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Whoops, makd that a little over 7 weeks for an earnings announcement.
After a big movement the stock seems to lose half of what it gained before it moves up again, if this trend continues it will just take longer to reach $100, we have a little over 3 weeks before 1st quarter earnings are released, until then the stock price should continue to creep up, then watch out, another earnings surprise and the stock price will soar.
You and I have talked about hitting $100 by years end and it is quite possible, we could hit $75 by next earnings report and if it exceeds expectations we are on the way to $100 perhaps before years end!!!
$100 by the end of the year is realistic, however if earnings keep surprising to the upside then we will exceed $100, this could be one of the best growth stocks of all time!
An 11% increase over 4 1/2 mos is 30% per year, where can you make that kind of return on your money, the only place I can think of is with Facebook stock.
We are 1/2 way through 1st qtr earnings and from all indications earnings will surprise again, analysts are predicting $.22, I see $.25 which should keep the stock price moving up, e.p.s. for the same period a year ago were $$.12 so we are looking at a 100% increase, obviously e.p.s. cannot continue to increase 100% throughout the year but I will settle for 30% increases after the first quarter, in my opinion stock price will exceed $75 by the middle of the year, comments?
we need to form a base here, some sideway action before the next move up to $70, past history always showed this was the healthy way to keep advancing.
Anyone think there will be bullish news at this conference?
The consensus of analysts are predicting $.22 e.p.s. in the 1st qtr, 2014, seeing how f.b. likes to surprise I am looking at $.25 same as they earned in the 3rd qtr of last year, I am also looking at $1.26 for the year 2014, the consensus is $1.13, with this rate of growth the stock should be selling at $75 very soon, and with good news concerning an acquisition or any other kind of positive development which will increase earnings even more we will be getting close to $100 stock price, all in my opinion.
Just got back from vacation, while I was away the stock price jumped 10 points, perhaps I should go on another vacation
anyone else agreeing with my projection of $.38 for the 4th qtr?
To estimate $.21 for the 4th qtr is a big joke, e.p.s. for the 3rd qtr was $.25, I am predicting $.38 for the 4th qtr and it could come in higher with another big surprise
Stock price is not reflecting a great earnings report, plenty of room for the price to accelerate up on Jan 28, about 3 weeks from today.
Stock price is not reflecting a great earnings report, plenty of room for the price to accelerate up on Jan 28, about 3 weeks from today.
Investors are afraid stock price will run up after earning release and it may be too late at that point to buy, so I am looking for it to get to $60 before earnings release.
it appears Wall Street is skeptical about Facebook's last two earnings and we need one more earnings surprise to get the stock price much higher, it will come in February with the announcement of 4th qtr earnings!, along with positive predictions for the coming year
It certainly is but what is happening, huge buying volume, any news?
anyone know what is going on, stock price is advancing.
I am thinking about Gary all the time, his posts are magnificent and I pray for him, Joel
blast off will come on earnings release, be patient!
I believe Brian Novack mentioned video adds will be sold for 2.5M per 30 second ad, is that correct?
A home run in earnings this qtr will not get us to $100 yet, it will take one more good earnings report.
I think the stock will inch up past $55 and get to $60 before earnings in February, then when another earnings surprise is announced it will shortly thereafter go to $75, then on to $100 by April when 1st qtr e.p.s. is released, anyone second this?
up nicely in after hour trading, hoping to go over $55 next week and on to $60.
must have been some big purchases also, $50.25 in a.h.
If Wall Street takes the time to calculate how good 4th qtr earnings are going to be we will see a much higher stock price, Mark & Sheryl surprised everyone with 2nd and 3rd qtr e.p.s. and 4th qtr could be great again, advertising should be very very strong the next 2 weeks and will continue to be strong as retailers try to get rid of there inventories after Christmas.
Gary, if anyone can beat it, it is you, keep fighting!!!, Joel
4th qtr earnings will probably take a bit longer to announce since it is the end of the year and they may want to wait until the audit is completed.
my prayers are alwo with you Gary, Joel
Article in Barrons called "Bubble", is not helping stock price, among a number of tech stocks Facebook is named as a stock that is overpriced., however in my opinion FB ignores all this bearish talk and just keeps making more and more money and should once again surprise Wsll Street with 4th qtr earning that will make all estimates look silly..
If you want a p.e. ratio using last 4 quarters e.p.s. it is 95, if you want a p.e. ratio using an estimate of $.32 e.p.s. for the fourth quarter then the p.e. ratio drops to 60., the reason for the big drop in the p.e. ratio is you would be eliminating the 4th qtr of year 2012 and adding a much larger e.p.s. in the 4th qtr of year 2013, hope that is not too confusing.
Up $2.11 for the day and up again in after hour trading, this could be the beginning of another big swing upwards, lets see if those who sold will jump on board and buy back in!
big difference between 2.2 B and 3.5B in revenues, this means no one can accurately predict revenue for 4th qtr.
Anyone know what estimates are for 4th qtr revenues and
e.p.s.?, probably very hard to project.
stock will go up more on e.p.s. then on revenues, although both are important, and both revenue and e.p.s. has been exploding to the upside. Looks like consolidation at this level before institutions begin to buy again and the stock takes off---up!
I can see another blow away revenues and e.p.s. in the 4th qtr, giving yearly e.p.s. of $.79 and $1.28 the following year, tremendous growth, if analysts see $1.50 the following year the stock will easily go to $75., just my opinion.
I do not see how the analysts had anything to do with Mark's comments on losing the teen membership, in any event the earnings were fantastic and the stock will go up with or without the teens, someone commented they have no money to buy the advertisers' products anyway so it really does not affect the advertising revenue.
It seems to me that if Mark did not mention the kids leaving Facebook at the q&a conference, the stock would probably be at $60 today. I have a feeling the board met prior to the conference and for some reason did not want the stock to jump that quickly, instead they are looking for a slow advance, thus the news that kids are leaving, does that make any sense?
If they use stock for acquisitions I would like to see a stock buy back program begun to limit dilution, unless immediate earnings increases will offset dilution.
If it is true that there are 850M users and 250 thousand kids leave it is a drop in a bucket.