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PMCM up date. On weekly watch
OK they changed business plan to get on the POT wave. Says fleece coming. Ok they got their new attention pop, retrace working.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PMCM&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p98155927564
What now?
I like the 25th timed PR about partnership and cash investment. Tells me they definitely have a OTC game plan! With PR's sitting on their desk, waiting for well timed release.
http://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=61214477
But funding is not complete yet. $4 mil in the talking stage with VC's. Looks like management blew their shares privately owned wad, for the attention pop. And couldn't support their last PR, perfectly timed chart wise, by themselves. So it fell with only retail around and they had no power to back continuation with cash needed, to manipulate, or shares to sell into the emotion first seen. (feed the PR emotion)
Remember the attention pop is management proving price can be manipulated at will, to funders being talked too. And no deep pockets are involved with the first pop.
Their trying to keep the retail attention level above the 100 mil triple zero average daily volume, when attention pop price retraces to that level again. If all funding was in place, that PR, would have seen darkside support and price bounce.
Also remember my concern they are NOT directly involved in pot, but leasing growing space. The PR answered that concern. Along with the new funding level to expect, to get this thing in the game. Talking large money.
This thing is setting up perfectly. On weekly watch for top resistance break, on funding completion and real run start; from a few weeks, to a month or so, after the attention pop.
IMO this one could be the spring hot pot stock. As it has a experienced game management, obvious fleecing plan in place, with strong desire to find a way to play the OTC game. As their first attempt didn't work well. If at first you don't succeed. Try try again.
so to make a more true ascending triangle you need to go back to November
BDN - Weak divvy for a REIT only 4%. You can get that at a bank. If interested in divvy investment, check out ARR or NYMT. 15% +/-, with nice charts.
If trading the chart, Plus dividend investment.
NYMT wait for retrace and gap fill then flag bounce.
ARR wait for flag break.
Just a investment, the lower the entry, the better your basis and ROI on divvy.
Big boards FALC
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=FALC&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p59995897266
Pennyland GDSM
IMO need increasing volume as price moves to top resistance
VAPE
Turn LOG scale OFF on your charting.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VAPE&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p77296936647
There is a ,mid term ascending triangle pattern there. With shorter term double bottom.
study;
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:ascending_triangle_c
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:double_bottom_revers
While I wouldn't chart that, you are correct. Let me try to explain.
IMO charting a mid or long term chart is for investing, not trading. While a longer pattern can add comfort to any short term pattern played. It could take a long time to play out, if it does.
We swing trade short term patterns, which presently is a cup & handle. So you can feel comfort if the cup & handle breaks that it's target should be reached. Which is $15.10. Then watch for continuation to mid term pattern.
14.50-13.90=.60 -- 14.50+.60= 15.10 Cup & Handle target.
For now nothing has started. But trade the cup & handle first,
Cup & handle do have a history of throw back after break. So it could re-visit the ascending triangle and give one both a swing trade and longer term ascending triangle target later.
Some one asked for an update on FITX
Seems my calculations on how many darkside shares were for sale was wrong. I thought they had a billion left for sale and the last flag pattern would break out to sell them. Also noted it looked free trading, that was correct. The problem is the darkside did not return to sell more, after top resistance was reached, causing the flag break. And the FIBs 50% 1st bounce reached top resistance target, but the dark master didn't step in and manipulate the continuation.
Shows not to trade expectations, only action. I took it off watch with the flag failure. As the retail herd is now left on their own, with no supervision by the trail boss.
Nice ascending triangle. Thanks
A stocks PAR value is the lowest price their company stock value can be issued at. Any treasury shares for funding, sold, issued under warrants or as options much be equal to or above PAR value.
Closer look at AEGY created concern.
AEGY caution. Feb 11 PR had volume price support (dark), Feb 20 didn't. 2.1 bil shares for sale, OS increase from June 30 to Dec 31 2013, may be all sold as of FEB 11. After all the .001 to .01, 10X run was complete weeks ago.
Chart wise .0065 support broken exit. .009 resistance broken enter. TA leaning south. With very large following volumes for a double zero stock still.
