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===would be ideal for carrying===
Yikes, you must be big people! those things are several inches thick, at least the ones i've seen. maybe in winter with big coats on, but yikes, not in a tee shirt in the heat!!!!
the remington .380 is tiny, 6 round, lots of ammo around now, personal protection rounds aval. they also make a 9 that is just a bit bigger. the .380 sits in my top pocket all day and i barley notice if it's not there, sometimes taking hours after i had taken it out to wash my face or something, before i even notice.
shirt pocket, easy in, easy out, no holster needed. alternate bullets in clip, hard point solid, then ppr.
sleep with under pillow for years, never know it's there,
not meant to take down bear, just cover fire as folks will almost always look for cover if someone is firing back, while i go get something they would wish i didn't have....
anyway, hope i never have to face a judge down as those things look freaking awesome!!!
take care.
Barrack Says U.S. Real Estate Market Is Getting ‘Bubblicious’
by Christopher Palmeri chrispalmeri Jeffrey Taylor
August 15, 2016 — 1:28 PM EDT
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-15/barrack-says-u-s-real-estate-market-is-getting-bubblicious
Real estate investors could be in for a shock if interest rates rise or demand in some markets continues to fall because “amateurs” are plowing money in at high prices, betting on rent increases that may not continue, said Tom Barrack, the billionaire chairman of Colony Capital Inc.
Trends in demographics and technology are undermining traditional holdings such as hotels, office buildings and residential properties, Barrack said in an interview at Bloomberg’s Los Angeles office. Companies such as Airbnb Inc., which lets people rent out their homes like hotel rooms, and WeWork Cos., which leases space in communal work areas, are challenging the business models landlords depend on.
“It looks a little bubblicious,” Barrack said of the real estate market. “We’re printing money. More debt is available. But amateurs are playing in it.”
A former adviser to the Bass family of Fort Worth, Texas, Barrack founded Colony in 1991 and began investing in property in the wake of the savings-and-loan crisis. His Los Angeles-based investment firm has raised more than $25 billion. Earlier this year he merged his residential-housing business with that of investor Barry Sternlicht to form a company now known as Colony Starwood Homes. Barrack is also serving as an economic policy adviser to Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump.
Tech Tenants
One of the greatest sources of new tenants for office buildings, technology companies, may pull back in a weaker economy, Barrack said. Tech firms don’t want traditional multiyear leases, and may not be able to honor the ones they do sign if the businesses fail or run out of money.
Wall Street bankers are looking at low bonuses this year, hedge fund returns are flat and some buyers of high-end real estate from China, Russia and the Middle East are cutting back.
Some young people are avoiding buying homes, preferring to rent with roommates, Barrack said. While investors have been trying to capitalize on this trend by buying up residential rental properties, 60 percent of Americans can’t afford a $1,200-a-month rent, he said. If interest rates rise, landlords may not be able to cover their mortgage payments with rent increases.
“When there’s a rush to yield, you shouldn’t be in yield,” said Barrack, who’s looking to put his money into investments where he can add value.
There is one part of the property market Barrack said he still likes: self-storage facilities, which require little capital investment and don’t show any signs of slowing demand.
“People have stuff and they want to keep it,” he said.
House Republicans detail perjury allegations against Clinton
By Catherine Herridge, Pamela K. Browne
·Published August 15, 2016
· FoxNews.com
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/08/15/house-republicans-detail-perjury-allegations-against-clinton.html
House Republicans have detailed perjury allegations against Hillary Clinton, citing the apparent conflict between her 2015 congressional testimony about her email practices and the FBI's conclusions announced in July, according to a letter to the US Attorney for the District of Columbia.
"The four pieces of sworn testimony by Secretary Clinton described herein are incompatible with the FBI's findings," House Oversight Committee Chairman Jason Chaffetz, R-Utah, and Judiciary Committee Chairman Bob Goodlatte, R-Va., wrote to US Attorney Channing D. Phillips. "We hope this information is helpful to your office's consideration of our referral."
The Justice Department Assistant Attorney General for Legislative Affairs, Peter Kadzik, confirmed in an August 2 letter to both committees they had the perjury investigation request and the department would "take appropriate action as necessary."
The one-page response offered no timeline nor specific commitment to act on the allegations.
According to the Justice Department website, Kadzik, "led the successful effort to confirm Attorney General Loretta E. Lynch and Deputy Attorney General Sally Q. Yates." Both women were central players handling the Clinton email matter.
Chaffetz and Goodlatte, who have direct oversight for the FBI, wrote to the US Attorney that Clinton testified under oath before the Benghazi Select Committee, where she also took questions about her email practices from Republican congressman Jim Jordan of Ohio.
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"Secretary Clinton stated 'there was nothing marked classified on my emails, either sent or received," the letter states. However, FBI Director James Comey said July 5 that a "very small number of the emails containing classified information bore the markings indicating the presence of classified information." At least three emails had a (C) for Confidential which is the lowest level of classification. Fox News first reported in June that classified markings existed, despite Clinton's public claims.
The letter continued, "Contrary to her sworn testimony, Secretary Clinton's lawyers did not read each email in her personal account to identify all the work related messages."
Clinton told Jordan that her team "went through every single email." The FBI Director said his investigators found that Clinton's lawyers did not read all the emails, and relied on a narrow set of search terms to identify which emails were work-related.
"The lawyers doing the sorting for Secretary Clinton in 2014 did not individually read the content of all her e-emails," Comey said July 5. Instead, they "relied on header information and used search terms."
Clinton also testified to Congress there was only one server.
But the FBI Director said investigators found "Clinton used several different servers and administrators of those servers during her four years at the State Department and used numerous mobile devices to review and send e-mail on that personal domain."
The congressmen emphasized that while Clinton told Congress, and the public, she turned over all her work-related emails, the FBI found otherwise.
"I provided you, with all my work related emails, all that I had. Approximately 55,000 pages. And they are being publicly released," Clinton testified. But FBI investigators found "several thousand work related emails that were not in the group of 30,000 that were returned by Secretary Clinton to State in 2014."
In the course of its investigation, the FBI recovered most but not all of the deleted records. The search included “the laborious review of the millions of email fragments dumped into the slack space of the server decomissioned in 2013."
