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Great news and good timing!
"a lot better now then before the Ronin move"
Yea, I love Johnny & Little Stevie, I'm waiting for a buy at $3.90 when they drive the price there.
"expecting a big move in one direction or the other"
What genius wrote that?
Options Traders Expect Huge Moves in Avid Bioservices (CDMO) Stock
Zacks
Zacks Equity Research
,Zacks•July 16, 2018
Investors in Avid Bioservices, Inc. CDMO need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Jul 20, 2018 $4.00 Call had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.
What is Implied Volatility?
Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could also mean there is an event coming up soon that may cause a big rally or a huge sell-off. However, implied volatility is only one piece of the puzzle when putting together an options trading strategy.
What do the Analysts Think?
Clearly, options traders are pricing in a big move for Avid Bioservices shares, but what is the fundamental picture for the company? Currently, Avid Bioservices is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) in the Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry that ranks in the Bottom 39% of our Zacks Industry Rank. Over the last 60 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter has widened from a loss of 8 cents per share to a loss of 15 cents.
Given the way analysts feel about Avid Bioservices right now, this huge implied volatility could mean there’s a trade developing. Oftentimes, options traders look for options with high levels of implied volatility to sell premium. This is a strategy many seasoned traders use because it captures decay. At expiration, the hope for these traders is that the underlying stock does not move as much as originally expected.
With Johnny & Little Stevie driving this into the ground the SP is going nowhere. Still expecting cheap sale of Avid early 2019. These 2 clowns won't even let them hire a new CFO so they can hide all the BS they are into. Typical Stafford tactics for companies he gets involved with.
"The good lord says forgive really forgive. So be it."
So you forgive King and the 3 amigos, Garnick, Lytle and all those who participated in the fraud on PPHM/CDMO shareholders?
That's very big of you.
"while following the pide pipers"
As to the "Pied Pipers" you mentioned, what's changed, just new ones.
"Mr. Hedberg, age 43, has been employed by the Company since August 2000, and has served as its Senior Director of Finance and SEC Reporting since May 2010."
Contrary to what JDM is suggesting, Hedberg has already been responsible since May 2010 for SEC Reporting so it's obvious this isn't some new position.
Probably want an insider for the cooked books and non-disclosure of the present ongoing events.
Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
On July 11, 2018, the Board of Directors of Avid Bioservices, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Stephen Hedberg, the Company’s Senior Director of Finance and SEC Reporting, to serve as the Company’s Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer for purposes of the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Mr. Hedberg, age 43, has been employed by the Company since August 2000, and has served as its Senior Director of Finance and SEC Reporting since May 2010.
Mr. Hedberg is not a party to any arrangement or understanding regarding his selection as an officer. Mr. Hedberg has no family relationships with any director, executive officer, or person nominated or chosen by the Company to become a director or executive officer of the Company. Mr. Hedberg is not a party to any transaction required to be disclosed pursuant to Item 404(a) of Regulation S-K. Mr. Hedberg has not entered into any material plan, contract, arrangement or amendment in connection with his appointment as Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer.
As relates to my previous post.
"(Mr. Hedberg) or chosen by the Company to become a director or executive officer of the Company."
"As noted in the table, the positions of “principal financial officer” and “principal accounting officer (or controller)” are not specifically mentioned in the definition of “executive officer” under Rule 3b-7. However, virtually every company considers its principal financial officer to be an “executive officer” (either as a vice president in charge of a principal function, finance, or as a significant policy-maker) and Item 402(a)(3)(ii) of Regulation S-K automatically defines the principal financial officer as one of the named executive officers (NEOs), so Rule 3b-7’s omission of this position is in practice inconsequential. Often, the principal financial officer also serves as the principal accounting officer. However, if the principal accounting officer is a different person from the principal financial officer, many companies do not consider the principal accounting officer or controller to be an executive officer. As a result, the principal accounting officer is the one position where a company’s lists of executive officers and Section 16 officers may potentially diverge."
http://www.wowlw.com/Article/Index/143
So why does this company always seem so damn sneaky?
"Putting the CFO title in mothballs can work, so long as investors know the books are in capable hands."