With so many still around wanting more, thought a caution: play looks free trading; heads up, is in order for readers.
Don't get caught wanting and expecting more, when stock is free trading and news doesn't receive darkside price support action. Because retail, left on their own with no news price support, falls off as boredom sets in.
And I liked AEGY possibilities before todays red day closer look. IMO don't expect dark help and the retail herd is starting to wander, without supervision. LOL Need the trail boss back real soon. Someone needs to crack the money whip, not the news whip alone. And I think the money left the game Feb 11.
I Closed LIVE at 10.60 flag target for 45% +/- a while ago. Didn't put back on watch due to gap below, expected to be filled. I see it filled. Next target 9.00 FIBs bounce from 61%, if it bounces.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=RNN&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p69023632261
Protecting gain at MSFT. position trade, trade adjustment. Too many gaps below. Back on strong watch for continuation.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ELTP&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p89354953150
MINE
I don't like the continuation volume being less then half the day before. Exit signal. Caution
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MINE&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p41812153236
ELTP
5th day of run, gap open, looks like exhaustion soon. Watch for red day exit signal. Volume nice today. Temp Job step 2 over soon. IMO running on pure emotion. Maybe news.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ELTP&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&id=p89354953150
NO that looks like this.
Pond fishing play setup; 3 volume spikes with little or no price change, over a 6 month chart. Then attention pop and run start.
The pond surface needs to be flat. To see the bubble of the 10lb fish moving closer. First line in at 3rd bubble, go large with the fish breaking the surface with a attention pop.
I'd think it was too flat for too long. But obviously the pattern worked and completed, reaching ROUNDED bottom target at $2.30. Prior trend was down, cup & handles are continuation patterns and require prior up trend. Down prior trend cause rounded bottoms which are reversal patterns.
You have a grasp of the 3 step OTC game as it moves in the chart. There is also the pump & dump, run/retrace/channel and pond fishing patterns. Once learned can be traded.
The main reason to buy any game, is knowing there are large amounts of new shares, in big guys hands. Without that, any first price move should fade as quick as it became. Because there is no one selling into the run, keeping the retail herds need for more higher; going. Shares for sale is the key to all continuations.
No answers, just guesses when it comes to figuring out exactly what the darkside is actually doing.
All I do is point out the setup. I haven't researched that one for months and months. But I recall a VC taking a 10% ownership in Nov, before the PRs started. So there's some. I agree initial volume are pretty large for 400 mil total OS and 100 mil for sale. Maybe some of the pop buying was insiders buying bags being dumped. I really can only guess.
But the game setup is there. Is about all I'm sure off. Not even sure it will ever run large. Just paying attention now.
All valid points. But logic has little to do with manipulated plays. Continued run, based on company gaining retails approval. Doubt. Nice empty you bag of worthless shares, manipulated pop. Possible.
There's always a dumb ass pennylander that buys runs! That's where all the dumb ass huge pennyland gains come from.
PCFG
Yea I saw the DEC PR and commented about possible life.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=94801343&txt2find=pcfg
Now checking news; I see life continues. Also noted there were 295 mil OS in late 8k, reported Jan 8, but filed Feb 5. With the last 8k Feb 18 filed on time with 395 mil OS. That's 100 mil or 33% dilution in a month.
I still have a small bag ready to fill. Hope it does move. Love to fill that one. Looks like the set up started for 2 reasons. No 3. No 4 LOL
1st the Jan news was held and released when they wanted news out. Remember I keep saying management creates a PR news release Q during the planning stage of a darkside play. That's an OLD PR timing trick for experienced OTC game players.
2nd large increase in OS VERY quickly reported. Why the hell they event mentioned in their PR is unusual. It's like their giving a heads up to experienced traders, that a fleece is coming, get ready to play.. Normally they hide dilution in Q reports.
3rd the news releases are full of smoke and mirror info. Basically implying money and mining growth. When the money is from one subsidiary to the other (paper shifting) and the lease can't be reached till spring and has no gold. I think that lease was the one on a mountain top with only a logging road access.
