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Hey, don't take this wrong, but the TA has saved me .10/share, and I am VERY happy about it!
If you don't like or understand TA, fine, but to say that fundamentals are better... can't figure that one out! I'd love to buy back in and see this stock go to $1.50, but you might have noticed it is dropping fast... so once it hits the proper TA level, maybe time to jump in again. We all want to make money here, right?
I really appreciate the TA posts here, and they have been better than the usual 70%, so keep them coming!
Glad the board has calmed down. I reviewed all posts and after serious contemplation have determined.....
that I am completely blameless.
ZZZzzzzzzzzzz... wha?
Sorry, your reasons (the chart) are open to dispute... the chart will not take this stock to .60, either emotion or earnings or news might.
As to your "the beginning of the great business plan being executed"... Maybe you can share with the board just exactly what you know about the specifics of the business plan, aside from WWTBAM, so we know why you think it is "great"... Hope is a good thing, but don't pass it off as knowledge, especially if you are snotty to others with different opinions.
Hey, this stock has had a great run. Enjoy... relax!
Remember, "Han keep gob closed, catchee no flies"
Han, sounds like you manage money for others... I would hope you would have better judgment. Nobody posting on this sight is going to have a material effect on this or any other stock. Media and a few others give rational opinions as to the direction of the stock. Why accuse him of trying to drive down the stock, when one could much more easily accuse you of pumping up the price, so as maybe to dump it?
You think it will go to .60 in 2 weeks, great. What is the basis for this projection?? Do you know the advertisers and the ad revenue numbers specifically and how they equate to the projected PPS? Do you know the China government's cut of the pie? Do you know why the advertisers were invited to a meeting so late in the game??
If you do not, you are then blowing smoke, right?
You might contact 5by5, he is looking for a connection, if U know what I mean... Oh, are you from Rangoon?
Sure would be a nice thing to know for sure, wouldn't it?
I agree on some extra revenue, but jeeze, I wish Ole Mak would open his flap (at least once in awhile)
Doesn't he know that a ragged bunch of yanks are trying to get rich here?
How do you like the translation, "Who DESERVES to Be a Millionare"... oh brother!
Hey, did U hear the one: "There once was a man from Rangoon... who claimed he could fart to the moon. He tried to abort, as he filled up his shorts, but he died in a rectal typhoon"
Let's all try to keep it serious here, OK?
:-I
Media, Hep, Lucky, Bottom: Nice to see that some of the mainstays of this board are coming to the same conclusions, more or less... around a .03/share revenue. I tend to agree with Media, that a 10 P/E is fair, and if so, this stock is near fair value.
Sure, folks can get excited about new shows and the Olympics, but there is zero indications of any new deals at this point. And even if there IS a new deal, look how long this stock took to take off after the WWTBAM was announced! Plenty of time.
As for the sermon by Dr. Tampax, that was sort of patronizing and just about meaningless... run that hogwash by 5BY5.
Now, as for the 105 shows, this is a huge point, but I think we are all agreed that this is a once a week show... I think the Sunday listing is a replay, probably... but will it provide aditional revenue? Media?
If so, maybe a case can be made for a higher PPS, but I would, with all due respect, not count on a 30 P/E... that may work for a hot US stock, BUT!
GLTA!!
This is one of my best plays ever too. I don't want to give up the huge gains I have made.
I didn't trim my position because of the lack of a PR, I did it because of the lack of any excitement/anticipation (rise in PPS)...on the last trading day before launch... and I feel that there should have been a big bump. Since there was not, there is a possibility of a problem. I hope not, but IF there is, this thing could gap down BIG, and my big smile would turn into a big frown.
If it gaps up, great, good for all of you longs. Always time to get back in, even if a little late. Worth the waiting, IMO, as a sort of insurance policy. I want to enjoy this big win, and not add it to a list of regrets.
Hope it works out for all.
Media, I appreciate your post. I got back to my computer late, and was VERY disappointed to see what had transpired during the day.
Last day of trading before the show airs. Advertisers meeting over with. No PR. Low volume of buys. Last trade was a 500 share BS trade to end at .32 instead of .30.
I see what you mean about the hair on your neck! I got out of 90% of my position. I have made a really good buck here, and I think the risks far outweigh the upside, for now.
If there was some great deals on ad revenue made, the insiders would have bought like crazy. Also, what is the big secret about the host?
I might get left behind a little, but will sit it out until some news.
Good luck to you all!
Go baby go!
Picked up some at .34, only got less than half of my order...
Media, how about a comment here?? I know U are circling this thing like a shark in shallow water, and smell BLOOD!!
Gonna take a little bite?
Don't worry, nothing happening here anyway until launch... tomorrow, tho, WILL be very interesting.
Two things: Why no revenue at AWNE and I worry about Canadian stocks, sometimes BIG scams...