Not appointing a new CFO sounds a little sketchy, how many skeletons in that closet?
"appointed Stephen Hedberg, the Company’s Senior Director of Finance and SEC Reporting, to serve as the Company’s Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer for purposes of the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission."
Some Big Firms Do Just Fine Without a CFO
https://www.wsj.com/articles/some-big-firms-do-just-fine-without-a-cfo-1413237258
Good luck to you and enjoy those little Wooks!
To bad Johnny & Little Stevie don't want this over $5.
Nice day, Pappy Van Winkle's Family Reserve for everyone!
If it get through $4.69 with a little more volume next trade should be way better than .10 cents.
"I find it interesting that a CFO replacement hasn't been announced yet."
As I posted previously from the Janney report......
"Jim Eckstadt – Interim CFO – Mr. Eckstadt is the interim CFO and the company expects to announce the permanent CFO soon."
"Soon" in CDMO time can mean anything, maybe Monday?
as to North's ASM question I have no idea.
We would ALL prefer $7.50 by October. Monday will let us know. If traders start dumping Thursday and Friday it will be a good clue of where we will be by the ASM.
They will definitely be good for a .10 cents flip by Friday!
GLTA
Did Johnny & Little Stevie put the brakes on their CDMO toy car?
They don't want this over $5.
IMO
You know, here's the problem................
IT ALL SUCKS................!
As a Janney client, having received a copy of the current "June 25, 2018
Avid Bioservices, Inc., (CDMO) - BUY, Initiating Coverage at BUY; Pure Play Biological Manufacturer; FV $10", I will say it all reads very promising. So the first question I ask myself is when did we EVER meet an analyst projection? The answer is NEVER. The timing of release, as always PPHM/CDMO could not have been worse, NASDAQ DOWN 160, DOW DOWN 326. I love the white-wash as to how the "INSIDERS" always have the info before shareholders. In the Janney report they mention CFO, a question chey raised, well here you go chey, "Jim Eckstadt – Interim CFO – Mr. Eckstadt is the interim CFO and the company expects to announce the permanent CFO soon. The previous CFO Paul Lytle joined in 1997 and was the leader in the corporate formation of Avid Bioservices in 2002 and was appointed CFO in 2002. Mr. Lytle is pursuing a similar role in the biotechnology industry.". WOW, Paul Lytle was the "leader in the corporate formation of Avid Bioservices in 2002". Well gee, lets all hate Paul Lytle because of what we have read here. Damn, I just don't know who to believe anymore.................
maybe I should just believe Johnny Stafford #3 and little Stevie ( I wonder) White who have gone into hiding so they can short and trade this stock any which way they like.
Welcome to the world of PPHM/CDMO, don't blink, because the stories all changes very quickly.
IMO
"but how does Janney know more than we do"
Haven't the "insiders" always known more then we do and a current perfect example being Stafford & White and the Wells Fargo deal.
IMO
The Janney report is 17 pages.........
an excerpt......
PORTFOLIO MANAGER BRIEF
We initiate coverage of Avid Bioservices with a Buy rating and FV of $10. In the last 18 months Avid has pivoted from a biotechnology therapeutics focus to a contract manufacturer that is a pure play in biological contract development and manufacturing (CDMO). Leveraging Avid's 14+ years of experience and an unblemished regulatory track record, we estimate that management has more than tripled its number of customers in the last 12-18 months. We expect multiple catalysts in the form of earnings reports, new customer wins, and customer therapeutic approvals in the years ahead.
The 245K red candle just as we approached $4 was probably Johnny and Stevie keeping the lid on tight.
IMO
"and the price jumps 2 cents (the equivalent of a third of a penny pre split). Someone explain that one to me please."
You need to ask Johnny Stafford #3 or Stevie White except they don't take phone calls anymore. Not to worry though. shareholders will be getting a letter end of year for the cheap sale of Avid and the SP will still be $3 and change.
I wonder what the excuse for the miserable SP will be after the Russell and we are still at $3 and change?
Maybe it should be call the Stafford & White Syndrome.