A retired assistant FBI director, and 28-year-veteran of the bureau, said a perjury review is generally straightforward for agents.
"They look at the transcript of the testimony they provided in light of what they know to be, suspect to be the truth. They investigate both sides and take the aggregate and turn it over to the prosecuting authority for a decision," Steven Pomerantz said.
"Since the Director (Comey) already established what she (Clinton) said and the investigation is complete, it would be a relatively simple matter to make a decision about perjury... given the history of this, it's hard to say - it would seem to me a matter of weeks not months in this case."
A violation of 18 USC 1621 can lead to a fine, imprisonment up to five years, or both though legal experts said the crux of the case will rely on showing intent.
When Comey testified July 7, Clinton's campaign said some of his statements vindicated the candidate's public statements.
“In his testimony today, Comey has reconciled most every apparent contradiction between his remarks Tuesday and Clinton's public statements,” Clinton spokesman Brian Fallon said on Twitter.
Catherine Herridge is an award-winning Chief Intelligence correspondent for FOX News Channel (FNC) based in Washington, D.C. She covers intelligence, the Justice Department and the Department of Homeland Security. Herridge joined FNC in 1996 as a London-based correspondent.
Pamela K. Browne is Senior Executive Producer at the FOX News Channel (FNC) and is Director of Long-Form Series and Specials. Her journalism has been recognized with several awards. Browne first joined FOX in 1997 to launch the news magazine “Fox Files” and later, “War Stories
hey gfp, i couldn't find it, but this link shows a bit of what i read. it looks like everything with a vertical line next to it, referring to rickards words were drawn from the ad i read. it refers to "world money" not sdr's, I couldn't remember how he referred to the money, but knew it wasn't sdr's, but does use the friday sept 30th date, at 4 pm.
http://www.stockgumshoe.com/reviews/strategic-intelligence/is-september-30-really-d-day-for-the-u-s-dollar-as-jim-rickards-is-warning/
the original "story" i read he said he would mail a couple books free and a couple info sheets, for under 14 cents a day, i did some quick math in my head to see it came out to 51.xx, so guess he was referring to 50/yr. you could not sign up on the page, you had to click a link button to sign up, then he would provide address link to get new world money now, when only the elites have access to it????
hope this helps
hey gfp, it was on one of my upstairs tube machine computers and i read it this morning i think. I use ccleaner every time i get off a machine and one of the things it cleans is a persons history, log files, temp files, can even look for registry issues with it.
I ran it at the end of this mornings session so the link in history would not be there, but i'll look around some tonight as i remember it being about an inch square link to a page that was quite long. It was not marked sponsered, cause i went back and looked, but it was def a plug for sub. we mentioned about working with cia, fbi, and fed. after 9-11, looking for patterns in his scans for possible future attacks, (i took that to mean huge short positions against airlines and such,) and he said one of those had stopped an attack.
def talked about sept 30th many times as the date things as we know it changes. might have linked from fox.com, could have been yahoo finance, think those are only two, not sure but have a look around.
think page was titled CNx something, like news service.....but you know my old, muddled, mind, ha
take care.
picked up a I little gold last night, 1/10 oz.eagles. tiny little things, ha.
====Jim Rickards====
I think this is the guy talking about sept. 30th being the date the sdr's will begin to be used, and we could lose a good portion o the value of all savings, like every other country with a big devaluation in it's currency. Think he is pushing 2 or 3 books with gloom and doom headlines as well. doesn't mean he is wrong, in fact talks about it starting slow, gas up a little, other everyday stuff up 25 cents, but it just keeps going up. then the usual, must buy sub to get "inside " info, including link to get the sdr's early, when now only "elites can get them" in fact he doesn't even call them sdr's, he uses something else, like "new modern money, or some such jargon.....
but sept 30th was def the day he used.
picking up more hdge for 9.48 this am.
opps, looks like you saw something about sept. sdr's as well.
futures down 42, but that means nearly nothing, as nothing is as it seems these days,
hrc had a big ecno plan announced? funny, didn't see it covered anywhere.
can you say, every single last main stream 20 something blogger is in the bag?
never seen anything like it, not even, as a member of my family put it before the first iraq "war." "it just seems like we are being led down the prime rose path........"
===Flowers Foods (FLO)===
boy, that brings back some memories. pretty sure that is one my father owned a long time ago, likely attracted by the div.
he didn't buy and sell often and didn't have it when he passed more that a decade ago, but always looked at management before he would invest. something might have changed on the board, or he just needed some cash for a car or something......
so, did i see that sdr's are making their debut on sept. 30th?????
if so, look out below for the dollar, stocks, bonds, and anything else we buy, or cheap toilet paper, depending how you see it. ha.
take care
i didn't see anything anywhere about how the "stress tests" went for euro banks anywhere in the media, anywhere. italy was teetering last i knew with 8% loans not being repaid, feared to go as high as 15%, a kind of tipping point. nothing. ???
with you on the hdge, several buys this week, 9.57, a little here at all time highs in averages out of thin air and buybacks with phony free money, vs real growth, mixed with really low lows on vix.......i can almost here the music for musical chairs, only soon no one will be able to find an empty one to continue the game.....
Thanks gfp, my exposure here is almost nill, but still spends, ha.
Did REED happen to mention any sponsors of their crafted drink? I remember Snapple being built on the back of howard stern back in the day, and think they sold for a ton later on.......
====and now to teach our kids they should get an award for lying===
Disgraced immigration boss nominated for 'valor' award for calming employees amid terror attack
By Malia Zimmerman Published August 09, 2016 FoxNews.com
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2016/08/09/disgraced-immigration-boss-nominated-for-valor-award-for-calming-employees-amid-terror-attack.html
A U.S. immigration official accused in a federal report of hindering law enforcement agents seeking a suspect in the San Bernardino terror attack and then lying about it has been nominated for a prestigious award – for telling her employees to stay calm and fetching one who was eating lunch in his car.
FoxNews.com reported in June that Irene Martin, who heads the San Bernardino U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services office, had been nominated for the Department of Homeland Security “Award for Valor.” But the department refused to say what Martin had done to earn consideration for an award previously given to government employees who saved people from sinking ships and burning cars and confronted gun-wielding criminals.
