Launch". I also believe that I used VERY CONSERVATIVE numbers here.
If anyone else has done some other math, or disagree with my numbers, please speak up! I don't have a background in the bottled beverage industry, so I'd love to hear what others predict here!
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