You would need to ask the individual who wrote the post that I quoted.
"My guess is the SP rises when Russell games begin. WAG of about 6 to 8 mil shares needed for russell players including all the knock off funds emulating russell. Then another capital raise to fund expansion of vacant space... $30 mil.... hopefully settle in the $7 to $9 range.... assumes near full capacity on existing capacity and commitments for vacant capacity...($90 mil revs x 6 times sales over 70 mil shares) these deals have follow on commitments if drugs meet targets... and what happens if oncologie gets traction.. MSK (particularly JW) doing third yr at aacr with bavi? bavi will either be bought out or partnered w/ milestones coming to avid... and manufact commitments for bavi.... "
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=140271365
Sounds like a theme that was popular here.....
"Holmes ran her company with extreme secrecy, claiming the close hold on data and information was essential because large laboratory testing companies were threatened by her proprietary technology."
Any chance they can locate King, Garnick, etc.......
Elizabeth Holmes, founder of blood-testing company Theranos, indicted on wire fraud charges
The founder of a company that promises its analyzer can run multiple blood tests with just a few drops of blood has been charged by the SEC with fraud.
By Carolyn Y. Johnson
June 15 at 6:34 PM
Elizabeth Holmes, founder of the blood-testing start-up Theranos, and her former chief operating officer, Ramesh “Sunny” Balwani, were indicted by a federal grand jury Friday on charges of defrauding investors, patients and doctors.
The indictments, on nine counts of wire fraud and two counts of conspiracy to commit wire fraud, complete the company’s fall from Silicon Valley darling to cautionary tale.
Theranos said it would disrupt medicine by selling quick, cheap blood tests directly to consumers, but its promises frayed under scrutiny from several federal agencies and a Wall Street Journal investigation.
Before questions arose about whether the technology worked, Holmes, now 34, led a company valued at $9 billion that was featured on the covers of magazines and backed by a formidable board of elder statesmen and former military leaders.
Balwani, 53, took on various leadership roles within the company and was her boyfriend at the time.
The company claimed it could conduct its tests on just a few drops of blood obtained from a fingerpick, and sold them to consumers through wellness clinics in dozens of Walgreens stores in Arizona and one in California.
The indictment alleges that the pair used marketing, press interviews and financial statements to defraud potential investors on behalf of their company.
“Holmes and Balwani knew that Theranos’ proprietary analyzer had accuracy and reliability problems, performed a limited number of tests, was slower than some competing devices and could not compete with larger, conventional machines in high-throughput, or the simultaneous testing of blood from many patients,” the indictment states.
Federal authorities allege there was a second scheme to defraud doctors and patients, saying “many hundreds of patients paid, or caused their medical insurance companies to pay” for blood tests that were advertised as accurate and reliable.
Holmes, who founded Theranos as a college dropout, ran her company with extreme secrecy, claiming the close hold on data and information was essential because large laboratory testing companies were threatened by her proprietary technology.
But her carefully cultivated image as an innovator fell apart in the face of allegations from federal authorities that she ran sham demonstrations for investors and knew her technology could not produce reliable results but created “false and misleading” advertisements and marketing materials to persuade consumers to buy the firm’s tests in Walgreens.
Holmes stepped down as chief executive of Theranos on Friday, the company announced, shortly before the indictment was released. David Taylor, Theranos’ general counsel, has been appointed chief executive.
“This district, led by Silicon Valley, is at the center of modern technological innovation and entrepreneurial spirit; capital investment makes that possible. .?.?. This office, along with our other law enforcement partners in the Bay Area, will vigorously investigate and prosecute those who do not play by the rules that make Silicon Valley work,” Special Agent in Charge John F. Bennett said in a statement.
“This conspiracy misled doctors and patients about the reliability of medical tests that endangered health and lives.”
Holmes had already settled federal fraud charges by the Securities and Exchange Commission, agreeing to a $500,000 penalty and a 10-year ban on working as an officer or director of a public company. She did not admit or deny the charges in the settlement. Balwani faces those charges in court.