The answer was only revealed through a Freedom of Information Act request. As the Dec. 2, 2015, attack unfolded a mile and a half away, Martin “warned [her] employees to be very careful and to be vigil (sic) about their surroundings,” according to the nominating petition.
Irene Martin, the US Citizenship and Immigration Services field boss who clashed with federal law enforcement agents, is shown here in file photo greeting Spc. Brent Kiley, of the US Army’s 11th Armored Cavalry Regiment. ( Sgt. Giancarlo Casem/Defense Video & Imagery Distribution System)
When Martin learned that one member of her staff was sitting in his car after returning from lunch, a security guard refused to go and get him, saying the office was under lockdown.
“[Director] Martin took it upon herself to walk out to the parking lot, locate the employee and escort him back inside where he would be safer,” the petition stated, adding that she also soothed members of the public who were temporarily stranded in the building.
“Martin’s actions on that terrible day demonstrated not only her professionalism and exceptional leadership, but also her compassion and caring for her employees and the public we serve,” read the nomination.
A section on the nominating form for listing “Special Honors and Awards for the past 5 years” was left blank.
“Basically, Ms. Martin followed standard operating procedures for an emergency situation in the area by addressing the staff, suspending programs and sending everyone home early – it’s what thousands of supervisors around San Bernardino must have been doing that day,” said Jessica Vaughan, director of Policy Studies for the Center for Immigration Studies, a Washington-based research institute.
The nomination was made by Martin’s supervisors in Washington on March 3, just over a week before the Department of Homeland Security Inspector General John Roth launched his investigation into Martin’s behavior the day after the attack. Roth’s probe found that Martin blocked five armed Department of Homeland Security agents seeking the man authorities now say supplied the firepower in the deadly attack. The report also said she lied to investigators about her actions.
Vaughan said she suspects the award nomination was put forward to give cover to Martin, who may have broken the law.
“It certainly appears that the agency is trying to distract from that misconduct by puffing up this incident into an award nomination,” Vaughan said. “The agency leaders appear to believe that egregious poor judgment and a serious act of obstruction can be canceled out by another good deed. It doesn’t work that way.”
The DHS award is described as “the highest departmental recognition for extraordinary acts of valor by an employee or group, occurring while on or off duty” and is reserved for “those who have demonstrated extraordinary courage in a highly dangerous, life-threatening situation or emergency under extreme stress and involving a specific act of valor, such as saving another person’s life or property.”
Martin’s initial actions occurred as Tashfeen Malik and Syed Farook killed 14 and wounded 22 at the Inland Regional Center, a social services facility where Farook’s county co-workers were having a Christmas party. Authorities believe Enrique Marquez, who had an appointment with Martin's staff the next day when the authorities showed up, gave the jihadist couple the guns used in the attack.
Martin’s role in the next day’s turf war was exposed by unidentified whistle-blowers who went to Senate Homeland Security Chairman Ron Johnson, R-Wis., who then requested the Inspector General’s investigation.
Roth’s report found Martin improperly hindered the work of five armed agents on site just 24 hours after the attack. It noted DHS agents were sent to the USCIS building to arrest Marquez, who authorities were frantically trying to track down. Marquez, it turned out, had not shown up for his scheduled appointment at the USCIS building, but Martin kept agents waiting 30 minutes before meeting with them, and another hour before she turned over the USCIS file on Marquez.
Marquez was eventually arrested and is being held on charges related to supplying the guns as well as marriage fraud.
Martin also lied to the Inspector General’s investigators, according to the June 6 report, about her role in what has been characterized as a turf battle. Lying to federal investigators is a felony and can result in dismissal and criminal charges.
“We concluded that the USCIS Field Office Director at the San Bernardino office improperly delayed … agents from conducting a lawful and routine law enforcement action,” the report stated. “We have also concluded that the Field Office Director was not candid with OIG investigators during her interview.”
thanks gfp. as a side bar, here in sc a public official can "retire" from his/her job, and then after two weeks get rehired doing the exact same thing, only this time getting a salary AND drawing a pension. NO S__T. city council folks do it all the time, university folks, it is just astounding.
no wonder my late father of 15 years used to beg us kids to get jobs in gov. It is the last growth area left he would say.
and down the tubes we go as the Clinton news network, CNN, and all the rest work overtime to sink any opposition, leagal or not. if not, hey blame the messenger, not the msg that they are crooks. (Dems)
get vomit half way up my throat.
been saying for many years that americans are to stupid to understand even the most basic of hacks, and leaving a back door in voting machines, seems, well, like a no brainer.
i wonder how many of those parts are made in china?
who for years have been suspected of leaving code in hardware bound for the usa, at least in computer nerd magazines, routers, modems, videos card drivers, you name it. i have read stories about the software being hardcoded into the actual chips that allow a back door into any machine that installs it.
lets see, the pres won't stay in nyc hotel after china buys it, but electronic voting is fine. sometimes old school pen and paper works fine, except maybe for leaving hanging chads, ha.
gdxj, I am just a complete tag along on this one, so please keep posting opinions on it. I always take full responsibility for my investments but really just rode your two's conversation on this one and it's turning into another wnr for me
many thanks
got a hair of hdge penny from low today as I keep formula to dollar cost average going.
===== didn't use the price surge to raise money=====
if we only had a share of amazon for every time we have seen that,,,
still, if they can get money at 3, lot better than 1.
now just a watcher, but still interested, small share count, big interest after they get a couple years of cash on the books.
thanks and take care.
ha, said i was happy with the avxl price action just a liiiiiitle bit early, missed the near 50% haircut later yesterday.
hence the small position, may add if it keeps getting hammered.
ahh, the bio world.[color=red][/color]
sounds like a find
the L-7's I mentioned are bookshelf speakers, hence the sub, but they are as sweet as any I ever heard, including the bose 901 in a carpeted wall and ceiling listening room years ago.
the L-9's have just a little bit bigger woofer and are about the size of 1/2 a normal floor speaker.
they didn't make them long, and they keep getting more sought after as the years go by. I used to get pairs for 10 bucks, saw a pair recently for 229, but I think they can be had for under 100 a lot of the time still.
everybody has different tastes, but those L-7's do it for me, ha
take care.
will be fun to watch from a distance, espc if they have an r/s coming.
