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Believer in this rebound.
Volume is non existent . Don't know if I am a believer.
Don't listen to that crazy idiot Cramer and his stool pigeons. Even if inflation comes of its peak it will still be very high. Yes there may be a rally into june, but if we close below 3837 that is an official bear market close. There are always DCB's in a bear mkt.
A solid bounce may not materialize until we test the weekly 200 ma, currently sitting at 3450
why 3858. I think the number is 3837 on a closing basis. Then there could be a quick 5% correction from there, giving some kind of a short term bottom.
They will go higher. Consolidation taking place right now. 5% is a likely target in the next 12 months or sooner.
what is your downside target.
Great call on your part yesterday. Good Job.
Don't believe there will be any .75 hikes this year. In fact after may and June .5 hikes, they may return back to .25.
30 year will go to 5 %, wait and see. There is no reason except manipulation for it to be this low. The fifty year cycle of quantitative easing came to an end on Aug 15, 2021. Now its time to reverse and go the other way.
K=1000, therefore
KK= 1000,000 (million)
KKK= 1000, 000, 000 (billion)
95 KKK = 95 000 000 000 (95 billion)
They are thinking of shrinking the balance sheet by a maximum of 95 KKK /month. Meaning it could be less also. But assuming they do 95 KKK / month. At that rate it will take about 4.5 years to completely unwind the stimulus they added since Feb of 2020. That does not sound very hawkish to me.
Assuming they do that for 4.5 years. They will still have about 4 trillion on their sheets, which was added between 2008 and 2014.
I am thinking spy trades 372 within 4 weeks.
Now they will declare Saudi Arabia a terrorist nation. This could be the fuel that starts ww3.
If the dollar loses its place as a reserve currency we are toast. It will become even more worthless considering the trillions they have printed.
weekly chart is still bullish. A death cross on that would be nice.
What time is the fed decision announcement?
JPOW now hiding behind the Russian invasion to not raise rates and to be less aggressive. Any excuse to keep the printer running.
just an oversold bounce to the ma's, downtrend resumes after eom window dressing.
sub 3800 soon to be printed.
This is heading below 420 in the next two weeks. Possibly 380.
Buffet is an insider and part of the gang. Somehow his PR has portrayed him as a genuine american hero of investing and the public is convinced of that. This entire market has been supported by the printing of money by the fed for the past 50 yrs. Fed stops printing and buying assets SPY goes to ZERO and guess what. BRK goes to zero.
It might be someone else (as in a woman). Agree on rates rising faster than previously thought. However, the insiders are always in the know. They are selling the top and trying to sucker in the retail investor. The retail investor has been led to believe that the mkts will always rebound to new highs after a 5-7 % pullback.
Guess what? One of these days that will not happen. I have a small position in SQQQ which I would like to increase thru the end of this week and maybe the following week as well.
What is a good entry point going long sqqq. This has a very low decay.
Real selling could start any day. This is the usual turkey day / Santa pump, all in one. Let us see if we can exceed 4730 on the spx. Looking to get into SQQQ next week.
A move back to the recent high's is possible before it starts to unravel.
next week of this year.
crash starts monday or tuesday.
Stop the unemployment and welfare benefits and see how quickly those jobs get filled.
"accelerating tapering in December"....???
The taper will begin “later this month” and will continue at that $15 billion pace through December, although the FOMC clarified it could change the pace of taper as needed.
FED to start tapering by 15 Billion / month. The covid related asset purchase program to end by June of 2022. According to their statement.
That means they will still add 420 billion to their books by mid june. That is about half a trillion. Things will start getting shaky when they start off loading their purchases. Something that will never happen.
Nazdaq only down .5 %. Someone is holding it up. Q's will hold 380 today. Maybe not next week.
According to yahoo, it did make a new high of 15417.97.
There is one more push above 381 left in the Q's .
reversal could come any day. No volume the past two days especially today.
No volume today. Chance of a 10 % correction is very high starting next week.
4460 possible by week's end
I have been thinking the same thing since 3000 and 4000. Glad I did not pull the trigger. What makes you think it wont go to 5500 or 6000.
I think we go down next week after an initial ramp job. New lows still possible in october.
Looks like 450 is calling.
So they are expecting this to hit 78 soon?
The establishment of a central bank is communistic. According to Vladimir Lennon.