An attorney for Holmes did not immediatelyrespond to a request for comment. Jeffrey Coopersmith, an attorney for Balwani, said his client did not defraud investors or consumers.
“All Mr. Balwani did was put his heart and soul, and millions of dollars of his money, toward changing the face of health care by giving people access to cost-effective blood tests so they could take charge of their own health and monitor changes for signs of disease,” Coopersmith said in a statement.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/elizabeth-holmes-founder-of-blood-testing-company-theranos-indicted-on-wire-fraud-federal-authorities-announce/2018/06/15/8779f538-70df-11e8-bd50-b80389a4e569_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.8489bfe1ff36
"Is in-licensing not different from selling the IP outright? "
https://investingnews.com/daily/life-science-investing/pharmaceutical-investing/what-is-in-licensing/
What Is In-Licensing?
Chelsea Pratt - February 19th, 2018
what is in-licensing
Licensing deals might be pharma’s preferred mode of business development these days—perhaps even more so than outright acquisitions.
As mergers and acquisitions are already off to a fast start in 2018, it could be a daring idea to watch pharmaceutical companies grow through acquisitions instead of research and development. Valeant’s (TSE:VRX) stock price plunged dramatically in 2017 for doing just that but—nonetheless—it can be an effective measure to benefit share prices by acquiring potentially successful products.
That said, companies can also do it through drug licensing. In fact, licensing deals might be pharma’s preferred mode of business development these days—perhaps even more so than outright acquisitions. The strategy is likewise attractive to investors: licensing drugs expedites corporate development while also mitigating risk, which can cause for confusion.
What exactly does it mean to license a drug? How do royalties affect returns? In what ways does a license differ from an acquisition?
Investors need to understand the intricacies of this process, so that they can interpret a company’s subsequent actions correctly—and elect to buy or sell at the right time.
In-licensing, explained
In mid-February, Santhera pharmaceuticals (SWX:SANN) licensed a clinical-phase cystic fibrosis asset from Polyphor, a private Swiss biotech company.
While Santhera is using this to expand their own pipeline and now owns worldwide rights to develop and commercialize the drug, Polyphor will receive $7 million upfront and another $130.25 million if the drug licensed passes specific milestones. Polyphor will receive royalty payments from the future net sales of the drug.
These types of deals are known as in-licensing: a company takes on some of the financial or technological burden associated with developing a product, then gets to share in its returns.
Santhera is just one of the micro-cap companies making use of the strategy. Some other large-cap companies dabbling in licensing are Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB) and Alkermes (NASDAQ:ALKS) who will develop and commercialize a multiple sclerosis treatment, and Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ALNY), the leading RNAi therapeutics company, and Sanofi (NYSE:SNY) announced a restructuring so Alnylam will receive global development and commercialization rights to its investigational RNai therapeutics programs and Sanofi will receive royalties.
Sanofi’s vaccine division, Sanofi Pasteur, additionally signed a licensing agreement for flu vaccine technology from SK Chemicals (KRX:285130) to develop broadly protective vaccines.
In-licensing is becoming more and more commonplace. In part, that’s because of the influx of small biotech companies on the market. These early stage companies are a key source of promising product candidates, which pharmaceutical companies then license certain rights to.
Benefits of in-licensing
Licensing is cost-effective, since the financial burden of product development is shared. It’s also lower risk for the company buying in: they can make deals based on promising pre-clinical or clinical results. Compare that to the traditional drug discovery process, where a company embarks on a project, investing heavily in its development, all with little data to back up expectations.
Licensing also holds significant appeal when compared to straight acquisitions or mergers. As Aaron Smith writes for CNN Money, “With licenses, drug companies purchase only the rights for the experimental drugs they’re interested in, and they don’t have to take on another company’s problems or unwanted technologies.”
All of that means in-licensing can hold major appeal for pharmaceutical companies and investors alike. But as mentioned above, it can also generate confusion—confusion which can lead to ill-informed decisions on the part of investors.
Understanding in-licensing
Just as pharmaceutical companies are always looking for the next blockbuster drug, investors are looking for the company who will develop it. In-licensing agreements, then, can appear somewhat off-putting: even if a drug proves wildly successful, its profits will need to be split between two companies, and therefore two groups of shareholders.
