Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Yes, it’s also a gambling strategy...
I’ve used it myself before...
My point is simple. Many institutions make losing bets and stupid ones too...
If any institution was dumb enough to participate in the most recent charade they have the skin to say “f u, im out”; rather than look for another gasp of self righteousness...., but there are some that dumb too.
You really think this never ending funder is going to let somebody else take over their position and control?
You’ve got to wearing the rosiest colored glasses YOU have ever worn to believe that.
Having said that; I want to know what you are thinking, becuase I just don’t see you putting something like that on.
Nobody is allowed in.
In the hypothetical that something ever good did happen with cvm; they would never need to raise money again....ever. Do you realize that simple fact? That is why a say over and over and over there is a do not enter banner.
Have you or anybody ever asked themselves why the did the largest Plll ever?
Was it to broaden the scope of the study or the investors/suckers?!?!
This is not conspiracy; this is good marketing.
It can only judged morally by those who know their own objective....
I beg to differ? How much of your wealth have you invested in yourself?
I will put 66% of my wealth on one equity soon and consider it being greatly diversified.
It’s much more diversified than my prior 98%.
I will hold 66% in one equity. 34% cash to buy more of my 66% or something else that catches my attention and - revolving 2% in a start biotech that has believers (employees) who purchase regularly with their debits from their paychecks. This instruments / placement based bio has a long term outlook plus good liquidity for a micro position based on employee purchase plans. One can seed 10% a month and extract 10% cash as well.
Who knows? In the long run my lack of diversified ideas results in my only winner being my 2% revolving and I’m still alive in 20 years or more?
I would say you are not diversified based on trading methods....they are all the same!
I love the ocean (it’s free, vast and explorative), but lice is annoying....it doesn’t go away
Sneaky sneaky. Lol.
I’ve got a few shares too, but nowhere what I had....
The risk of going it alone and close out debt is something I haven’t been able to wrangle with well.
On the optimistic side though:
I see plenty of opportunities:
Another contract or 2 in the $5m + range prior to earnings will delivery dates of late 2018/early 2019.
I see buyout / “semi hostile” from the like of Shell (I’m not joking).
To facilitate this trade with small float a $5-8+ cross is possible.
Dont forget this management team came out with high regards when they iPo.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see deficient areil selling out to shlx.
Facilitation is not a pittance in some cases.
Don’t ne surprised to see large form 4 come out. This is desperation trading.
The won’t be able to finish study....how they going to pay emgromed?
Emgromed would become more than a 10% owner by default when the next bill arrives if pps is too low.
I assure there are incredibly stupid institutional investors who dipped their toe in and want out...
Institution doesn’t automate having intelligence....
I did well today; more than recaptured all (however minimal) losses I incurred on drop. (Bought ~ .97 sold ~1.15.)
For those that may feel I am saying this after the fact and somehow always win I will explain....this was an easy trade, but in fast moving market and you can use the following advice to participate in such situations in the future....consider this a freebeee:
1. Pps bouncing: they want pps above $1.00 so market orders can be used amongst all brokers (much easier to create a “chase environment” with market orders. (This is a must break $1)
2. A market maker wall today it was 1.10. A wall is obvious as minimum of 10 market makers and maybe more 20+ will spot the same price. This is a wall of obligation. These walls almost are typically formed when a buyer as agreed to take the shares and redistribute them at a higher price for all of them (market makers). This is a must as well.
So, wall was at 1.10. Pps crossed 1. I bought at .97 on little pullback and waited for pps to cross 1.10 and sold.
It may go higher, much higher for that matter...but redistribution was not going to be facilitated for 1%, hence I waited for 5% more minimum.
Other factors one can use to increase probability and limit risk are:
3. Know share structure: i new at some point and time they would have to make a move; the $50m market cap is long gone again.
Emgromed will become a 10% holder by default (this is an absolute no no when being compensated shares for payment)
4. Psychological effect: nobody thinks clear when they perceive themselves as stupid. The desperation to feel like they can be right once is a desired effect.
Today all were in play.
FYI: the most important is share structure; it will increase your odds dramatically.....
5. Wait for it.....
This is a case of observing the above and waiting....if you are eager you will inherently become a number 4.
This post should bear no moment in time....it is merely an observation of myself...it’s another way to convey/interpet my development/ rationalization of thoughts I have previously stated, but most importantly, how I have both adopted and adapted them...
I have a bet; I want to go all in.
