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I was leaning towards....see last post....never enrolled...not accounted for...???
I was about to add; before one wonders too much - one may assume both prior post examples merely resulted in a failure to complete enrollment. Thus never enrolled...
This could be the reason “futile” was mentioned a few years ago....
And it is the reason by which I think the data will have great value even in the event of failure p3.
And to be even more AND less clear why I have no idea how to value such data....
Ps.
If you or anybody knows and can point to what classifies “enrollment”; i must have missed it and would be appreciative.
Still hoping anybody takes my $1k bet geerts gone within a year...anybody?
One could also ponder the doctor suggests MK is not working and moves quickly the remove tumor before the the complete administration of MK....this would heavily weigh against the MK arm vs the others ....a decision to take a quicker approach may (would) only effect the drop out % within the MK arm and not the others.
....potentially - essentially putting the entire dropout rate within the MK arm..
One could wonder if you’d be classified as a drop out if you were cured and didn’t do SOC....and never followed up....???
I don’t think you understand what I’m saying...I’m merely implying “I don’t know how to value data in this space, nor do I think any of you do....
I’m saying: there is a chance the study produces results
I’m betting lightly that his happens...
I’m more “in line” that upon failure the data will still be greatly undervalued...as I can freely admit I have zero idea how to value data in a failed trial!
I will use my skill set to locate this anomaly in the event of failure.
Here’s a simple game: I’ll bet anybody $1k geerts gone within 1yr.
Easentially it’s a $2k bet on my wallet as I will parlay all of it....I have no interest in capital capture at this time regarding this specific equity.
Read parlay
Read warrants
Read option chain
Ask:
Why warrants without exercise?
Then re read above
Make spread sheet, a graph, then think....
Oh!!! Now it’s a tie....???? Or is it???
Agree...articulate more ...evens if it’s misunderstood....
Then you find money ....i learn from such...
I know everybody is enjoying spreadsheets... but, if the numbers even closely resembled ph2 we would been “closed” to further interpretation....
I’ve said a numerous times....data...data...data....
I have position... data is undervalued imo.
Tie....do the have an ihub participation trophy?
I don’t think I stated anything that needed protection.
The “perception “ that they are evil is not worthy of mentioning to majority of the “somewhat educated “ within the small cap space.
To stand on the other side; without HC cvm would have been dusted and disgusted a long time ago; which inherently could neglect the world from a novel medicine.
The statistics statement was meant to concretely demonstrate there are factual reasons to have fear of the services they provide. I’m long; just not for the reasons sushi mentions nor do I believe the statements he made carry weight....I don’t have time to write 10 pages explaining my trade, but to use a fact that is based on hope shouldn’t be recognized as anything more than hope....
Ps: in highschool i will never forget:
My teacher asked: who are the worst drivers?
A kid popped off “asians”!
The teacher made him do a report on our city, state, and nation; that must included proportional data to the population, etc....
I’m certain you can imagine....careful...
The selling was persistent again today.
I’m under assumption cash is being taken via warrants in the money and common to reinvest in what appears to me to be disproportionate option chain. People are buying rights with 10% risk and ability to participate in 10* the gain with 10% of their capital.
Actually they would best be defined as the perceived evil side of capitalism that are beyond advantageous of retail ignorance with an expert team regarding sec rules and regulations.
But, hey , my opinion, your opinion...
FYI: statistically they have one of the highest rates of penalties, fines, settlements for a biz of their size and structure. That’s simplified DD 101
In this moment - Contrarian! Admit what you don’t know. Labels are useless , moments are priceless.
Agreed...but in this case; I’m going contrarian. I typically don’t label myself at all....not in the least....
But in this case; it’s unavoidable for me to point o anything else....it’s just that clear.
I agree with you completely; and for those reasons I’m on the other end of the tee ter totter; I expect to get launched high enough my adrenaline runs like I was 5yr and the other was 10....(the 10 year old assumed would bring me fear...lest they know they smashed they’re ankles and launched me to ....”I want to do that again”!)
Well, i disagree with that. Today was outright selling. It doesn’t appear any sellers thought twice....maybe it’s becuase it’s a historic price cross? I don’t think so...
