Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Ok, small idea instead of no idea
(captain obvious)
We seem to be range-bound about $22 to $28
Maybe not so obvious, the OBV does not seem enough oomph in this range to keep this range, but beneath that the supporting OBV from before does not appear to be selling.
On one hand the over all OBV doesn't look like it will support it, on the other hand the relatively small moves in OBV keep it going if you divide the OBV into two parts, massive OBV and 100k OBV (more or less)
Conclusion: No idea :) Other than the range-bound seems like it will continue. Or in other words, people have locked in their votes for the most part while some small portion of people is playing around still.
No idea
I'd like it lower to keep buying more cheaply, but under $60 it is still peanuts
I haven't played with the smart routing thing but I might start experimenting with that more
@sab
check w/robinhood to be sure, they are/were evidently the weird restrictive ones.
I'd hate to be the guy that just spent $21B and then have to do it again otherwise craps
One thing I feel compelled to elaborate on is this...
We did not just test Multikine vs. Head and Neck Cancer
The trial also tested the quality control of the production process of Multikine over a span of years.
There is actually a question, unspoken, was every batch effective as every other.
This is an example of the kinds of challenges that the science process presents to coming up with and publishing results.
"Shelf life" of the product, was there turn-over in the population of doctors administering mulitkine, were the new people properly trained, did any of the radiation equipment fall out of spec during the trial... were there any recalls in the chemotherapy that may have affected the trial...
If you spend a while thinking along these lines the paths to explore and document are many.
Oh, well.. the thread started on that paper regarding who should publish what how soon and why, and I simply highlighted one small portion of that in order to call out how much work it really is to do science.
That was my thought on it, that paper.
In order to get trial results out in 6 months or so from finish, we're compressing what ordinarily would take plain old research science about 30 months without shareholders or customers breathing down their neck to get some results out.
As far as science is concerned whatever you do then in the fast 6 months or so has to clearly stand up to most probable further 24 months of scrutiny. The 6 months has to be obviously solid work with little to no possible loopholes to pop up later.
This part here says a lot about how much analysis you can do for how long.
Read carefully the title of the paragraph however, I am not suggesting anything other than "yes a lot of work can go into analysis for a long time".
There is for sure time pressure to save lives, get to market, etc., in our case.
Just sayin... if we're successful at this, it is just the beginning and selling at all could turn out to be not a good idea for a decade.
I don't know. Just, that is a very real possibility.
Read the Schwab letter on TD Ameritrade where you got that list, they are part of the same deal, and that was a well-spoken letter.
What Robinhood appears to be doing, I can only read about it, I don't have an account there, is really weird, not even allowing more than 1 share purchase/day in some of these... And that doesn't make sense, either you are a broker or you are not a broker. Something sounds fishy about that policy. Weird.
Wisdom of the Crowd
What did y'all say the short interest is at the moment +/- 30% (26) ?
70/30 Long/Short
That's not wrong/unreasonable
lol ! About a year, right?
fyi - I was trying to check to make sure my chart properly adjusted history
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/CVM/cel-sci/stock-price-history
That lines up at least to 1991
thx, those were very tempting, I had to get a few, july
This is fair value if you take the boot off of our neck
I don't think it is excessive where we are now
It is unfortunate in the respect that it would be nice to continue to be able to buy cheap before data comes in
It was unnatural before, for the last decade or so
What exactly goes wrong if we eliminate naked shorting entirely ?
Seems like, at first glance, options are already good enough if you want to bet directionally.
Regarding the odds thing...
That was my way of saying that I weight in favor of a successful trial being more likely than an unsuccessful trial, not that the odds have changed recently.
The way I acquire calls and puts matches what I believe to be the case there.
yikes !
Sorry to hear that
I've been doing very well. I tend to try to find the longest term at the best price, the most room to screw up.
It is best to wait for the right setups but if you can't wait, then maybe buy half of what you were thinking and adjust later.
We do not have the liquidity in options that "textbook" ideas tend to work with. There's kind of a fight to get what you need and a delay to get there.
The way I think about the options is entirely Instrinsic Value, looking ahead about 3 months (at least)
I've had several puts expire worthless or at a loss, but totally drowned out by the success of long calls. Can't remember if I've had a positive put. They have really been there "just in case" and so I can sleep at night.
Right now it is hard to get a new balance of calls and puts
The day didn't go exactly as I'd hoped to do that, but at least I have re-established a decent long position.
