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True point "learning-curve", but we all know who has been around this stock for a long time. I doubt the long term traders would intently give bad advise. I can name a whole list of contributors on this Board that have shared their thoughts and have been very balanced in their thinking. Any way, I like our momentum with MSLP. It should be an interesting next 30 days!
I agree with your math, but why do they still shows 709M shares outstanding? Thanks.
My last advice, I promise :). Don't sell at this level, you are leaving to much on the table. You deserve it, hang on until they at least announce Q1 prelims. These guys really look like they are on a roll and they are NOT bumpers, if anything they have been too quite until recently.
Once we see Q1 prelim results it will be much easier to plot. In my mind, no question we will see .05 this month and .10 by end of October.
You have been a long term player, and I want to see you make some money. MSLP has turned the corner and making all the right moves. I never thought we would see the change in direction. A quarter with good revenue growth and showing a profit will send this over a nickel easy. What has changed:
1. They now have someone to interact with the shareholders
2. They got rid of their toxic debt
3. They seem to care about showing a profit
4. They now care about share price
What hasn't changed:
1. They are fastest growing Company in the industry, by far!
2. They have awesome products!
3. They are closely tied to the fastest growing sport in the world.
It will be a long time before you see another MusclePharm! This stock is $.10 for sure. It is a fact that their ridiculous growth rate is going from 400% to over 600%. Do the math. Nobody can come close to that growth rate at these revenue numbers. Odyessa thinks they might do $12M in revenues, I think they may do $15M, which will be HUGE! Now is the wrong time to sell. Good luck!
I have been very critical of the team, but this stock is going to do nothing but clime!
You are totally missing the point. Q1 official results don't mean much, the excitement will come from the prelim which are likely within a week. If good news, you will never regain your position. You waited this long, why not wait one more week?
Look at the past quarters. Check out one year ago, we should get a prelim (which is usually very accurate) within the next week. Just my opinion, but getting out now seems crazy.
Prelim results should be out within a week. Don't be foolish, ride this at least until you get the report. This stock is as solid as it gets.
Who am I to say, but I think that you are make a huge mistake! Playing with timing is not bright. If they announce this week a huge prelim quarter, you will never regain your position. Forget your chart, this Company is going places and you are going to miss the ride.
Your smart moneymaker! Hopefully, it will payoff for you.
Announcement on Assault: good news but no surprise to us that use Assault. I also think these gel packs have you potential on the medical front.
Thanks Odessa. I always appreciate you sharing your logic. I am more bullish (nick name bulldog :) on Q1 revenues, and I am hoping for our first quarterly profit.
Odessa, I was hoping to hear what your prediction is for Q1 revenues. And what do you think that will do for the stock price?
I agree with your comment a R/S. But they have already said they want to move this to a bigger market. In order to accomplish that, they are going to need to do a 100 to 1 reverse split. I see this as a major positive for MSLP. This will bring much more buying and liquidity into the Company.
Thanks for the information! And I appreciate all your post over this past year.
Sorry I did not answer your question, I will give my best shot. I can not speak to MSLP competitors' financials, but right now NOBODY is growing like MSLP. They are by far the hottest Company in this industry. Awesome products and awesome reputation. There have been two questions with MSLP: when will they show a profit? And when will they slow down dilution and spending.
MSLP is growing at a rate of 400%. Many have felt that the growth may slow this year but it has increase instead. I think MSLP will show revenues for this quarter of greater than $15M. And if that happens it puts them off the charts regarding growth. That puts them on pace to having revenues greater than $80M this year. And 2013 revenues so high, that nobody could even phantom. A company at this growth rate should be worth at least 3X revenues. That assumes they show a profit Q1.
And they should be getting a 15X EBITDA. Most investors will give them some slack on earnings, however, Since they have not controlled spending and have has close to zero communication with shareholders it has created tremendous frustration. Let's see what Q1 numbers look like.
I am in business development, I am convinced if they have a big quarter to go along with their recent announcements and changes they made, this is easily a $.10 company. I also think you will see many big companies willing to pay over $300M for MSLP TODAY!
