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Well I sure aint gonna try & call that top.....not in this current US econ enviornment.....800 wont shock me at this point :0
...is it just a waste of time?"
could quote Waters all day 'n nite long...hehe
"..mother will they try to break my balls?" :0
what's the time frame?....
& can you pls copy & paste that link?
Thx!!!
Just did....where do you get that 119 from?
& yes, I do think that's attainable as long as the US econ continues drifting south over the next 2 Q's.
I'm gonna have ta check out here in a few....nap x's jus about over....after awhile u can easilly sense these things...lol
Back later on tonight...GO SOX!!
Well that's the page I am on here....the top of the chart...BUT.....
from my experience w/trying to call the top of a chart (as I did a month or 2 ago w/the cable...gbp/usd) I've gotten hammered as previous ath's continued to get taken out.
& it wont surprise in the least here if the Aus attains new ath's.....from a fundi perspective, the table seems set for new Aus highs vs the greenback.
Here's hopin that from a t/a viewpoint tho I'm finally right in calling a top.
yes....at least more so than short.....
But I think I know where u might be goin w/this.....as noted ystrdy....I closed out ALL my long gold positions prior to goin short on the Aus.
& as it stands now that was not a good move as gold contiues to rally.
Yeah....saw that...this oudda be real interesting....
sets the stage for $100+ oil....among MANY other things that I'd rather not comment on :0
My tp (take profit) price varies depending upon the strat of the trade in ?...it's never a pre-determined % or price. The chart at the time tells me that info.
Same goes for my sl (stop loss)....tho this is one area where I need to put more focus on cuz quite simply, I haven't been setting sl's.....which of course is something I would never dream of doing w/live $$.
Thus far I'm gettin creamed on this trade....& the news in the US hasn't helped matters. So now I'm doin somethin that's an even bigger no-no.....I'm rollin the dice & takin even larger short positions now on the Aus/USD. I could very well end up given back all of my gains on the month (75%) & then some....might even totally wipe out the demo acct on the mos....or I could end up bein a Hero....all I need is for a 30-40 pip retrace from here (90.79) & all will be OK.
Again....this is somethin I would never even think about doing w/a live acct.....so pls don't try this @ home....unless u r a Professional on a closed course...lol
Sorry I couldn't be of more help & that it took me awhile to reply....but your ? is a very individual one which would beg me to ask you more ?'s w/re to YOUR overall stratagies....ie risk/reward ratio.
BOLTU!!
& I'm happy u were bustin me....makes me feel part of the fam ;))
Tell ya what tho....if I were to ever make it my career, the manner in which I write my posts would def change. Would have to be more professional datz fo'sho.
Nice ta know there's no need ta prove myself jus the same...I guess my steady roi's are doin that for me anywho ;)~
Just 4 S's 'n G's (aka chits 'n giggles) I just went short the Aus v US @ 90.13 for 350K units...jus seems to me it's havin trouble goin north from here. & I have closed out all my gold positions.....I've kinda changed my short term outlook there...just thinken at this point there's a greater chance for a retrace at these levels than a further rally. Would love to see a retrace cuz as mentioned, I think itza great buy on any significant dips. But geeez louise....would ya look at the run there since mid Aug....WHOA!!!
Me thinks it's best to wait it out now & let it drop a bit....& to that one would say...then y dont ya short it? Too risky imo...would rather watch from the sideline & buy on the dips than risk goin short & me being wrong & the rally goes on. Just looks like it's gotten a lil ahead of itself.....even w/all the whacko #'s comin oudda the US that are throwin conventional trading strats to the curbside.
OK....I already missed the 1st inning....GO SOX!!!
I took'em @ +125 to win it all right before the post season began....if I were smart, I woulda waited til they were down 3-1 vs the Rocky's when the were 5-1 to win it all....lol Man alive was that one of the all time great comebacks or what....outscorin Colo 30-5 in the last 3 games. Hopefully they'll have enuff to cool off the Rockys...now there's a team that's been an absolute fire!!
Cheers!!!
OK...it's nap time here so I have a few mins of my own "play" time...