Such was the case with Eliquis, an anticoagulant jointly developed by Pfizer and Bristol-Myers Squibb. Discovery and clinical advancement was completed by the latter, who joined forces with Pfizer only when entering late stage trials.
This puzzled some investors—after all, the drug seemed like a potential blockbuster. It would be a novel entrant to the market, and benefit a wide number patients. Why split the profits with another company—and one coming late to the game?
As John LaMattina explains in Forbes, there was still plenty of question about the success of Eliquis. The anticoagulant drug market is a competitive one, and there was no guarantee this drug would prove more effective than like products also in development.
Besides, phase III trials are costly: this one would cost hundreds of millions of dollars. And Bristol-Myers Squibb was already contending with a tight R&D budget.
In the case of Pfizer, Bristol Myers Squibb which distributed the risk involved and eased the financial burden of getting Eliquis approved. It took a long time to roll out the drug, but today, it’s a top earner, bringing in profits for both companies.
Licensing deals also complicate financial statements. “They are not typically recorded as an asset on the balance sheet,” Jeff Margolis, VP of RespireRx (OTCQB:RSPI), explained to the Investing News Network (INN). “They are considered ‘in process research and development’ and the expenditures are considered expenses on the profit and loss statement, typically creating large losses.”
That means the uninitiated investor may misinterpret a company’s financial statement, since it does not “truly account for the value of the licenses.”
As Margolis said “the asset is ‘intangible.’”
RespireRx: a case study
The VP of RespireRx, Margolis is intimately familiar with the ins and outs of in-licensing. His company has licensed the rights to dronabinol from the University of Illinois, and is developing the drug as a treatment for obstructive sleep apnea.
The University of Illinois recently published a project report on dronabinol, which was paid for by the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute. RespireRx did not conduct the study and does not control data analysis, but the results—which have not yet been unblinded—will obviously have a major impact on them.
This brings us to another question that can arise with in-licensing. RespireRx has submitted an 8K filing for the publication, but less experienced investors may wonder why they have not yet officially taken a position on the study, or published a press release—especially considering the study showed clinically significant differences among treatment groups for three out of four main outcome variables.
“The Project Report … does not contain any information generated by RespireRx nor any opinion of RespireRx about the content or what it may mean and is entirely the work of the principal investigators,” Margolis told INN. “It does contain a significant amount of information that RespireRx believes investors and prospective investors may wish to know about.”
The company will comment on the study once it has been unblinded. Here again then, we see how in-licensing can be confusing: investors have to understand this process in order to understand RespireRx’s choice to delay their response.
"Knowing that we may be part of a grand plan to cure cancer has it's own satisfaction. I hope that the tried and true are graciously rewarded for their patience and hard earned support."
WOW............................!
IMHO
"They received 6 awards just recently"
All BS awards they probably paid for.
https://www.lifescienceconnect.com
https://www.laboratorynetwork.com/doc/life-science-connect-announces-the-acquisition-of-industry-standard-research-0001
About Life Science Connect
The Life Science Connect community includes Life Science Leader magazine, a number of industry-leading pharmaceutical, biopharmaceutical, and medical device websites, Outsourced Pharma Events, Clinical Leader Forum, and the Life Science Training Institute. LSC has been serving the Life Sciences industry for nearly 20 years. Life Science Connect helps by connecting the people and ideas to more efficiently develop and manufacture life-saving and life-improving therapies. Life Science Connect is part of VertMarkets, Inc., a Pennsylvania privately held corporation. Learn more at www.lifescienceconnect.com.
"Multiple barriers to overcome."
The understatement of the decade.
"AVID is a valuable commodity."
So valuble it's worth .49 cents a share.
What a joke John S. Stafford III has played on PPHM/CDMO shareholders............
