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Kerno,
I also suspect Larry is in the process of updating the presentation they give at various shows and post on their website and didn't want someone saying it seems like we lost a billion pounds somewhere. If the worst case is he is an honest guy I think we are in good shape.
Joe
Gharma,
I guess I feel better knowing I at least mentioned the new filing but did not dig into it enough to see what the changes were. If I had noticed I probably would have called the company to discuss. Who knows maybe someone transposed a number or just was off a line when copying something down. Going forward we will have no confusion when they increase with more drilling. Personally I would not drill anymore anyways as we already have enough resources for a very long mine life that pays back in its first year. More resources are always nice but not needed at this time.
Joe
Trader,
I am not sure about the trust comment about management? The Sedar filing with the update was made 2 weeks ago and nobody here caught it. I really don't think it is a material event and Larry probably did not have to even point it out. I think he figured in the future when they do some more drilling he did not want the confusion this could bring. Seems like he was trying to be pretty straight up and honest. What do you think he should have done different? Should he have told us 2 weeks ago when the 43-101 was refiled?
Joe
The way I look at it is we still have enough resources for a long time, we have only explored a fraction of the property and Larry thought it was important to make sure everyone knew what was going on. I do agree it is not the news I am hoping to see in the near future.
Destinator,
Do you have a link to this? I can't seem to find it in news or on Sedar? Is this the financing they did a while back?
Joe
Video: Batteries made of salt, water last 10X longer
By Boonsri Dickinson | October 31, 2011, 12:14 PM PDT
http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/science-scope/video-batteries-made-of-salt-water-last-10x-longer/10976
LOS ANGELES - Jay Whitacre wants to change the world with batteries - and the recipe for change, he believes, is in everyday materials like salt and water.
Although he can geek out on complicated lectures on battery technology, last week at The Compass Summit in Los Angeles, Whitacre told me in much more simple terms about how his battery technology works. Using sodium ions instead of lithium, Whitacre’s batteries have been designed to store energy for the grid.
After spending two years figuring out the ideal chemistry for non-toxic batteries, Carnegie Mellon engineering professor Whitacre spun his technology into a startup company called Aquion Energy in January 2010. Pre-production of the sodium-ion batteries is expected this fall, and the production plant is on track to begin in 2013.
In September, Aquion announced a round of $30 million in funding from Foundation Capital, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byer, Advanced Technology Ventures, and Triple Point Capital, to build its first factory. The batteries are designed for stationary applications in residential and buildings. The plan is to start with smaller installations and move into major ones.
Aquion Energy’s technology has received some recognition: Last week, the company won a United Nations award for energy at The World Technology Summit. Even though lithium is a common technology used in iPhones or computers, it’s expensive, it needs organic solvents, and has high purity requirements. The other alternative is lead acid batteries, which are known to release toxic lead.
With that in mind, Pittsburgh-based Aquion Energy is making batteries out of non-toxic materials. The anode is made of carbon, while the cathode is made from manganese oxide. The battery is made of individual units that are put together into 8 batteries of 15V modules.
“Electrical power is the only commodity sold in the world right now without any kind of warehousing. When you plug something into the wall, you immediately pull energy from a generation asset. It’s not stored anywhere. We store data, water, and gas. We do not store electricity. Historically, it’s just been too expensive,” Whitacre said.
“For the first time, renewable power sources are competitive with traditional, especially in developing countries,” Whitacre said. Lead acid batteries aren’t as good as the manufacture promised. Aquion’s batteries have a much longer life. “We believe we can last 5 to 10 times longer than lead acid at the same price point,” he said.
To design batteries that would be competitive, Whitacre found common, cheap materials to use: carbon, manganese, water, and different kinds of cheap plastics. For instance, one of the key ingredients is manganese, which is the cheapest metal oxide on the market. And it’s possible to reconfigure carbon, so it can be taken from corn syrup or other forms of carbon.
“We have been very conscious of manufacturing. It’s about taking cheap materials and being able to reconfigure them,” Whitacre said, explaining why the company plans on using food processing, pharmaceutical processing, and other kinds of techniques that aren’t usually found in high-tech manufacturing plants.
In general, VCs have invested heavily into energy storage, even more than solar. According to Pike Research, the potential market for energy storage is expected to exceed $20 billion by 2021. Besides Aquion’s recent round of funding, Boston-Power received $125 million and Nexeon raised $65 million.
Like Aquion, which had its roots in university research, Liquid Metal Battery offers a way to store energy on the grid, using a liquid battery technology that spun out of MIT.
However, using batteries to store renewable energy is relatively new. Utilities have begun to roll out smaller storage units closer to the consumers, a move away from the traditional, large storage systems in place. Why the push? There is more solar and wind energy that is being added to the grid. Wind doesn’t always blow and the sun doesn’t always shine, so there needs to be a way to capture the renewable energy generated.
“It’s pretty exciting to take something from a basic material idea to shipping things to people to try out in the field. Sure, there are a lot of folks who are developing batteries for the grid. All of them are 10 to 15 years away from being a legitimate player in the market place,” Whitacre said. “We are an unusual case. We are growing really quickly. We are entering the market next year.”