When I spoke w/H.R ystrdy for 10 mins or so....unbeknownst to me, seems as if I've already kinda made the initial H.R rounds of sorts. A few mos back you might recall I started attending a local (30 mins from me) 4X TA training group in San Jose...The Forex Training Institute. & wadda ya know, from that discussion ystrdy I found out that the person who is part owner of this outfit & the one who I've already met & who conducts all the training works closely w/SFCE. So in part, I've already formerly introduced myself to this group & thus kinda in the door w/at least one Bay Area 4X family....small world.
On the Minimum Requirements front....already have the degree....even though it's not a direct hit as far as Econ, Finance & or Math goes....Biz is close enough....especially w/my Minor being Small Biz & Entreprenurial Mngmt.
Now I know what u r thinken w/re to "Excellent written & oral skills"...especially since you put that 1 in bold....lol
As far as my presence here, it was never my intention to come here to apply for a job.....thus, I don't feel the need to do silly stuff like spell ck, syntax (obvisouly..lol) or use n e other "proper" grammer. Of course if need be, I know I can effectively write & speak in a professional manner in the real big bad biz world....already been there & done that prior to entering full time Daddyhood....& I worked for several yrs prior to Daddyhood (all my life in fact..lol)...we waited a long time to have kids (too long imo...we shoulda started sooner) as we were married for over 7 yrs before havin #1 5+ yrs ago so I was working full time up until then. At any rate, I trust you know that I would never write up a reso composed in my IHUB chat board "speak".....tho that would be a hoot wouldn't it :0
OK...next item....highly motivated & self driven...I think I can sell that one 2 folks....been demo tradin (& taking it very seriously as you know) fairly consistently now for over 5 months (this is actually my 2nd time demo trading....1st time I tried it was approx 2 yrs ago...did it 4 a few months back then)....tryin to absorb as much as I can w/lil spare time I have w/the lil one's runnin all over & around me...lol & even w/all the distractions I've yet to have a negative roi month...in fact I think my lowest roi month may have been +15%...not sure of that but I do know I've yet to have a losing month. & no, I am not counting the last day or 2 of any given month where I've simply put it all up on the line just for the sake of the contests....which I have already stated here....of course I would never pull such moves w/a live acct.
W/re to the various licenses, altho I don't have any of'em I have actually studied in the past for the series 7 (stocks) & 65 (mutuals)...never did actually take the time sit down to take the tests tho...but I did (& still do if I ever needed) have a sponser (yes, you need an already licensed sponser in order to take any of the tests) in a buddy of mine who has owned his own Wealth Management Boutique for over 20 yrs now....there was a time when I was seriously considering going to work for him....back then his umbrella under mngmt was under 50M & now he's grown it to over 225M! Another case of the woulda coulda shoulda's. Never did take a look at the Series 3 or 63 however.
& no, I don't have a foreign language under my belt except for the very basics of Spanglish...lol Tho if I went this route as a career my intentions would not be to build my book in that direction...non english speaking accts. I'd primarilly focus on english speaking high income accts. I'd try to focus my marketing on small wealth management boutiques (such as my buddies) & try to get them to allocate a portion of their capital to 4X for which I'd manage for them for a "nominal" fee...hehe Most of these boutiques do not dabble at all in 4X because they don't want to spend their resources on anything else other than stocks, bonds, mutuals, etc. Not many 4X specialists out there & my fee would simply be a % of the monthly profits.
& the last 2 quali's were noted as a +...not a mandatory requirement.
Bottom line. tho...truth be known, we all know nothing is really a mandatory requirement as long as you have the drive, motivation & show that you can sell....which is nothnig more than relationships imo. If you can show that u posses those qualities, they'll take ya in for a few mos & at least "kick your tires" around to see if you got the right stuff.
Excellent written & oral skills in bold.....u slay Bud....lol
Trust me...I'll be sure to spell check my monthly 4X Newsletter's that will go out to all accts...lol
Agreed....I've been sayin this for over a month now.....the times they are a changin.
We are now in a mrkt where we are witnessing changing dynamics w/re to what were once seen as trading fundimentals.
A very tough time for traders indeed.
& Cat....I'll respond to your post from ystrdy a lil later on when I have more time in greater detail....but in short, yes, I do have some of the quali's that they (SFCE) are lookin for..at least the most important one which is a college degree....my Major is in Biz w/a Minor in Small Biz & Entreprenuerial Mngmt. Thus I took SEVERAL Econ classes along the way. I've already spoken to H.R. @ SFCE & in short, the conversation went quite well.
