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The price has fallen not gone up...there must not be anything exceptional to leak.
Thats a fact. Hard to argue with facts Grem,
Wheres a link saying they have or will spend 30 million?
The price has fallen not gone up...there must not be anything exceptional to leak.
Actually given the Sp decline it looks as though Kenya is a bust and they wont drill. If the data was good we would have gone UP, NOT down.
OR
No one has leaked a single detail from all the data collected months ago and that scenario isn't very likely, this has the same mo as Sinopec and the silence is loud.
The single word "encouraging" isn't reassuring to anyone.
jmho
Peter prove me wrong please, publish the truth!
Public relations has its hands tied, thats one reason we are at 5 cents, the other is we a debt heavy,unproven asset penny stock in a socially risky area and industry. SSC is correct also. Enuf said. We need OIL & GAS Peter! Cash flow would nice. Hurry up!
Anticipation of drilling can raise the SP but they need PR that can work openly. They should control Chad and stop taking other operators in, as it limits control, communication and timely news releases. Print the money or call Emeka.
Peter is a truly remarkable kind of guy.
btw camac bailed on block 11a thats how we got the left overs.
Please recall CEPSA does not like to be rushed. That was their primary reason for leaving Swala. In my inquiries a 6 month window was MINIMUM to decide how to proceed after seismic. This seismic data area is also huge and could contain 3 different basins at least. So, IMO its a complicated large NEW area that requires some deep thought and processing.
I think in 2 or 3 months they will announce to drill one well and do 3d in a few other areas. This current news release is just restating the FACTS and officially announcing phase 2 is underway. CEPSA sets the timelines IMO. If the data looks really good we will hear more very soon. News will be approved by or come from CEPSA, imo.
Given the political, medical and social unrest in the area combined with major cash outlay from CEPSA will take time. It is possible they sell the whole block as well, as hot as things are Tullow/Africa Oil may just buy us out/farm in etc... anything is possible at this point. The data is either very valuable or uneventful, we will be the last to know. Given the current stock price the data is not pointing to any life changing petroleum finds at this time or is imcomplete.
"it means they haven't studied the 2D enough to conclude one way or the other."
Under the second phase of exploration, which lasts a further two years from the end of the first phase, CEPSA Kenya Limited (a wholly owned affiliate of Compañía Española de Petróleos, S.A.U. (CEPSA)) and ERHC are required to either acquire 3D seismic or proceed directly to drilling one exploration well during the additional two-year exploration period.
Kenya says oil deposits could hit 1 bln barrels
Posted on 20 September 2014.
NAIROBI, Sept. 19 (Xinhua) — Kenya’s recoverable oil reserves in the country’s tertiary rift basin is likely to exceed one billion barrels, the ministry of energy and petroleum said on Friday.
Cabinet Secretary for Energy and Petroleum David Chirchir said the four recently discovered oil wells that were drilled by Tullow Kenya in the Lokichar sub-basin have raised the country’s recoverable oil reserves from 300 million barrels to 600 million.
“However, with further appraisal drilling which is currently on- going, the recoverable reserves are likely to be in excess of billion barrels in the Tertiary Rift Basin alone,” Chirchir said in a statement issued in Nairobi.
“These positive developments indicate that Kenya could become a significant oil producer,” Chirchir said.
“In readiness for the commercialization of the oil, the ministry is fast tracking the construction of the Uganda-Kenya oil crude pipeline,” the official said.
He noted the construction of a new Nairobi to Mombasa oil pipeline will be completed in the next 18 months.
The East African nation has already made a gas discovery in the Anza Basin in northwest Kenya that is capable of producing approximately one trillion cubic feet of gas.
Chirchir said Kenya is seeking to enhance and diversify national power generation by identifying new supply sources.
“The government plans to expand electricity production capacity to ten gigawatts by 2024 and eventual to 25 gigawatts by 2030,” he said.
Principal Secretary for Energy and Petroleum Joseph Njoroge said the rural electrification program will be funded by the sale of state energy assets.
“We intend to reach every village through small renewable energy projects such as solar panels and wind turbines,” he said, adding the government is encouraging Public Private Partnership projects in order to plug the energy deficiency.
2 Kenyan Oil Explorers With Big Short-Term Potential
Posted on 16 September 2014.
