I need a new back!
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FEYE
Feb 80 Calls @ 4.40, now 5.00
Feb Puts @ 70 @ 2.00, now 2.80
Going to sit this one out. Good luck if someone jumps on it.
Hey guys! Caught this late. If you do play a side be careful!
First, FEYE very much looks like it could be the next TSLA or next GMCR. And since we’re early, Wall Street really hasn’t caught on yet.
Second, FEYE reports earnings after the close tomorrow – and the report could be a blockbuster or a strikeout – all depending on trader’s mood that day. You see, the consensus estimate is the FEYE will report revenues of $56 million, which is up a whopping 97% from the year-earlier quarter. This comes on the heels of nine straight quarters of triple-digit revenue gains. That’s insane growth.
But at the same time, rapid growth like that comes at a cost. For example, analysts polled by Thomson Reuters call for a Q4 loss of $0.37 a share, which is way up from a loss of $0.11 in Q4 2012. So, will investors embrace the growth – or punish the wider loss? That’s the big question. Either way, I feel that we could see a big move coming. So, just like we did with Expedia, let’s bracket this stock and play it both ways.
The Strangle that was recommended is already priced 1.60 higher after the alert came out @ 1:55 Central time.
Very nice dude! looks like a good week ahead.
Yep. But it looks like I will come up short. OUTR hanging in there.
Not enough premium to put me over right now.
You are correct. 3/4. Was counting my strangle but have not sold the puts yet.
Waiting for some profit taking to raise the premiums on the puts but running out of time.
Just sold VALE March 14 Puts @ .62 from .49. Post 19003
Tired of watching my greens go red because of greed. Scalpers market.
SOU record goes to 4 out of 5. Thanks DEEJ
Bought VALE March 14 Puts @ .49
I was going to talk to you about that. I believe that a Strangle should be treated as a whole. Bought sides & the outcome.
My total was 3.55 for both. Waiting for the Puts to put me green for the entire Strangle.
Your call. We could treat it as two trades or one result for the combination of the trade. Whatever you decide is fine with me.
Let me know.
Your green right now! Nice grab!
OUTR Feb 60/70 Strangle-post #18949
Feb 70 Calls @ 1.45 out @ 3.10
Waiting for profit taking sell off (if it happens) on the Feb 60 Puts @ 2.10
Will give you my total outcome once I sell the puts.
Was looking forward to the GMCR outcome yesterday but the premiums
did not shoot up on a $8.00 per share gain.
Also, yesterdays GMCR news has some ripple effects in the beverage sector to discuss – especially when it comes to SodaStream (SODA – NASDAQ). You see, if I were a company like PepsiCo (PEP – NYSE), yesterdays move would terrify me. After all, “Coke buying into GMCR shows a proof of concept for their business model.” In other words, the future of the beverage business is at-home product delivery. GMCR has proven this — and Coke is now committing over a billion to get a piece of the action. If I’m Pepsi, I’m now thinking that a similar move needs to be made to remain competitive with Coke and GMCR. And, that move just might be acquiring SODA.
As you may recall, PEP and SODA had some takeover rumblings last year. Now, it’s my own humble opinion — with no facts or proof to support it — that PEP could be coming back to SODA to revive these discussions. They don’t really have another choice. This could also explain why SODA originally gapped $3.00 lower on the GMCR news — but then totally reversed that loss and rallied $3.00 at the open of trading. The point is, if the future of the beverage industry is at-home product delivery, and Coke and GMCR have fired the first warming shot — then PEP and SODA could be the next perfect synergy. This is something I will be watching closely in the weeks ahead — but I just wanted to communicate the thought process with you so you’re totally in the loop with my thinking.
All my humble opinion.
With Coke now teaming up with GMCR, I think that GMCR will be “in play” for quite some time. Just remember the massive short interest in GMCR: 38.7 million shares are short, which represents 30% of the float. And even with today’s up-move, that’s still 10 full days to cover this short position. As for some trigger levels, I think GMCR is a buy at $100 (if it holds) or also a buy on a “show me” move over $105. Going into today, those are the levels I'll be watching.
Got morning SOU!
Hey guys. Got on really late, after 2pm. Doctors visit 71 miles each way. I didn't realize that some traders had jumped on EXPE Puts & I'm sort of cheer leading for a strangle on EXPE Calls going up. It was not my intent to rub it in. Just didn't have time to read the previous posts earlier in the day.
Was just trying to find a trade or two before the close.
Managed a Strangle on OUTR. Was writing one up on EXPE but ran out of time. Both went up after hours on earnings. Good luck!
Hey guys. Relax!!!! Take a breath! RELAX! WE are all overwhelmed in life & lets not take it out on each other.
I myself had 9 straight winning weeks last Feb. & March & then My wife had two surgeries, one on each knee. I NEVER GOT THE MOJO BACK.
It's hard. When your on, your on. When your off, sit back & figure out what is different from before.
One thing different is no more 65 million monthly gift to the market. Stocks are finding their place.
WOW! OUTR up 5.93 after hours. Take the calls. Sell the Puts.
Hope it's a nice profit.
EXPE taking off after the bell. no time to write it up. Up $6.00 right now.
Hope OUTR makes a big move.
Played a Earning Straddle on OUTR
Feb 70 Calls @ 1.45
Feb 60 Puts @ 2.10
One on one basis. Priced close as possible.
Considering EXPE but running out of time.
Expedia earnings tomorrow after the bell. Any thoughts?
Nice job! Confidence boost.
Example of what DEEJ was talking about. They took the stock down over $2.00 a share. Panic selling. They picked up about 2 to 3 million cheap shares. Now it turns green. I was going to average down, which I never do & could of bought this morning @ .50. Now it's @ $1.07. 1.16 now. Whale held 67.5 options down half a million.