The good news is these guys should have the best feel for the value of the company and if they put in money at these levels they must think it is going up. The bad news is they don't think the stock is moving to .92 to exercise the previous options. The middle news is it raises another $1M if they exercise.
Joe
These were granted back in January. Not that I have a big issue with it but I would certainly like to reprice the shares I bought at much higher prices.
Explor Resources Inc.(TSX VENTURE:EXS - News; PINK SHEETS:EXSFF - News; FRANKFURT:E1H - News) announces that it has amended the price of 2,650,000 stock options that were granted to directors, officers and consultants of the Company on January 28, 2010 and of 500,000 stock options that were granted to a director on May 18, 2010, all at a price of $0.92. The price of these options has been reduced to $0.32 per share. The repricing of these options is subject to the approval of the shareholders at Explor's annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders to be held on December 7, 2011 and is also subject to the approval of the TSX Venture Exchange.
Explor Reprices Stock Options
Press Release Source: Explor Resources Inc. On Tuesday November 1, 2011, 7:00 pm
ROUYN-NORANDA, CANADA--(Marketwire - Nov. 1, 2011) - Explor Resources Inc.(TSX VENTURE:EXS - News; PINK SHEETS:EXSFF - News; FRANKFURT:E1H - News) announces that it has amended the price of 2,650,000 stock options that were granted to directors, officers and consultants of the Company on January 28, 2010 and of 500,000 stock options that were granted to a director on May 18, 2010, all at a price of $0.92. The price of these options has been reduced to $0.32 per share. The repricing of these options is subject to the approval of the shareholders at Explor's annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders to be held on December 7, 2011 and is also subject to the approval of the TSX Venture Exchange.
Explor Resources Inc. is a publicly listed company trading on the TSX Venture (EXS), on the USA Pink Sheet (EXSFF) and on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange (E1H).
This press release was prepared by Explor Resources Inc. Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
About Explor Resources Inc.
What domestic steel company wouldn't be willing to pay hundreds of millions for a guaranteed supply of EMM that could be bought for $1.50/lb? Same can be said for LMD in the future. November should be a good month.
Senators Back US Steel For Military Use
October 25, 2011
Metal Bulletin.com
A bipartisan group of senators is pushing the Defense Department to amend its procurement policy and stipulate that only domestically produced armor steel plate can be used to make U.S. military vehicles.
Under existing regulations, the Defense Department allows the use of foreign-melted metal, but the bipartisan group says that late-stage domestic finishing is not enough.
"We write today to urge you to revise the definition to require that armor steel plate be melted in the United States, returning to the department's policy governing specialty metals production for over 35 years and, importantly, to properly reflect congressional intent," the group's letter to the Defense Department said.
"I think that the American military should be protected by American steel. Over the years, we have seen too many industries like steel and manufacturing dwindle, and too many people have lost their jobs to foreign companies," Sen. John D. Rockefeller IV (D., W.Va.) said in a statement.
Other legislators who signed the letter included Sens. Sherrod Brown (D., Ohio), Richard Burr (R., N.C.), Robert P. Casey Jr. (D., Pa.), Kay R. Hagan (D., N.C.), Daniel Coats (R., Ind.), Al Franken (D., Minn.) and Amy Klobuchar (D., Minn.).
A month before the letter was sent, the Congressional Steel Caucus sent a similar plea to the Defense Department. That letter, signed by 33 lawmakers, argued that the Pentagon should not take shortcuts on safety by bringing in foreign material. It also argued that there was enough domestic steelmaking capacity for all supply needs.
Domestic mills that produce armor plate include Allegheny Technologies Inc.'s ATI Defense and ArcelorMittal SA. In January, executives at Charlotte, N.C.-based Nucor Corp. said it could broaden its product mix to include armor plate.
You may see some mining funds take positions. We know some of the mining experts have taken positions. Overall these development stage companies don't get much interest just because of their speculative nature. It reminds me a lot of some of the rare earths. They languished for a long time before everybody thought they had to own them. As I have said if we get confirmation that our costs are half of everybody elses (say .60/lb) and we know that nobody can lower their costs to compete our time will come. The prefeasibility study is a defining moment in company history.
Steven,
If I had a chance to meet with him my question would be why does he think there is such a big disconnect between current shares price and actual value of the shares? There are obviously a lot of smart mining people who he talks to all the time and yet no one wants to buy shares at these low prices? Besides the 43-101 does he have other plans to help correct this disconnect? Plus ask him to put the new presentation on the website for those of us who can not attend. Thanks.
