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TIK picked up by Small Cap Traders & Stocks Impossible http://www.thelion.com/bin/forum.cgi?tf=wall_street_pit&msg=2551484&cmd=r&t=
TIK agreed & 1st & 2nd Qtr comps will be 100% revenue gains year over year and going from a loss to very profitable Qtr's. CEO is 100% sandbagging & knowing what orders they have in house for 1st Qtr I come up with 6.2 million conservatively. Plus last PR CEO confirming 28 NATO countries will have to buy new mode 5 test sets plus the continued U.S orders giving TIK incredible forward visibility on their business.
TIK 4th Qtr comp last year had a 1.2 mill one time gain on sale of IP to the Navy without it TIK had a flat Qtr to a small loss per share. Expecting CFO to back out 1 time gain or apples to apples comparison as I have already asked him to do it. Even being very conservative at $1.00 in EPS & 50 to 60% revenue growth for upcoming fiscal year already locked up without any new orders should give TIK a double digit share price later this year imo....
TIK DD post as yesterdays PR left many confused. First off the sequential drop in guidance of 5.5 mill $$$ is the same guidance the CEO gave for the 4th Qtr & came in at 6.45 mill $$$. He is ultra conservative & knowing their contracts I come up with approx 6.2 Mill $$$ for Q1.BTW the 1st Qtr tends to be their seasonally lowest Qtr. TIK reports in 3 weeks & will report Non-GAAP EPS of approx .28 cents and GAAP earnings of approx .16 or .17 cents imo. The difference is all Non Cash charges mostly tax expense as TIK has almost 14 million in NOLS that will offset tax expense for the next 5 years +. TIK is up against 3 million in Q1 & 3.5 mill in Q2 so both the next 2 Qtr's will show 100% rev increases & be highly profitable. For the upcoming year TIK should easily do 50 to 60% Revenue growth and produce $1.20 to $1.40 Non-GAAP EPS again only Non Cash items backed out.
CEO is keeping his word as 1 new product out & more to come this year, also he is now confident to state that 28 NATO countries will HAVE to go to Mode 5 test sets and the U.S.A has only just begun and will be major dollar buyers for years to come as well. How rare is it for a company to have such a great forward outlook reaching not a few quarters but several Years and barrier to entry is ZERO no new competition coming into TIK's niche...
Insiders owning over half the shares outstanding & continue to buy via Form 4's filed leaves a tiny float so when TIK does get appreciated it will move fast & hard. I mean what will a stock with years of growth trading at 4X's EPS be in a few weeks or a few months ???
Catalysts are always a stock prices best friend & finding a co. like TIK that has been losing money for years and has turned it around to grow & become profitable & in TIK's case very profitable is always a recipe for major share price appreciation especially when no one paying attn YET !!!! It's amazing once a co. starts showing big profits it never takes long for them to be found. GLTA & make $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
LINK to S/A Article with more DD
http://seekingalpha.com/article/2985606-tel-instrument-over-500-percent-upside-just-to-reach-fair-value-based-on-guidance
The army contract calls for TS-4530 sets and kits. The sets will produce approx 3 million a Qtr in revenues and till sets delivery accepted TIK is shipping the kits at 2.3 million per quarter so once sets approved for shipment TIK expects about $700K more in revenues per quarter going forward as the sets will displace the kits shipments....
Yes 10Q by Aug 15th anyone smart enough to buy here will be very very happy in a few weeks again finding money losing co.s that turned profitable has the highest returns possible & the best catalysts.... TIK will report .26 to .28 cents Non-Gaap EPS in 3 weeks time and with tiny float will move hard and fast imo.. GLTA & make $$$$$$$$$$$$
TIK it's the same guidance CEO gave for 4th Qtr & it came in at 6.5 he is a big sandbagger .....very conservative to a fault.
TIK agreed not sure why PR went out when great earnings in 3 weeks & really no bad news new product & 28 NATO countries gotta buy new Mode 5 &large U.S orders for next 4 years
CEO a heavy sandbagger remember the 5.6 mill guidance came in 6.5? plus new product plus heavy duty orders coming from 28 NATO countries and large U.S orders and will be very profitable each n every quarter going forward
TIK news out & remember CEO sandbags bigtime
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/tel-instrument-electronics-corp-announces-184500536.html
TIK perhaps it might have been my conversation with CEO on putting out another Rev only PR without putting out 4th Qtr EPS which is the biggest reason TIK hasn't moved yet. The more traditional way would be announce 1st Qtr Rev's with 4th Qtr EPS in June & he agreed. I know he wants to get the 100% Plus Rev number out but without EPS Rev's are imo meaningless.. All in all I'm glad he listened as it would have been a dud PR imo as investors want to know how profitable you are with those Rev's and after seeing how profitable the 4th Qtr is investors will easily piece together the 1st & 2nd Qtr profitability & become very interested.