???
Thanks, Media, Rube, I am a little nervy about this... I think many others are too. I am holding about 1/2 of a large (for me) position... I have made a bundle and don't want to give it back! Bet that is a common feeling about now, eh?
Media, I think U might have something in the wind stuff, saw an article on MSNBC or FOX, I watch both... some controversy about wind farms in the Dalles, OR. They talked about the potential growth of wind energy, sounds like a good play... What is a good entry point? Long term, or is there going to be a big run up soon? Make me well off, Media, and we will laugh about it at Fleming's steak house, my treat, of course!
If this thing does not take off tomorrow, I would think that a fair number are going to wait to see if the show comes off well, i.e. not dull, boring, goofy. I can see only one other reason why the BIG gap up has not occurred this close to the first show... and that is:
The dreaded fear that the China Govn't will pull the show for some oddball reason. If that happens, this stock will tank and we all will be howling for 30 years.
BUT... if everything goes even fairly well, I can't help but think this will gap up big and, hopefully, trend up for some time.
Media, I know U are out there, give us some love here... War, U too!
Morning, KY... hey, I am no Brainiac, but aren't you just a little concerned about the PPS and volume?
Sure maybe the MM's are greedy jerks, but 2 days from the first show, and just after the supposedly "BIG" advertising conference there is very little volume, slipping PPS, and at least one worried camper... something is off tilt here, and I do not think it is only the MM's... they can't control it if lots of people are buying, right?
And why are they not buying?
Thanks, Fly, I will look it over... I like no-brainers!!
I got on line late today... somebody is letting a little air out of the tire, eh? Well, maybe time to load the boat. I am not a big believer in .61, but an a very strong believer in .37!!
Welcome back, 5! In the buttocks of life, there has to be the occasional roid.
Thanks Check!!, thanks, Lucky!!
Appreciate it... I will look into them. I still have a solid position in AAGH, but looking to diversify... I still need to hear why this stock is going to .61 on something other than emotion...which CAN take it there, no doubt...
Seems like the lemmings are into this one, if it starts to move, it REALLY moves! Hope there are a few more such moves up left!
Velly intelesting!
Sounds like a popular guy, if he is it, maybe the Pat Sajak of the middle kingdom?
Hey, I need a few stocks that have the same potential as AAGH. Can U guys help me out and post your top, I mean very TOP 2 picks for the next 60 day window?
Thanks!
Guys, help me out...
Why are they soliciting advertising only a few days ahead of the first show, which must already be taped... not live, is it?
How could advertising not already be negotiated and in place?
I agree that if it is not, the crack-down on other shows is a very good thing for AAGH, but I just don't get this last minute stuff.
Also, several did estimated revenue calculations, and I still don't see how you get to a big number like .61. Hey, I'd love it, but I don't see it. Could anyone help me and my pal 5by5 out here?
Kyln, I think you have it.
I unloaded a chunk at .33-.34, looking for a good spot to get in... the TA posts really help. If it drifts down to .31, I am going to pull the trigger.
Awesome run here, needs to take a breath, I think.
Yes, I know what you told me about thinking!
Hey, I think 5by5's measurements are 5'tall by 5'wide by 1" long, no wonder he is a little cranky.
Remember, there are many parts of a body, there has to be at least one butt-hole.
Disclosure: I am only correct on this 70% of the time.
Pretty good group of people here, mostly!
Media: ould U explain the .61 target?? Seems like with one show/week, the revenue would only represent a price of around .37ish... no?
Also, why is there going to be an advertising conference this close to the first show? I figured that would all be agreed to... although with the news of the crackdown on other shows, that is a really good thing if there is alot of unsold space/spots.
I can see .50 on the emotion, but what else would take it that far if no other news/projects?
Thx!
Hey, I knew it all the time....
China is my friend!
Yes, I am eating a little crow today, but still have many shares... thank Buddha!
Remember, there has been a sell-off on Mondays, last 2 anyway, right?
I sold a few at .26, what a meat-head! Oh, well, I need to lock in a little profit...
I hope we can get some verification, Hep, on the 1 or 2 shows/week, this is huge... target is either around .37 or .75... if it IS one show/week, I do not see .75 without other projects/news, do you?
maybe the push will carry it to .50, but with one show/week...??
Media, thoughts?
Thanks, Media, good info...
Hey, Fly, you are right, I need to do a sensitivity class... or two. State dept. could use some help right now too!
Seems like mixed messages, is the show guaranteed for one year with a 1 year option? Is the 108 show number guaranteed? It seems like a disconnect, or do I need to take another pill?
Good man!
Then you are SURE that we are talking about 108 shows in the first year, not the first 2 years...
BIG difference, right?
Man, $1/share sounds sweet to my ears... really sweet.
