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thanks for the head's up
2bit
OK SM,
thanks again, though my analysis do not take the net difference...I will save the ones you gave me and see if
it will lead to other possibilities...
thanks again
2bit
Wow, Oman,
Firstly, who reads newspaper anymore, everything is on the Web. Secondly, microfiche, that is 1960 technology is it not?
At least you would have expect things to be digitised...Which world are you coming from???
LOL, I am just kidding...thanks for your suggestion, it is the thought that counts...I do not read newspaper and the last time I have my hands on a fiche was in the eighties...
2bit
SM,
Thanks for the effort. One question, do they separate the advance and decline numbers or do they just show the difference of the two, since I see the same number each day only repeated four times...
Thanks
2bit
It's the raw data, NYSE only and not the others, yes that site has the 2009 data only, if you want previous years you have to pay for it...that is why I am asking if anyone knows where I can get it for free...
2bit
that will be great, ideally I like to go back to 2003 to 2008 for I have only this year's data. Is this a lot for six years daily numbers for NYSE advance and decline issues? else I will just settle for 2008..
thanks in advance
2bit
Does anyone knows where to obtain NYSE advance/decline issues (numbers) going back a few years....
Thanks
2bit
I plan to scrap long again tomorrow...it should bounce here else we are in deep shi....
2bit
looking for 38-50% retracement here
2bit
nm,
however there is no rebound until oil is back up
2bit
nm, I am all in cash waiting to go long...
2bit
Wow,
u must be very good at day-trading. I would not touch my 401k equivalent...else I could be living in the unibomber hut someday..LOL...I day/swing trade using a smaller account to experiment with my theory/work...good luck
2bit
6.5 to 1 long bias on a down turn..wow...my hat off to u..lol
2bit
CPI 0.1 vs 0.3 possibility of a bounce
2bit
My target is almost reached..
2bit
My long term investments are like your 401k...in there for months or years...if the market makes a small retracement I would not bother to take them out. That was why I work on the A/D issues. For short term or swing trades who needs them. I don't think my indicators are wrong. Everybody knows that whenever they are crossed, the market is heading down. But nobody can tell you whether it will be like May retracement or huge down turn in Feb. That is what my indicators will be telling me.
2bit
Blasher.
I tie my A/D work with volatility index and today it broke out to the upside...a pattern violation...my conclusion is being tested...not in danger yet but will be watching closely...but if it continues this trend ..will have to close out my long term investments....
2bit
Bounce
a block of 7000 spy 92 july calls bought
2bit
All good news, should have some fireworks here...
Jun 16 08:30 Housing Starts May 532K 485K
Jun 16 08:30 Building Permits May 518K 500K
Jun 16 08:30 PPI May 0.2% 0.5%
Jun 16 08:30 Core PPI May -0.1% 0.1%
FUTURES FAIR VALUE (0.42) 919.82 923.6 3.78
2bit
Oman,
I say like u say, out of BB. It's sunny up here though. They must have mis-pointed the panels...LOL
2bit
Such a boring day...let's have some jokes...
2bit
1. Losing all your friends
Man comes home and finds his wife with his friend in bed.
He shoots his friend and kills him.
Wife sa ys 'If you behave like this, you will lose ALL your friends.'
2. Brother wanted
A small boy wrote to Santa Claus,'send me a brother'....
Santa wrote back, 'SEND ME YOUR MOTHER'....
3.. Meaning of WIFE
Husband asks, 'Do you know the meaning of WIFE?
It means 'Without Information Fighting Everytime'!'
Wife replies, 'No, it means 'With Idiot For Ever'!!!'
4. Importance of a period
Teacher: 'Do you know the importance of a period?'
Kid: 'Yeah, once my sister said she has missed one,
my mom fainted, dad got a heart attack & our driver ran away.'
5. Confident vs. confidential
A young boy asks his Dad,
'What is the difference between confident and confidential? '
Dad sa ys , 'You are my son, I'm confident about that.
Your friend over there, is also my son, that's confidential! '
6. Anger management?
Husband: 'When I get mad at you, you never fight back.
How do you control your anger?'
Wife: 'I clean the toilet.'
Husband: 'How does that help?'
Wife: 'I use your toothbrush ..'
Take a small bite of an AAPL here...long
2bit
The guru should look at the internals..
2bit
The SOIR: The Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) compares put and call open interest for options with less than three months until expiration. We always keep an eye on the SOIR of individual equities. Below is a chart of the aggregate put and call open interest on all optionable stocks in our database. A rising SOIR tells us traders are preparing for a market fall, while a decreasing SOIR tells us option players are growing more bullish.
The red line in the graph below shows the SOIR action during the prior rally. The ratio started the rally just above 0.70 (marked by the blue line), and during the next 30 days, the SOIR fell sharply in relation to the SPX's move higher. This development told us that option players were becoming increasingly bullish, and, as we know now, they were disappointed. However, the SOIR during the current rally (marked by the green line) started at a much higher point, telling us that option players were more bearish at the beginning of this rally than the last. After 30 days of the current trend higher, the SOIR was back to where it was when the rally began. Even now, after a 40% increase in the SPX, the SOIR is signaling the same amount of optimism (or lack thereof) as it was at the beginning. It is encouraging that the all-equity SOIR remains elevated, as this pessimism tells us there is some staying power for this rally.
Chart comparing the SOIR for the November-January rally with the SOIR for the current rally on the SPX
Oman, Blasher,
that is if you are a day-trader, if you are a swing trader you have not gone anywhere in the whole week...as a matter of fact you are considered lucky if you did not lose any money, long or short..
2bit
Gleno,
ur guru just posted a superbull T to Aug 2010 audio to follow Sunday....interesting the 15 min rising bottom and breakout of the $NYAD...