I have had an massive influx in gains recently
I know enough to doubt myself (I’m not as good as my numbers say)
I have weaknesses; both fundamentally and psychologically (but I know this)
Fundamentally I do not know close to what any expert would know about my bet
Psychologically i still have worry i will o miss a play
I will succumb to this; I will rid myself of missing the play (of which I don’t know what it is or will be); and only
stake 66% of my total wealth on my all in....as i would hate to see something pass me by.
Does anybody see how counter intuitive that is? Or is it counter intuitive?
To diversify; but, not to diversify, but to ensure I don’t feel I missed out on something else?
Regarding Geert, I agree. Although I think he’s a psychopath: but others have accused me of the same in lighter words to maintain the ihub status. So, who knows. IMO, He is purely a puppet. ... some people just don’t understand me or want to ask for clarification. I find that speaking theoretically allows me to convey a point quicker....and it’s up to those who don’t, but wish to understand to ask for clarity.
But that’s my opinion too....
The rest of your post speaks for itself, but....one could always do the work and know more rather than feel more...
They can sell much more again....much much more....but that would kill themselves....can’t drink their own blood.
Remember when I said that not all the shares had NOT crossed????
Cvm may have just finished the previous rounds.
Can you define shorting, in the context you provide?
Then can you let us know your definition of shorting?
Also, could you tell me why this information may or may not be useful?
Just trying to understand and help you out as you seem really confused...
Really, he claimed he didn’t know? Don’t recall him saying he doesn’t know....
I’m sure it’s all relevant like posting short % from 2 market makers as if it’s short interest in the equity....
But, who cares? It’s MB, where blaming others for their own mistakes is more relevant than sharing information to learn and make more informative decisions.
I’ll wait for less gerty like statements from gerty to consider anything; unless something strikes me....
The guy blames the shareprice on his success: It appears you agree?
You don’t have to be public to trade shares (or do block trades as you so eloquently said).
People who blame others for failures are just plain pathetic.
Do have an interest in foreign investments here?
Friend. I meant that Plll was the only bet you’re interested in. Was being sarcastic.
You’ve been very clear about that.
It’s sad people spend so much time building conspiracies rather than doing work....
How is that puzzling? The ceo assumed all his mistakes should fall on somebody else. I have stated numerous analogies about this and how pathetic and ignorant that thought process is.
What’s he going going to say now?
He’s going to give excuses to dilute; which he already did.
Who cares if another r/s? Market cap is sub $50m again...did you pay attention to the date?
The only most people know about r/s is what it usually does...not what the function or purpose is.....and how more importantly the follow up to the r/s is more important.
Institutions interested? You still can’t see the banner out front? Blind? It’s ok, you should be able to hear the shrieks.
Another comical side; when somebody claims they won’t get bought out of things go well?
Seriously think about that!
In 2 simple stages:
1. If MK were a success who would want Geert in change of bringing it to market?
2. If MK were success why wouldn’t the funders want to get bought out? They get the value of all shares held plus all warrants exercised below the purchase price plus the likelihood that the buyer is a company of which they have an existing position.
Seriously; share structure, logic, and asking questions would really benefit everybody enormously...
But, hey, it’s the stock market....
The cost of entry into this business used to $500; now it’s pennies via apps like acorn?
I thought my old business was (fly catcher) full of ignorance with a low cost/barrier to entry of a few $K....
The market participants of today need 1% of that barrier to enter.
Just knowing and experiencing that fact alone gives me a massive advantage over an ever increasing populations of suckers
Yup, and you’re long. Lol!
Lol. But not true. Successful people don’t retire entirely....
Lol.....can you repeat your position one more time...it’s hard to understand.
You really need to work on being clear. Lol
Oh. You thought ; I said buy when I said sell....then when I said buy; you thought I said sell.
Yes, I understand being foreign makes it hard to communicate.
Sell gold. Buy oil.
After sell oil...
Buy more oil and gold...lol
Never buy cvm; it’s an idea, not a reality.
I don’t think Geert exists. He looks like a hologram...anybody ever see him?
How come cvm doesn’t have a security allowance? After 30 years of nothing; I’m surprised not one person has made sure it’s even him? Lol...not one class action?
I’m serious. Does he exist?
Can anybody prove it?
Birth certificate and all?
Lol
Feel free to make your counter “opinions”. What do you deem people who blame their failures on others?
Are they ignorant, lazy, unlucky...??? Destined....lol
Sorry, I used foreign....literally...
But, I’m curious, how could it have been interpreted metaphorically?
Btw:The only facts you have ever posted have been factually wrong.
Do you know what gpt is? And when it is?
FYI: do realize that if all the original non institutional investors put their money together and had not incurred losses they would be able to buyout cvm? Fun fact!!!!! Instead the own what % of what? Which will eventually be what????!!