The Kenyan nation clarion call “Harambee” (let’s work together) inspires two Canadian explorers in their search for black gold.
Africa Oil Corp. has made 8 oil discoveries to-date in Kenya’s Lokichar basin.
Africa Oil’s share price is hovering at 18-month lows, despite adding 4 more discoveries in 2014.
Not only is the oil they have discovered not reflected in the share price, but they have 13 other basins to explore in the next 18 months.
Taipan Resources attempts to emulate Africa Oil Corp.’s success when it spuds its 3 well programme in December – both companies have short-term catalysts.
When the American industrialist Jean Paul Getty was asked how to succeed in business he replied,
“Formula for success: rise early, work hard, strike oil”
Oil exploration in frontier regions such as Kenya is a risky business. The attraction of risk reward skew attracts speculative investors to the proposition. I will take a look at two Kenyan based explorers at different stages in the exploration-development cycle and their potential for 100% short-term upside in the coming three months.
Lundin family-backed Africa Oil Corp. (OTCPK:OTCPK:AOIFF, AOI.TO, share price $5.55) is a $1.7 billion market capped (OTCPK:MCAP) company with 8 discoveries in Kenya’s Lokichar basin totalling an estimated net 231mmbbl (600mmbbl gross) 2C resources. The ‘C’ stands for contingent. The 231mmbbl estimate has been touted around for a year now, and 2014 has seen 4 additional discoveries. Indeed recent ‘Amosing’ and ‘Ngamia’ appraisal wells still have not found ‘oil-water contact’ (or the edge of the field). And what has happened the share price over the summer? It has fallen to 18-month lows to an unfathomable $5.55, CAD$6.14, as at close of business last Friday. It’s as if the 2014 discoveries have never happened.
Some say that the share price decline is due to the Eastern side of the Lokichar basin not having flow rates as good as forecast but the Ngamia-Amosing discoveries on the Western flank more than makes up for this.
http://seekingalpha.com/
Also, Otto ask for halt .New Focus on Eat Africa
http://oilnewskenya.com/2014/09/22/otto-energy-divests-in-its-galoc-oilfield-to-focus-more-on-east-africa-exploration/
Otto joins swala
The proposed pipeline runs right to all the 13T Tullow finds, I guess its not too late to move the pipeline to where our oil wells will be :) Just saying. Is that optimistic enough?
We need some really major good news to wake this stock up! Bring it on!
Nice summary , thanks "Manuel"
Nice find, Wonder which neighboring basin they are referring to?
Tullow, which has interests in five blocks in Kenya, said last month that “successful results” from appraisals in two onshore blocks, 10BB and 13T, reinforces the London-based company’s belief that the northwestern South Lokichar Basin holds considerable potential. Neighboring basins may have similar promise, it said.
Last July, Beijing invited Sa~o Tome´ to participate as an observer in the 4th Ministerial Conference of the Forum Macao. In early October, Sa~o Tome´’s National Oil Agency (ANP) signed a product-sharing contract (PSC) for Block 2 of its EEZ with the Hong Kong-registered private oil company Sinoangol. Sinoangol, established in 2010 by the Portugal-based Chinese businessman Zhan Yongqiao, was awarded the block after direct negotiations with the company that started in April 2013. Under the agreement, over a period of eight years Sinoangol will invest US$ 154 million in seismic studies, environmental studies and exploratory drillings.
http://www.eurasiareview.com/21022014-sa%CC%83o-tome-simultaneously-strengthens-relations-taipei-re-establishes-commercial-ties-beijing-analysis/
Got to love the optism...
JDZ aims for
production in 18
months
The Joint Development Zone (JDZ)
between Sao Tome and Principe (STP)
and Nigeria may see oil and gas
production within 18 months according
to the Joint Development Authority
(JDA) in a statement. The statement,
signed by JDA President Arzemiro do
Prazeres and executive directors Luis
Prazeres and Kashim Tumsah said,
?Important decisions were made such as
approving new technology for surveying
and production of oil and gas in Block 1
that will allow production to begin within
an 18-month period.? It was also reported
in the statement that the JDA has
approved a review of the legal
framework for the JDZ, ?to attract new
investors and re-launch operations in the
area.?