4th second PR backed price and volume attention pop, that caught your eye.
Interesting !!! I don't recommend playing triple zero musical chairs plays. But those with bags of worthless shares could start thinking about when to sell.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PCFG&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p48466681041
AFPW chart
This one I can't get a handle on. Think it may be a trading group as first thought. Buying retraces and dumping in manipulated run pops. Looks free trading without surges, but had no OTC game setup, before the move.
But any way one looks at it, resistance break could have a strong continuation. Just as break south could. Strong Watch for positive break.
PS; obviously wouldn't enter before .0026. Who ever is driving this isn't ready yet. Emotion could spike again and be pulled back. It's happened 3 times already. The herd is hungry to run. I like that.
Nice following for double zero stock 50 mil average.
old chart
Funny I was just doing an OTC over all eval for something. BMSN was one interesting to me.
Checked IHUBs popular stocks and noticed The GAME has changed this year 2014. When looking at 20 or so active play charts.I see 3 step OTC Game plays all over, but not over 3 months, but much quicker. Only 2 temp jobs, I'll use (**) after them. Seems the game has been sped up to 2 months or less mostly.
Made some lists. New attention pops, on 1st step, 2nd step, 3rd step game overs, ?, and free trading. Some fit into 2 categories. I'll use a star *.
New attention pops
VGPR
HPNN*
on 1st step
LVGI
BGNN
GDSM
HPNN*
MINE
2nd step
ELTP**
FROZ
FWDG*
TTDZ
AEGY*
FITX**
3rd step (ending)
LATF
SKTO
VTMB
EAPH
?
AFPW
Free trading
BMSN
FWDG*
FITX**
AEGY*
Naturally I like the free trading ones, But the step 1 & 2's can also be watched for retrace and steps 2 or 3 breakouts. Sure there are more I didn't look at.
AFPW I have no idea what's going on there. But strong watch for pennant break.
Damn look at the days gain on GDSM. 111% I just closed a lucky one on the big boards @ 111% gain. Been seeing 111 for years, not just at the markets.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDSM&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p67539896486
This link list is helpful at times. For anything stocks.
http://mystocklinks.com/
Squeeze Threshold Security List
http://www.buyins.net/tools/short_list.php?ssd=20110415
http://shortsqueeze.com/
REG SHO info
http://www.nasdaqtrader.com/Trader.aspx?id=RegSho
Short interest
http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/filters/equity_si.aspx
Short sales volume, which is different then short interest
http://shortvolume.com/
http://www.shortanalytics.com/index.php
Check to see if your stock can be shorted
https://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/?f=%2Fen%2Ftrading%2FSearchShortableStocks.php%3Fcntry%3Dusa%26amp%3Btag%3DUnited%252520States%26amp%3Bib_entity%3Dllc%26amp%3Bln%3D
Damn welcome back. You may not believe this but just yesterday I was checking my old posters and saw your last visit here was 2012, but did a few random posts 2013, here and there. Thought you gave up. Along with Kristallweizen, Phoenix-Rising, BlackThought, and others. That use to haunt the board.
Whether you know it or not, your starting to develop a trading strategy. If everything works out well, write down what you did thoughts and all. Then the next time this happens, try to repeat it. If it works 3 time in a row. You have your first trading strategy for closing a parabolic run.
Yea all I do is check IHUBs most read list and then check short sales volumes for 25% over/under for comfort in that M&M resistance to any new pop area. The 4 top most read Sunday were AEGY,DEWM,TTDZ,FITX. all pot stocks. LOL Didn't feel comfortable with what I found about FITX so I adjusted my trade plan accordingly.
Out standing. Play it smart. Don't watch gains dwindle too long, when they do. Protect capital.
My standing order, Needs that positive top resistance breakout. And it has the lowest daily short sale volume of the 4 pot stocks I was interested in. AEGY 24% DEWM is next with 26%.
Failure to deliver after a trading day, can help determine M&M squeeze in a popular OTC stock. If the trend is low, M&Ms are more likely to allow new runs.