Joe
If they get to another exchange that would be years down the road when they are in full production. By then I think we all believe the stock will be much higher based on fundamentals. Having invested in these types of stocks for over 30 years you are not looking for a 5% return a year but instead are looking for 10-50 baggers. With that type of reward there is obviously risk. I have seen many mining companies make 10X moves in a very short time and none of those moves had anything to do with what exchange they traded on. When the time comes and people understand what the potential is with being the lowest cost producer in the world(this is a one of a kind) and can literally control the market I think they will pound down the door trying to get in. Imagine if you could undercut all the competition and literally drive them out of business? Sound like anyones strategy with rare earths coming out of China? Then jacking up the price when nobody else is producing? Very clever. One other thought as we wait for the LMD study. With batteries using LMD only going to grow what would a battery maker pay to guarantee a low priced supply of the material?
Joe
Red,
This is what you want. If the link gets you there you then need to put in the code at the bottom. It is case sensitive.
Joe
EXPLOR RESOURCES INC. Oct 28 2011 MD&A - English
PDF 1855 K
http://www.sedar.com/CheckCode.do;jsessionid=0000iuqXqRWB3o5jiYsrJaTnibR:-1
Blairman,
Not sure where you would get the idea that the patent would be approved in 45-60 days? Once it is filed they are covered unless someone did this before them and patented it which seems unlikely. I have never had a patent issue in under 3 years.
Joe
Destinator,
Thanks. Found it now.
Joe
Does anyone know if the 43-101 in the Sedar system dated 10-19-2011 is any different than what was released before?
I found the notice of the annual meeting on Sedar. If you find it on Sedar can you let me know what the date on it is?
October 24, 2011 REVISED
Alberta Securities Commission
British Columbia Securities Commission
Saskatchewan Financial Services Commission,
Securities Division
Autorité des marchés financiers
Dear Sirs:
RE: EXPLOR RESOURCES INC.
Pursuant to a request from the reporting issuer, we wish to advise you of the following dates in
connection with their Annual & Special Meeting of Shareholders:
DATE OF MEETING: December 7, 2011
RECORD DATE FOR NOTICE: October 31, 2011
RECORD DATE FOR VOTING: October 31, 2011
BENEFICIAL OWNERSHIP DETERMINATION DATE: October 31, 2011
SECURITIES ENTITLED TO NOTICE: Common
SECURITIES ENTITLED TO VOTE: Common
Yours very truly,
Judy Power
Associate Manager, Trust Central Services
cc: CDS & Co. (Via Fax)
jp\NM
Prefeasibility study due in November. The next milestone in my mind is the lmd study. That should get some peoples attention.
Destinator,
I am thinking I am just a little slow today. What M+D are you talking about that was released today? Thanks.
Joe
Tim,
I was thinking we might hear about the LMD study from Kemetco this week but with the conference going on next week it could get a lot more interest if released next week. Technically the last week in October is next week at least that is what I am told from a fiscal calendar. Should be interesting to see what they say next week and we all know Mike Berry knows American Manganese very well.
Joe
Research and Lab Tests on Electrolytic Manganese Dioxide Lithiated Manganese Battery Material expected from Kemetco in October
•Wardrop Pre-Feasibility expected by late November
•Base Line Environmental work by Tetra Tech underway
•Electrolytic manganese Study by CMP expected in early November
•Mine Plan for the State of Arizona to be filed in November
The National Center For Policy Analysis Presents
THE FIRST “RARE EARTHS, CRITICAL METALS,
ENERGY & NATIONAL SECURITY CONFERENCE”
CONFERENCE COMMITTEE INVITATION NOVEMBER 2, 2011
INDUSTRY LEADERS WILL DISCUSS THE DIRECT LINK BETWEEN
THE U.S. RARE EARTHS SUPPLY AND THE NATION’S SAFETY
A Critical Look at A Critical Issue
November 2, 2011
Capitol Hill Hyatt Regency, Washington, D.C.
It is our distinct pleasure and honor to invite you to the Rare Earths, Critical Metals, Energy
and National Security conference to be held in Capital Hill Hyatt Regency – Washington, DC.
Over the past 18 months, Washington, D.C. has hosted several metals conferences and think tank
sessions focused on renewable energy and how crucial rare metals are to building a green
industrial base.
Rare earths and a broader group of “critical metals” are essential to the high-tech and green tech
sectors, but these applications are just part of the larger story. Critical metals are key elements
in dozens of weapons systems and surveillance platforms that serve as the cornerstone of our national
security, which underscores how important it is for the U.S. to no longer rely on foreign
supplies of critical metals. The nation is currently 100 percent import-dependent, and there is
no viable substitute or replacement for rare earths in existing defense applications.
On November 2, the National Center for Policy Analysis is presenting a conference that will be the
first of its kind to explore the important link between national security and the domestic rare
earths supply. The one-day conference will take place on Capitol Hill, to raise awareness of how
current public policies lead to dependence on China for the U.S. supply of rare earths, and thus
undermine our national security. As key policy makers, executive branch analysts and think
tanks experts, conference participants will play a key role in shaping U.S. resource policies.
Against the backdrop of recent news that China, which controls 97 percent of the industry,
has again ordered a further tightening of its export controls on rare earth elements, advancing
the domestic supply of rare earths – which the U.S. has but has failed to develop – could be one
critical step towards eliminating the nation’s unnecessary dependence on foreign metals
and minerals.