PETROLEUM AFRICA, April 3,
2014
I'd still like a professional geological explanation as to where the 14 billion barrels in the JDZ went. Why did they think there was so much oil? What was learned, discovered? Why they didnt they drill deeper in at least one location.
http://www.pgs.com/Geophysical-Services/Technical_Library/Acquisition/West_African_Prospectivity/
"We were impressed with Bridgeporth's work in the early stages of ERHC's oil and gas exploration work program in Kenya and we are happy to bring them onboard for our program in Chad," said ERHC President and CEO Peter Ntephe. "As we saw firsthand in Kenya, we expect this gravity/magnetic data will enable the exploration team in Chad identify the most prospective areas for acquisition of 2D seismic data, which is the next step in the work program."
http://agriculture.einnews.com/article/207061558/3KcUThJaBwER7-TJ
Chad
Total resumes $2.5 bln Nigerian deepwater oil field sale
http://sunnewsonline.com/new/?p=82009
SAD JDZ COMPLETE SUMMARY 1 YEAR AGO- http://www.ipris.org/php/download.php?fid=777
Only 9 years ago the HEADLINES were awesome.
http://www.chron.com/business/energy/article/Tiny-Houston-firm-strikes-gold-in-huge-oil-deal-1934213.php
Our job is to throw down cash then wait, trust, hope and pray.
Cant find any news on 11B either. I look almost everyday. It takes months to review and decipher the seismic data...they dont make decisions on the first print out...it take studying and time, lots of it sometimes...
So we wait:
for the Kenyan government's approval
for the JDA to wake up and push the JDZ oil studies. Drill deeper!
for the EEZ to become hot by someone else finding oil close by
for Chad to become a reality.
Speaking of deadlines, What is Sao Tome and Nigeria and JDA doing about Sinopec? Wasnt their deadline 3+ years ago?
Kenya
In March 2014 the Company's subsidiary company Swala Energy (Kenya) Limited signed a binding farm-out agreement for a 25% working interest in Block 12B in Kenya with CEPSA Kenya Limited, an affiliate of Compañía Española de Petróleos, S.A.U. ("CEPSA"). Under the farm-out agreement, CEPSA committed to immediately pay Swala's past costs capped at US$500,000 and to pay all of Swala's costs associated with the planned 2014 350 kilometre (km) 2D seismic survey capped at US$2.7 million. Subject to certain additional conditions, CEPSA also agreed to pay all of Swala's costs associated with the drilling of up to two exploration wells, each capped at US$7.5 million (net to Swala's working interest). In April 2014 the joint venture commenced its 2D seismic acquisition programme ("Programme") in Block 12B. The survey acquired some 350km of 2D seismic data and ended in late June 2014. The initial results based on preliminary processed data indicated the presence of large-scale faulted structures across the entire basin, together with the presence of shallow volcanics, a feature of the East African Rift System. Initial results, supported by the Company's earlier reinterpretation of available legacy data, suggested a Neogene basin with approximately 3,000 metres of sedimentary fill.
http://www.4-traders.com/news/Swala-Energy-Interim-Financial-Report-For-The-Half-Year-Ended-30-June-2014--19032231/
ERHC is expecting a buy-out offer north of one dollar a share soon.
Perhaps if we all keep saying it everyday it will become true. This strategy seems to work for some. buyout! #erhcbuyout lol
Bring on the buy out!
http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/kenya/new-160485
Remember CEPSA is holding the best cards and checkbook.
It can easily take 6 months to decide what to do with Seismic data, especially when working on virgin outback, wildcat, international deals, while we dont like what the fickle market is doing...
...we have one choice..... as usual WE WAIT !
They(cepsa) have lots of time to drill. What is it 18 months?
CALGARY, Sep. 5, 2014 (Canada NewsWire via COMTEX) -- Oando Energy Resources Inc. ("OER" or the "Company") (OER), a company focused on oil and gas exploration and production in Nigeria, today announced that a wholly-owned subsidiary of Oando PLC, has filed a Form 45-102F1 on SEDAR as Project No. 2257775 to provide the required notice of its intention to sell up to 60,000,000 common shares of OER ("OER Shares") through the facilities of the Toronto Stock Exchange. The Company has been informed by Oando PLC that the proposed sales are intended to encourage market liquidity.