And yet logic is thrown around like contemporary art when analyzing share structure....
Make my day and go to jail...Geert!
Anybody wanna be bookie?
Give me a few options and I’m 100% certain I win! Lol
Is that a fact?
Then
Figure out how that is plausible?
I withdrew my token here. I don’t take any investment lightly....that’s not to say the share price will not hit my mentioned target eventually or shortly for that matter.
I’ve been thinking about the concept more and more....
My most recent thoughts create a scenario where no money is lost or gained and the transactions themselves become mute.
The price to educate and enable exceeds the cost distribution.
The brunt of cost to enable falls in the hands of the distributors...
It’s inheremtly a pyramid...
It’s more of psychological experiment of ignorant privileged than anything....
It’s appears to me at face value; an attempt to displace moral/human responsibility.
It enables one to see sacrifice as a “hypothetical” greater good!
We are not Mayan!!
This is problematic for me....
I’m about to put some time in....
And why does soc not included cz?
And why or why not is it known that cz was not included in other studies? Soc?
I’m think I’m going to continue focus where I have and abandon my contribution to math....
This is why i applied bending (as I called it)....
This is why I have yelled protectionism
This is why do not enter sign
This is why shouldn’t be public
The data had revealed itself to be priceless once again....and nobody has access to it, but??!
I assure you it is not Geert. Data of this maginitude is not within an individual.
Geert is a puppet!
I understand your position, but have you cross examined your own thought process?
Look at this view...
Why does he have that salary and such as paltry position?
Your verbiage intimates a lack of vested interest.
Vs.
A cross examination would would question how he is paid exorbitantly with such a limited stake?
Ok, I think I’m going to have an opportunity to get involved in the statistics...
What’s been contemplated/ calculated/ Gerry’s verbiage/ slide-study verbiage of the 1/7th group (how are you/we identifying the 1/7th) has a +10% survival rate?
Looks like a flat ride to reality....until earnings or a major news drop....
Nobody willing to gamble.
Might see a small burst here and there, but nothing significant...
——
Would somebody tell the pt99 guy on stocktwitts and his adversaries that a massive holder (aerial) has sold a massive stake/ position.
I’m long, but not for his ignorance...and his opponents should have a better responses...
What is funny, is if his opponents think aerial sales is their hidden treasure; they might in for a learning experience....
——-
If I’m wrong about previous post about Oppenheimer deal is out....I see 2 companies....as hypotheticals/ plausibles...analogy worthy. Short term
Fcel
Cei
....and of course....stay alone....and demand better terms....longer term...
——-
I repeat Ge was late to attend the internal aeti meeting.
Aeti management will get it right regardless. IMO.
When they iPo ~ 7-8 years ago; management had the backing of some of the most respected individuals in the market. 8 years and only ~ 7% common dilution; ~15% prefers to common dilution through the worst timing of start up to today lifespan is more than admirable.
People opinion of them may have changed; more important opinion an of themselves may have changed...
I urge them to finish the job. They are unique....do not fall into your own self induced adreninle drop.
I can only give them my support and urge them....
I truely hope they have read my posts.....
Finish the job gentlemen! Is what id say
They deserve it
I bought a token worth here today.
I think crypto currency is worthless, but the chain may have value with correct leadership.
Beginning my research here.
I’m asking for 20% return (as of now)barring fundamental news or self confidence built on research.
As for crypto currency itself...it falls in line with:
A tv cost what today vs history
A tv has improved today vs what history
The currency will decay the tech will expand.
Without globalization currency is worthless, but the tech is priceless...
This is my first dip in the space.
This is my personal opinion of this market place
——
Leadership is key to the correct investment in block chain tech. IMO
Light rock, I really have not had time to do the work necessary to contribute (as I have already said)....
I’m cleary saying Geert might expect failure under your scenario!
I can’t make any argument at this time. That’s my point.
I really don’t understand how you think, but I completely disagree with everything you posted.
The only thing I partially agree with is; They might do one more round of financing.
They main funders relinquished portions of their positions for just this exact scenario: with the caveat if the Arb case was max positive they could recapture via their warrants.
This is simply position recapture. Market cap is sub (data) assets....again
How would sell at 1.60; with everybody selling?
You must remember cvm allows close of short position via offerings.
——-
And to ask you a Question; why are you here? You stated multiple times you are only here for arb results...well you got them.
Cap is sub $50m
Sold 20% company at super discount to previous (short term) trading range...
For me: was an excuse and a well played position; for an equity that trades publicly, but should not.
You must make a bet based on the circumstances as they are, not what they should be.