I also think traders have baited themselves...there is a loss in any continuity in everybody’s trading strategy.
Mostly because most traders aren’t well rounded. They are stubborn; but more most importantly limited to rules that don’t always apply.
HC wainwright is cull 99% of the time...
I work my a$$ off to understand and be adventageous of moments like this....
If you know me...you know what position I have ....I’ve never lied.
Ps. I always giggle when I hear technical points with a psych basis....irony...
And for the newbie. Yes, I’m long. The price goes up.
A contrarian “might” think; even HC wants to have .01% winner ratio?
Just saying (assuming results)...
Do you have a problem with his/her “pitch”?
Assuming so....what is it?
I did what I’m capable of; i offered $40k towards a 10% premium against 3 diffident series warrants that were in the money...
I know ....It’s a small size and a small sample....but the fact is; I was rejected across the board...
What can one do; other than one can do? That’s all I could do...
Oh....participants...
I almost thought is was still 2010 for a second and almost sold out.
Some would have and many should read everything I posted from then till now to get it....you’ll be fine
An orange jumpy or see him later never ends does it....
It was a fair piece. Opinionated with some quite notable facts.
In the simplest thoughts of which I am capable:
The warrants allow for market mechanics to subdue and or elevate price beyond marketable levels - including over extended periods of time.
Only the best of the best could even contemplate quantitively the derivative market for cvm internally (it’s internal share structure) - let alone any marketable derivatives. I am not one of the best and am under opinion that such is so far out of reach that I personally only touch common. I’ve previously explained my opinion to avoid the option chains; as those that participate are actually working against what defines such an instrument....time....
Put simply; the option chains people comment on are so simplistic you can’t even attempt to compare the expected timeline of cvm “event”. But to see the embedded internal derivatives of cvm is like chaos with insight
I agree 8s was good out....re enter is debatable....maybe I’m a tad early?
Market mechanics. Your familiar I’m sure. I’m full position again avg re enter 7.10
In addition tape said so...with strength...although not absolute...
Vacation has me spread out a bit
Maybe I paid for it? Sometimes people just don’t get it....
Truth, i didn’t pay, but in some way shape or form it is and was....
Most important is who cares? Even if somebody told you who did; most would never understand the why and the parameters that surround it.
It irrelevant...as the last part of a roller coaster ride that puts its riders in a sentiment to show their happiness for all those considering payment for entrance.
I could troll around as psych trader instead of learning curve, but it’s more than apparent to me I have more weakness and areas for development than to stain myself ....
Here is a completely disorganized out loud plan....I’ve got 7-23 days to put it together or play it by ear....
Cvm small and wait for material info....
Slng hold hold hold buy more if compensation trades open up....
Underlying....vix tvix
Trump: he wins and he pushes forward - fine
Trump- he loses and his tweets and rhetoric are gone
Both positive and negative—-essentially a non bet, but some opportunities may present themselves, but can’t be seen now.
However, one could bet a firework show going into his final hour; only to be followed by nothing...
There are so so so many newly minted millionaires to stabilize the market....over 2 years one could only go wrong via exit....but....the object is too beat objectives....
Remembered many newly minted millionaires, but don’t overlook....they don’t add! === free money!!
Do you assume a positive note regarding warrants? I don’t. Considering the constant updates from management - geert in the past....it would be....let’s just say inconsistent....
So for me: i would sell a story of warrants exercised...and would do nothing if none were exercised.
What you think?
It quite clearly demonstrates that no investor of significance has done anything here. It’s a recapture of index...
Nothing more or less....
But an incorrelated signal may be forced to reveal itself sooner than anticipated or hoped....facilitation may become more and more difficult...
.....unless you beleive what I said a couple weeks ago that I personally have never seen a price hold static with what I have believe i have seen (significant buying).
I personally had acted on such as I said I had and bought at 6 two Friday’s ago after hours....
To repeat again; I didn’t go massive ; rather only a small add....because of “our geert” (that’s being nice)....I’m trying to be nicer...really trying
He’s incapable of dance....he has a hard enough time turning his head....have you not actually watched the videos in which he proclaimed he won’t make a deal with shorts?
He’s named his own funding source...
How does it cross the finish line?