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ronin-trading-and-sw-investment-management-issue-letter-to-stockholders-of-peregrine-pharmaceuticals-300487810.html
From Ronin letter to shareholders dated July 13, 2017
"Most recently, on April 28, 2017, Messrs. King and Lytle and Joseph S. Shan (Vice President) each filed Form 4's indicating purchases of 19,941 shares, 37,389 shares and 39,177 shares, respectively.8 Even though these shares were purchased on April 28th, a day on which Peregrine's stock closed at $0.6156 per share, these insiders purchased their shares for $0.2712 per share, giving them an instant gain of over 125%. How was this possible?"
John S. Stafford III
"How was this possible?" Your kidding, right? On 2/12/18 the SP was $3.27 or .46 cents. On 2/15/18 the share price was $2.37 or .33 cents. How many shares did you, Johnny, buy and then sell at what profit? What was your instant gain when you dumped all your shares Johnny? What BS are you feeding us Johnny? The share price on 12/11/17 was $5.35 or .76 cents, the share price is now $3.39 or .48 cents. All one can say is, way to go Johnny!
So hey Johnny, "how is this possible?" Maybe you would like to tell us about your insider Wells Fargo trading and how that works. You know all well how to manipulate and have the ability to do this, buy and sell and make the share price whatever you want it to be for a profit. Why don't you tell us how you are any different then the previous group King & Company?
Keep driving the Avid share price down Johnny..........
https://www.ultimatecarpage.com/img/McLaren-M6GT-Chevrolet-58334.html
AIMO
King and Stafford screwed the shareholders out of PPHM's IP, it was all planned. Can't wait to see what Stafford has planned for Avid.
"and we have engaged in discussions with a broad range of potential collaborators throughout the course of the development program.......
and we believe they (Oncologie) have the resources and expertise to maximize the potential of the program," said Roger J. Lias, Ph.D., president and chief executive officer of Avid."
I guess when Lias was talking "resources and expertise" he was thinking Joe Shan.
You can thank John S. Stafford III for the Oncologie deal.
IMO
Did Johnny Stafford III drive SP down for Lias cheap options?
http://ir.avidbio.com/secfiling.cfm?filingID=1683168-18-1187&CIK=704562
Keep driving the SP down Johnny.........
https://www.ultimatecarpage.com/img/McLaren-M6GT-Chevrolet-58333.html
" just wonder if SK gets skunked by the end of May.."
Johnny S. Stafford III will probably have us all "skunked" by the end of May.......
he already has to many times to count already, so what's another month?
IMO
"may have spoken too soon uggh"
Jonh S. Stafford III has no intention of letting the SP go up. Come the ASM the SP will probably still be between $3 and $4.
Take Loof's advice "All I can say is buy low sell high. And drink plenty of Korn Licker!"......
just don't drink and drive!
"Bruce McLaren’s GT dream car is now owed by John Stafford in Chicago and isn’t sitting dusty in a garage, but being used. THANK GOODNESS."
https://www.ultimatecarpage.com/img/McLaren-M6GT-Chevrolet-58334.html
IMO
"Hopefully one day someone will bring them to justice!!"
Great idea, get a cell large enough to hold John S. Stafford III and Stevie White with them.....
and throw in Robert Garnick for good measure!
IMO
Well there's certainly no "speculation" in the fact the SP is $3.56.
Here's a example of speculation, although not all:
Ronin trading office.......
Ronin trader: Hey boss, how low should I take this CDMO?
Stafford: I don't have time for that POS, just make me some money like you're supposed to.
Ronin trader: You got it boss!
Stafford: Only thing on my mind now is this cherry red vintage racer for my collection. If I can get it
below the $1M number I'm all set. I'm going to race it and come in first place.
http://www.automobilemag.com/news/throwback-thursday-mclaren-m6gt-570gts-great-grandfather/
"Bruce McLaren’s GT dream car is now owed by John Stafford in Chicago and isn’t sitting dusty in a garage, but being used. Thank goodness."
What I said in the post you reference, "Stafford & White don't have to report anything until end of August."
Dropping the number of shares they own below the monthly reporting threshold allows them to more easily manipulate the SP. As to your question, they obviously had to SELL a large number of shares to get there.
What Stafford & White intend to do now is anybodies guess. Looking at the their track record I somehow doubt it's good.
IMO