Pg. 1
CONFERENCE AGENDA & PANELISTS
Continental Breakfast (8:00 a.m. - 8:30 a.m.)
Introduction (8:30 a.m. - 8:40 a.m.), Richard Walker, NCPA
Panel I (8:40 a.m - 9:50 a.m.)
• The Rare Earths: Supply, Shortfall, Strategy
Is there a consensus on REE supply? With China’s restrictions, where is the line between shortfall and surplus?
How can we balance high-tech, green-tech and defense REE demand?
Moderator: H. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D – Senior Fellow at National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA)
Panelists:
Thomas Tanton – T2 & Associates, an energy and technology industry consulting services firm
Dr. Gareth Hatch –Technology Metals Research, LLC, Founding Principal
Jeff Green J. – President, J.A. Green & Company, a Washington, DC based government relations firm.
Panel II (10:00 a.m. - 11:10 a.m.)
• Specialty Metals: Assessing Strategic Need
Rare Earths aren’t the only rare metals. How deep is our dependency on foreign supply? What are the geopolitical
risks we face? What role could a new National Defense Stockpile play in our strategic resource policy?
Moderator: Daniel McGroarty – President, American Resource Policy Network & Colorado Rare Earths board member
Panelists:
Dr. Kent Hughes Butts – Professor of Political Military Strategy and Director of the National Security Issues
Group at the Center for Strategic Leadership, U.S. Army War College.
Dr. Daniel J. Cordier – US Geological Survey (USGS), commodity and resource specialist
Michael Steuer – U.S. Defense Logistics Agency, a logistics combat support agency whose primary role is to
provide supplies and services to America’s military forces worldwide.
Featured Speaker (11:15 a.m. - 11:45 p.m.)
Dr. David Diamond – Policy analyst in the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Office of Policy and International Affairs.
Team leader, U.S. Department of Energy’s Critical Materials Strategy report “Energy Security as National Security”
“Legislative Options Supporting Critical Metals” Luncheon (12:00 p.m. - 1:30 p.m.)
Senator Lisa Murkowski. Senator, Alaska
Rep. Doug Lamborn, Colorado’s 5th District
Rep. Mike Coffman, Colorado’s 6th District
Pg. 2
Pg. 3
PANEL III (1:45 p.m. - 2:50 p.m.)
• The Value Chain: Industry’s view on Critical Metals Supply
Rare metals are the building-blocks of major manufacturing efforts we’re expecting to drive our economy.
What should policy-makers know about the private-sector value-stream and its vulnerability to supply disruption?
Moderator: H. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D – NCPA Senior Fellow
Panelists:
Peter C. Dent – Electron Energy Corporation, a rare earths magnet manufacturer
Michael Berry, Ph.D – Discovery Investments, a firm that identifies opportunities in natural resources, high technology
and biotech. Berry is also the publisher of Morning Notes, which discuss geopolitical, technological and
economic trends and their effect on capital markets.
Anthony Young, Director at Dahlman Rose & Co, Investment Bank
Summary - Closing Session (3:00 p.m. - 3:30 p.m.) – Richard Walker, NCPA
The conference will also feature speakers and panelists from:
• Dept. of Defense’s Defense Logistic Agency (keeper of the U.S. National Defense Stockpile)
• The Department of Energy, lead author of the DoE’s Critical Materials Strategy
• Analysts expert in critical materials
“Legislative Options Supporting Critical Metals Development”
Keynote Speaker:
The Honorable Lisa Murkowski, U.S. Senator
Sponsors:
Logic International, NYC (Logic-Int.com)
American Resource Policy Network, Washington, D.C. (AmericanResources.org)
Rubenstein Public Relations, NYC (RubensteinPR.com)
Received this from Mike Berry in his Morning Notes. Would not surprise me if American Manganese was mentioned.
Please come to my presentation (Rare Earths, Critical Metals, Energy and national Security) in Washington next week November 2 if you are in the area. I will be speaking with DOD officials on the topic of Supply Chain development in the US at 2;30 PM.
Senator Murkowski (Alaska) will be the keynote speaker. This event is open to the public.
Eric Wesoff:October 24, 2011
International Battery’s Utility-Scale Li-Ion Goes After Solar
Battery companies at a solar show looking for the solar-storage connection
.
Walking the 20 square miles of exhibitors at Solar Power International in Dallas last week, I met 400 Asian module vendors I've never heard of before, a really large number of new and incumbent module racking companies, and a few new microinverter companies.
There was also the occasional utility-scale battery firm with aspirations of providing on-grid support for solar power. It's still early days in this pursuit.
International Battery of Allentown, PA builds large-format rechargeable lithium-ion cells, batteries, and systems. The firm closed a $35 million Round C led by Digital Power Capital, an affiliate of Wexford Capital, in 2010.
I spoke with David McShane at the show, the Executive VP of the 100-employee firm. Lithium-ion comes in lots of formulation flavors and International Battery employs lithium-ion phosphate, "the safest lithium-ion chemistry," according to McShane.
