Breifing.com - Contrary to Dow Jones Pubs
Updated: 25-Jun-01
General Commentary
If you've played sports, such as golf, tennis or boxing, you know that there is a moment in virtually every contest in which the outcome is determined... It may take awhile to play out, but who will win and who will lose is established in that moment... Briefing.com contends that the moment just passed for the tech sector -- and the bulls won.
When the Nasdaq absorbed the telecom/networking bloodbath without taking out retracement support at 1974, you could just sense the concern on the part of sellers... They had just delivered what should have been a knock-out blow, and the Nasdaq shrugged it off with relative ease... We don't expect market bears to go down without a fight, but unless they land a sucker punch, the fight for control of the tech sector was determined last week and they lost.
If our assessment of last week's trading proves accurate, then we can expect upward momentum to build in the weeks to come... Might have to get through warnings season before significant headway is made, but at least the worst of the selling should be over... To position themselves for the next leg of the advance, Briefing.com contends that investors will want to increase exposure to the software, wireless and storage groups... Stocks such as Veritas (VRTS), Siebel Systems (SEBL), McData (MCDT), StorageNetworks (STOR), Microsoft (MSFT), Nokia (NOK), Nextel (NXTL), EMC (EMC), Deutsche Telecom (DT), Openwave (OPWV), Oracle (ORCL), Vignette (VIGN), Qualcomm (QCOM) and RSA Security (RSAS) are expected to help lead the recovery... While we expect the telecom/networking stocks to enjoy decent recovery gains as well, the earnings turnaround is still too far away and too uncertain for these stocks to sustain a big move - would want to see more evidence of improved industry conditions before placing new bets in this space.
* This week's earnings calendar highlighted by 3Com (COMS), Palm (PALM), Cabletron Systems (CS) and Liberate Tech (LBRT).