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Not that I agree with Mike, but his theory sounds just as plausible if not more so than the other beloved Buffalo theory
Is there anybody except for may LWE... that does not have Capt 370 in them
At least the first Capt 370 did not scratch his head over reverse split proposals while being a bull at the same time
Since alias born late 2004 probably years before Simpson heard of delcath, what is the quality of an analyst that believes I could be Simpson.
Is it not easier to believe people who lost 99 percent on a company that warned of bankruptcy are not the best judges of corporate behavior. That does not fit everybody, but people are influenced when they read post after post that describes everything a certain way counterbalanced primarily by only one poster
I used to post on IHUB as you can see frequently with a large variety of really stinky pinkies that did no Sec Filings and Chinese robber companies, since immune to U.S. authorities.
Now, I rarely post about any stock except this one. When I do individual stocks it is more likely to be from a pool of big names like Starbucks.
Delcath is not worthy of love, but since I have owned for a total amount of time delcath far longer than you johnny come latelies, current moment of ownership standard carries no weight with me. It is not rational to discount experience good or bad here.
So your next logical step is FDA never heard of delcath, etc. etc. Hey but if you are long, it has to be great analysis
Opposing you are well pleased with posts "Simpson should be locked up", "Simpson is a thief", "Sam is Simpson", "I will fight with all my might against reverse split" ...
So, if you go strictly by inflation market cap on speculation for end of phase 3 will be at least $700 million
It is always possible I am a loser in this round and you are the winner, I have placed my bet, no more no less
Don't you get it. A reverse split will not hurt me any as long as I have no skin in the game. If of course everybody sold now and nobody bought, the stock price would go to a flat zero which would render a measly 500 to 1 reverse split ineffective, would not even shorten a yawn.
The announcement did hurt me though at least in the short run as the price dropped before I could sell.
I will judge a poster favorably only if they are willing to mention that bankruptcy has always been a possibility ever since FDA formerly rejected in Sep 2013. I always considered that a possibility.
It is a shame if the end of phase 3 is only around 1 year away, if bankruptcy. I am confident enrollment is not yet 240, so phase 3 is a guessing game
those who are holding are the ones you describe, I know you understand that. It is ironic that the ones who are supporting the reverse split with their money, think they are effectively fighting
Maybe, they could be right
I was afraid of that interpretation, of course I am beneficial
Yes, I am obedient. Since the company needs a lot of money and the previous offering was a huge disaster, I will vote YES as a record holder. I will reconsider if some company publicly states they would like to get their hands on delcath, but I am not going to wait while such theoretical company lollygags around
The only people here worthy of praise are astute traders. The rest of us, go for big stories. I got lucky between 2003 and 2010 with delcath. I have not been lucky very often since. There is little room for luck in the last 8 years, and I don't blame Simpson at all. She warned of bankruptcy in July 2017 and people pretend like that is not a fact. Know your posters similar to the old measure twice, cut once
The average human mind just wants to blame others for their own investment decisions. Simpson/bod, nothing is conclusive beyond the fact they will do whatever it takes to survive. They will do whatever it takes to raise more money
Maxm vs rap/hulk, what is respective win/loss records
You really have nothing unless you know of outsider b/o or partner interest
There is only one reason to put Simpson/Bod in an ultra harsh light and that would be if they have not tried to capitalize via b/o or partnership. It can't be proved one way or the other whether there is hidden interest or how much.
Every post is 100 percent wrong to skip the basics that way.
For working with facts, show me outsider interest. Other tips are will there be the usual voting process, likely. Will there be phone call solicitation for votes? Next step actual vote results.
250 M or more YES votes or another poor results vote
A real fact I believe is even if Simpson has painted a bleaker picture financially than is the case, it is not by much. There is no doubt in my mind that w/o partner or b/o, the company needs more money, it is critical
there is no analysis for making money here. Whenever phase 3 gets hot, money will be made, but that statement has been true since the beginning of time. The stock would go up big if Simpson left, but that is not an analysis for being long. The longs case is just throwing darts and creating froth
Longs who completely hate, fear, or believe the worst about Simpson can't begin to make sense on why be long. The challenge to explain is too much
Fighting in the Alamo against General Simpson is not really heroic, if you don't end up making money in the process
By solicit, I mean phone calls to those who have large blocks but have not voted YES
So what we will learn first is whether there are any phone calls
I expect they will send out within a week. They may solicit votes from people on this board, if so it would challenge the locked up theory
or it is a plan to hand to Roth premiere investors about 95 percent of the pie, not counting probably $40 million worth of warrants to be executed in 2019 in order to get a 2nd helping of pie. Look at vote, but first look to see if there is takeover interest. How long will people tout takeover interest when nobody ever expresses it from the outside
Disclaim: neither theory may have an ounce of truth
Well, not quite. If Roth/delcath does not have the vote locked up tight, they won't get a favorable vote. Last time delcath had HB and Ayrton, but that was not close to 50 percent.
The parallel is in this case it is similar to fighting the Alamo again imo. Did the folks in the Alamo fight bravely to the end or did they get caught with their pants down because they did not listen to Sam Houston, who instructed to vacate
Ticker, You should be one of the few that would be wondering about why $4.6 million went into last offering. Either they are another generation of dummies (always possible) or if it was inspired via Roth, I would not be surprised if Roth consulted delcath and even insisted on a reverse split
Just a theory for sure but there is reason to believe it. Roth has the key to possibly almost 50 percent of the entire vote, and whoever has warrants is with Simpson imo on whatever it takes to fund $20 million
false, approval date is applicable to b/o potential, for stock price speculation phase 3 end date is the date to go with
if 250M yes votes, I would like to know what roth is expecting for end of phase 3
Bringing 2010 into the conversation so out of place, enough said
Currently a niche product I give an 85 to 90 percent chance of approval by end of the year 2020, most likely maybe end of first qtr of 2020.