Last year I spoke with International Battery's then-President and CEO Dr. Ake Almgren. In his words, "What makes us different is that we develop and manufacture large-format prismatic lithium-ion cells using a water-based manufacturing process. We work with lithium-iron phosphate and lithium cobalt manganese, but we are chemistry agnostic -- we are not an inventor of lithium chemistries."
The water-based process does away with the need for an organic solvent -- a "big deal," according to Almgren. The solvent, NMP (N-methyl-2-pyrrolidone), is less than green and must be introduced and extracted from the process. Eliminating NMP results in "much lower processing costs," according to McShane.
Almgren said, "There are compelling benefits from the company’s unique, truly large-cell technology.” The IB batteries are not your standard flashlight-sized battery -- they are construction-brick-sized, and that confers some advantages in battery management and control, according to the CEO. In Almgren's opinion, "Tesla [Motors] didn't have access to prismatic [technology], but if they were to design their battery system today, they would use prismatic cells." (In fact, Tesla is looking at prismatics for their current designs from Panasonic and others.)
McShane said, "It's difficult to move the 18650 cell any further down the cost curve."
Almgren also said, "Our large prismatic cells are, depending on size, the equivalent of 20 to 80 of the small wound cells. We don't need to connect and wire these together and we don't lose energy density from needless wires and connectors," also adding: "Fewer connectors equals fewer thermal issues and reduces the need for forced cooling." He went on to say, "We can control and monitor the voltage, current and temperature of each cell to constantly balance the system."
IB goes after stationary applications, not portable tools or consumer transportation.
There is a range where Li-ion fits, according to Almgren -- up to about five megawatt-hours. Above that, NaS works best, especially if six-hour charge and discharge rates are acceptable.
The firm is still in the sampling and trial stage with a factory capacity of 30 megawatt-hours, which is scalable to 200 megawatt-hours.
• IB was selected by utility AEP for its Ohio gridSMART project which is siting batteries in customer backyards for Community Energy Storage applications. There are some videos here showing the rather involved process of installing these below-ground, approximately 50-kilowatt-hour storage units.
• IB is working with the military on forward operating tactical programs that combine gen-sets with batteries.
• Finally, IB is working on a bulk storage project with a grant from the Pennsylvania Energy Development Authority.
When it comes to lithium-based battery chemistries, there is always talk of a lithium shortage or the U.S. being beholden to China or Bolivia for lithium the same way we are beholden to OPEC for oil. In Almgren's view, "Even in the most aggressive growth scenario, lithium supplies will not be a problem. It's the more exotic materials like cobalt, nickel and manganese that might be a problem." Simbol Mining is a startup focused on developing lower-cost lithium and extracting other elements from geothermal brines.
According to Dan Rastler of EPRI in an earlier interview, "We need to get below $300 per kilowatt-hour installed, all in." He said that the current cost of Li-ion ranges from $400 per kilowatt-hour to $1,200 per kilowatt-hour.
To break into the battery business, startups have focused on designing, manufacturing and selling their own lithium-ion or rechargeable zinc batteries. Unfortunately, it's a high-risk, capital-intensive endeavor that requires scientific creativity and engineering breakthroughs.
The companies that succeed at this challenge face an even more daunting task: competing against giants like LG and Toshiba that have extensive R&D teams, worldwide sales channels, and enormous factory capacity. Plus, they've got the financial resources to allow them to lose billions during temporary downturns in an already low-margin business.
Other venture-funded battery firms include Lion Cells, Enovix fka MicroAzure (Li-ion), Atraverda (bipolar lead acid), Revolt, PowerGenix, Anzode (zinc chemistries), and other battery technologies: Nanoexa, Infinite Power Solutions, Thin Battery, Carbon Micro Battery, Enfucell. Here's an article on available energy storage technologies.
The question you have to ask yourself is what 43-101 results are required for someone to invest the money and build a mine/mill on this property? Anyone know what Lake Shore had before they invested and what the costs were?
Joe
Oldman,
Glad you found the info on getting the power to the site. They have accounted for it. On the IP side they have paid Kemetco to develop the process but they have filed the patents. I don't see any real issues with the IP and not sure if it has value outside of here but how it works is obviously the key to being the lowest cost producer in the world. My basic understanding is the patents will be issued to American Manganese as they paid for the development. At least that is how every company I have ever worked with operates. If you pay them to develop something it is yours to own otherwise if they already owned it you would need to buy or license the technology from them.
Joe
Patent Application Submitted for Artillery Peak Manganese Extraction Process
Added August 30th, 2011 – Vancouver, British Columbia
Larry W. Reaugh, President and Chief Executive Officer of American Manganese Inc., (TSX.V: AMY; Pink Sheets: AMYZF; Frankfurt: 2AM) (“American Manganese” or the “Company”) is pleased to report the Company has submitted its full patent application for the hydro-metallurgical process the Company developed to extract manganese from its Artillery Peak Manganese deposit.