OER has been informed by Oando PLC that, including the securities held by the above-mentioned subsidiary, it currently has direct and indirect ownership of 746,107,838 OER Shares, representing approximately 93.8% of the currently outstanding OER Shares. Assuming exercise of the 216,282,884 common share purchase warrants issued to Oando PLC on February 26, 2014 (the "February Warrants"), the 75,037,928 common share purchase warrants issued to Oando PLC's subsidiary on July 9, 2014 (the "July Warrants") and the 34,072,057 common share purchase warrants issued to Oando PLC on August 20, 2014 (the "August Warrants"), Oando PLC would beneficially own and exercise control over 1,071,500,707 OER Shares, representing approximately 95.6% of the issued and outstanding OER Shares following such exercise; however, under the terms of the February Warrants, July Warrants and August Warrants, Oando PLC is restricted from exercising any February Warrants, July Warrants and August Warrants to the extent that such conversion would result in its direct and indirect ownership of OER exceeding 94.6%.
Well as usual they dont give any more information other than the bare minimum. Im sure they are waiting on the Operator to make decisions and hopefully are gathered around the table right now.
Surely they will update us soon with near term intentions/outlook/plans. It is CPESA we are waiting on, I hope they can understand Dr Thuo...lol
News today would be nice. Been waiting 15 years now... so whats another year or 2.
CEPSA acquires 55% of an exploration block in Kenya
(Only 2 more years till time runs out)
This transaction is another step in the expansion of the Exploration and Production Company. CEPSA takes over operation of the block
This transaction is another step in the expansion of the Exploration and Production Company
CEPSA takes over operation of the block
CEPSA has acquired 55% stake in block exploration onshore in the Turkana region in northwestern Kenya. This is the Block 11A, which the Company assumes the role of operator. The company ERHC based in the United States and the national oil company of Kenya (NOCK) the remaining interest will be distributed with 35% and 10% respectively.
CEPSA acquires 55% of an exploration block in Kenya
The agreement, reached after received all necessary approvals from the authorities in Kenya, involves participating in the acquisition of 1,000 kilometers of 2D seismic during the year. Based on the information obtained, CEPSA will continue exploratory work under the commitment to acquire additional seismic or drilling a first well before September 2016.
This acquisition, which is part of the expansion and diversification of the exploration portfolio of CEPSA, marks the entry of the Exploration and Production in East Africa.
http://www.cepsa.com/cepsa/Quienes_somos/Centro_de_Prensa_/Notas_de_Prensa/CEPSA_adquiere_el_55__de_un_bloque_exploratorio_en_Kenia
Tullow reports exploration, appraisal activity onshore Kenya
HOUSTON, Sept. 3
09/03/2014
By OGJ editors
Tullow Oil PLC, London, reported recent exploration and appraisal results from Blocks 10BB and 13T onshore Kenya.
The Etom-1 exploratory well on Block 13T in the South Lokichar basin, some 6.5 km north of the Agete-1 discovery (OGJ Online, Nov. 22, 2013), was drilled to 2,000 m and encountered 10 m of net oil pay. A 3D seismic survey has been extended to cover a further 247 sq km, and the Weatherford 804 rig will drill the Kodos-1 in the neighboring Kerio basin.
The Amosing-2 well on Block 10BB, the first appraisal well in Amosing field, was drilled from the Amosing-1 (OGJ Online, Mar. 28, 2014) well pad. Tullow said it deviated 1,350 m northeast and downdip from the discovery well and encountered up to 30 m of net oil pay.
The well was sidetracked back to 400 m from the discovery well to provide additional insight into reservoir distribution. The 2A sidetrack encountered as much as 90 m of net oil pay. The Sakson PR5 rig drilled Amosing-2 to 2,878 m and Amosing-2A to 2,165 m. The rig will next explore the southern extent of the South Lokichar basin with the Ekosowan-1 well, 11.9 km southeast of Amosing-1.
“Etom-1 has successfully extended the South Lokichar rift bounding fault play northwards and we look forward to testing the southern area of the basin with Ekosowan-1,” said Angus McCoss, exploration director.
In addition, Tullow said the Ngamia-3 well on Block 10BB was drilled 1.6 km north of the Ngamia-1 discovery (OGJ Online, Apr. 15, 2013) and encountered 150 m of net oil pay. The Marriott PR-46 drilled Ngamia-3 to 2,700 m. The rig will drill the Ngamia-4 and Ngamia-5 wells.
