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That is sad. I swiped my page and accidentally erased everything....
F.... not sure if I’m at a retry point....
I completely disagree; you are assuming/hoping-assuming...
It never said what was futile. Was it the cvm plan? Was it the administrator? Was it based on how cvm would rectify or still have a Chance to prove itself even though records to date (which may have or have not terminated:alienated certain patients....???
It’s ridiculous and absurd to entertain ideas that progression is an insinuation that based on “success” the study should move forward...while simultaneously claiming double blind...etc....(irony eh?)
——
I do think what I said before...somebody always knows....
But do they understand the difference between that and always?
What is their skill set?
Who and what aspect do they use such information?
I’m interested in the institutional update. The German outfit, Anson and the other honig connected firm sold out?
These are 2 funds i disparaged. Now cvm has black rock...some others....and Ameriprise?
What’s has share structure accomplished? A liquid dilution rate of infinity....
Massive warrant overhangs...
It’s not like anson amd others just convinced people to buy....
German fund? Did they just bail? Or did they liquidate to overseas retail? (It’s $600k stock)...
Anson and other firm bailed and kept warrants?
They all got paid; becuase of success in pps. They “bridged” the gap. Made a trading profit of? Still have warrants? Now black rock to Ameriprise feel they can enter with an exit built in.
That built in is the share structure, updated MC, and capitalization limitations or lack of in regards to funding...
I meant to interpret .10 share after 33% haircut with 50% long side...
Ps
I’m dealing with a similar outlook and losing big with another company. The difference is management.
How ironic would it be to get it all wrong now? Cvm succeeds and aeti evaporates...
My reality; Morgan...disrtributed report...EM....energy....mining...I think I might have said something about that...mmm....??? 50%+ gains....and I’m telling myself I hold a gem....lol...??..and it’s down 60% since first buy...
I’d say you won. You said what you thought you should.
A new low of .15 actually; just to cut 1/3 downside and create 50% upside.
No i do not know, but somebody always does...(this is the only part I’m not sure you “thought”)...there is a great difference between every time and always!
Yes I do have 50%; but what does a participant have? Right now, prior to theory, the pps is in free cash flow...
The way I see it ~ roughy $1m usd is held in German retail...??
My logic tells me somebody always knows.
Who is that somebody or somebodies and how do they participate? Maybe they have insight and dont understand market mechanics? Maybe they buy 10k at a time? $1k....then losses create fear and sell and try again? I’m saying, just becuase logic is clear, the outcomes can’t be quantified. A somebody might buy through E*TRADE in $2k increment...who knows and who cares?
Actually that is where I come in with tape read. And share structure.
I’ve decided to look again here. Something doesn’t add up.
And that is the only reason I portrayed my questions negatively (ie; I could have said going to the moon vs it’s going to tank? Etc....)
If I say price will tank. What would your say?
If I say failure p3 is coming what would you say?
I’d venture you wouldn’t even say what you know you should....I’ll call this stubborn economics...
The reality is not every time; it’s always.
——hey, every situation is different
...decipher.
Ps: curiousness abound; who and what will who reply to first 2 questions? Or more contributions...
Money is getting really heavy....
Continued- the bad: there could be no buyers or just one. Lack of competition demands discount to buyer, enables toxic trading (not necessarily bad, but can wreak havoc on decision making), and either or both lawsuits can be pursued again.
Reality is all with a twist; insiders could take company private at extreme discount while maintaining their ethics internally. The mindset is this: we’ve done everything correctly and by the book since day one. And the market says this is price. Then they ask themselves; what % of company do I want 50% of company is much different $25m than 30% of company, and also 70%, etc...
FYI:
I do not trade with any zero tolerance policies, but one! I only buy so much in any given price range. I can not buy more at this price. I am only a buyer, but just not here.
Right now the market tells me I am wrong (Red).
Macro wise: i see it differently than almost all. Globally the shifts will be swift. Global pro biz will reform and outpace domestic pullback. Currency will stabilize. By default...
After wrapping up a series of thoughts that I couldn’t articulate quickly enough; I attempt to summarize, but i think the truth lies in details and theory...
The good (potential): both cases dropped without prejudice.
It signals (potentially along with other potentials) that a buyer is in play; lawsuits are NOT welcome here.
The company has excellent management history and ethic standards (take my work or not)
The company would lose extreme value and become susceptible to a hostile trade; thus completely destroying any common, and furthermore their reputation (said assumption does tie into management ethics though)
One would assume a “move” in the works would be more beneficial for him as well as company (do your own math based on structure). (I don’t think aeti and jch dismissed becuase aeti said “we’re axtually hooking you up” ....and jch says “oh, k....I had no idea”
The bad:
At this rate jch owns 50% of company in ~3 years (ie $25m leaves common $12m with implied ~16m fully diluted and 8m common. $1.5 share), but the assumption is $25m and begs a question? How does $25m stand today?