TTDZ & FITZ are at 47% naked short. Doubted they would run till M&Ms cleaned up some old nakedness. Worked on FITX, but TTDZ is running SO FAR. Watch how big that upper exhaustion candle tail is at EOD.
Just something else I look at sometimes, when dealing with popular HOT OTC sector choices. How naked are the M&Ms. If their in trouble with fail to deliver, now days REGSHO fines. It may scare them a little and they may fight any darkside attempt to run it and stall or retrace new pops.
Remember only they can evaluated arbitrage (if their playing front trading) and trading fee gains vs. fail to deliver fines. So high could still be let go if the balance of win/loss is still in the M&M favor to let it go. Over all daily volume strong causes increased trade fees. Some times enough to cover fines. We never know. But adds comfort with low short volume averages.
Gives comfort to choices more the a trading rule. I say anything under 25% is safe for a run. Over may see a M&M fight to stop run. The key word there is may.
Who knows what evil lurks in the hearts of men. Only the Shadow knows.
This is actually very strange for me. I'm never lucky. I got caught twice a few weeks ago on OTC entry errors. At any rate.
If that order closed, I would have taken my loss the minute I checked the chart, when I got up. Wouldn't have hurt too much. Protect capital; OK to adjust trade plan down, but not up. Is one of my all the time, followed rules. Never bend a protection rule. Every time I get caught in a too tight entry point, I dump quick.
I can't stress strongly enough to the board.
Capital preservation is as important as gains, for a successful trader !!!
Actually miners and drillers are starting to show their heads again, at the big boards. Expect on the OTC soon. At least that's how it usually works. Popularity happens at the big boards first. But with pot so popular I doubt any pennylanders will notice till the spring darkside cycle starts refocusing.
I have all ready started to look at Oil & gas drillers, Silver & gold miners on the OTC. They have been spring hotties at the OTC for years.
Yea no gold plays now. Took prifits. Hold BPZ, SQNM, GSAT, & orders in for FALC, OVRL, STEM off the OTC.
Thanks will check them out.
First turn OFF log scale on your charts. It distorts the chart look.
Try this;
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=FITX&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p34918514133
Good question. Actually top resistance is the highest price point reached by the candle body. And that is .115 seen more easily on my non log chart. I choose .11 because that candle was a large red one falling way back down. And I felt sentiment wasn't really up at .115.
But using strict rules, above .115 is where one should place their entry. I was getting a little brazen. LOL And look what could have happened, if I still had my entry open. .11 closed today and dove. But .115 actually didn't get reached and an order slightly above would have been safe/safer.
A lesson learned - follow your own rules. Enter after top resistance breakout for low risk safety. Is mine and bending that could have gotten me caught.
Luckily I did a short sales volume evaluation this weekend and decided to close my standing 11 cent entry at FITX and open a new one at AEGY instead. Would have gotten caught. Damn for someone who's rarely lucky. I've had over my share this past week.
Thanks for all the work. I don't usually use BUYINS and actually got short interested because of the large daily short sales info 37%. Did check short interest at 2 other sites and they both had slightly different sizes from 18 to 23%, with over 100% increase from last report.
Don't doubt your gum shoe investigation is correct and REG SHO will be settled. But since it's become such a celib stock, over Grupons and continues to have large fail to deliver short sales volumes with increasing short interest. IMO still worth a watch for breakout. Every where I checked except Finviz had short interest over my 10% strong short interest level.
May all be moot as today looks like the shorts will fill the gap below for now. I'll probably move it from strong to regular weekly watch tomorrow. And check next short interest report due any day.
Thanks for all your efforts.
Heads up - LIVE - Strong watch
Gap below might fill. But worth keeping an eye on it. Could go parabolic if the short problem isn't solved soon.
Looking for re-entry at $10.25 in hopes of another short squeeze rally on second flag breakout. Seems the daily short sales % has continued to increase after the 3 day pop, now at 37% and still on REG SHO list 20 days now.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=LIVE&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p22819468242
http://shortvolume.com/ - type LIVE in
http://www.buyins.net/tools/symbol_stats.php?sym=live