I am about where I want to be with wildcards right now with real dollars though, (not much,) but have liked the avxl action lately.
thanks, btw listening to Bishob Briggs "wild Horses" on my fav tube mach, 1970's fu-13 ribbed china tubes, big as coke cans, unreal wooden cowbell type clomping in it, like sound was coming from inside my body, rather than a passive lisener......simple sub and cheap cerwin vega 1980's L-9 speakers. Love the L-7's, these just tad bigger woofer.
take care.
ok, can't help it, running 4 song loop
1. Courtney Briggs "porclain" (like siriens calling your 1700's wooden sailboat to the rocks)
2. Bishop Briggs "river"
3 Bishop Briggs "wild horses"
4. Kaleo "way down below"
ha, did you ever see the movie "The Chase," with Charlie Sheen and the original Buffy the Vampire, (movie)?
they kept breaking away to show the "news casters" like they were following an entertainment tonight episode. At the time it was surreal, and then it became the norm.
Kinda like reading the book 1984, back in 1965, it just didn't seem possible, camera's on American people, school busses? How about license plate scanners, cia ceasna's sniffing up millions of phone signals at a time, buried below 13 layers of corporate structure to find out who they were, or iPhone and body/dash cams?
Oh how far we have come or fallen, depending on your point of view.
still dollar cost averaging hdge, slowly, but surely.
====a Wall St transaction/sales tax.====
while generally opposed to new taxes of any kind, i am inclined to think that a tax on bid/ask computer generated "ghosts" that appear for milliseconds/seconds, could make a good trail target. say a charge for bid/asks that don't stay, and are honored, for some length of time, and see how that goes.
that way phony bid/asks that try to move the market prices will cost the computer/non human interaction intrusions would pay, even if a trade is not executed. in my mind that is where the real problem lies, millions and millions of phony bid/ask every second across all markets, all to trying to influence price direction.
Tax them is a start imo, a penalty that they only respect, money out of their pockets, rather than trying to take ours.
IMF Called "Clowns" After Admitting They Fabricated Brexit Doom And Gloom
by Tyler Durden Jul 20, 2016 8:23 AM
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-20/imf-called-clowns-after-admitting-they-fabricated-brexit-doom-and-gloom
"The IMF has serious credibility problems. It has been seriously wrong for years. I hope that one of the things that the new government does is push to have some credible people running this institution... rather than the clowns currently running it," exclaimed UKIP MP Douglas Carswell, pointing out Lagarde's legion of fools flip-flop that the British economy will grow faster than Germany and France in the next two years - only weeks after its doom-laden warnings about Brexit.
As The Daily Mail reports, after saying that leaving the European Union could trigger a UK recession, the International Monetary Fund now expects the British economy to grow by 1.7 per cent this year and 1.3 per cent next year.
That is weaker than the 1.9 and 2.2 per cent growth forecasts before the referendum, but the UK is still set to be the second-fastest growing economy in the Group of Seven industrialised nations this year – behind the United States – and third-fastest next year, behind the US and Canada.
Of course, this is not the first time The IMF has unleashed comedic genius on the world...
But the new UK forecasts represent a climbdown for the global financial watchdog after it issued a string of doom-laden warnings over the damage Brexit would do.
Ahead of the referendum, IMF managing director Christine Lagarde, an ally of former chancellor George Osborne, said Brexit would be ‘pretty bad, to very, very bad’ for the UK.
But the latest forecasts – and an admission that a recession is now unlikely – suggest the outlook is not as bleak as the watchdog claimed.
And again, as The Mail notes, it is not the first time the IMF has had to row back from damaging comments about the UK economy. In April 2013, the fund’s then chief economist Olivier Blanchard said Britain was ‘playing with fire’ by pressing ahead with austerity at a time of ‘very low growth’. But the IMF was quickly forced into a dramatic volte face as the UK economy sprang into life, forcing Mrs Lagarde to admit ‘we got it wrong’.
The IMF’s new chief economist Maury Obstfeld said yesterday there were ‘promising signs’ for the global economy in the first half of 2016, but added: ‘Brexit has thrown a spanner in the works.’
John Longworth, who was ousted as director general of the British Chambers of Commerce after backing Brexit, said: ‘Talk of Armageddon seems to be receding.
‘This is not surprising. If the Government adopts the right policies, we will be in a position where all the doom and gloom that was predicted simply disappears.’
A Treasury spokesman said: ‘Our country remains open for business. We are the same outward-looking, globally-minded, big-thinking country we have always been.’
Still, we are sure The IMF's new forecast will be spot on this time and the mainstream media will spin it as gospel enough reason to buy stocks...
jmo: odds of nuke push in next 4 years
hrc = 10%
djt = 10%
8 inch floppy disks running some of our nukes having accident = 80%
i also use malwarebytes on most of my machines. i was paying as little as 7 bucks for them as they were clearing out their free lifetime updates on newegg, 1 machine, but if you uninstall through the control panel, they let you install it on another machine.
i gave my extended family member my last unopened copy of it, and she found nothing on her server 2011, but on her connecting laptop malwarebytes found 8 problems in the first 39 seconds, she has norton 360 installed on that laptop, no clue how many it eventually found, but the server was clean and took over an hour, so 8 in 39 seconds impressed her, but still think she is at mercy of the gang of ransome ware folks. read somewhere it is fastest growing internet crime, she hadn't clicked on link to see how much they were asking for, so i don't know that yet as we were trying to restore her backup every way i know
agreed, i also thought if a person served their time, they should be free to go about their business. but then perverts were deemed non fixable, so down the rabbit hole we went. no one politcally wanted to be the one who let some ex felon have a gun, or some other rights, and then have them commit another crime. i think only hrc gets away with that one.
i thought all states were ex felon = no vote, until this guy came along saw the dems releasing folks from prison, was a liberal, and saw 200,000 extra votes maybe go his way in the state.
just my thoughts, no facts to back them up, and could certainly be wrong about other states allowing them to vote, just don't know, and am too old and lazy to look tonight. lawnmower overheated in yard today with heat index near 110, and extended family has had their livelihood threatened due to a ransome ware attack on their small business server, and backups look like they are also infected, ugg.
and while i am in such a good mood, my oldest brother was killed crossing the street in CA years ago and my best guess is this is where my not giving a crap about that states health stems from.
isn't he the guy who just allowed 200,000 convicted felons the right to vote? only state in union to do that as far as I know, and i don't remember where i heard this but it was few weeks ago, either exploring idea, or actually did it. def VA.