Mr. Reaugh states that “The process combines a series of conventional technologies in a unique configuration that is designed to be energy and water efficient. The continuous bench scale pilot plant test program that is currently underway is corroborating the conceptual process previously described in the report, “The Recovery of Manganese from Low Grade Resources: Bench Scale Test Program Completed”, prepared by Kemetco Research Inc. of Richmond, BC. This intellectual property is one of the cornerstones of the Company’s business plan.”
Mr. Reaugh goes on to say: “The Company is financially strong with $7 million in the bank, more than enough to complete the ongoing pilot plant test, pre-feasibility study and environmental and regulatory permitting as well as begin the final feasibility report.”
The current NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate of the Artillery Peak Manganese deposit includes an Indicated resource of about 92.8 million tonnes grading 3.27% Mn (6.7 billion lbs contained Mn), and an Inferred resource of about 107.2 million tonnes grading 3.76% Mn (8.9 billion lbs contained Mn).
Tim,
I am getting a little worried we are going to have to put you on your meds again. Your getting a little too excited. LOL.
Joe
Dan,
Your $12 number seems resonable. I ran one case that I had the stock at over $100/share. The fact that you can even put a PE expectation on this type of development stock is telling in itself.
Joe
Dan,
What are your assumptions with the 3500 Tons per day? The number I have always used is this gives us 100M lbs of EMM per year. With a profit of $1/lb based on a sale price of $1.6/lb and total production costs of .60/lb. So lets say a profit of $100M/year. Lets say they have 200M shares outstanding by the time we get into production. That is roughly .50/share in earnings and a PE of 10 gives us a share price of $5/share. Personally I think is is very conservative and not only will profits be higer but PE will be much higher based on being the lowest cost producer. So where do your numbers come from?
Joe
George,
The dates have held relatively firm. The LMD study which looks like we should hear something next week adds another entire product that I think we all believe will be in high demand due to electric vehicles. I think if you can be the lowest cost producer of EMM, EMD and LMD in the world what would that be worth?
Joe
This was also at the end of the presentation. Customers seeking supply chain security. It makes so much sense its kind of scary.
Opportunity in Battery and Critical Metal Field
•Strong Industry Fundamentals
•Market Growing
•Price Increasing
•High Cost Competition/Kemetco Currently conducting Pilot plant testing of Artillery Peak Resources
•Customers seeking supply chain security
•Large Low Grade Resource that is amenable to low cost environmentally friendly treatment
•Strong Project Economics
•Significant Upside Potential
•Wardrop Currently Conducting Pre-Feasibility Studies
•Tetra-Tech Beginning Environmental Studies to Permit Mining Operations
Updated Presentation with new dates.
http://www.amydata.com/data/Powerpoint/AMY_Oct6_2011a.pdf
Positive Pilot Plant Test completed in September
•Research and Lab Tests on Electrolytic Manganese Dioxide Lithiated Manganese Battery Material expected from Kemetco in October
•Wardrop Pre-Feasibility expected by late November
•Base Line Environmental work by Tetra Tech underway
•Electrolytic manganese Study by CMP expected in early November
•Mine Plan for the State of Arizona to be filed in November
There is a reason the price of EMM has not fallen below $1.50/lb in the last 5 years. The reason being the cost for producers is high enough that to make money the minimum price is around $1.50/lb. With costs only going up it just makes the value here even higher. Being the lowest cost producer in the world basically allows you to drive the market. Literally they could drive everyone else out of business and control 98% of the world supply and then do whatever they want. Can anyone even imagine something like that happening. LOL.
Blair,
Welcome. There are a lot of very good posters here that I know I have been impressed with. Chris over at Stockhouse is excellent but he told me he was going to post less and let the story unfold. Your post did make me think of one of the keys that I have been waiting on. Kemetco is doing a LMD study for the company and it was due a while back. I wonder if they have to wait for the prefeasibility study to get published otherwise they can't say anything about cost. I mean the key really isn't if they can make the material but at what price and of course what is the going rate. I think we all beleive that LMD is going to be a huge market and if we can make $2/lb profit and demand is going to soar that would be a nice business also. Look forward to you posting.
Joe
Research and Lab Tests on Electrolytic Manganese Dioxide Lithiated Manganese Battery Material expected from Kemetco in September
George,
Welcome. New posters are always welcome and now you can be our local guy. Stock is looking better and we are supposed to hear on a number of topics by month end. Next week maybe?
Joe
China's dominance is elementary
by: Robin Bromby
From:The Australian
October 20, 201112:00AM
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/news/chinas-dominance-is-elementary/story-e6frg906-1226171121211
WE may pride ourselves on the sheer power of Australia's mining sector, but it's China that is holding many of the trump cards.
The British Geological Survey has compiled what it calls Risk List 2011, a rating of the 52 mineral elements needed to maintain the economies and lifestyles in developed nations.
Of the 52 elements, China dominates 28 with, with Australia next, although it dominates only four: lithium, zirconium, aluminium and titanium.
But it will also serve as a useful guide to investors, showing those minerals which may well be in for some serious price escalation.