2bit
Apply "Occam's razor"..fake bearer bonds everywhere...
The following was back in 2001...
2bit
"Billion dollar bond scam busted, more arrests pending
Updated Thu. Feb. 15 2001 8:09 AM ET
Investigators are following up on leads to determine if a $25-billion US bond scam is linked to organized crime in Asia.
The Royal Canadian Mounted Police and the U.S. Secret Service made a pair of arrests Monday, just five days after two men tried to deposit phony U.S. bearer bonds at a Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce branch in Toronto, asking for a letter of credit for a portion of the amount.
Banking officials alerted police after failing to verify the bonds' authenticity. On Monday, Sung Taek Park, 67, of Japan and Michael Johnson, 37, an Ontario resident were taken into custody and police say more arrests are pending.
A bond is an IOU, usually issued by a government or company. Unlike regular bonds, a bearer bond belong to the holder and isn't usually registered to an owner in a central database.
The documents are very high quality, there is a great of deal of sophistication going into making these, said RCMP Sergeant Gord Jamieson at a news conference in Toronto Wednesday. It isn't amateurish at all...I wouldn't be surprised if organized crime is linked to this.
SUSPICION PAYS OFF
Police praised banking authorities for conducting a thorough investigation when the suspicious bonds were presented, Feb. 7. When banking officials were unable to authenticate the bonds, they went on the Internet to check the website of the U.S. Treasury Bureau of Public Debt. That's where they read about another bond scam.
The huge sum of money is something that definitely would raise flags to financial institutions and fortunately, you can't go to the local QuickMart or 7-Eleven and buy a pack of cigarettes with a $100 million bearer bond, said Tim Koerner, an agent with the U.S. Secret Service, at a Toronto news conference.
The likelihood of these actually making it through the banking system into the United States Federal Reserve system is extremely remote because of the high-dollar amount and the scrutiny that they would receive at that level, he added.
RCMP Sgt. Gord Jamieson said there were other tell-tale signs the bonds were fake. For one thing, the technology needed to print bonds didn't exist in the 1930's, at the time when the phony bonds were supposed to have been created. Zip codes was also printed on the phony bonds, even though the U.S. government didn't use zip codes until the 60's.
Our financial institutions, should they have issued the letter of credit, would have been the loser in this particular investigation, said Jamieson.
Phony bonds are rarely cashed in, but as long as they're undetected they can be used as collateral for brokerage accounts, real estate, or obtaining a line of credit at a casino.
The U.S. Secret Service says Canada was probably targeted because foreign bonds are not as well known to Canadian banks. I think that if you're dealing with securities of a foreign country that it becomes easier to perpetrate because the knowledge of what constitutes a genuine article is not as readily available, Koerner said.
Both suspects have been charged with conspiracy to utter a forged document, conspiracy to commit fraud, uttering a forged document, and attempted fraud over $5,000.
Swenlin,
One has to be careful about Guru's interpretation of data. They always find the little things to make their cases. But their decisions were made a priori. He concentrates on the little divergence of the summation index. On the other hand, if he was bullish, he would concentrate on the index being way above 0. It would be politically correct to go with the flow ...resistance, divergence, retrace and perhaps back up. Same with Marty Chenard preaching bad things just about every day. Just wonder how his subscribers survive. Now if the guru says it is consolidating at the high and that signal is bullish and will bust through resistance and if that is realised, then he is a real guru. Unfortunately, there isn't many out there. At least not on a free site.
good luck
2bit
Blasher,
I am done with my proprietary A/D analysis. I cannot tell you what I did. But I can talk about the conclusion going forward. This is one step towards validating my work.
There are two observations. First, the declning issues are relatively benign. Second, under the condition of the low volatility, every retracement will be minor. Therefore, you will not see Mar0909 prices again. With the exception of special bad events, I see the market busting through EMA 200 soon and start a super bull T.
good luck
2bit
Almost every time when 15min MACD goes positive, robotic programs are triggered to buy. I missed my trade by a few seconds and OEX calls jumped by $1. It will be hard to find out who for I am sure they select a basket of stocks.
2bit
From 2 to Two,
Every time I shorted..I have to watch it so closely it ain't worth it, rather work at Mac..I am a dipper now...much easier..I think eventually it will bust through the 200 ma...
2bit
A very good close should see higher prices at least Monday
2bit
There was a robotic program buy at 2.30 pm...now it is reset and free again to go higher??
2bit
Not sure AAPL is out of the woods yet but after 5 days of fall..your chances are better than average
2bit
Rampo to close... long oil....either recovery or inflation...oil has to go up...can't loose right?
2bit
Guru said GOOG buy point at 417ish..
2bit
Just a thought,
the upward sloping channel is bearish and if it continues to break to the upside this is a bull market...LOL
2bit
It's a 6..swine flu pandemic...
2bit
Hey OMAN,
ur right about this sideway market...it is driving me nuts...but I think Blasher is right ...it will pull back soon to complete the 5th wave...especially according to A/D internals the bull is slightly injured...then Gleno's TTheory guru kicks in with the super Bull T.
2bit
Blasher,
There are only that many indicators out there, slice and dice them whichever way you want. Yes A/D issues are only good for medium term, you could be one or two days late but it explains away Jan and May sell off ; March and June rise. You've got your proprietary version and I got mine. I guess if they could be patented, the office will be very busy. My findings are that all observations should be explainable by mathematics. If not, they are just as good as guessing.
good luck
2bit
It really depends on the Retail sales no. tomorrow morning...if bad it could go straight down..now I am watching the NYSE advance/decline issues more closely...yesterday there was a slight hint of possible internal damage. I guess the bears are so hungry that they do not even want to wait. It will take a very good retail number for the market to turn around now...
2bit