I'll add more when I can get some "insurance" puts.
Just a suggestion, consider odds seems to be higher for success so I am not going with 'full coverage' so to speak, just enough to take the hurt off if it goes south.
We will probably have some kind of pop (yuge) and some kind of pull-back or stagnation, and then a realization of what this means in the longer term and then a run. I've said before there will be time to jump in if you watch closely even after the results are in. There will be room for the reality of success to sink-in. It might be a very short window though.
Like I was saying, something big is going on, some kind of nukes
@trickle No...
The following restrictions are in place:
Stocks - 100% holding requirement (not marginable)
Long calls and puts are allowed
Covered call and short put orders may only be placed with a broker. Please be aware that wait times to speak with a broker may be longer than normal due to current market conditions.
Covered calls only allowed if your account currently has the shares
Short puts only if you have the maintenance/cash to cover the entire exercise amount of the short puts
All other complex options orders will not be accepted
We may also implement additional restrictions on the opening of option trades that expire Friday, January 29th
It is probably not as easy as I made it sound
But, part of what I do is security tech, software, etc., and from where I sit, it is certainly NOT impossible.
@sab
Who, Tasty dudes or Apex ?
I like some of the tastyworks ideas but don't have a need to function there
thx, interesting
I must have an account (un-funded) with these guys, I got an email a couple minutes ago.
So as I am watching all this stuff going on it makes me wonder...
The big shorts certainly are unscrupulous and indeed any excuse to find a remotely plausible negative article to write (true or totally false, just plausible) an article or have someone write an article...
It is not surprising that there is a back-lash on them, not at all.
They like to think they are justified, doing the world a favor. But clearly that has gone wrong.
So the question this week is how "real" is any "grass roots" response to them vs. how shark-like man behind the curtain stuff is going on.
Well, simply speaking...
A margin account adds tremendous leverage (borrowing power) like $200k to your account(s).
So, if you are unscrupulous, you might figure out how to make hundreds of these accounts (or somehow control hundreds, or thousands of them)
For a relative small investment compared to your nuclear arsenal now, you can go out and nuke things, and if you screw up it is white collar crime at worst.
You are supposed to pay it back through successful trading and or add more money to your account(s) to cover the losses.
So for example if you have $1B and you go open a bunch of margin accounts, in theory you can have $10B nuke power. Nuke means whatever you want it to mean, go long, short, whatever. Most of that the broker(s) loan to you.
So... if you screw up and can't pay it back, who eats it ? (Lehman Brothers) - another more convoluted example of similar principles of leverage.
Thank you.
Just CVM ?
Perhaps if you consider that there is typically a man behind the curtain to "social movements", then maybe yes.
What I am curious about at the moment is if a vast array of margin accounts have been weaponized, they practically give those away.
I can think of a few ways (in 3 seconds or less) that can go awry.
Question for everyone
If you have a margin account, was the margin pulled/turned off any time in the last few days, is it still off.
We should poll this.
I don't have any margin accounts.
Not sure that is the whole story or even the real story to all this.
Feels bigger
Like a war
Some kind of shenanigans going on (broadly speaking)
Maybe that's the wrong word
Nuclear war
Somebody is trying to take somebody(ies) out
The firepower out there is amazing
GME went to 463 a while ago
I think there is a speed component to that
Whoa... I had no idea.
I did not enable margin for any of my accounts, just level 2 ( calls puts and covered calls, no nakeds )
I would be furious if I had a margin account that locked up like that.
Gimme a few mins, I have some whiskey around here somewhere
For one, I don't know. Lately I've learned to be quiet, the market is not quite behaving in any expected way. None of my stocks are. ( but they're all positive, just not expected, kinda weird )
Just watch and do your best :)
Ordinarily I'd agree, we should reset in the teens somewhere... but based on everything else, no, that's wrong. Just don't ask me why.
( I've lightened up on everything, I don't like flying blind, good or bad, don't like it )
What a complete idiot, omg
Oh, that one was referring to this one
https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2010/12/31/cel-sci-investors-cheer-a-bit-too-loudly.aspx
2017
We'll give 'em a pass for now
Maybe there is a wolf now that eats shorts
Man... high rollers... :)
I tend not to go past $20k ever on any one thing, just can't, I start to get emotional :)
Wow, really good end of day strength