Prior funders divided up position with recapture possible via warrants exercise (in event of ultra positives news); and in worse case scenario news; regained positions they relinquished....
——personally I know what (I think I should) to do, but I’ve been wrong (many of times), I have not invested the time (recently) necessary, and I listen to people (light rock), who demonstrate an attempt to wrong themselves...
——
my txrh puts are down 50% (theoretically)...as of now. Paid $10 for $70 strike. And yes I published that.
——
I stick to my arbitration interpretation; cvm can’t blame others for whom they hire....
This is recap based on news
My “old math says soon”
Recap says soon too....
Fairly put.
I believe Geert (timeline for PIII) and I still trust my math; but I must revisit my math and look at your math....
Since i trust my math and believe Geert; I would be enticed to think 50/50 success of MK.
If I believe Geert and trust your math; MK is a failure.
I will say with absolute confident; I believe Geert is telling the truth in regards to timeline.
I will be basing any thoughts around this....
Not true. Call hc wainwright yourself....start being an investor for once....you will learn a lot quickly...
You’re not allowed to change your mind. You aren’t allowed to do more research or contemplate other scenarios...
You’re supposed to listen to the ceo glance at information and make up your mind once.
What is up with investors/traders thinking?
How is anybody going to make any money off you?
(Sarcasm.....)
——-
Well done sir...
Truth be told I believe what Geert said about late this year...based on my old math....and I still haven’t visited your math.
I hope to soon.
Why don’t you see it for what it is?
They sold 20% of company at 60% discount of what it was trading going into arbitration?
With the option to own 33% of company...
With the option to short their entire stake and buy it back in another future offering.
That’s why...
And they most likely have a stake in a company, entity or building that benefits from cvm paying them.
Doesn’t sound risky; it sounds like a sure bet to me.
But, whatever makes you feel better....tell yourself...
We all choose who we trust. Our friends. Our employers. Who we depend on, spend time with...lead us, guide us, mentor us....and so does cvm
We all choose to negotiate all these relationships...(sorry failing to find a more complimentary word....)
Some negotiate (truths vs reality)pity; feel bad for me and I’ll feel bad for you...
Some negotiate feeling important or needed vs pity.....etc, etc, etc....
My brother stopped coming to me for advice again recently...
I tell him the truth...and sometimes that truth has been to seek advice from others whom are more familiar with a position he is currently experiencing that I can NOT imagine / pretend to live through.
Instead he has seeks the advice of my sisters who have no success or experience on the subject and relish being heard.
They love to feel they are helping and he loves to feel pity.
This is the recipe of human failure and selfishness.
The need for my brother to is second to feeling good about himself irrelevant of reality....
The need for my sisters to feel appreciated is second to giving truthful advice experienced advice...
Cvm entraps investors with the same philosophy; there is no reason to be public or share opinions...
Seriously, think about how many investors have a connection to cancer?
Does that play a role?
And all you mfrs say I am short....????
This is trading not hoping!
I have already apologized once for what could have been perceived as a lack of empathy towards patients!
I’m screaming now....protectionism!
I really think everybody is getting a bit too creative.
My simple observation is:
InVentiv said they could/ would do something they didn’t / couldn’t do.
Cvm agreed to do business with them.
People in sales say they can take on this project and that project all the time...and then they figure it out...some pull it off and grow and some don’t and then lose the business.
Analogies are endless; and you could probably come up with a better one or a better way to articulate my point to others than I...
Business hires a marketing firm who says they can generate a certain amount of leads....
Sometimes the marketing firm fails to do so becuase:
They didn’t understand the type of qualified leads needed.
They took on a project to big.
They simply didn’t understand the needs/ specifications of the project.
Etc...
And sometimes the marketing firm produces the leads but:
The business failed to articulate what a qualified lead was
Wasn’t prepared (lack of infrastructure) to close the leads / perform the work for new customers.
——-
Some businesses simply don’t understand themselves:
Spend to much on marketing without the infrastructure to produce
Spend too much on infrastructure in advance and have no marketing
Running a business is a complicated balancing act.....learningcurve
But it is the responsibility of the business to make all these decisions as well as whom they employ.
If a biz burns all its capital on infrastructure and then searches for a marketing firm at a discount ,who then doesn’t produce the leads desired.....can’t turn around and base all their failures on the marketing firm.
The world of business does not work like that nor do the arguememt my little girls have work like that....