Why Italy’s bank crisis could be a ‘ticking time bomb’
By abidpasha July 21, 2016 0 Comments
http://www.goldcore.com/us/gold-blog/why-italys-bank-crisis-could-be-a-ticking-time-bomb/
Just as the dust begins to settle on Brexit, Italy’s banking system looms as the next threat to global financial markets.
Previous attempts to resolve Italy’s banking sector woes have proven to be less than effective. Non Performing Loans on the balance sheets of Italian banks represent over 8% of the total loan portfolios. However some analyst fear that this is set to grow to a whopping 15% in the near future.
Results of a stress tests by the European Banking Authority due on July 29 are expected to shed more light on the capital needs of the Italian banking sector, potentially serving as a spark to renewed financial turmoil.
While foreign exposure to Italian banks is relatively low, the bigger worry is that a backlash over a bailout leads voters to revolt, empowering the euroskeptic 5 Star Movement, a political party that is growing in poularity, which has called for a referendum on eurozone membership.
Could we be moving from Brexit to Italeave?
You can read the full article here
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Gold and Silver Bullion – News and Prices
Gold hits 3-week low as equities rise; ECB in focus (Reuters)
Brexit Altering the Landscape for Gold: BofA’s Blanch (Bloomberg)
Chart of The Day – Gold DCL Still Several Days Away (24hgold)
HSBC Bankers Are First Individuals Charged in U.S. Currency Case (Bloomberg)
Gold miner Newmont cuts cost forecast, beats market (Reuters)
Silver Price Ignition or Money Reasserting: When Silver Investment Demand Merges with Industrial Demand (Silverseek)
Gold, Guns, and the New Silk Road – Rory Hall (24hgold)
Why gold’s bond with the dollar has broken (Marketwatch)
Gold Prices (LBMA AM)
21 July: USD 1,322.00 ., EUR 1,199.318 & GBP 1,000.754 per ounce
20 July: USD 1,325.60, EUR 1,204.308 & GBP 1,005.865 per ounce
19 July: USD 1,332.20, EUR 1,203.376 & GBP 1,009.042 per ounce
18 July: USD 1,326.15, EUR 1,200.298 & GBP 1,000.050 per ounce
15 July: USD 1,330.50, EUR 1,194.789 & GBP 994.150 per ounce
14 July: USD 1,325.705, EUR 1,192.99 & GBP 1,001.96 per ounce
13 July: USD 1,340.25, EUR 1,211.45 & GBP 1,009.74 per ounce
Silver Prices (LBMA)
21 July: USD 19.34, EUR 17.55 & GBP 14.66 per ounce
20 July: USD 19.70, EUR 17.88 & GBP 14.95 per ounce
19 July: USD 19.99, EUR 18.07 & GBP 15.18 per ounce
18 July: USD 19.72, EUR 17.83 & GBP 14.89 per ounce
15 July: USD 20.14, EUR 18.08 & GBP 15.06 per ounce
14 July: USD 20.25, EUR 18.23 & GBP 15.15 per ounce
13 July: USD 20.29, EUR 18.31 & GBP 15.25 per ounce
Is A New Banking Crisis Imminent? Recent Rise In Delinquency Rates Is Shocking
Tyler Durden's picture by Tyler Durden Jun 29, 2016 4:00 AM
Submitted by Olav Dirkmaat via UFM Market Trends,
===this is a bit old, but the situation is reportedly only getting worse, acording to tv puppets on this morning, thought it was worth a look. got this by googling, "default rate in european banks." end scs===
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-28/new-banking-crisis-imminent-recent-rise-delinquency-rates-shocking
The delinquency rate on loans is key in understanding banking. It answers one question: what percentage of loans is overdue for payment? The delinquency rate is by far the most useful indicator for “credit stress.” It seems, however, as if delinquency no longer counts. Few are paying attention to the quick and sudden rise of the delinquency rate. What does it tell us and is a new banking crisis imminent?
This Is What Happened after Janet Yellen Hiked the Fed Funds Rate in December
I have said it many times over and I will repeat it here: the last time around, it took Fed-chairman Alan Greenspan over two years and seventeen rate hikes to bring the Fed funds rate from a then all-time-low of 1% to 5.25%, before the U.S. economy suffered the worst recession since the 1930s. We are not so lucky this time.
Greenspan’s rate hikes didn’t affect delinquency rates straight away. Credit stress was subdued until a year after Greenspan’s last hike. Only in the first quarter of 2007, delinquency rates began to move higher. The reason is as clear as the water surrounding the Bahamas: in the years preceding the Great Recession credit growth was mainly focused on the U.S. housing market.
Credit growth was mostly driven by mortgage lending. Mortgages were generously provided by banks, but increasingly to subprime borrowers (subprime referring to their poor credit). Yet these subprime borrowers didn’t pay higher interest rates on their mortgages the moment Alan Greenspan began hiking rates. But as soon as their (promotional) teaser rates resetted, they started “feeling the Alan.” Delinquency rates went through the roof and the U.S. economy into recession.
Teaser rates, the low initial interest rate a borrower pays for the first few years, were responsible for the lag between Greenspan’s rate hikes and the 2008 recession.
More Fragile
Today, the Federal Reserve is ignoring a very inconvenient truth: the global economy is much more fragile than the last time around. And we have no teaser rates in today’s subprime credit (unless we of course consider oil producers that hedged oil prices by buying futures as something akin to “teaser rates”).
This time around, we will certainly not need seventeen rate hikes or three years before pushing the economy into recession.
