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~~~~~COMPX 12/7/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 7188.26 +29.83
7143 SSKILLZ1
6969 TFO
I try to avoid anything with reports coming ... they just screw up the charts for a few days.
I haven't looked at an earnings calendar in years ... since I'm adding NVDA and FB to my probable-play list I decided to look and then stumbled across AVGO.
Straddle plays on earnings don't work. The hidden dragon is the premium which is at a max before earnings and then a minimum after. To straddle you pay high premium on both sides and get none back. It takes a huge gain on one side to offset.
Even if I was following AVGO I wouldn't know ... too often I have seen good reports send a stock down and vice versa. And then there's the times a bad report sends it crashing and three days later it's up.
Earnings dates definitely affect the premium and reports definitely increase volatility.
If they have only been together for a few weeks, they may work it out. Just hissing is probably a good sign.
Cats seem to be strong Alpha or Beta and two Alphas will have trouble
There's a TV show "My cats from hell" by Jackson Galaxy, a cat whisperer. I used to watch it, I think he has advice on the subject.
I think a definite yes ... NVDA is ranking at the top of my analysis based on daily range and return. That statement also holds true on the monthly's
NE to win and CIN to lose
Thanks
Just noticed AVGO reports earnings tomorrow after the bell
Is NVDA on your playlist?
Looking at last 20 yrs ... those big range days seem to precede a bottom and follow a top ... so here's hoping it's leading into a bottom. I've never really been bearish but the timing fits on the wave theory
No I didn't notice ... Did they have some good PR coming in after hours?
BIDU has been cut from my option watch list ... just a little too low on volume for my purpose. I'm weeks away from paper trading, I'm still studying 6 options, NVDA may be best ... if you want I'll share my conclusions, which are now delayed an extra week due to GWHB passing.
ALways showing off! You remember stuff ... I can't even remember when I lost my memory.
~~~~~COMPX 12/6/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 7158.43 -283.09
7099 SSKILLZ1
6969 TFO
~~~~~COMPX 12/4/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 7441.51 +110.98
7478 TFO
7399 SSKILLZ1
~~~~~COMPX 12/3/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 7330.54 +57.45
7420 TFO
7277 SSKILLZ1
Ten to win Oak to lose
Thanks
Previous Close 7273.08 -18.51
7325 BullNBear52
7225 SSKILLZ1
7200 TFO
He made a good point ... actually 2.95 good points!
~~~~~COMPX 11/29/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 7291.59 +208.89
7225 SSKILLZ1
7200 TFO
~~~~~COMPX 11/28/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 7082.70 +0.85
7033 TFO
6999 SSKILLZ1
~~~~~COMPX 11/27/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 7081.85 +142.87
6999 SSKILLZ1
6950 TFO
One of the things I've missed for 2 years was an excuse to use the word Fibonacci!
Interesting fan ... If it was a crystal ball I was looking at I'd be reading 6600 for the Naz on or around Jan 15.
Some time around then the fib fan, my ADX target, an open gap and support from the Oct 29 low will intersect.
~~~~~COMPX 11/26/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 6938.98 -33.27
6868 TFO
6887 SSKILLZ1
History repeats itself ... got my first wag right when I started with you ... and then I think I sucked for weeks. Good to be back
Time is money ...
I need to collect more data on QQQ and BIDU but my analysis says VXX options will cost you ...
Mon - 70%
Tues - 65%
Wed - 50%
Fri - 20%
Percentages being based on the "first in the money"call or put and represents the portion of option cost (or portion of each dollar you invest). It goes fast on the weeklys so if you go in on Mon you better be out by Tues.
I don't plan to hold overnight so the premium will be just a little lower upon exit on whatever day ... but you don't earn profit on the premium portion of the price ...
i.e. If you pay $1.00 for an option and 70 cents is premium ... if the price rises by $.50 you only gain $.15 per share or a 15% gain on each dollar you invest.
If it was only a 20% premium and the price goes up $.50 you would gain $.40 per share or a 40% gain
Weekly's are for daytraders and scalpers ... not to be held overnight
Check your email again ... for something sent at 2:11 today
the email at yahoo account
So the longer plays are your bailiwick!
The slow ema's are good for the long trader.
AVGO options moved over a $5 range today which is two legs. That offers a huge % gain but downside on a quick look is not exciting volume
I haven't funded my account yet .. it's killing me but I need to be patient. I intend to spend another week or two checking my signals and analyzing the options. I'll share my conclusions.
Killing me because my overnight read for the QQQ was a 159.50 close. I'd have had an easy two bagger on a 2 hour play.
It was my Thankful note .. you replied so I think I got it right.
To me options is a percentage game. I'll take a quick look today AVGO and let you know what I see.
By percentage game I mean it two ways mainly the percentage you gain off of the dollar you invest you also have to be right better than 66% of the time
~~~~~COMPX 11/23/2018~~~~~~~
Previous Close 6972.25 +63.43
6932 TFO
6901 SSKILLZ1
Howdy gents ...
Call me an addict, after 2 years of ignoring the market it looks like I've fallen off the wagon. I googled 12 step for daytraders but no luck!
250/400 is just too slow. I find the 50/200 better for my purposes and use wave periods of 36/144 as an early alert.
I say go with your bailiwick ... I have a good knack for seeing the intraday moves. While I'm tracking BIDU and a couple of others I'm pretty sure I'll trade the QQQ or VXX.
Yeah I'm a pussy. The indexes are like mutual funds. And index intraday plays are less often affected by earnings or upgrades/downgrades cause those are either pre-market or after the close.
Check your email