I’m not done....
So I’m trapped again...haven’t posted here in awhile...
Kids got some sickness(hands, foot , mouth...)...
Disneyland got cancelled and hoping to avoid second round....
And I’m trapped in the market too...
I’m Large shlx, and significant here...
And I still like both more than i did before....
But I’m cashless (trapped).
Unusually share internally insightful ideas. I’ve got too many thoughts to simplify and post (what I consider simplified). I can say I am taking the personal time to think....and learn....
....but reality is: I’m trapped again. This can not happen. I am forced to make ultimatum decisions, which is not good (normally it’s not good; but it can be motivation to learn how to decompress a situation, rather than flee at a premium)
And then there is always: its irrelevant...so then you adopt baseline participation...downside upside/ tandem.....I’m not surprised if shlx buys aeti. Period.
Anybody want to counter? I keep playing in my head....
I keep coming back to what not Let it trade like an etf?
The
Preferred is a limitation, but in some ways adds legitimacy...
The board and management. I’m the biggest sucker or this is...gosh could be anything....extremely undervalued due to market make obligations or shark tank scenario...
Logical sense and example:
Logic is paramount; however one can not logically come to same conclusion if theirb logic doesn’t contain as many parameters.
Ie. aeti: stock trades at .80. Somebody has been liquidating...in non liquid market...at 2 to .80 (I’ll suggest for ie 10% above $1 to ensure liquidity. (I would surmise this was a predetermined tax strategy at areil; hence the liquidation price....they wanted out with others? It would habe been lights out)) some might say, but I’ve seen it before ——and I’d say look at management and dilution history.
——
Ps i really don’t want to buy at .40....but I will....don’t make me
I’ll liken this to the Simpson’s....
When predicting the future ....
Many can do so....
But what about when wants to....
And how long is that time line...
For a statition probables lay alone...
And for a theorist time is errant...
——-
This is the gap to be filled....
Where a theorist realizes time; things take time to manifest...
And the statution listens for the theory to manifest....
———
The simpletons are left with participation fees; some just pay more than others.....in all different ways...
——
What’s wrong with paying a 10% premium, but just one time!!
Exercise a warrants...
I’m a 2.50- 3.50 share
Vs
Claw back via lawsuit and 1.20/ 1.60 share....highly unlikely....it hurts plaintaoff...exactly why I like preferred in this scenario.
You should know me well enough to know I was not inferring you don’t do well for yourself regardless of income.
It was a tossed guess because (pie joe), you didnt come across as ego driven, or that anything would be below you...
Anyhow, good day to you....
I’ve made my lack of positioning clear; what I would do at this point; and that I would be more than willing to be convinced to go long (really wish there was something somebody could say cause a trigger for me)
Don’t think anybody is really intoxicated with the Israeli, Turkish, and teva story....
Reality is: if drug produces; it producers....
Success trumps all. Hence, I won’t short.
Btw: I pegged you the former (yet possibly still currently) pizza delivery girl/boy....
If you only knew what I was thinking?
Wife can’t talk about it...
Who, how....sometimes decisions are lonely....
Would Risk it all? What price? Why? And most importantly...why not?
Where does short come from? Seriously...
Why not long/close?
But I admit; it fits stereotypes...
Big complicated name - short person.......I mean little person....lol
Do you have a link or know how or who (even if I paid) could get short information? Daily, weekly, bib weekly?? Any?
I agree completely.
Volume is irrelevant you can always buy cvm at a discount if you call them direct, but if all of sudden there is a surge in volume it would raise an eye? Like, all of a sudden the number jumps to 600 events...what then?
Yep, I completely agree again. Same reply...
Or I’ll disagree that we disagree....lol
What 2 stocks are you referring to?
How does a post hurt shareholder value? How would you know?
I’ve persnally bought stock after a negative comment before becuase it gave me insight into a negative sentiment issue that I had over looked....so it goes both ways...
In all honesty there has been a far more accurate portrayal of cvm on this message board conclusively than any words from geert.
The only truth has been management unchanged, filings and funders, and pps down.
The rest is theory/speculate. But some just do theory/speculate about why those that did think, research share their reservations. (Essentially no work)
This manifests itself in the following form:
Yankees SCREAMING
Trust babies feeling manipulated
Robots saying the did something after the fact
Pumice vanishing
Golfers hitting PAR and think it’s win
A military guy charting infinite dilution
A learning weird round about way....
A fix and dr
And what I suppose is somebody who used to be a nice pizza driver...