That is assuming $20 million can be raised in a timely manner.
50/50 chance of ever breaking out of mostly OM usage, a process that could take to 2025.
Such is highly theoretical and history of near b/o means if history repeats, no near b/o
my position is a lot more clear than those who currently are long. Hostile b/o effort is not clear. Hostile b/o is a weak, weak theory. That is all it is for now.
Strange how longs are okay with all the posts bashing Simpson severely, strange nobody can explain clearly why delcath is worth more than 2 cents
Explain why you have not sold. One day closer to FDA approval could have been said the first day the company went public back before my time.
Delcath investment has made saps out of hundreds of people, in late 2013, in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 and people knew approval was not close but invested
Simpson does whatever it takes to stay in business, does not matter if it is in her self interest, it is her plan until evidence of otherwise
More fair to say why was I in delcath dabbling in a losing cause during those years.
I say the next chance to prove Simpson/delcath is worthy of consideration, 250 million YES votes, more than 50 percent chance imo
If people were confident vote was not overridden possibly although goofy imo, but don't count on even a runway for takeoff. Why would people ever invest on such strange scenarios? If one thinks Simpson is the worst of the worst, find a stock with better criteria
You earlier posted I believe people deserved to lose that paid over 1 cent, why the extreme about face
What is the path to profit?
1) sudden FDA
2) benevolent hostile takeover
3) NO votes that Simpson can't circumvent
If something causes a spike to .02. Why would you hold? Why now would you buy? Is there a compelling case?
Since July my greatest stumbling was speculating once the stock had stopped its dramatic plunge by early December
Long term 250 million YES votes would deliver an interesting speculation, otherwise $20 million is a very tough obstacle. With 250 million, there still needs to be confirmation of a successful offering
All financing between start of 2016 unil now has been a disappointment with of course the convertible making vast majority thoroughly hating Simpson
It is not blatant or even entirely logical, 100 percent based on too much faith in b/o value theory which never goes away, why each generation believes even the defeated generations??
B/o may come at some time, but never, ever believe without at least better quality speculation
I may stand as one man with the opinion that the vote count is an important factor. 250 million or more YES votes, clearly as one could hope, means Roth is the new partner with delcath via preferred clients.
I will push that thinking if such a vote result. If not such a vote result, fear should remain uppermost.
If one keeps diluting fast enough, I agree it could thwart a hostile takeover, and may thus deny what potentially is in best interest of shareholders.
Also at the very least management should provide an enrollment count, nothing wrong with transparency except none of us may like the info when we see it.
I put in action what I am going to say, putting ideas of bod etc.. on back burner, everybody should have tried to get out at 2 cents.
IF stock is below 1.5 cents, maybe a weak hold. I believe a NO vote result could be a boon, but sell if it hits 2 cents or better quickly, ie don't wait around thinking much higher
If there are about 250 million YES votes, then there is room to believe there will be light at the end of the tunnel
I know I am SimpsonnotSamuel but call me sam for short, but the part manipulation of dreams, the dreams are manufactured on the message board, but Simpson aka Miss Kitty of the Longbranch welcomes the money
Just have to say my thinking is around -500 percent chance of happening, chance of reverse split before end of May, 98.67 percent
I hope to be in with money again in the near future, but in the meantime I have more in common with your namesake,Trompete,Akika and such. LWE ... definitely is a guy that seems to come up smelling like roses with his green thumb and he is on sidelines
Your stay in court idea. So if the hostile can't request a stay, why would they not solicit shareholders to do so. If hostile can request a stay, they should do so. How is it rational to act in full faith on something that is 100 percent theory? Be interesting if a judge acts on something which is 100 percent theory.
That is why I think you are not being educated well here.
I know folks will say it is clear company is hiding something. I don't think that has merit. What is clear is an intense hatred and fear of a reverse split? That is 100 percent clear. It is about equally clear that there is a generic hatred and fear of Simpson.
A long that feels so strongly towards Simpson, why be in this company? Begs for explanation. I mean really, really begs for (because of a theory, only theory about Pedder, pumping each other, not educating, my opinion and Trompete - the eager eternal bear that he is
Think about hostile athenex, etc.. Filing says there is no knowledge of such. Seems bold to say in a filing if not true. Think about a secondary stated tactic for thwarting such, authorized increase. Maybe the 212 M sentiment on reverse split can be debated. How though could all 212 M vote anyway but YES on their authorized / 500M warrants
I don't think filing says reverse split would thwart a hostile t/o. An offering might, if the shares bought are not sympathetic to a hostile
One thing is clear, if there was a hostile lurking they are not buying much as can be seen in stock price.
Last if there is a hostile and they want a NO vote, before the vote it would be insane I think to not publicly solicit NO votes. Hostiles can't hold near 212M from offering as their warrants, authorized increase would be counterproductive
Some folks want to know if management at this time is acting in shareholder's interest or not. Some people are convinced they are not. If there is a hostile take over interest, Simpson should say so, the hostile party should say so and publicly solicit NO votes if that is what they want, in fact why would they not?