He's still there.
TWX released earnings this morning – they reported EPS of $1.17 a share, which beat consensus estimates by 1 penny, and they reported revenues of $8.6 billion, which handily beat consensus estimates of$ 8.4 billion.
In addition to beating on both lines, TWX announced they will be raising their dividend, and that they’ve authorized a new $5 billion dollar stock buyback.
In reaction to all this good news the stock is....down 2%!?!
Hope it runs for you!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Over the last few sessions, volatility expert Dan xxxxxx has detected some bearish paper flowing into Outerwall (OUTR – NASDAQ). This is interesting, because OUTR reports earnings this Thursday. Back in July, OUTR closed at $65 – and then dropped down to $56 in reaction to earnings. Is a similar reaction brewing now?
As you may recall, the Redbox movie operator had big plans to extend their venting operation into other offering, such as coffee kiosks, but they’ve since abandoned that plan. So once again, it looks like investors are getting positioned for another drop.
Sharing propriety information, thus the blackout on the last name.
Have to be careful.
TWX nice come back. Should of flipped this prick 5 times.
Got to get my head back into the game.
I'm with you buddy. I believe in honesty. My last update on trades I mentioned that I am still holding 3. HTZ, KSU & TWX. All red. That's the way it goes. KSU lotto ticket will be a loser. Just waiting to get the best bid price I could to recoup some damage.
LNG is bumping into its 50-day moving average once again, a level that has held incredibly strongly this entire sell off. With earnings coming up on Friday, I think it’s quite likely we see a bounce in LNG, and we should be able to turn this added position into a quick winner.
Spread @ March 45 Calls was 30 cents. To wide for me. 2.00 x 2.30.
Now its 2.30 x 2.47. If I bought on the ask I would of been even right now. What a joke.
Hey, I used Mozilla to post a message & it is still trying to connect 35 minutes later. I opened IE & submitted the same message & it went right through. The Mozilla message for IHUB is still trying to connect.
Use IE for IHUB. Seems to get better results.
As you know, the markets got crushed again yesterday – and the trigger was the ISM number that came in well-below expectations. This figure is based on surveys of more than 300 manufacturing firms that monitor employment, production inventories, new orders, and supplier deliveries – and a low reading worried Wall Street that the US economy was not recovering as much as many had thought.
But here’s the thing…
Many times, retailers blame weather for bad numbers – and I find this excuse to be a total crutch. In other words, it’s easy to blame bad weather for poor results – and many retailers do it all too often. But this time, when it comes to the ISM, I actually believe the weather excuse.
You see, living in the heart of the polar vortex, I can tell you firsthand that nobody –and I mean nobody – was doing anything to stimulate the economy during -45 degree weather. Just walking outside to get the mail – and you find your hands tingling because they’re nearly frozen off. With that sort of weather, nobody’s taking the family to dinner – nobody’s making a Costco run – and nobody’s out looking for new cars or new houses. If anything, the only beneficiary I can see is Netflix (NFLX – NASDAQ), who streams videos to customers at home while they’re holed up on the couch under a blaket. And not coincidently, NFLX already gapped aggressively higher on earnings.
The point is, the effect of the polar vortex, in my view, is real. This time, it’s not a fabricated weather excuse, like we’ve seen before. So, when the ISM comes in weak for January, and the market gets crushed on worries that the US economy is not as strong as expected — I recommend taking this with a grain of salt. Nobody in the entire middle-half of the country did anything to stimulate the economy for 1-2 weeks, and that certainly will have an effect on an ISM reading in January. Sure, the markets sold off hard, but honestly, this sell-off was coming no matter what. With a 7% haircut from the January highs, let’s see how today’s bounce attempt goes. The Dow weekly chart, for example, is right at support. Will this trigger a bounce point?
Good Morning DEEJ & SOU. SDS & DXD down. Might have a nice green day.
Wow. Made a profit. Sold SDS March 33 Calls @ 1.69 from 1.51.
Needed to see a profit. Confidence was down.
post 18770
Dee, 2 out of 3. Thanks. Still holding 3
IHUB is messed up. Can't post. Bought SDS March 33 Calls @ 1.51
Scalp this thing if I have to.
Good Morning SOU. Got lucky. Nailed a Strip card for the final score for $500. No squares hit.
Wear a Good Year tire when you nail her.
Yeah, if you're a rational person one would figure if calls are down the puts would be up. Obviously that's not the case.
DECK hanging around 78. with the market heading slightly up. But scared to move into Calls.
DEEJ, take a look @ DECK FEB Monthly. Look @ Net Change. All Calls are down but the 90's, up .05. Half the Puts are down. How does somebody make money when both the Calls & Bids are down?
This is pure BS!
Let’s also keep an eye on Decker’s Outdoors (DECK – NASDAQ). After a very well-timed sell, DECK has reversed once again — and is now re-testing support back around $78.00.
I continue to like the upside potential of DECK. But as you know, no stock goes up in a straight line — which is why we’re so diligent about navigating the rips and dips. This afternoon, as DECK popped and retraced, we moved out at the right time — which has now set up the opportunity for us to reload our calls for the next pop. Stay tuned, because if DECK triggers, we’ve moving back in. More to come.
BIDU, DIS & GMCR all on my radar.
I must of played GMCR 2o times last year.
That is a interesting idea. My wife is my partner.
I'll run it by her this weekend. Hate watching the 401k
going down.
Why are the markets down? I haven't looked into what caused this sea of red on my screen this morning.
I have to figure out what to do with my 401k. Don't want to lose 20 to 30 percent on a correction.