Success?
or failure? Failure will most defintely include a “new” ceo and data will be valued.
I wait. I sit. If cvm tanks on bad news I buy a lot of a lot! And then more of a lot!
If cvm success ...I will make good money, but not as much as one hypothetically could ....it never hurt to make $10k instead of $100k or $2k vs $20k or $100k vs $1M...
But failure and geert gone is the easiest bet....not most profitable; but as far as having the best of it; makes it easy to make the most of it.
Wow...a going on....or did you mean to say a going concern...because a going concern would likely pit geert in an orange jumpy!
Gonna be difficult; they don’t accept promise to pay from Americans in Ensenada anymore....and San Diego is all but filled up...
Wonder why that is?
Why would anybody worry about the pps? Never heard of pps effecting anything other dilution....it won’t effect the study; it won’t effect the future valuation....it won’t effect geert in a orange jumpsuit.
Quite a fascinating concept, eh?
I’m sure I can save somebody the inevitable bankruptcy for a fee of $1m usd....let me know...PS in this case I’m referring to current participants; not geert or cvm...
K. I think you should revisit your presumptions about me...
I’m 60% cash....
Ps. “Now” it is only in 10 days that I will become more active than I ever have for 2 weeks...vacation, observation...you remember what i said....
Ps. The final hours - what has passed, will pass, be prepared to pass....
Game theory.....with idiots you can predict inevitables....timing / patience is the crutch.
Does that change your perception (which you shared)of things I’ve said in the past?
Or does it (a helping hand) make you at least want to revisit such assumptions?
You see? I could not...nor was capable...fiscally or mentally...and lacked experience and education...to have conviction whether it be right or wrong?....that’s irrelevant too.. and ..it’s more about having the best of it to get the most of it....
Hmmm...you didn’t look deep enough...they actually contain the tomatoes and gas them to create the perception of ripeness while simultaneously maintaining a grade of a perishable good...
Many think I posted metaphorically; quite the opposite is true....the problem one will habe is to go back a rewire their brain to accept this notion. Those that can....well let’s just say...they aren’t here on a message board....
Look; I will buy a phlll failure report crash as if I’m going to live to infinity....
I’ll buy geert being pushed aside or stepping down as long term investment....
I’ll go with my tail between my legs of geert goes to jail.
It’s actually quite relateable to my tvix vix cash positions.....I’m all cash per those instruments as of 2 hours post close today. Gains realized was .5% across portfolio over roughly 4-6 weeks.
Remember, I said I plan for the final hour.....
Well, we’re arriving at the final hours of cvm study
The final hours of trump
We’ve past the final of Aeti / slng
Ps. In 2 weeks; I will become more active in the market that I have in the last 5 years for a 2 week period....
It’s called vacation / observation / opportunity.
Due to
Increase in patient enrollment after change in cro at an exponential comparative pace...
Completely revealed data near term.....as the percentage of deaths greatly outweighed survival...short term....however with more time a survival is a survivor until no longer...with more time....it has been shown that survival has actually reared its head?....
Idmc fdA docrepemcy...was not the model....but the change in continuity....
A database of 5% cure ratio upon such a diverse study is ——-priceless....cue ....my worst case 2 yr scenario.
Imo, there should be at least 100b in vulcher money at !??? Without derivatives, without sanity....it just is
Thanks for looking out for me...too many people are passive when the signals are there, clear and obvious....
I’m not posting for you, I’m posting for those that listen and can’t / don’t express their opinion ....(do you know the statistics of such?...,the percentage which post vs which only read and are influenced ....!??? For whatever reason...? Do you?
My insinuation of jail time for geert has nothing to do with his mental stability.
Nothing to do with breaking the law.....”YET!”
Why do you think I’ve claimed myself to be the best retail trader of cvm? Why is it that o can prove such with nothing more than post history?
It is, or is it? That that fine line that geert has ridden for so many years has evaporated...
FYI: bought 10 of these...
Well then don’t eat too many tomatoes out of season...
Did you know they pick them green to “maintain” freshness....then gas them too change the color to appear ripe before delivery? You know what they gas them with?
I’ll stick with simplicity here at cvm; geert jail or not....