Wouldn't one more project be nice, like Wheel of Fortune or something like that? I hope Mak is prowling around....
Nice job, Hep, I hope the info you referred to is correct, and not in error... do you think there will be TWO shows/week for a year?? If so, target has to move back to your $.75+, yes?
And an estimate for revenues is probably at least halfway to the Spring Festival, as opposed to pricing for a news show or watching the ho-hum torture of Tibetans, right?
Interesting, unlike any of 5by's posts...
I think Hep or Media had an analysis, I would like to see them respond... I think Hep had a .75 increase to the share price... which I like better than yours, lol!
At a PE of 15, that is only .375/share, I was hoping to push $1.00, maybe that is unrealistic...
Watch out Media, I hope you don't get left behind! This puppy has made a pretty strong bounce back, no? One good PR away from mid .30's? The 29th right around the corner... the ad revs have to be disclosed anytime now... Mak says "maybe, maybe not!"
Jackie Chan had his recent movie bounced from the china playlist, so maybe he needs the extra $$$!! (I hope).
Boy a BIG drop on low volume... somebody is working this like a con artist! Huge spread to pummel the suckers.. man, legal highway robbery!
I think there is a herd of lemmings, maybe with S-* shares, the least little bobble and the scurry into the cracks...
Good call, tho, Media, props to you!
Low volume to me means no panic selling... everyone waiting for launch.
I don't think the charts helped much when this stock was rocketing up, so why figure they are going to help now? I respect TA, but sometimes it simply does not apply to stocks that are dealing with big new deals, technology, shows, anything.
Volatile? sure, when investors have made 300% or more, there are going to be swings... who wants to give up a BIG gain? But again, where is the BAD news that might be coming to send this stock back to .20???
"Hong Kong Phooey!!"
I am not a pro, but getting out 10 days before the first broadcast?!? Seems like there HAS to be news, if nothing else, the announcement of a successful launch, right?
And I think we all agree that the advertising revenue HAS to be great, especially for a 90 minute show... now being a day trader is OK, and hoping for a big pull-back is OK too, but thinking now is the time to get out of this stock seems a little crazy to me, no offense!
I think ANY good news pushes this to mid-.40's, and really good news generates another awesome run! Just where do you see the bad news in this stock coming from, aside from a few panic sellers?
Brittany is available... ? Can use "blond" bimbo round-eye?
I think Mak is playing his cards close... he has to have the advertising numbers, heck the spots are probably already shot...
He knows the stock is only going to go up (big)when he delivers this info, so is planning on releasing it when it is the best for HIM... and, of course his buddies (government officials, etc).
China is probably different... his ONLY concern is himself, and the ones he has bribed with large chunks of stock... nobody else matters a bit. Maybe that is a good thing.
DANG!! I don't mind a good correction, and maybe Some folks getting rid of a lot of the S-8 stuff, but this is overdoing it a little!
Panic City, I think... wish I had more bread! With 100+ shows guaranteed, and at 90 minutes, the revenue will be huge, so I am amazed at the number of people jumping off the cliff... or maybe day traders manipulating this, and making a fortune. I am in until the ad revenue PR comes out, and probably until Mak's next deal comes up... and there WILL be another.
Chatter is in the back of your BVD's, pal.
Notice the chart? At .07 on 8/27? Who cares about a little pullback after such a HUGE run? I imagine some of the S-8 stuff did some panic selling... good.
Picked up another chunk at .205
Mak is where it's at, Mac.
Be nice to know a bit more about this Mak fellow... I mean, who is he? How did a small company put this WWTBAM thing together? How did he get in? I don't know about business in China, but if like in US, it is sort of corrupt, in terms of insiders, kick-backs, etc... Anyway, if he landed this BIG deal, wouldn't it make sense to assume that he might land another? I think the Olympics might already be set up, but I am sure that there are several other nice possibilities... I wonder if Wheel of Fortune or Price is Right would work in China?
Thanks, Hep, I missed some big things U filled in... but still looks great, no? Been watching this site for some time, been holding a good amount of AAGH for a long time... this is really sweet. Mak might be one of those winners that come along rarely... had one some time ago with JMED.. For Mak to get WWTBAM, he must be a player in China, so other projects should be coming and interesting.
Hey, 5, didn't mean to be critical, your posts are fine. I had a grumpy morning and am getting old... sorry.
Hey can War or Hep help out here... if there are around 100 Mil shares, and the ad revenue has to be at least $30,000/spot, and one spot every 10 minutes, so 9 spots per show = $270,000/show... times 100 shows = 27 million into 100 million shares = .27/share.. at a 10 P/E = $2.70/share... right?
My first post, so let me know if my thinking is goofy... thanks!
P.S. No offence, but... Why do you post so much, 5? And never say anything. Take a break....