Overnight gold continued 2 pls the demo acct.....up to an roi of 65% w/a current UNrealized p&l of right around + $1,500....should just take the those gains off the table (long gold @ 757.540 for 400 units) but at this point I'm thinken the Dow will continue to bleed thru Fri's close & gold will end up closin above the weeks open...maybe goin north of 769? I'll just most likely continue to buy it on any significant dips from now thru Thurs nite.
Back later...Cheers!!
my pleasure..anytime....damn the Aus/US has been on a tear today....& to think I jumped on long this AM @ 89.17 & decided to bail at 89.19 cuz I wasn't all too confident.....lololol
Sitten @ 90.34 x 90.36 now...woulda coulda shoulda.
Gettin too safe in my newly found gold comfort zone I suppose.
By hitting the sell button.....GL!! eom
Yeah....not the wisest of moves indeed.
Hey, been meaning to ask.....wasn't there supposed to be some 4X Industry Player who was gonna be joining us here? Then he had some sign on prob or somethin like that?
Just curious cuz I'm still in the process of doin some lookin around as far as a career goes....lookin at SFCE.com right now....an Investment Manager position...which I suppose those positions are a dime a dozen. They train ya then you go out & build up your book & you're off....tho of course you're locked into their platform.
Anyone ever hear or know of this outift?
www.sfce.com
TIA
Guess it all depends upon what kinda trade you're lookin at?
Long term, down is the easy call...especially after the nice 'lil' spike to the north there.
Not so sure there's many fundi's out there to truly support much of a long position after the spike?
If you're lookin for a short term trade....then that would depend upon your risk/reward ratio...how low of a s/l are you willing to set?
Either way guess you could say I'd be lookin to short that one.
Just a governing body is all I think....no regulations or at least any laws to truly protect the trader like we see w/the SEC.
Some1 pls correct me if I'm offbase here.
TIA
Best to make consistent withdrawls each month...or better yet, ask for all of your monthly profits leaving only your seed money in. If there's gonna be a problem, you're bound to find out about it sooner rather than later.
Thx for the post.....sooo many things to always consider....especially in an unregulated mrkt.
& speaking of such....as it relates to the deal desk vs. non deal desk thread.....what would be considred the drawback to going w/a non deal desk? There's always pro's & con's to both sides...most of the time, just curious....why wouldn't one choose a non deal desk vs a deal desk? Seems fairly straight forward to me, thus I think I gotta surely be missen somethin here.
Will do...& thx again/eom
From a quick glance I didn't notice gold as being one of the pairs they offer.I've kinda gotten addicted to gold over the last month or so.
Also.....looks as if they charge roll-overs...as most outfits do....however I haven't noticed rollovers at Oanda...maybe I'm missen'em...not sure but if I had to say....looks to me as if Oanda doesn't charge'em.
Thx for the heads up tho....goin thru a non deal desk outfit is something that is def on my list of things to check out.
EFX is now bookmarked for future ref.
Cheers!!!
Just did my usual today....
went long gold this AM @ 755.600...(on a 40 pip spread) it got a lil ugly right off the bat...but as per usual....held my ground & wadda ya know....just closed it out @ 757.45 for a $575 & change tp..not bad for a days "work" yawn!!!
Oanda should report me bein over 50% roi now.....but I'll feel lucky if they put me at 15%....lol
Ni TZzzzzzzzzzzzzz
volitility is your friend......
it's all relative...makes no diff if itza 40-250+ pip spread....as long as the liquidity is there. Same goes for the gbp/jpy & all the other more volitile pairs, those suckers can move & move fast.
Just makes ya have ta be a lil better at picken your spots is all. Goin long w/Gold on the dips over the last few weeks has been a great strat....tho I wont even begin to consider it til Mon AM at the earliest.....sure dont wanna pay anymore than 40 pips :0
xau/usd over @ Oanda pretty much runs a spread of 40 during high liquidity hrs. During the slowest hrs (like now when the mrkt is closed) the spread is 250. Once the mrkt opens & liquidity begins to return...typcailly after 12-24 hrs, the spread begins to go lower til it finally reaches 40.