In fact, we now know what happened after Janet Yellen increased the Fed funds rate with a mere quarter-percentage point: the delinquency rate on commercial and industrial loans increased 50%. That is right. In a single quarter delinquency rates in the U.S. banking sector exploded from 1% to 1.5%. The cycle has turned.
This Is Why Nobody Is Paying Attention
Why is nobody paying attention to this seemingly undeniable shift in the credit cycle? Why does the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) not even mention it? Why are the alarm bells not ringing in both Fed board rooms and the financial press?
The only answer to these questions is that the Fed is committing a capital sin. The headline number, the delinquency rate on all loans, decreased in the first quarter of 2016 from 2.20% to 2.17%. That ignores, however, the underlying pressures building up inside banks’ balance sheets. Fed-officials seem to focus on the headline number, while ignoring the deteriorating fundamentals.
With rising home prices, a vibrant housing market, increasing employment and interest rates at the lowest levels in world history, defaults on mortgage and credit card debt are reaching all-time lows. Yet delinquency on mortgages and credit cards tend to lag the business cycle. Typically, they only rise when we already are in recession, just as unemployment tends to be a lagging indicator.
Delinquency Rate: Do Not Focus on the Headline Number
The headline number is fooling Fed-officials; delinquency rates are still declining. But the delinquency rate on all bank loans (the headline number) has no predictive power; it just follows a random pattern. Source: St Louis Fed
Even if we are on the verge of a new banking crisis, the headline number will never tell us so.
Which Loans Are Increasingly Overdue?
If delinquency rates on consumer credit (mortgages and credit card debt) will not help us in estimating how probable a new banking crisis is, then which delinquency rates do matter? And why did I call them “shocking”?
Let’s first break down a bank portfolio. Bank loans can we divided into three groups:
Consumers
Businesses
Real estate (both commercial and residential)
(Just for the sake of comparison, U.S. banks currently hold $1,300 billion in consumer debt, $1,810 billion in commercial and industrial debt, and over $3,000 billion in real estate debt.)
Banks lend money to consumers for buying homes (mortgages) or consumer goods (credit card debt). We concluded that delinquency rates on those loans tend to lag the business cycle.
What’s left?
Loans to businesses, in whatever form or shape they come. Most of these loans are pegged to an interest rate benchmark, for instance the LIBOR. After the Fed’s first rate hike in December, the U.S. dollar 12-month LIBOR went up from approximately 0.8% to 1.3%. Marginal borrowers are slowly getting pushed into bankruptcy.
December’s rate hike clearly resulted in a change of tides: delinquency rates have bottomed and are on their way up. And do not forget the following: the fact that delinquency rates no longer decrease but began to increase, has always been a clear warning signal for a recession — at least during the past twenty years. And over that same period, this indicator never gave a “false positive,” in contrast to many other (recession) indicators.
Delinquency rate on bank loans is skyrocketing in the US
A clear danger sign: delinquency rates on commercial and industrial loans are creeping up. Source: St Louis Fed
The dollar amount of delinquencies is already skyhigh
In dollar terms the shift is even more pronounced. This is of course the result of our staggering debt levels, which are not apparent in the relative numbers. Source: St Louis Fed
Charge-off rates on bank loans are starting to pick up as well
In line with increasing loan delinquencies, charge-off rates on commercial and industrial loans are picking up as well (charge-off rates tend to lag somewhat). Source: St Louis Fed
Delinquency Rates in Europe
The delinquency rate in Europe is also on the rise. Yet, we do have to single out the countries that skew this eurozone average. Italian banks in particular are suffering from an unbelievably high delinquency rate. The delinquency rate in Italy is at such extreme levels that the country might turn the euro crisis in front page news again (if for once Greece remains on the sidelines).
Delinquency rates in the Eurozone have been on the rise too
The delinquency rate on bank loans in Europe is also on the rise; here too, at least in the periphery countries, it appears the credit cycle has turned. Source: European Central Bank (CBD2, ‘gross non-performing debt instruments’)
Keep a Close Eye on Delinquency
What is next? We will have to wait and see to find out what delinquency rates have done in the second quarter. However, it is clear that the tide has turned. It is irrelevant whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates in July or September. Consensus currently says we should expect two more rate hikes this year. If that is true, we can expect delinquency rates to move up further in the coming quarters.
In 2006 it was exactly twelve months after delinquency rates bottomed that the recession began. If the same period applies, we are due for a recession. In the first quarter of the Great Recession in 2008, delinquency rates were only 1.45%. We are already above that level. On the flipside, however, we should not ignore that it took three years of rising delinquency rates before the economy entered into recession in 2001. Credit cycles are not an exact science. Yet the trend is clear and Fed chair Janet Yellen should be terrified about this disturbing development.
The fact that increasing loan delinquency coincides with mountains of debt maturing in 2016 and 2017 is a topic for next time.
=== the heads of the European Central Bank, of the European Banking Authority and of Director-General Economic and Financial Affairs of the European Commission are all Italian. ====
ha, that couldn't be it, could it?
i mean that would mean political matters ruled supreme. naw, that couldn't really happen as we all know just how much integrity there is out there.......ugg. even the sc now, keeps getting better.
The Italian Banking Crisis (In 1 Simple 'Death Cross' Chart)
by Tyler Durden Jul 14, 2016 2:00 AM
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-13/italian-banking-crisis-1-simple-death-cross-chart
Submitted by Lars Christensen via Market Monetarist blog,
Today I was interviewed by a Danish journalist about the Italian banking crisis (read the interview here). He asked me a very good question that I think is highly relevant for understanding not only the Italian banking crisis, but the Great Recession in general.
The question was: “Lars, why is there an Italian banking crisis – after all they did NOT have a property market bubble?”
That – my regular readers will realise – made me very happy because I could answer that the crisis had little to do with what happened before 2008 and rather was about monetary policy failure and in the case of the euro zone also why it is not an optimal currency area.
Said, in another way I repeated my view that the Italian banking crisis essentially is a consequence of too weak nominal GDP growth in Italy. As a consequence of Italy’s structural problems the country should have a significantly weaker “lira”, but given the fact that Italy is in the euro area the country instead gets far too tight monetary conditions and consequently since 2008 nominal GDP has fallen massively below the pre-crisis trend.
