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apparently you have to open the ensemble tab and click
GEFS or GEPS
its not letting me copy paste the link correctly
... hmm
test
GEFS https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017072206&fh=-12&xpos=0&ypos=61
GEPS https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem-ens®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017072200&fh=84&xpos=0&ypos=59
daily candlestick pattern says hang with it until it produces an apposing pattern
https://www.americanbulls.com/SignalPage.aspx?lang=en&Ticker=dGAZ
obviously you can dial it in more with min charts
this real estate has been in the wash since 6-5-17...
so... for what it's worth
Spot$-.07 @3.03 Aug Sep Oct all printing under Spot$...
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts
seems the contracts are pricing in a lower spot$ to come
I'm holding the weekend short
GEPS http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem-ens®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017072112&fh=-6&xpos=0&ypos=202.5
GEFS http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017072112&fh=336&xpos=0&ypos=202.5
remember: hack the date in the url to 22 tomorrow and so on...
http: //www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017072212&fh=336&xpos=0&ypos=202.5
just placed a ridiculous order to sell a few D priced to fill at /ngU7 lower 15min Bband
26.57
don't really want it to fill until I see what spot did
just may cancel that
I need to see what spot is doing... after hrs
but I'd sure like to take gains here at last thursday's report support
been saying over supplied... short strength for a while now
wish I could time my entries better
wish I could play my conviction when necessary...
hold short the weekend or not
yep itsalljunk! Looks like excessive volume @/ng futures close
trying to hang on to this short horse...boots/spurs/kick dgaz
chuckle...yeah type A personalities are great for planing itineraries...
but ya gotta watch out for the whip...
mush!
HH/spot$ WhateverYouWantToCallIt unchanged "yesterday" @3.10 #msg-133174115
need to see HH down some this evening... to stay comfortably short
otherwise this thing will probably snap back up there like a rubber band
hack the dates to those url addresses to see the latest forecast run
like so...
http:// www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017072012&fh=336&xpos=0&ypos=202.5
http:// www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens®ion=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017072112&fh=336&xpos=0&ypos=202.5
interesting HH no change. AGT Citygate -0.62...
sept tagged 3.10and fell as low as 3.008
so that was a dime swing and spot is still 3.10 hmmm
some light reading...
Questions Precede OFS, E&P Quarterly Earnings on Stagnant Prices, Rising DUC Inventories
Carolyn Davis July 20, 2017
http://www.naturalgasintel.com/articles/111154-questions-precede-ofs-ep-quarterly-earnings-on-stagnant-prices-rising-duc-inventories
undeniable spot lead the contracts up this last leg with the sept contract seemingly tagging along because it must
I don't believe the contracts believe a summer rally will happen
else they would have lead spot up by +.20 a day and ya'll would have made it to 3.30 today
Sept has been printing under spot for sometime
/ng temporarily hijacked by spot?
like it or not I think we're trading HH in the dark
wonder what spot is doing today
weather
http://www.celsiusenergy.net/p/weather-data.html#box10
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem-ens®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017072000&fh=390&xpos=0&ypos=113.75
Spot chart https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00&domain=futurespros&display_ice=1&enabled_ice_exchanges=&sym=NGY00&width=550&tblwidth=550&studies=Volume%3B&cancelstudy=&density=H
why wait till monday
1min OBV started dumping @:29 after... daily OpenInterest...
...still falling
currently
...like to see spot take a 3 day respite.
don't4getputputgolf was ready to hit it @d22.63...
or lower but
looks like I'll have to wait until after the report tomorrow
when a staged rally tries
would like to see sept reject tomorrows report of last weeks numbers
at the mercy of HH
/ngU7 3.09 3.10 & 3.114 drawing alerts
see how it goes
September's perspective on our dawg spot's direction looks distrusting...
throw a 3.09 spot line on that chart
The September contract seems to be reluctantly tagging along
it is... what it is... printing under spot
Bulls should be pissed... where are the .20 leads over and ahead of spot
/ng pegged to spot$ up .07 @3.09
you caught that... right? BOLD
it is... what it is
spot in the high & tight range @3.02...
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00&domain=futurespros&display_ice=1&enabled_ice_exchanges=&sym=NGY00&width=550&tblwidth=550&studies=Volume%3B&cancelstudy=&density=H
would love to see the "sept" /ngU7 4hr 3.027 doji challenge fail #msg-133056036
kinda want to see /ng 2.88
but if I wake up waiting for it and see dgaz 30
would be okay too and I'd have a great 1st cup of coffee morning
cmon gaz rip it the other direction
otherwise it might be a long wait for 2.88
my /ng 3.05 drawing alert hasn't sounded.... yet
but really watching Sep
good morning, light volume... also Sep /ngU7 is
flirting with the 3.027 4hr doji
ugaz/dgaz is ticking 100% on the Sep contract print
/ngU7 3.10 if it beaks loose
I added a tad more D... 24.18 avg
waiting till after hrs to see what spot did
something to think about:
if spot is down .08-.09 today... then /ng has already printed +/-.20 over spot for the day
but /ng should respond sometime today before the close if this is true.
The reason I mention this is because it recently happened.
fwiw
3.03 is .10 over last reported spot$...
wonder what spot is doing today
ty you have a safe trip and have fun
/ng cash mid stroke, weather wavers...
imvho /ng market is oversupplied vs weak weather
HH, cash, spot$, @2.93 is in mid stroke of the 2.85-3.00 tight range
all hell is breaking loose if it breaks 2.81-2.84
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00&domain=futurespros&display_ice=1&enabled_ice_exchanges=&sym=NGY00&width=550&tblwidth=550&studies=Volume%3B&cancelstudy=&density=H
/ng implied volatility rising
speculation ahead of current weather can drive /ng .20+ above spot$
but it hasn't... when it could
I would be very surprised to see 3.05 anytime soon 3.12 tops
lower highs lower lows?
my concern is yours might be pinned to a forecast run from the 7th
thinking that link I posted will always be pinned to the 14th forecast run
I'm thinking the forecast will never change unless I hack the date in the url address line
I don't really know...
just concerned the latest forecast about widespread cool next week isn't as pronounced with the 14th run
the 14th run shows some cool but not like the 7th run
not really sure but...
/ng will need an incredibly high burn rate to spark a summer rally over supply
we are not seeing negative number inventory reports...
-100b... -230b... etc
at best
the summer rally is late
over supplied
4 weeks at 110 in the forecast would spark spot... lol
gas hasn't been printing .20 over last reported spot during a time it could