My opinion:
Short. It’s over
I would never place that bet...you know why?
But somebody has for years and years....it must be me as I always told people when to sell....
I hope I’m wrong and can get in...what a dream that would be .....but my entrance has zero dependence on price.
I have some ideas as to why cvm could be perceived as undervalued (excluding positive or negative results); but I don’t see cvm shareholders participating in the event of poor results.
Where are you allocating value to cvm (excluding results)?
Or is all your value baked in speculation? And the assumption of positive results?
This could get interesting....
How and if mm can facilitate orders....
I really want 100k + at “my price” (currently at .40)....
It will be interesting how mm will deal with my unorthodox methods if I choose to step in???
I have a sense that I may get what I want yet; there is a possibility that between the losses from the ignorant a few months ago combined with a maximum premium to facility the large trades resulted in mm holding more shares than desired...or even legally (may have been forced to redistribute?? Thus providing me with a “potentially” $ altering trade.
I think I can book $40k and sell for $280k....
And it could get even better of those don’t have the “it factor” and I buy more cheaper....
And then there’s always; I could be wrong and get burned...
Rarely! But if you go as large as I do it only takes once to wipe it all out....lol!!
Uh...don’t think I’ll be able to take 1-2% of company at .40; knew it was long shot, but now it’s impossible...
Maybe .51??? If I’m super duper lucky????
Does anybody know if this is pertinent?
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3397652-chinas-cnpc-acquire-brazil-refining-upstream-stakes-petrobras#/email_link
I’m very interested in this.
I’m also very patient...
And need to know more
what’s that mean or a reference to?
The trading says : i have infinite money. Do you?
In this case - at this moment: I do.
Interesting idea.
I can only say that not $man came to my work tonight....they are all working to some degree.
The reality is:
Almost Everybody who got today right; is wondering of they’ll be right tommorow...and those that got it wrong and thinking in tandem with others....
My point is there is no certainty....everybody second guessing.
In my opinion, it’s the effect of a Rebalancing....what is strong, what is weak; what has a discount, what has premium.
IMO, you can NOT kill the market now! Retail would be swift! They just dealt with crypto!
Geez....I was forced to sell last week out of my own ignorance. What timing I had...if I hadn’t known better I’d be up 60%.
Just joking around....I always take the path of knowledge.
Thanks again for your replies.
I’ll be here off and on as I try and get a better grasp of how I think I can use this tool.
That’s a bit strong, but management has done its damage.
I was forced to sell 80% of position today...
I really thought that there was an over aggressive retail short position that would be forced to cover up.
At the moment; looks like I got my last trade wrong here.
I’ll put it this way, with nothing to back it up other than the credibility one gives to geert....i give him zero.
I don’t care what geert says. Ever.
But there is always a “first time for everything” as some say...
In a perfect world I would get paid out becuase of buyout when I wake up every morning....or....it would go up slow and steady and then I could still squeeze another massive chunk in (equivalent $ wise to my desired massive at .40) around a dollar based on the premise that an arbitrage trade is within the negotiations....
I’ll be honest; I think I’ve got a good plan...should probably have a better one, but considering I don’t consider this my expertise....
I have my starter position (sizeable). I ususally don’t do excellent with large positions in regards to quick timing....however I do excellent at starter positions.....obviously it’s clear....it’s actually not.
That is how i see the market.
I’ll say this: I buy more of this with every proceeds from every other trade as if aeti is my personally currency bet.
That is psychologically how I am making this bet.
If it was 35% then they would have already surpassed threshold. So no chance. Zero. None.
Why didn’t you just call cvm and tell them you want to give them capital.
First, I’m going to have to understand VIX better.
But in the mean time I have some questions:
Do you really just use TA here?
I’m familiar with the basics of TA, but there are typically my last line of defense against myself.
I typically create an idea than forge ahead with it unless the technicals I see are telling me something is completely off or why I should wait for a better opportunity.
I’m really intrigued that you can find success in TA here....given decay is the only certainty.
I would liken it to using TA with equities that have exponential dilution. It’s virtually useless compared to other tools, research, and concepts.
For me capital size does matter. Maybe you don’t realize how little I had before, have now, and expect to have.
I can enter equites with supposed $100k volume and still feel relatively liquid compared to somebody with a large position. That being said it’s impossible for me to think I will be able to use my same skill set without improving to move 6 figures + around freely.
Thank you. Very informative...and quite intimidating...
In addition to my previous post reply....
I know almost nobody talks about, but more importantly people don’t have insight to pres trump.
In my simplistic way - trump policies are “communistic “(my word choice is lack of better word/ vocabulary).
It’s a privatization through protectionism concept.