Read my past post, I have very balanced in my comments. There is no company hotter than MSLP right now. Awesome products, Great branding, and revenues skyrocketing. Being able to buy the stock for under $.05 now is insane! I look at all these blowhards that were pumping the stock for a quick hit last week and then left. They will wish they had kept their position. My $.10 valuation is as conservative as one could get.
I am interested in your thoughts.
I do not believe the rumor. MSLP is doing just fine growing on it's own.
Over $15 million revenue for quarter should be bring us $.10
What you think? Based on growth rate, we would be on target for $100 million revenue year. Has to trade 10 cents or more.
All valid points you make. I think we are in for a big quarter. 8 million last quarter, what do you project? By the way 4Q could be soft but it would also be soft for the prior year.
Through the hectic trading, some trades do not get recorded but are usually posted within 5 mins of closing. Since the are trades that could of took place mid day, they are often much different than the true close.
Last April MSLP posted prelim revenues of $3.4M. Assuming 400% growth, we should expect $13.6M revenues for the quarter. Growth at this rate should result in Revenues around $75M for 2012. If prelim revenues are over $15M for the quarter, this should trade at $.10 or higher. IMO
Odessa, I am curious to hear your Q1 revenue projection. We are just getting in Walmart (1 or 2 locations right now), the military and Canada will be growth for upcoming quarters. So what do you project this quarter, and what logic to support your guess?
Big time buy and LT hold.
That is likely a missed trade, not after hours.
We all know "chasingadream" is shorting the stock. He failed trying to take it down today. He is trying to scare investors away. It will never work with MusclePharm and he is going to lose his shirt! I love it. May see more of these guys next week.
Good call deadboy, we will see .06 very soon!
Hiring an investment firm by itself should not necessarily move the stock. Management needed help in this area. And this will be huge long term.
This is a huge announcement for MSLP! They desperately needed help with investor relations. Management is making all the right moves now.
Check out the Form 4, posted on February 1, 2012.
Rookie,
MusclePharm's product are the best in the industry. I have used them for over a year now. And Company's marketing is awesome! Without any further dilution, we will hit 10 cents for sure. Everybody I talk to says the products are flying off the shelves. I am expecting a huge quarter over $15M.
Yes, thank you eucsstamticc and very much appreciated!
Rookie, when they issued the shares, we shareholders lost 50% of our value. It was significant dilution.
With that said, the announcement this week was huge and hopefully taking MSLP in a new direction. My guess is John B. is looking after the interest of us shareholders.
If Brad takes care of the shareholders, he will make more money than the path he was on. He seems brilliant at branding the Company, but has not been shareholder friendly.
Listed below is a post earlier today from Oldengray:
Based on the last S1 (709,000,000) is correct but that does not account for the 450,000,000 bonus shares and roughly 100,000,000 outstanding warrants.
Why would anybody short or sell this stock with Q1 preliminary revenues report due any day? MSLP will spike over .05
I like the point you make Parisara. That is why I do not think it will pull back tomorrow to .025. MSLP is bound to run for the next week until it get over 8 cents.
Then with a realistic $100 million valuation, MSLP should be valued close to 8 cents and growing rapidly.
I always enjoy your posts, and this one makes the most sense. Not that a buyout was their initial intent in awarding the bonus shares. Now that they have all those shares they would collect big time on a buyout, and we all win because we will not be harmed by them selling into the market. Nice work!
I think revenues will be over $15 million Q1. And if that is the case this company has to be worth $100 million. With that run rate, it is a no brainer. That means MSLP should trade over 10 cents next week.
Now my question for you: if they reverse split and move to the NASDAQ, what will the stock do? Would that be a good thing for us shareholders?
MSLP will be over .04 this week, and over .06 next week. Stock is still way undervalued!
I think it will continue to run tomorrow. Too much good news due out soon.
I personally am glad the sub-penny days are over and we are climbing. It feels good to be in the black! With a strong revenue report and no further issue of shares, we might see 10 cents.