TIK 1 of the best market Catalysts find a co that has been losing money for years that has turned it around and becomes very profitable. TIK will report in a few weeks their first full Qtr of recently launched multi-year contracts with high profitability.... Also 4 to 6 weeks later TIK will report 1st Qtr & up against low #'s will show over 100% revenue increase and go from money loser to highly profitable ... same 100% rev increase in the 2nd Qtr... Imo only TIK will easily be in the double digits by late summer... GLTA & make $$$$$$. TIK a microfloat so could get crazy with volume...as no one paying attn yet....
TIK 1 of the best market Catalysts find a co that has been losing money for years that has turned it around and becomes very profitable. TIK will report in a few weeks their first full Qtr of recently launched multi-year contracts with high profitability.... Also 4 to 6 weeks later TIK will report 1st Qtr & up against low #'s will show over 100% revenue increase and go from money loser to highly profitable ... same 100% rev increase in the 2nd Qtr... Imo only TIK will easily be in the double digits by late summer... GLTA & make $$$$$$. TIK a microfloat so could get crazy with volume...as no one paying attn yet....
You mean the 4th Qtr will be stellar & I agree I see .26 to .28 cents non gaap EPS adding back only non cash items to get that EPS.Better yet is the 1st & 2nd quarters as TIK is up against 3 mill & 3.5 million and both money losing quarters & TIK will do 6.5 to 7 million both quarters showing over 100% rev growth & wildly profitable. With Insiders owning over 50% of total shares outstanding leaving a tiny tiny float could get wild once people realize these muti year contracts will provide steady repeatable profitable quarters. Current forward P/E about 4X's EPS is insane for the growth rate TIK will achieve this upcoming year....
TIK not sure how you got to your EPS #'s I'm assuming they are GAAP #'s & including NON Cash tax expense. Typically SG&A & R&D & Interest is approx 1.2 million $$$ per Qtr That's their actual dollars being paid. Most everything else besides possible 1 time items would be Non Cash expense items. I typically wouldn't add back tax expense as we know company's will have to pay tax sooner or later, but TIK has such a large amount of NOLS that it has a material effect as TIK wont pay taxes for most likely the next 4 years giving investors a long run of continued high profit high cash flow quarters.
As far as going forward answer is YES & exactly why we are so early as these multi-year contracts are just the beginning, with no new contracts TIK will produce between 27 & 28 million this upcoming fiscal year over 50% growth rate. Best part is everything military including all our global allied forces will be updating to new mode 5 friend or foe equipment from TIK. From TIK's website read last paragraph 10 to 15 year project. Also TIK stated on last CC to expect new products this fiscal year as well. I honestly don't see how this isn't closer to $15 a share later this year after people see actual results & realize steady repeatable growing Qtr's coming.
The transition to the new Mark XIIA Mode 5 avionics equipment and support equipment is now in process and will entail a major effort for the U.S. military and all participating NATO countries over the next 10-15 years. TIC is proud to be a part of this milestone avionics system development effort.
https://www.telinstrument.com/avionics-news/industry-articles/101-iff-and-mode-5-past-present-and-future.html
TIK agreed as future couldn't look any better, record 4th Qtr Rev's & keep in mind was the first full Qtr of full rate production on multi year contracts... Numbers will only get better & margins higher and at 5X's upcoming years EPS & a 50% growth rate these $6 shares will look awfully cheap in the weeks and months ahead imo.... GLTA & make $$$$$$$$$$$$$$
TIK crushed 5.6 mill $ guidance PR out 6.44 mill $$$ should equate to approx .28 to .29 cents non-gaap EPS http://finance.yahoo.com/news/tel-instrument-electronics-corp-announces-123000595.html
EGY yes first spike over $2.50 then it ran to $2.65 lol nice scalp on a quiet day for me....
EGY nice bounce from $2.15's now $2.56 has $3.12 net book $1.60 in cash & only 15 mill in debt....10++ year lows
EGY took starter $2.15 crazy 10+ year lows on dry hole news & oil down ?? seems way overdone as EGY has little debt 15 mill $$$ & 90 mill in cash & a $3.12 per share book value...
TIK imo only TIK will crush 5.6 mill $$ guidance by about 15% or better. Also expecting increase in margins and very profitable. Best part is this the very first quarter of full rate production & will have growing repeatable profitable quarters for the next few years. So at 4 to 5X's earnings & a great outlook going forward I have no problem holding. Also with insiders owning over 50% of the stock leaving a tiny micro float I've seen these get nuts .... not saying it will just it could...TIK also has little Institutional ownership so once they come aboard & it appears some fund is behind the last week or so action it could be interesting....GLTA & make $$$$$$$
Nothing wrong with banking profits congrats $$$$$ I'll gladly hold into next week as I know TIK hit it out of the park this past Qtr gonna catch the Mkt by surprise imo....
TIK new 52 week Hi's & chart setup beautiful Earnings catalysts coming....