So what’s price of oil? Who cares? Why would they? Etc....
It’s possible to have good earnings, gold/ oil rise, and etf simultaneously.
It’s why the fed is going to raise....
Em rates are what?
And USA is what?
If all internal...remember....it’s all internal....
Under your implied ideology we would have a civil war before anything gets bad....if anything buy gold via foreign....anyways I asked people at crypto riot to tell me how to buy gold in theirs currency!
What would happen? Think about it...
Here is a random side note:
If you’re a local restaurant in a tourist town; what do you do?
Do advertise to the local or the visitor?
Duh!!!! And some people with millions of dollars don’t get it!
It’s not a what you want game
It’s who wants you
—combine that with privatization....
I think your early....how early I don’t know?
And yes it remains to be seen in a melt down where gold and crypto and etf correlate.
2 points :
1. I prefer what appears complicated (which I am not implying is always a goood thing); your thesis including “on and on” is ominous
2. Your right gold will be gold. How would you like to pay for it? “Wait, you mean I’m buying a rock?”
The lack humility has gained a response; not necessarily what I was looking for though.
Can explain the mechanics of this and how you are attempting to use it.
Anything I should look into before making a long term position or is this something that is best used as a temporary tool.
I trade on theory that I can substantiate internally. But I do try and find out if my theories have merit or were coincidence.
I also trade with little capital compared to most, but am trying to find tools that can enable me trade more capital in the future with the same mind set I use now. I have to improve, but and hoping I don’t have to totally reinvent the way I look at the market.
Trading with such little capital has allowed me to nimble and quick no matter the liquidity...but I know it will not last forever.
I may not agree, and I may not know as much you, but if you help me catch up and can contribute something; even if it’s a disagreement.
My wet theory is that as the participants of the market evolve so do their expectations and desires.
It would take too long to explain the theory; unless somebody was will to discuss it with me to find true correlation, weaknesses, and voids....
So I’ll just provide the result of my theory:
In the following order at roughly 10%
Market weakness crypto will bounce
The next market weakness gold will bounce equivalent
And finally etf
And it did....
I deserved your comment.
Hopefully we can work together
That was nice conversation.
I bought chunk at 1.03xx and change...
Management does appear lackluster so far...
The market participants are changing at rate faster than fathomed.
Their contributions we welcomed for liquidity.
But the market voted.
1. Crypto
2. Gold
3. ETF, etn
Ask these questions:
Who is participant? Why, etc...
Side Notes:
crypto is new gold and essentially transferable to the new “investor”
Gold is old, but is accepted amongst the dead...
ETF ; even the professionals don’t know what it is!!!
I’m waiting an “event” that I will recognize when I see it....
Oil is just soooo goood!
Remember data somehowe always proceeds theory. But in lively cases the theory preceded. The risk for those demand a premium....i didn’t get my premium here. But I’m still not even considering a position of the likes anywhere.
Thanks for nothing....no insight from anybody..... Took a suprisingly large 1 week gain.
Still waiting for a prospectus summary...
All this jump was about a test a failures. And oh yeah; it’s failing....lol
First crypto, then gold, protection against a continued bull run....
This is a major piece to my perception of the market going forward.
FYI: I played all 3 almost perfectly in that exact order. I say almost because I could have and probably should made even more...
Before I get mistaken for someone who thinks and is certain they have great grasp on global economics: I do not.
Side note: oil only crosses $100 if inflation...change of wealth to other energy.
I am trying to branch out and broaden my horizon. I will have to grow my skill set and knowledge exponentially to make better investments especially when my capital expands. I can imagine continuing my success with significantly more capital.
Sometimes a different set of eyes can see other things within the same read....
I think you imply to many boxes checked automates a response....
IMO : For example: the brl is extremely undervalued at the moment (including current issues)
What is their interest rate.
Interest rates can also be used as a tool to contain while not restraining.
Another issue with gold ....
I can’t completely disagree with your points, but I do feel your not seeing everything.
M/A activity is case by case, not general. And in general I thinks it’s bad sign for short term guaranteed...
Over sold, maybe momentarily, it can go much further down imo.
I think gold is a loser short, mid and long term.
I’m an oil fan.
Short term oil, it’s most likely to continue and be coveted no matter market conditions within next year.
You could throw darts to pick 5 petro stocks and win no matter what happens....
Domestic Growth is good! Demand
Global growth is good! Demand
Inflation is good! Duh!
Worse case rally extends to blowoff top and a transfer of wealth from oil to other sources of energy...
Wow!
Go short right after when this happens.
I just don’t see anything good in gold other than a way to make more friends with those that agree.
Lol. They don’t want you to sell. How does that help them? What kind of logic are you using?