It turns out there may be high risk of supply disruption to metals such as the platinum group (catalytic converters in cars), niobium (MRI scanners and touch screens) and tungsten (the hard metal used in cutting tools).
The metals were rated on scarcity, reserve base distribution, governance and production concentration. The risk rating goes from 10 down to one.
The highest notch turned out to be 8.5 -- and that includes antimony (used as a flame retardant), the platinum group metals (PGMs), mercury (chemicals and instruments such as thermometers) and tungsten. Three of those are dominated by China, the PGMs by South Africa. In the case of antimony, there is one operating mine here owned by a Canadian company which sells it all to China, and another mothballed mine in NSW.
Not far behind, on eight out of 10, are rare earths (China) and niobium (Brazil).
While we tend to think mainly of China in terms of being a market for Australian and other seaborne minerals, the country remains the dominant producer of an extraordinary range of elements including bismuth (medicines and cosmetics), indium (electronics and alloys), molybdenum (strengthening steel), gold, lead and zinc, and gallium (semiconductors and medical).
Rare-earth focus
BUT present attention is all on rare earths, especially after China's latest move.
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Rare-Earth, the world's leading producer, is suspending production for a month to force prices up.
Dysprosium (used in magnets) started the year at $US400/kg and by July was commanding $US2840/kg. Terbium (the green in TV screens) sold for $US900/kg in April, $US3000/kg in June and $US4510/kg in July.
Since then, though, prices of some other elements have been falling as economic activity slackens and end-users (mainly Japan) look to recycling and substitutes.
Make no mistake about China's determination to control the rare-earth market for as long as it can, with new mines outside the country -- such as Mt Weld in Western Australia -- gearing up for production.
China flooded the market with cheap rare earths (and tungsten) more than 25 years ago and forced the closure of what quickly became loss-making mines elsewhere. Now it is turning the screw the other way.
The problem for the West is that the first non-China mines coming into production -- Mt Weld and Mountain Pass in California -- will provide plenty of the lower value, light rare earths (cerium and lanthanum, particularly) but the heavies (including terbium and dysprosium) will still come mainly from China for at least five years. Hence Beijing's determination to keep prices high.
Expect price hike
MANGANESE is the fourth-most used metal after iron ore, aluminium and copper and there is no substitute for it in the steel-making process. It is the third-most important raw material after iron ore and coking coal.
Manganese improves the tensile strength of steel and resistance to abrasion. It is also included in most welding materials for use with iron and steel.
About 10kg of manganese goes into each tonne of steel, and China alone is producing 700 million tonnes of steel a year.
Its poor price performance has been due to an overhanging stockpile of the metal, and prices have fallen by about 40 per cent on last year. But once the stockpiles are reduced, we can expect a good price hike, say insiders.
That is, of course, unless steel prices begin falling. There are some indications that Beijing's cutting back on bank lending could slash the growth in the country's steel consumption.
Indonesia gas shift
WE may see a new customer emerge for Australia's gas.
The latest ANZ commodity bulletin notes Indonesia is now a net exporter of liquefied natural gas but could soon shift to being a net importer to meet growing domestic energy demand in Java and Sumatra.
Moreover, Indonesia last year provided 18 per cent of China's LNG imports, which may mean Beijing will need to find some of that supply elsewhere, too.
Indonesia is planning to build several regasification terminals necessary for importing LNG.
October 17, 2011 - Coffman Continues Call on Pentagon to Stockpile Rare Earth Metals
Coffman Continues Call on Pentagon to Stockpile Rare Earth Metals
(WASHINGTON) – Today U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman (R-CO) renewed his push for the establishment of a national inventory of rare earth materials in a letter to the Defense Logistics Agency Strategic Materials division after reviewing both a recent Department of Defense (DOD) interim report analyzing the military’s dependence on rare earth metals imported from China and a recent report on DoD's industrial capabilities.
“I support the procurement of such high-demand, at-risk rare earth materials to help fulfill Department of Defense (DOD) requirements and therefore reduce supply-chain vulnerability. By using the Annual Materials Plans as a vehicle, the Department can identify critical rare earth oxides, alloys, metals, or magnets, depending on what best suits DOD’s needs, and then fulfill a portion or the entirety of the associated requirements,” Coffman wrote in the letter to Ronnie Favors, the administrator of the DLA Strategic Materials.
Coffman continued in the letter, “Such an investment would have the dual benefit of both providing much needed domestic demand for metal, alloy and magnets, while also providing enough rare earth material to serve as an ‘insurance policy’ for our national defense. Quite simply, a rare earth inventory plan could alleviate the rare earth issue for the Department while creating jobs and should be pursued aggressively.”
Coffman’s support for the establishment of a stable, domestic supply of rare earth materials came after he discovered that U.S. defense contractors rely heavily on Chinese exports of the critical materials to make everything from precision-guided munitions, satellite wave tubes, range-finding lasers, and electric drive ship programs. Given China’s dominance of over 95% of the world’s supply of rare earth metals, this reliance poses a key vulnerability to U.S. defense capabilities according to Coffman.