I've been primarilly demo trading this spread the last 2+ weeks now & this has been my experience.
Pokerstars...casino's.....hmmmmmm
anyone see a corellation here? ;)~
Ni TZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
I do know that w/some outfits....it's as simple as making a request...tho I think if they were to actually listen to ya, it'd behoove you to have a decent acct w/em....tho ya never know I suppose.
Kinda like a casino....they'll give ya action on just about anything as long they think it's worthy of THEIR time.
W/re to 4X, I think most folks don't wanna get too exotic....it's tough enuff as it is & the brokerages dont wanna mess w/smaller mrkts they most likely know very lil about...or have no one assigned to track & thus stay in tune w/your particular region.
& w/re to the ave Joe makin money...I think they want ya to make a boatload of money (at first) cuz when you do, you're more likely to give it all right back....lol
Now there's a loaded ?
W/re to diverse...if you're ref to who offers more pairs.....I have to say from my fairly limited experience, Oanda does....they even let ya do battle w/gold.
Any luck yet in finding an outfit who runs the peso?
BOLTU
Don't be so quick to believe Norton....a mrktg ploy imbedded in the program.....or so my Oracle Guru tells me.
They want your biz & of course want you to think they're doing a bang up job if catching stuff.....same goes for all the other protection programs out there...some embellish more than others tho....& I hope my girls embellish less :0 lol
You sure got that right....
Ya know what doesn't mix...politics & biz.
What we need is a good admin (politicians) w/some serious biz backround...or at least an admin that has the sense to surround itself w/decent advisors.
OK...best get off my soap box b4 I cause anymore trouble 'round here.
& on that note, I should take this opp here to thank you & the CaT for all your recent support along those lines w/re to that moveon.org post. I agree that we're all adults here & trust that if anyone ever has the desire to post such material, we are all mature enuff to make sure that it will not get out of hand. After all, I don't expect to change anyone's views & by the same token, I also respect any views that may differ from mine....after all, that's what keeps this great planet spinen 'round 'n 'round....that & physics...lol
Indeed debate is constructive as long as there's mutual respect being shared @ all times. Having said that, I sure hope nostinc hasn't bailed on us...I have enjoyed his banter & will miss it if he has decided to check-out.
Cheers!!
Thus I guess the parachute plan here is to rely on exports to pull us through...that & banking on emereging markets. I think if we can lend more of a helping hand to those up & coming economies around the globe, that could very well pay off some pretty nice dividends down the road. Pay it forward if ya will.....tho that strat could be viewed as a gamble that's hard to stomach in times like these.
Well at least they're close w/you.....all they gotta do is remove the minus sign in front of your 3.25 & you'll be good to go...lol
I don't think I'm gonna email'em....somethin tells me they have more important fish to fry w/the live accts.
& the fact that they never even responded to a board MOD makes me think...why would they bother w/lil ol' me?
& having said all that...we all know what our true roi's are.... of course as long as we are willing to take one's word for it. Thus I'm now at 3,500%...& that truly speaks volumes cuz I went from 50% to 3,500% all after the mrkt had closed ystrdy....hehe
So who here thinks we're in for a "doozey" of a recession?
I aint thinken it's gonna be necessarilly a doozey of one....but I sure am thinken it's gonna be the mother of all slowdowns that'll last 2-3 Q's minimum. I think the fed will try & do whatever it is they can to make it as cushiony as possible (as they did a few weeks back)....but as mentioned, there's only so much rate cuts can do...& for so long. Eventually the economy is gonna haveta pay the piper at some point & I think we're now in the 1st or 2nd inning.
Here's hopin there's some good middle inning relief & our Closer (Helicopter Ben) is on his game ;)~
& if ya ever did decide to delete any post of mine....
no prob....my skin is as thick as it comes.
Note, I did preface said post w/an upfront apology in advance if it happend to have offended anyone.....guess that wasn't good enuff.
Bad Worn...bad!!!
OK....to repent maybe I should lead us off w/a round of Cumbayah....naw, better not, if ya don't like my political- enviornmental position, you surely wont like my singen ;)~
Ni TZzzzzzzzzzzz
Babalou.....
