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Good points
However, note that the last time that we were BOTH listed on an index AND making new sales, we were over $5.
Since then, our financing has been extraordinarily costly (toxic), we had a batch of stacks that needed to be replaced, not quite making their 7 year lifespan, etc., etc., we had to buy a $50m oven to bake stack materials...
A LOT of problems have been fixed.
This thing is unkillable. Somehow or another, yes... just so. Anybody else would be dead 10 times over.
If you ask me why that is, it is because we actually have the best technology.
? We were briefly chatting about NWBO there...
Well, it is the house money on it now, I took out my initial deposit and then some.
I don't seem to recall them doing that while "in the green" so to speak, that is, until near the end of a de-listing notice for compliance.
Up about 330% or so with that one, so I took half out, letting the rest ride. I think it is kinda risky still, NWBO.
The 200ma (30 min) is about $2.28, if they manage to cross that to the down-side then $1.93 or so. So far it looks like "russell effect" is putting up good support. We'll see.
If it matters, I haven't touched my position in forever.
Just look away, or do some charts for fun or something...
:)
I'd guess the pre-market is not smart (just did) and let's see what happens when the fat lady gets on stage today.
---
update: Ooo... yep... looks like the typical "hey let's short and cut out the stop loss people" trick. "Nevermind" (so far)
In my defense, after more than a decade, I get bored waiting for the "fundamentals"
Might as well see if charting works
:)
No fireworks...
So let's see:
About 11m volume? Typically 15m volume?
Float about 200m
So about 5% volume typically closer to 10% ?
( I haven't been particularly interested in watching raw volume lately )
I think this thing has developed a poker-face
That's actually kinda what I want to find out at this time...
How much of the Russell add matters how much now
https://content.ftserussell.com/sites/default/files/ru3000_membershiplist_20200629.pdf
Should be starting to get some traction on that
More up pressure, PERHAPS, less down-side volatility (stop loss crashes), more bargain hunting...
There is resistance around $2.70, but I am very curious about $3.16, how high the "floor" feels towards that...
If we get over and hold over $3.16, then we can start talking $4-$20
A month, 6 months... before the conversation can start... trying to gauge that right now.
( Also eagerly anticipating shock news, such as some Exelon deal or some such, mega new sale(s), Air Liquide takes a stake, something... )
Ok, it converged...
My theory is, we get a nice little pop now over the next 3 days.
And, this is the kind of theory that tends to be wrong, because I'm doing it by chart now instead of by experience.
Of interest, see #61
B4.3. Fuel Cell
"Energy Resource Plan"
- Procurement of natural gas - firm or non-firm delivery
- Supporting data for the expected generation with the need for restacking
Seems whoever put this together is very savvy, and knows "us".
chart seems to suggest 1.5 days (during hours), or 2 days (starting in the day 2 after hours)
That is, I think we ping up off the 55 period MA (30 min) when the price and or OBV hits it. Until then, sounds like "consolidation".
fyi - $8m is quite large for R&D, typically for late stage nearing marketability
Strategically, and not a lot of people think more than one step ahead, but the end of the Petro Dollar is the end of the USA as a super-power.
What you want is somebody that can navigate that (in advance)
Europe, California, China
- read about Europe and their government(s) backed pushes into hydrogen
- read about what kind of cars you will not be able to buy in California soon
- read about China cut battery vehicle subsidy and started fuel cell vehicle subsidy, also see what the price is for a gasoline driver's license vs. electric or fuel cell
Air Liquide or Linde makes even more sense
At continued risk of being exponentially wrong, "Hey, look at this..."
That looks like the stars are aligning in a big way.
We get the orange, slow, FIB crossing the 200ma probably about Monday or so... on BOTH the OBV AND the Price...
That "feels like" it will put in a floor that will support going > $3
Again, thx to TradingView.com for the chart tool
I was hoping for something like that last quarter, along with "Exelon is building an at scale demonstration at one of their reactors"
That's great but don't forget that we have the ability to plug-in about 600 tons per day into an existing (not next gen) nuclear station, and plans in the works to work with SMR/MSR next gen.
Google on FCEL + Exelon
Nobody is breaking the ice here on new nuclear though and Exelon is using permanent shutdowns as rate leverage.
Maybe the rolling blackouts in California will break the ice
Got about 6 days now to get back to where I was last time I said something about charts with my perfect predictive ability, until I was rudely interrupted by newses...
:)
Oh.. THAT's what you meant...
Sure, yep.
Check out Pepcid AC vs. COVID also... in some cases the opposite may be true.
Hard to argue about the immune system role, except multiple times in more than one way.
Influenza apparently typically runs about 832 deaths per 100,000, and this is running about 1000 per 100000; so "bad flu"... and not necessarily "in lieu of the flu"
I think my granddad died from something like a swine flu vaccine back in the day when that was an issue. My dad was about 2yrs old. We also have to watch out for that, vaccines have gone way way wrong before.
It is pretty complicated...
Apparently, there is a vaso-dilation issue where the blood flows too fast through the lung tissue to exchange gas.
THEN, there is cytokine-storm on top of that, and lungs fill up with goop.
Multiple delicate things need to take place to treat the symptoms, including immuno-suppression, and at the right moments.
Early on, doctors were discussing that the symptoms resembled high-altitude sickness, and there was no good explanation of that and it confused them a lot, because it wasn't the lungs filling up with goop part...
Doesn't seem like there is a one-size fits all kind of therapy either.
It is a remarkably insidious virus, multiple life-threatening effects built in to it.
Well, do some more math on it
Corona Viri are also "the common cold"
There is a big "oh aha" coming in a second...
It is called "Next year"
So far, COVID-19 is "an exceptionally bad flu year"
The problem that not a lot are keeping in mind is that this is not the type to fizzle out, but simply keep going.
Dear Mr. Shareprice,
Get back to work, we've made new sales.
A deal is a deal.
Sincerely,
John Wick
Maybe
If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, its a duck
...Except the filing said something about paying Preferred Dividends
fyi - although I complain, my position is long and I have not touched it for a "few" months.
There is plenty to be skeptical of. That doesn't mean we're going out of business, it doesn't mean we don't have a bright future (someday); but it DOES mean it is fair game to call out Jason "Chip" Few for the lather rinse repeat of the last decade+.
Can't complain other than how many times have we been through this since 2010...
This is going to be a real test of new leadership
Maybe this time will be different
Can't bat zero, right ?
Sooner or later you have to hit the ball even if it is on accident
Wow... same old, same old...
'nother raise now
And we thought it was Chip...
It's a big deal, somebody sold something.
When was the last time that happened ?
Huh... "and on the 5th day..."
I don't disagree with the idea, necessarily, but I'm pretty sure I disagree with the implementation.
The big flick is going to bite 'em in the butt on this, like they are wearing blinders.
There will be a sudden rush to "fix it".
That's when we'll have a mega opportunity.
But I'm pretty sure they will be teetering on some kind of collapse.
Lately, when in doubt, bet on doubt