“Our current reliance on other nations – in particular, China – for rare earth materials is disturbing, to say the least. The global market has proved tumultuous over the last year as mining permits decrease, environmental laws and regulations increase, and export quotas limit supply while dramatically increasing prices,” Coffman wrote in the letter.
Coffman’s letter did praise the interim report for finally acknowledging the national security implications of the U.S. rare earth dependence in the Annual Industrial Capabilities Report and notes that creating a strategic reserve of such materials is included in a list of potential risk mitigation strategies. He noted, “We look forward to the Department fully developing their analysis, which will contribute to the development of multiple sources of rare earths within the United States.”
Please see below for a full text of the letter or click here for a PDF.
October 13, 2011
Administrator Ronnie Favors
DLA Strategic Materials
8725 John J. Kingman Road, Suite 3229
Fort Belvoir, Virginia 22060-6223
Dear Administrator Favors:
In the last two years, officials from both the legislative and executive branches have frequently discussed the issue of our nation’s dependence on potentially unreliable foreign sources for those critical rare earth materials that are so important to high-technology, “green energy”, and military applications. As the Department of Defense (DoD) finalizes its congressionally-required assessment of supply-chain vulnerabilities and identifies those high-demand rare earths that are most susceptible to supply-chain interruption, I expect that this report will also explore the potential for incorporating those materials into DoD’s Annual Materials Plan (AMP).
To be clear, I support the procurement of such high-demand, at-risk rare earth materials to help fulfill DoD requirements and reduce this supply-chain vulnerability. By using the Annual Materials Plan as a vehicle, the Department can identify critical rare earth oxides, alloys, metals, or magnets, depending on what best suits DoD’s needs, and then fulfill a portion or the entirety of the associated requirements. Such a program should serve as a catalyst to the development of downstream technologies such as rare earth separation, metal, alloy and magnet production. By leveraging DOD’s demand with numerous domestic and ally nation companies capable of meeting that need, the Department can serve an important role by investing in the future of a competitive, multi-source domestic rare earth industry. Such an investment would have the dual benefit of both providing much needed domestic demand for metal, alloy and magnets, while also providing enough rare earth material to serve as an “insurance policy” for our national defense. Quite simply, a rare earth inventory plan could alleviate the rare earth issue for the Department and should be pursued aggressively.
For example, the Department can address its clear and pressing need for neodymium iron boron permanent magnets – without which several pivotal military applications cannot function – by procuring neodymium iron boron alloy in a variety of grades from domestic sources. DoD officials could then utilize the Authorization and Consent Clause of the Federal Acquisition Regulations through patent expiration to issue a small production contract and thereby stockpile blocks of neodymium iron boron magnets in the necessary grades using U.S. produced neodymium alloy. Industry could then access such blocks to fabricate finished components that meet DoD’s needs. This limited program would reestablish a capability that is non-existent in the United States and leaves us totally dependent on unsecure foreign sources of supply.
Our current reliance on China for rare earth materials is disturbing, to say the least. The global market has proved tumultuous over the last year as mining permits decrease, environmental laws and regulations increase, and export quotas limit supply while dramatically increasing prices. I am particularly disturbed by the ongoing migration of global manufacturers into China as demonstrated by the planned relocations of rare earth companies Showa Denko and Hitachi and major manufacturers such as Toyota, all presumably moving to access scarce rare earth materials. At the same time, Department officials do not seem able to arrive at a consensus on the need for a secure rare earth supply-chain let alone take action to create one. It is clear that the Department’s delay is a contributing factor in allowing the United States to become ever more dependent on China for not only rare earth oxide and metal, but also alloys, magnets and eventually entire components and assemblies that comprise our major weapon systems. This is a future that can and must be avoided.
It is encouraging that the Department acknowledged the national security implications of our rare earth dependence in the 2011 Annual Industrial Capabilities Report. As you know, creating a strategic reserve of such materials is included in the list of potential risk mitigation strategies. I look forward to the Department fully developing their analysis, which will contribute to the development of multiple sources of rare earths within the United States.
U.S. national security experts must think creatively about how to ensure stability of supply for critical materials, including rare earth oxides, alloys, metals, and magnets. The Defense National Stockpile Center has long served as a leader with the Department in ensuring the United States has ample stocks of critically needed items. I encourage you to maintain that proud tradition of vision and initiative and to establish an inventory of such rare earths, as I have outlined, through your organization’s Annual Materials Plan or other contractual mechanisms as appropriate.
Sincerely,
Mike Coffman
U.S. Congress
Cc: Undersecretary of Defense, Acquisition, Technology & Logistics
Tim,
It certainly never hurts to have an upward moving market to move with. Positive markets could lead to a lot more speculation and much quicker price movement. There is a lot of info that should be coming out in the next few weeks and Mike Berry being in Washington DC in two weeks could prove very timely. I'm not sure anyone at this point could buy a lot of shares without driving the price upward which should be good for us when we get some much anticipated news.
Joe