1 of my fav screen names. ;)~
This is what I mean about the Oanda roi calcs....
you say you'e back into the green ("game acct into the plus") yet they are sayin u r @ -3.75...unless u r referrin to another screen name that u may be usin?
They've been slowly moven me up each nite but not even remotely close to where I should be. Tonight I should be around 50% w/a realized pl of 10,108 & change...yet they have me @ 9.93%...up from ystrdy's 5%....when I shoulda been around 35%+/-
& w/re to the moveon.org piece I posted....sorry it offended you nostink.....not sure why or how it did...but it makes no diff I suppose...I never meant to make anyone upset over it & truth be known, I thought some here just might enjoy the music clip that went along w/it....geo-political-enviornmental viewpoints aside.
Hmmmm......guess itza good thing I'm a Raider fan or else you wouldn't want me talkin about football either...lol
No worries....case closed.....I wont mention it again....dot the planet w/all the pricey nuke plants ya want....we're bound to find another viable planet to polute real soon :0
& just in case I get mis-read here yet again....please be sure to note that this post was written w/tongue firmly planted in cheek....& if ya don't know what that means....simply put...I was being sarcastic.
PEACE!!
U mean football?
lol
I think that may have been a jab at my moveon.org post from ystrdy.
Sorry if it offended...as stated in the post in ?
But if u really do wanna talk about relgion....it won't bother lil Atheist me ;)~
Be my guest.
Quite the broader index haircut :0
Even w/decent tech #'s it don't seem as if that's helpin all too much.....& the rate cut(s).....the party is well over now after that last 1/2 pt cut. I must admit tho, I was fairly surprised the party lasted this long post cut.
& it's hard to believe that any future cuts will give the mrkts a 3+ week rally....it just wouldn't make any sense w/how all the fundi's have been lookin.
My 2 penny's worth on a recession fear Fri.
Cheers!!
Guess not....lol
Tho now I'm no longer havin the prob.....guess it was an AM glitch.
Just went against my strat & shorted gold @ 765.820.....I'm thinken that at least for the short term it's gotten a lil ahead of itself & due for a minor retrace.....lookin for 760.750 or thereabouts.
On the enviornmental-geo-political front.....I thought I'd pass this moveon.org email along in case anyone was interested in signing this latest nuke petition....after 30 yrs we're still fighten the same battle....indeed the more things change, the more they stay the same. & even if you don't wanna sign it, checkout the video, good stuff.
& if this happens to offend anyone, apologies in advance...& by all means pls feel free to delete this post if the powers that be feel it's necessary.
Cheers!!
Dear MoveOn member,
When Jackson Browne, Graham Nash, many other bands and I played our "No Nukes" concerts in 1979 to 100,000 people, we never dreamed we'd have to come back almost 30 years later to fight the same fight all over again.
But it's 2007, and here we are again. The nuclear industry just slipped a clause into the energy bill that will provide up to $50 billion in tax subsidies for to build new reactors—enough to launch a whole new generation of nukes! We've already got the safe, viable alternatives to replace the dirty energy we're using now. Building new atomic reactors in an age of terror threats is not only scary, but the toxic waste from nuclear power threatens our health and our planet.
The nuclear option is not the way to go.
So I called my friends, and we recorded a music video to spread the word. We've also launched a petition, and I'm asking MoveOn members to sign on. Here's what it says:
"America's new energy policy needs to focus on safe and economic fuel sources. Congress must strip the nuclear tax subsidies from the energy bill before they pass it."
Clicking below will add your signature (and you can also see the video that we produced on that same page):
http://pol.moveon.org/nukefree/o.pl?id=11429-3512407-NUH_Wv&t=4
When you're done, please take a minute to pass it along to your friends.
$50 billion in loan guarantees is a lot of money—enough to cover financial risk for the big banks who want to get involved. In other words, if something goes wrong, it will be the American taxpayers who foot the bill, not Wall Street.
It makes no sense. We know nuclear facilities are a target for terrorists. We know nuclear energy is toxic to our health and environment. And we know solar and wind power are safer, cheaper, and getting easier to use every day. This should equal a big "no" on nuclear energy, and a big "yes" to investing in clean energy. But the nuclear industry and their friends in Congress don't want to take no for an answer.