TIK new 52 week highs chart setup beautiful & earnings catalyst
Wade First off you obviously did little to no DD on TIK or you would know their SG&A & R&D are basically fixed as stated in several PR's last one ( " Management believes that our profitability is expected to benefit from the increased volume leading to gross margin improvement as well as Tel’s largely fixed cost structure. For the fourth quarter, Tel anticipates revenues to exceed $5.6 million, and a return to profitability.”) so increases in Revenue drop to the bottom line, you also have your margins several basis points too low. I also noticed you dodged my question, you believe the GAAP # sending fictitious checks to the Govt more accurately portrays TIK's Qtr results rather then the cash they actually put in the bank ??? I would value a co. far less adding back one time gains then a co that will not be paying 40% taxes for the next 3 to 4 years as I know what to expect for years to come. TIK is a 18 million dollar co that will produce 50% year over year growth & put $4.5 million dollars in the bank this upcoming year & you think they are over valued here ???? ok lets just say we shall see & lets agree to disagree. GLTY & make $$$$$$$$$$$ wish you the best Pmony.
Wade the non gaap EPS is only adding back NON cash items hence the true net income, and the cash being put in the bank by TIK for the Qtr. TIK has almost 14 million in NOLS offsetting taxes for the next 3 plus years so you would rather consider GAAP numbers that have TIK sending fictitious checks to the Govt as the true honest net income number ????? Interest is not deducted & is peanuts each Qtr like 75K anyway so what other charges do you have a problem with ??? The Non-GAAP EPS number is a far more accurate portrayal of the quarterly business imo...especially when we are talking about NON cash charges.
TIK if what has been stated is true TIK will be closer to $10 imo when earnings are released in a few weeks. With that 1 million share float & upcoming yearly EPS easily over $1.20 with several years of growth to come s/b an easy $$$$ maker as I expect this microfloat to get major volume knowing the players sniffing around TIK. That said NO one ever went broke banking a profit congrats $$$$$
TIK nice vol for TIK out the gate this a.m. appears some are finding it... repost of Seeking Alpha article
http://seekingalpha.com/article/2985606-tel-instrument-over-500-percent-upside-just-to-reach-fair-value-based-on-guidance
GV Magician on The Lion was pumping GV as a Tesla charging station play....
TIK nice add still nuts at 3X's forward earnings here & cant wait to see how the stock reacts when investors actually see the results. With a tiny 1+ million share float could & should be a big move up but we shall see.... GLTA & make $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
TIK $5's once again low $4's proved to be a $$$$ maker & in a few weeks the real fun will begin....GLTA & make $$$$$$$$$$$$$$
O.T. TIK 3X's forward EPS new article out totally unknown micro float play link
http://seekingalpha.com/article/2985606-tel-instrument-over-500-percent-upside-just-to-reach-fair-value-based-on-guidance
TIK very nice read & when investors realize TIK will be a steady repeatable high profit maker, many will be kicking themselves for not buying in the $4's & $5's ... Crazy cheap valuation imo....
TIK already guided for 25% year over year increase & will be very profitable due to fixed SG&A & R&D so Rev increase falls to bottom line. BTW that 5.6 million is heavily sandbagged & will exceed $6 Million dollars imo....Also listen to last CC CEO stated he expects Rev's to hit over 7 Million a Qtr in next 6 months
Incredible really as low vol games TIK made .09 cents Non-GAAP earnings & will easily do .25 cents this 4th Qtr. Also Guy that full rate production is already 75% implemented & in April it will bump Rev's about 750K a Qtr higher. CEO also on CC stated he will preannounce in early April as he is busting to put out record Qtr. Also on CC he said revenue run rate will exceed 7 million in next 2 Qtr's. NO one realizing that TIK will have steady repeatable high profitable quarters for the next few years with these 3 large contracts implemented. My EPS model shows TIK trading at 3X's forward earnings insanity imo.... but not for long April just weeks away.
TIK on sale.. past year all buys in low to mid $4's been money makers. TIK finally gonna unleash very profitable quarters due to commercial launch completed... trading at 4X's forward EPS .... made .09 cents last quarter just nuts down here especially considering insiders own 50% of total shares out & all form 4" all buys...
TIK reported adjusted EPS of .09 cents and guided for double digit rev increase for current Qtr. Again nothing but higher more profitable Qtr's for TIK going forward.
http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20150217005301/en/Tel-Instrument-Electronics-Corp.-Reports-Quarter-FY15-Financial#.VONDHi4YGWo
TIK nervous seller before earnings Tues a.m. 40% Rev growth & a profitable quarter plus additional growth in 4th Qtr. Now that TIK is in full commercial roll out they will have steady profitable qtr's going forward
NVFY looking better still see no reason for drop from $4 still long some from $1.85....
NVFY picked up a few K starter position $1.85 not sure why or where the bottom is but see little reason to be at 52 week lows & down so much so fast....