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Saturday, May 03, 2014 9:08:14 AM
There is a lot of talk over the weekend about APT not being able to cross the .01 or even .02 threshold again because of the O/S. Also, there is talk about debt having a substantial impact on the PPS as well going forward.
First, FROZ has been quite transparent through this whole process and regardless of what anyone thinks they have communicated news (even when interpreted incorrectly by retail investors) in a timely manner to inform shareholders during this complicated process of the R/M.
Second, valuation (market cap that results to PPS) is not determined only by revenue, earnings, profit, debt. Intrinsic value is measured on future p/e capabilities and possible patents/licensing deals, management, all potential value (whether domestic & international) goes into the value of a stock. The more lucrative the higher the PPS we go because the greater confidence investors have in the success of the company and same can be said about the opposite if a company is failing (good example is RSH, they likely will fail IMO).
Some of you keep bringing up the O/S which is understandable because of the recent financing deal and since most stocks on exchanges average about 500-1B O/S. However, there are cases in which a company has a large O/S and it's very successful. SIRI is a great example of that, has a 6B O/S trades in 3-4 dollar range. O/S will not keep this stock from running, it will only be whether management wants to create value here or not.
APT will have some debt when the financials are realized just like every other high revenue company that manufactures a product in demand. If they didn't have debt I would find it strange. They are selling products all over the world and the demand for smartcarb is obvious with just a little DD. Plus they are trying to expand and constantly doing engineering for other products to get them out into the market. These guys have their hands full because they are making $ and they are doing this R/M to keep up with demand.
To conclude, even with conservative revenue estimates the PPS should rise. Market cap here could easily be in the 150-200m range as a very low P/E. When ticker change and financials come out it should lay majority of uncertainty to rest.
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