Also, the SMP-5 testing/workover rig completed testing of the Ewoi-1 well (OGJ Online, Dec. 9, 2013), with flow rates of 50 b/d. The rig is now testing the Twiga South-2A appraisal well.
Tullow, the operator, has 50% and Africa Oil Corp. has 50%.
Yes, it can take significant time to interpret and agree on this massive amount of data, they have covered a large area. CEPSA doesnt like to rush either. Its a mimimum 6 month decision process. They may still update findings though, I wish they would throw us a bone. The dogs getting thin.
Market Volume indicates bad news imo.
These are big oil wells!
Africa Oil Corp. Updates on Drilling at its Kenya and Ethiopia Blocks
by Africa Oil Corp.|Press Release|Friday, August 29, 2014
Canada's Africa Oil Corp. (Africa Oil or the Company) provided an update Thursday on its operations in Kenya and Ethiopia.
The Etom-1 well in the Lokichar Basin on Block 13T (Kenya) has reached a total depth of 6,561 feet (2,000 meters) and has discovered oil in the primary Auwerwer and Upper Lokhone target formations. The well encountered a range of between 16 and 65 feet (5 and 20 meters) of potential net pay sands based on wireline logging and drilling data. Oil has been recovered in MDT sample chambers which appears to be of similar quality to the oil found in the discoveries to the south. There is an additional 1,312 feet (400 meters) of porous sands in the Auwerwer and Lokhone Formations which also confirms the extension of thick reservoir sections into the northern portion of the basin. Oil and gas shows were noted throughout during drilling of the well confirming the extension of the petroleum system to the northern portion of the basin. Based on these positive drilling results, the partnership has agreed to extend the current 3D seismic survey over the northern portion of the basin where several additional large prospects have been identified by 2D seismic. The well has been suspended for potential future drill stem testing. Africa Oil holds a 50 percent working interest in this block, which is operated by Tullow Oil plc (Tullow) which holds the remaining 50 percent interest.
Drilling on the Ngamia-3 and Amosing 2/2A appraisal wells also in the Lokichar Basin on Block 10BB (Kenya) has also been completed. The results of these wells appear to confirm the thickness and lateral extent of the Auwerwer sands at both locations and also has extended the known oil column significantly downdip which will extend the proven field areas. The range of thickness of Auwerwer reservoir quality sands in all 6 penetrations of these 2 structures is between 479 and 721 feet (146 and 220 meters) and the sands appear consistent over the field areas. Net pay was encountered over multiple reservoir zones over a gross interval ranging from 1,640 to 4,921 feet (500 to 1500 meters). Pressure data seems to indicate that there could be pressure communication between many of these reservoirs. The upcoming extended well test programs on both of these fields will be designed to evaluate reservoir connectivity and help constrain estimates of flow rates and recovery factors for field development planning which are expected to commence early in 2015. Africa Oil holds a 50 percent working interest in this block, which is operated by Tullow which holds the remaining 50 percent interest.
Well testing has been completed on the previously announced Ewoi discovery on the eastern flank of the Lokichar Basin in Block 10BB (Kenya). The main zone of interest tested approximately 50 barrels of oil per day from the lower Lokhone sands which were relatively thin and of moderate reservoir quality. Data from the well may suggest that the wellbore may have been located in a downdip position and the Company is considering updip appraisal opportunities on this structure. The lightweight rig is currently testing the Twiga-2A appraisal well where two to three tests are planned.
The Company plans to move the 2 rigs that are completing drilling operations on the Etom and Amosing locations to the Kodos and Ekosowan locations and both are expected to spud in September. The Kodos well is the first well to be drilled in the highly prospective Central Kerio basin in Kenya Block 10BB and will target a 3 way dip closed feature against the main basin bounding fault similar to the Ngamia/Amosing/Twiga trend in the Lokichar Basin. The Ekosowan well is located on the western ‘string of pearl’ prospects in the Lokichar basin and is directly south of the Ngamia and Amosing fields which have demonstrated the thickest net pay and reservoir in the basin. Both wells are expected to be completed in the fourth quarter. Two additional new basin opening wells are planned to spud before the end of the year in the North Kerio Basin (Epir-1) and the North Turkana Basin in Block 10 BA (Engomo-1).