No. I say. I’m so certain I’d buy a bad report of data with any inconsistencies...
Options at cvm, no way....I commend you willingness to mention option alternatives once again (though I greatly disagree) so that you won’t be tantalized emotionally.
A side note: a accepted ~ 10% loss on 3/5ths my tvix (my 3% portfolio stake). Redistributed 50% to vix and 50% cash of said total 3% of portfolio. (Note: these are obviously micro
Positions with great protections: losses and returns)...as i micro investor compared to worldly picture...cash is always king.
If you want to make really money ; do a spreadsheet on trump vs last 6 months of his future presidency...
That’s the holy grail....
Damn dirty bastard should be appreciated what he’s done and in jail for other things he’s done....
What a conundrum?
Zero
Tolerance
Slng - time vs stupidity... or is it the other way?
The only model airplane I ever built as a kid growing up...still have it with my custom paint job as a 11 yr old...
I think you took my 2 year genius statement a bit out of context;
It’s my foresight for worse case scenario; value in data, plll failure (of degree/ interpretation), geert being pushed aside....ect....
The strongest metal (I thought you’d get that): as you said it depends...on...
I meant the thesis of my bet. It has garnered attention of some heavy weights...
It’s the first time I’ve been long and willing to say it....and I clearly share my thesis....the rest is up to them...
Data, science history, competitors, indifferences...ect...
Ps: knowing (let’s say a private hospice care Provider); doesn’t necessarily make one a great investor or trader...
There is always truth in pps, but sometimes the truths seen are that of participants not the product....
Either way the pps inherently lacks foresight.
And.....data is paramount!
Geert jail or no jail?
I’m going with no jail.
I sit right and right.
Give me a price I can’t pass up and will buy the whole f’n thing...
Truth be told; I don’t think I even have to visit this scenario as I truely beleive in my thesis, as well as there are not enough momo participants to provide the price at which I’d buy the whole fn thing.
Let’s be realistic; there is going to be some bad data; but some out of nowhere over the top data.
For those that don’t see geert stepping down; you should really think about...
I’d consider my position a 2 yr maximum wait to be considered genius. Not because of complexity, but rather simplicity.
Ps. Money is surely entering soon. Being a light rock; what is the strongest metal the way? I wanted to make an analogy like “with brass balls”, but that’s insensitive to genders as well as most defintely not the strongest metal...
Thanks for coming? Can you follow up and bring more troops.
Personally I’d prefer if you could “think” you brought it down one more time to get rid of the so called “momentum traders on StockTwits”. I prefer to wake up 200% gains than watch a climb.
Thanks for you participation.
Just saying
Ps I would have addressed this post earlier, but.....
Excellent example of do your work!
Nobody should ever lose sight of doing the work.
It’s inevitable you will be rewarded.
I nor anybody can predict in which way or time, but you will be reap the fruit at some time in one way or another.
I commend you! I’ve posturiized doing the same in past....and have yet to do so....
Well done.
Ps. My thesis has Almost nothing to do with what you detailed.... but we all have areas of strength - weakness - growth and potential.
For your sake and all....don’t stop ....absorb the exhaustion...and continue on like as if it always was....
I really don’t see it that way, but the point is well taken and each has their own way of managing risk, and what one can handle before such risk becomes emotional; thus a detriment to whom that very person is...
Cool. I’m attentive to such when I’m attentive to such...my wife more so and looks now and again...her mother quite big into; definitely more typical in Brazil and her family even more so.
I’m April 9 and you are?
Was just wondering odd it would be if it were the same...
Edit: I still haven’t found a way to articulate my opinion regarding options.
I have still not changed it either; it is clear as day in my mind. Buy, hold...
I can only add 2 things: I have never ever seen such large buys on the tape with such little to unnoticeable movement to the point it almost creates self doubt...I am certain
By the time I have the epiphany from some option class; which I will assuredly do; I will most certainly not change my opinion in this current (cvm) situation; will endure some pain and add (if so be it), and - or be greatly rewarded.
I can not fathom how any minimal decree in understanding would undermine my position in this situation....however it most likely will be very applicable in the near future.
I just crossed 6 figures from 4 in my 401k alone.
Ps. Up to 3% of portfolio and even in tvix