We know MoveOn members worked to pass this energy bill and most of it is great—we'll get more solar and wind with this bill, and even more fuel efficient cars. We just need to ask Congress to take the nuclear subsidies out.
So that's why we're reaching out to you. No one is better than MoveOn when it comes to mobilizing quickly on important issues.
Can sign your name to the petition below and pass it along to your friends?
"America's new energy policy needs to focus on safe and economic fuel sources. Congress must strip the nuclear tax subsidies from the energy bill before they pass it."
http://pol.moveon.org/nukefree/o.pl?id=11429-3512407-NUH_Wv&t=5
Thanks for listening. Together we can find a way to a cleaner future.
–Bonnie Raitt, Musician
Thursday, October 18th, 2007
P.S. To check out the video, see more information, and read the list of everyone who has signed onto this campaign, go to www.nukefree.org/.
Support our member-driven organization: MoveOn.org Political Action is entirely funded by our 3.2 million members. We have no corporate contributors, no foundation grants, no money from unions. Our tiny staff ensures that small contributions go a long way. If you'd like to support our work, you can give now at:
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Good stuff....thx.....anyone else havin trouble tryin to login to Oanda's demo platform this AM?
& it wasn't all too long ago that Putin for the most part was a "closet" Iran supporter if I recall correctly. Scary times indeed these are.
On a much lighter note....I have yet to hear anyone (thinken I may have missed a logical explanation) comment on the Oanda roi figures.
Last night prior to the midnite east coast time zone cut-off I had no trades on the books & my roi was over 20% (4K)....yet they reported my total roi @ 3.14%...& of course right now it still says that.
Afer today (I just closed out the only trade I had left on the day) I will have a realized pl of 7,071.19 or 35+%
Is there some sorta bug w/Oanda in how the #'s are being reported or have I been missing something here?
& yes, the only thing I've been doing is loading up on gold big time on the dips....& it's working like a charm.
At this point I've been kinda kicken myself for not holding these postions longer. Think what I may start to do next is just sell portions of the positions...lock in some profits along the way...then continue to dump on further gains.
It's really been an easy strat to focus on....I've been barely following any of the other pr's...just glancin at the majors from time to time is all.
Simply stated....
as mentioned....buy gold on the dips....I have w/the demo-contest acct (& another demo/strategy acct I set up) & have done fairly well the last few trading days...back up over 10% on the month after giving away all of my early gains of 10% on the month...& then some.
I'll go out on a limb here & also say that the Dow may see 12,750 by end of q2 or sooner....& of course I certainly hope no lower.
Earnings aren't there (so far) & I don't think that's going to be improving anytime soon....& I also think the Fed will continue to lower rates as well.
I heard Greeny say an interseting thing in his recent interview w/Bartoromo from CNBC...in so many words here....he says that the only profits coming out of earnings are coming from foreign investments (i.e. emerging mrkts) which presently acct for approx 1/3 of total earnings bein publically reported....thus the other 2/3'rds are losses & those losses are primarilly stemming from domestic equities.
So we are in a mrkt enviornment where we are seeing a approx 66% losses...or EPS coming in below street estimates.
So I guess I'll say somethin here we already know.....emerging markets is where the smart $$$ are...as well as shorting the dollar on any decent dollar rallies.
So using the 2/3'rds figure I'll say that out of every 10 trading days...the Dow will see 3 up days to 7 down days & the down days will be more volitile than the up days....& this is how I came to my 12,750 call by end of q2....a 10% +/- haircut from where it is now.
I just don't see any fundimentals to support a further rally on this side of the pond...the dow has gotten way ahead of itself & not much news imo. Most of the signals are pointing to a correction...& it is much needed imo.
Thx for the Pheening....I do enjoy reading that...a very good overview/snapshot of what's been brewing.
Hope all's been well w/everyone else....or at least those of us who think this board is worthy of one's time....unreal the lengths some will go to in order to satisfy their over-inflated ego's.
Cheers!!
1st the banks...then the homeowners....
so much a free-open market economy...lol
Kinda liken Oak w/the 10 pts today....not sure they'll pull it off....but passin up on 10 pts is hard to do in any div rival game.
After 4 weeks tho it's good see the AFC West still up for grabs.