The Company has also spud an appraisal well on the previously announced Sala gas discovery in Block 9 onshore Kenya. The Sala-1 drilled a large 31 square mile (80 square kilometer) anticlinal feature along the northern basin bounding fault in the Cretaceous Anza graben and encountered several sandstone intervals which had oil and gas shows. An upper gas bearing interval tested dry gas at a maximum rate of 6 MMcf/d from an 82 foot (25 meter) net pay interval. The Sala-2 appraisal well is designed to test the updip extent of this main reservoir sand. A lower interval at Sala-1 also tested gas at low rates of dry gas from a 164 foot (50 meter) potential net pay interval and will also be accessed at this up-dip location. Africa Oil is the Operator of Block 9 with a 50 percent working interest. Marathon Oil Kenya Limited B.V. has the remaining 50 percent interest.
Change in Kenya tax laws good for extractive sector
JUNE 18, 2014 BY SAMUEL KAMAU MBOTE
2
Kenya’s move to replace withholding tax with income tax on assignment of rights targeting the extractive industry has received praise from tax experts who say this move will encourage farm-outs especially ahead of the country’s planned oil production.
“To streamline industry’s tax regime, I have proposed to replace the current withholding tax with income tax on assignment of rights, (farm-outs) based on net gain in line with international practice. This will address the inherent challenges and promote mining, gas as well as oil exploration and extraction operations,” finance cabinet secretary Henry Rotich said during the budget speech.
According to tax expert Group Chief Executive at RSM Ashvir Ashiff Kassam this move will go a long way in encouraging foreign investors into the country as the use of income tax will see companies pay tax on their net gains unlike before where tax was based on the entire sale.
“Starting now companies who farm-out can pay tax based on their net profit which is the common practice internationally. This is particularly important as mining and exploration activities are in top gear in the country,” Kassam told OilNews Kenya.
This is particularly important as companies such as Tullow Oil and Africa Oil, which have already discovered oil in Turkana, plan oil production with the two lacking the financial capabilities to go it alone meaning there could be a few farm-outs soon similar to the situation in Uganda to CNOOC and Total in the Albertine basin.
“This move is not focused on the oil and gas sector alone, it is generally good for business for anyone in the extractive industry,” he added.
A number of farm-outs have already occurred in Kenya with a number expected in the coming months including one by Far Limited and Rift Energy.
Initial 2D seismic on Kenya’s block L19 encouraging – Rift Energy
SEPTEMBER 1, 2014
Rift energy has said the initial exploration program on block L19 have been very encouraging and confirm that it is a viable project.
According to the latest investor update Rift energy says it has identified multiple drillable structures with data from the seismic confirming the company’s original total recoverable potential in the range of a billion barrels of oil / trillion cubic feet of natural recoverable reserve gas.
Rift says the complete results of the 724 line KM 2D Seismic Survey that was completed in June 2014 will be out by year end.
The 2D seismic currently under processing and interpretation will be combined with the results of the AGM and the Geochemical Survey to identify possible drilling locations.
A Geochemical Survey completed in late 2013 resulted in indications of hydrocarbon microseepages at various areas of interest with a total of 640 samples collected across structures of interest.
The 2D seismic will also help in better interpreting a number of geochemical anomalies were detected in the geochemical survey.
To date only a single well has been drilled on the block which reached 1540 meters. Analysis at a lab in Houston confirmed presence of oil in the core samples collected from the Ria Kalui well in 2013.
“Our work on Block L19 in Kenya continues to yield positive results and our business development pipeline remains strong as we look for significant assets to add to our project portfolio,” says president and CEO Fred B. Zaziski.
Much safer to stick with Texas oil..;)
Whoever is slapping the ask... thank you! "Keep slappin"
We are all tired, its been the wrong bet, but we all wont fold. Its going to take some time for CEPSA and others to process and agree on data and hot spots to either take more pictures or where to drill exactly. This decision process can take months in my opinion. You know, just to get infrastructure in the outback will take some time as well. Lots of politics too.
Just imagine they start drilling in 9 months, can't you see about a dozen of us Ihub guys standing over the drill shaft saying hurry up drill faster! bugging the crap out of the drill team. lol Maybe we should go ahead and charter a airplane to NW Kenya, wheres the nearest airport? Anyone got a jet?