I tell my 2 daughters before we leave they need to do dishes and clean the play room : after a 10 minute lapse of time....”(5yr old)well she said she would do the dishes, but she didn’t “ I reply “sorry kiddo 2 years don’t do dishes”, (5yr old says)”but I cleaned up all the barbies in our room (all the while the 5year old was playing go to sleep as she put them away). 5yr old says about 2yr old “ well she said she wanted to do the dishes and I thought she would.....so it’s (her fault)
Cvm can’t say: the cro said they could do something and then they didn’t...so it’s all their (her fault)...
——-
Dreaming up gag order scenarios is stupid, IMO.
———
$50 MC is gone as of now....
And for that reason I only sold 1/3 of small position....combined with the fact the last time we traded here a premium was paid to cover...
I think I know what I want to do: but not confident enough to say or act ....
I too, took a small hit as I had acted on my buy signal in the low 3 range and picked up a small position again....really thought a rally to low 4 was in play going into Friday..
EDIT : EDIT: I am going to bet that Oppenheimer is off the table.
....(You can add the my GE thoughts missing the AETI meeting here)...
——-
I remember a communications class I attended....
The professor was extremely different. He was appeared half black/half white....who knows? He wore double sized sized blue blocker sunglasses that covered half his face, jerry curl mix that made his Afro droop like it was caked in mud, late 80’s neon diamond print everlast parachute pants with a tucked in t-shirt.
I enjoyed his classes so much....
He captivated my attention the first day when he made a comment in a round about sort of way:
What is unique about being unique when everybody is claiming to be unique?
How many times have you researched a boutique investment firm. And how many times have the all said the same thing that makes them unique? (FYI: if you haven’t researched the firms that invest...you should start. Now)
——
Back to point
The realization that Oppenheimer is NOT unique should come to Aeti management.
aeti management are the players, they have been unique, they should continue to control....
Most importantly I think they are not only capable of this realization, but they have acted upon it.
Hence my bet.
I wasn’t looking at it from that perspective.
Just purely $75 MC perspective
I don’t believe that all the warrants would be exercised...
I was looking at it from at cvm liquidity standpoint.
Cvm liquidity has always been accessible paper money (shares).
The do not enter sign is still big and loud, but it’s opened up a bit (for the optimists)
It’s been divided up a bit.
There are still a significant amount of non registered securities.
$4.25pps would create about $85-90m MC....enabling cvm to issue and register securities at a pace never seem before.
Not saying they will but, if you think cvm was a dilution machine before?? There are no limitations on what they could do.
I don’t know if you followed what I had said in the past? But these limitations (access to registered shares) were what enabled me to go long.
You’re looking at it from an apples to apples perspective; trying to justify capitalization....
I look at it as how cvm be the protectionist I believe them to be. $75mc would give them just that.
——
This has always been my main issue with cvm and Geert. Why were they on a public market for years and years? They should not have been publicly traded...I get it; it’s their money and business, protect it. But why access public markets?
I could be wrong...
Well, $75m MC is within reach....more importantly desired! Desperation, don’t know?
Puts me in awkward position personally.
I may have to take an unorthodox position for me; buy (? Shares) and look away (but, that’s impossible with all the time put in to cvm...)
There is a shift taking place. The short is behind the seller. I can’t discerne the activity on the tape.
It appears this fruit is being perceived as more ripe than others.
Why? I’m asking you to ask yourself with me...
Gold is throwing all sorts of mixed signals
Energy is glorified...with skepticism
Tech is burning itself out....
I admit . I don’t understand what YOU are saying.
How about this: https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=140609611
It was a limitation based on structure, not an event.
Texas Roadhouse; i bought puts...I thought I said that I bought puts. For near end of year...
No, i still don’t no what your point was.
You called me wizard. I call myself learningcurve.
I said 4.25 was a max....
I was staying away at the time of calling orange jumpsuits; with the exception of a couple major moves that were made about a year or so ago. I had contemplated they would issue preferred units in an effort to transfer assets before he wore orange.
1.He was able to find a willing participant to buy non registered securities (this insinuates parties with actual legal experience think differently than I). People posted ideas; such as going concern...
The idea that cvm was also not within rules of non affiliated stock holders...
(On a personal note: I still do not believe cvm operated morally with the rules set forth to protect investors, but it’s quite apparent legally they are....re read previous 2 sentences)
2. Clap clap. Old news.
50m market cap
Securities being registered as we speak.
I pointed this out months ago...
Oj, win win....all hypotheticals...all old news. Clap clap
3. Up and down. Yep.
Multikine: i responded to somebody apologizing for not contributing as I haven’t had the time to put the effort in to contribute. I have nothing to say...
——
As an addition: to structure is opening a bit; a run for $75m Marker cap is possible...
In case i didn’t make it clear in previous reply; what was your point exactly?
Really, I don’t follow.