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Thanks! How do we speculate from here...
1 ) The TA shows the 50/200 dma crossing here. The current action could be as simple to explain as that. The chart has been held down on weak volume the past 9 months. Now the 50dma and 200dma have caught up with each other and its time for some equilibrium to get checked (supply and demand). See chart below...
2) I think if ARIA gets bought out, it will be between $10-$15 ($12ish would be my exact guess... just a guess based on my TA).
3) It's possible that the EMA has made a decision and it has been leaked. Dirty insiders.
Summary of possible reasons for this price action -- Pure TA move, Buy out, Science.
I am sure there are many others.
My specific opinion can be found here:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=104591731
Daily chart with 50/200 ma crossing
III told you "looking for $10"
BOOOOOOM BOOOOOOOM
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=104457360
50/200 getting it on... so sexy http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=104457540
IIIVERSON knows whats up http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=104457360
$ASTC about to go BOOOOOOM BOOOOOOOOOM!!!!!!!!!!!
great call on AEYE you SOB!
ARIA chart - Weekly Ichimoku Clouds... trailing green line closed right on the blue line. See chart below.
Could be a bottom. See top Indicator (MACD), has positive divergence on the 6 month down trend.
III expect some unexpected stuff next week.
BOOOOOOOOOOM BOOOOOOOOOOOM, looking for $10
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIVERSON
Watch out for ARIA news any day now. I think the stock only goes up from here. Today's dip is a market pull back on weak technicals. Everything will be green again tomorrow.
I think ARIA is heavily oversold from this morning.
Ariad was too slow and greedy. Got beat to the finish by some college students.
"The approach works by extracting a patient's T-cells, then genetically programming them in the lab to target cancer cells that produce a protein called CD19.
The altered T-cells are then re-injected into the patient's body, where they multiply and attack cancer."
This is 10000000000000000000x better than some poison drug manufactured by a biotech company that they have to pay the FDA to approve. proof that greed is no good.
Congrats to the world for finally getting it right.
Depends if you like to live dangerously...
Refer to yesterdays post.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=103892957
Holding $6s is key. So far so good.
IMO, I can't really see this going much lower. It is still technically oversold on most time frames. The science is still there.
Good luck.
The 50&200 DMAs have basically consolidated. CHART BELOW.
$6s has shown to be support numerous times in the past few months. However, the 6 month chart pattern looks to be in the formation of a Descending Triangle.
Descending Triangle (Continuation) (from links below)
The descending triangle is a bearish formation that usually forms during a downtrend as a continuation pattern. There are instances when descending triangles form as reversal patterns at the end of an uptrend, but they are typically continuation patterns. Regardless of where they form, descending triangles are bearish patterns that indicate distribution.
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:descending_triangle_continuation
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns
III am holding onto my August $7 call options... only because I like to take risks and because $6 has shown to be support numerous times in the past few months.
The EMA response that's coming out soon will probably prove to be the bearish break down or could prove the bullish break out. In other words, I think the consolidation is done and ARIA is ready to make its next move and create the next/new pattern.
look at this SOB... reporting LARGE BUY on Friday AH.
http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=62732322&symbol=ARIA
Yes, that is exactly what they are doing.
They are loading up cheap for the long run.
ARIA current market cap is $1.2 billion...
How many years is it going to take ARIA to reach $1 billion in revenue? How much revenue do they expect to generate from Iclusig/Ponatinib?
Is ARIA worth $1 billion? (more or less)
I remember when the market valued ARIA over $3 billion...
12 Month Period Ending: Currency is US Dollar
Total Revenue
12/31/2013
12 Months
46 million
12/31/2012
12 Months
0.56 million
12/31/2011
12 Months
25 million
12/31/2010
12 Months
179 million
12/31/2009
12 Months
8.3 million
ARIA chart - Volume by Price, just an observation.
On the left side on the chart you will notice the VOLUME by PRICE & you will notice a GIANT CHUNK from $5.55 to $6.25 that is missing (No Volume in that Price range)...
I think $6.25 is a great support area for ARIA (as it has shown for a while now, I inserted the RED horizontal line there). I wonder if ARIA will "fill the gap" or use it as a building block for the next rally.
The lower indicator is CMF (Money Flow) and it is back at equilibrium.
Very nice find. Also in the link it says
Author Affiliations
1. Strategic Business Unit, Thermal Analysis Division, Rigaku Corporation, 3-9-12 Matsubara-cho, Akishima-shi, Tokyo, 196-8666, Japan
Boooom boooom
ASTC beautiful close today.
3 days... keep watching this chart, it will form some nice shapes
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=aria&p=d&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p08838607643
$ASTC about to go BOOOOOOM BOOOOOOOOOM!!!!!!!!!!!
ARIA chart, daily. Notice the lower indicator (CMF) money flow. It has formed an interesting pattern the last month. I would describe it as a multiple bottom. Looks like a W, but this particular one includes a type of reverse head and shoulders pattern, which is bullish. Or you could say its like a Quadruple bottom. Just something I noticed. I think its bullish.
ARIA Chart, Weekly Clouds... one thing to notice here.
THE RED CLOUD is very thick (too thick) and should shrink back to a thinner cloud. The Senkou Span A (currently the bottom line on the cloud) is starting to turn up as well. AKA the average of the red and blue lines plotted out 26 days (see link below). IMO, things are starting to look up and the clouds say a nice size move is coming. Furthermore, there is a lot of support in the $6 area.
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:ichimoku_cloud
I don't think ARIA will fall much further and we should be able to move up from here. We shall see.
1st Detect Awarded U.S. Patent for Improving Mass Spectrometer Performance
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/1st-detect-awarded-u-patent-110000818.html
Ariad Pharmaceuticals Says Sale Expected to Settle on June 17, $176.9M Net Proceeds to ARIAD Expected>ARIA
Ariad Pharmaceuticals Says Effective Conversion Price for Notes Expected to be $12/Shr>ARIA
Why A Short Covering Rally Might Come for Ariad (ARIA) Stock
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-short-covering-rally-might-133157883.html
III think now is the time to be buying ARIA. The dilution has triggered a "Bear Trap". (if you don't know what this is, look it up, it's important to understand)
The stock has great support in the $6s where long term moving averages are.
Logically thinking, the longs are not going anywhere and someone just funded/bet/went long $175 million. Many shorts will cover soon.
now is the time to be buying ARIA.
IIIIIIVERSON
based on what i see in the charts, i would expect to get more aria news over the next few days.
ARIA closed the Gap up from last week, now it has a gap to close at $7. BBs are most interesting here.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=77713212
$ASTC is about to BOOOM BOOOOOOOM!!!!!!!!!
I hope so.
selling is done. squeeze time...