That is the cause of the sharp rise in non-performing loans and bad debt since 2008. The graph below clearly illustrates that.
I think it is pretty clear that had nominal GDP growth not fallen this sharply since 2008 then we wouldn’t be talking about an Italian banking crisis today. There was no Italian “bubble” prior to 2008 and there are no signs that Italian banks have been particularly irresponsible, but even the most conservative banks will get into trouble when nominal GDP drops 25% below the pre-crisis trend.
Therefore, I also don’t think that the “solution” to the crisis is a re-capitalisation of the Italian banks or of the entire European banking sector. Rather the solution is to ensure nominal stability in the euro zone. The best way of doing that would be for the ECB to aggressive increase the money base to ensure 4% NGDP growth in the euro zone (see my recent post on what the ECB in the present situation here and my post from 2012 on a cheap firewall against an escalation of the crisis here.)
A key problem, however, is that the euro zone is not an optimal currency area. In a good recent blog post my friend Marus Nunes rightly argued that there is a “Northern” part of the euro zone where monetary policy broadly speaking is “right” and a “Southern” part, where monetary policy is far too tight. Italy is part of this latter group.
This means that the question is whether keeping euro zone nominal demand “on track” is enough to ensure enough NGDP growth in the Southern countries to avoid banking and sovereign debt crisis coming back again and again. Unfortunately the development over the past eight years gives little reason for optimism.
===average of 67 months===
good LORD, just in time for new car, or replace an asset where the value had dropped 80-100% in many cases.
I lucked out by buying the last year of the 5.9 diesel trucks and still get offers of 2/3, 10 years later, sight unseen. Hear it is the last of the "still can chip" trucks, whatever that means. got it for 13k off list as it was on lot, new, but 2 wheel drive, which no one wanted at the time. went from 13 mpg's new, to 20 mpgs now that it is broken in.
told my better half to just dig big hole and bury me with it, ha.
order in to dollar cost average more hdge as options to prop us up are many, but still running on half empty, i hope. ha
wonder how those banks in Italy are doing?
hey gfp, quick update on the three name thing:
Why Do So Many Assassins Have Three Names?
=== Sorry no link, just googled, then copies article from slate, 1st story that came up.====
By Brian Palmer Jared Lee Loughner.
Gabrielle Giffords, a third-term member of Congress from Arizona, is in critical condition after being shot in the head Saturday. Authorities have identified the would-be assassin as 22-year-old Jared Lee Loughner of Tucson. Noted political assassins Lee Harvey Oswald, James Earl Ray, and John Wilkes Booth also used three names. So did the man who shot John Lennon, Mark David Chapman. And several notable serial killers— Gary Leon Ridgway, John Wayne Gacy, and Paul John Knowles —are also known by three names. (In fact, nine of the top 20 serial killers in the United States, ranked by body count, are known by three names.) Is there a reason so many murderers use their middle names?
It seems to be a coincidence. The three most famous political assassins in U.S. history used their middle names, but many others did not. For example, of the 12 people who have made legitimate attempts to kill a U.S. president, former president, or president-elect, only Booth, Oswald, and would-be Ford assassin Sara Jane Moore are commonly referred to by three names. Some references to Garfield assassin Charles Guiteau include his middle name, Julius, but others do not. If you don't remember the other eight, two-named assassins on that list, it's because most of them were unsuccessful. Consider Richard Lawrence, who failed spectacularly in his 1835 attempt to shoot Andrew Jackson, and John Hinckley Jr., who delivered a nonfatal wound to Ronald Reagan in 1981. There is one successful presidential assassin with only two names in the history books, but Leon Czolgosz has faded into relative obscurity along with his victim, William McKinley.
It's often assumed that three names are used to identify an infamous killer so as to avoid cases of mistaken identity—so other guys named Lee Oswald wouldn't have their reputations besmirched, for example. But some of the most famous three-named assassins identified themselves as such before they committed their crimes.
Oswald, for his part, appeared on the local Louisiana television program "Conversation Carte Blanche" in August 1963 to discuss his support for Cuban president Fidel Castro. Host Bill Slatter introduced him as "Lee Harvey Oswald," and repeatedly used his middle name. Even though some of Oswald's acquaintances referred to him as Lee Oswald, it's not surprising that the press used the three-name version after he murdered Kennedy three months later.
John Wilkes Booth, a well-known actor, preferred to use his middle name in professional settings before he murdered Abraham Lincoln. Playbills listed him as either "John Wilkes Booth" or "J. Wilkes Booth." Not all actors of the period used three names, though. Booth's father and brother, Junius Brutus Booth Sr. and Jr., both used their middle names in playbills. But his more famous brother, Edwin, did not.
Garfield's assassin, Charles Julius Guiteau, used his middle name in some settings but not others. So did the newspapers.
Some friends of James Earl Ray have publicly referred to him as "James Ray" since his conviction for the murder of Martin Luther King Jr. in 1968. But the assassin himself seems to have made a point of including his middle name in writing. He may have done so to distinguish himself from his father, James Gerald Ray. (Ray's brother John Larry Ray was also named James Ray at birth, adding to the Ray family naming confusion, but John claims his birth certificate was the mistake of a drunken doctor.)
It's true, however, that police often announce a suspect's full name to avoid cases of mistaken identity, and reporters tend to follow their example. Mark David Chapman may be such a case. The press didn't have any public statements from Chapman before his arrest, so they may have defaulted to the three names to avoid confusion with other Mark Chapmans. The decision was easier with Loughner, who referred to himself with three names on his YouTube page (although his MySpace page uses only two).
There may be an abundance of three-named killers for other reasons. Would-be assassins might embellish their own names to sound more grandiose. (Middle names were a point of pride when they first became popular in the United States in the 19th century.) Or it could all be a kind of feedback loop: Modern villains want to emulate their role-models.
Got a question about today's news? Ask the Explainer.
Explainer thanks Shailagh Murray of the Washington Post and Charles Savage of the New York Time
sorry to hear about your Dad gfp. Those are some long days in the hospital......
What are the odds of another 3 named person?
makes me wonder if it id done in a way so it to signal others to act, like, "it's on."
so let me get this straight, he admits it is a crime that she should have know info was classified at the highest level, several times, both sent and received by her, yet does not recommend charges,
BULLSHIT and say goodbye to our democratic experiment.
can not go out and greet active democratic guests that just arrived for our pool, afraid I will sound off and there are kids present.
unfreaking believable
sickening
the fix is so far in, it is rammed up there with a civil war cannon rammer.
Even if all goes well, then there is still the "folks" at the fda to get through, and those protecting a multi-BILLION dollar business, well, I just would put anything past them.
Like an acus, even with an fda approved Ph3, at final meeting, knowing they were out of cash, suddenly bringing up, out of nowhere, they didn't test it against, literally, nothing. My mouth still hits the floor thinking about that open call meeting. I think 17 on panel, many I would guess getting some funding from the multi-billion dollar business they were trying to crack, radiating patients and all, vs. no radiation. Just a guess, that wouldn't really happen would it? ugg.
Many thanks, he saved me a ton with that investor coming begging to speak at that conference, showing just how broke, and funds were drying up for bio, all those years ago.
this is one of my lotto's, not too much, zantec on hand.
take care.
hey gfp, did neuro give any odds of success/improvement?
thanks
Congrats on silver yet once again. You and bw got me into gdxj around 21.xx and I kick myself for not more, but has grown to third largest position in trading account.
Here is today's news on thld, as shown by the little icon on my favorites page, I'll try the pre button and see if I can line up stuff:
Why Investors Have These Biotech Stocks on Their Radar? - Synta Pharma, Idera Pharma, Threshold Pharma, and Viking Therapeuti...
Date : 07/01/2016 @ 7:35AM
Source : PR Newswire (US)
Stock : Threshold Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MM) (THLD)
Quote : 0.7 0.0646 (10.17%) @ 4:11PM
Why Investors Have These Biotech Stocks on Their Radar? - Synta Pharma, Idera Pharma, Threshold Pharma, and Viking Therapeuti...
Alert
Threshold Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MM) (NASDAQ:THLD)
Intraday Stock Chart
Today : Friday 1 July 2016
Click Here for more Threshold Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MM) Charts.
NEW YORK, July 1, 2016 /PRNewswire/ --
Market volatility and economic uncertainties are adding more pressure to firms in the Biotech arena, but opportunities are ever present in select companies. Take a look at today's featured equities on Stock-Callers.com and review their recent performances: Synta Pharmaceuticals Corp. (NASDAQ: SNTA), Idera Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: IDRA), Threshold Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: THLD), and Viking Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: VKTX). Click below to receive your free trade alerts on these stocks and more:
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Lexington, Massachusetts-based Synta Pharmaceuticals Corp.'s shares saw a decline of 2.98%, closing Thursday's trading session at $0.26. The stock recorded a trading volume of 386,502 shares. Shares of the Company have advanced 4.08% in the previous three months. The stock is trading 27.96% below its 50-day moving average. Additionally, shares of Synta Pharmaceuticals, which focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of novel oncology medicines for cancer patients, have a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 31.00.
On Thursday, shares in Cambridge, Massachusetts-based clinical-stage biopharmaceutical Company, Idera Pharmaceuticals Inc., recorded a trading volume of 597,494 shares. The stock edged 4.08% higher, ending the day at $1.53. The Company's shares are trading below their 50-day moving average by 0.87%. Furthermore, shares of Idera Pharmaceuticals, which focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics for oncology and rare diseases in the U.S., have an RSI of 50.12.
South San Francisco, California headquartered clinical-stage biotechnology Company, Threshold Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s stock finished the day 9.55% higher at $0.64. A total volume of 2.96 million shares was traded, which was above their three months average volume of 1.03 million shares. The Company's shares have surged 35.19% in the last one month, 38.13% in the previous three months, and 32.38% on an YTD basis. The stock is trading above its 50-day moving average by 48.53%. Additionally, shares of Threshold Pharmaceuticals, which discovers and develops therapeutic agents that target tumor cells for the treatment of patients living with cancer in the U.S., have an RSI of 67.73.
Shares in San Diego, California headquartered clinical-stage biopharmaceutical Company, Viking Therapeutics Inc., ended yesterday's session 5.00% higher at $1.26. The stock recorded a trading volume of 82,827 shares. The Company's shares are trading 3.65% below their 50-day moving average. Moreover, shares in Viking Therapeutics, which focuses on the development of therapies for metabolic and endocrine disorders, have an RSI of 48.50.
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That is just unbelievable, I have Varney and Co dvr'ed from this morning and he breaks in with a "fox can confirm there is an active shooting situation at the base." It's a wonder a lot of folks don't get put down for having a cell phone or something else in their hands during those type drills and not everyone knows it's a drill.
freaking YIKES. can we smell what they are cooking? apparently not.
nra also just started spending 26 million on pro gun ads yesterday that no one else was/is. feel really good about lifetime membership in something that brings so much pleasure.
my alma is in bottom of 9th, 2 run lead and other team has one out and first and third, yikes, first in 90's against mit, harvard and such in stock picking, now in baseball world s. not bad for small party school near Myrtle Beach!!! 2 outs, 1 to go! (on dvr, busy day) yikes they just scored another, 4-3, they have man on third, two outs, feel faint, ha! few weeks ago to get here, they were down to last strike, when game got delayed, they had to sleep and come back, guy got hit, they won the game to keep advancing, unreal.
now 2-2, 2 outs, and ......3-2 and,,,,,,WE WIN, STRIKE OUT. our 21 year coach balling his eyes out, fans going nuts, don't think i'll be driving near the beach tonight, they will be going more nuts then normal, and near July 4th, EXTRA NUTS.
think 90% + of country wants no fly list folks not to be able to buy a gun. most don't realize you don't know if you are on it, how you got on it, if a neighbor who does not like you can help get you put on it, how in the heck you can get off it, ect. think pres added 430,000 in one year, out of 1.1 million or so, but those are from old, fuzzy memory, but it was a ton in one year.
thanks for stock info, we both have had experience in the yo yo ride they can provide, it would be nice to hit lotto for a change, even back in favorite with money i never expect to see again. ha.
better nra than hrc. imo.