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Everyone has there own trading style....
I personally don't rely heavily on historical charts anymore with the "new normal markets", they do play a role but, in my trading style, (short term, momentum and swing trading) only about 30%, I would rather be well read and rely on accurate up to date geo-political/financial news and events. Furthermore I monitor daily trading action and level 2 trade/volumes of the Dow, S&P, NASDAQ, gold stocks, options, PM's and the dollar. I only buy producers with revenue, do my own DD on companies, as well as monitoring/participating on message boards, hopefully resulting in an accurate consensus of opinion on various issues.
Have a great weekend.
CIA...Complacency, Ignorance and Apathy.
After all the hoopla over the last week about Yellen/Jackson Hole, the speech was over but, the dollar and gold didn't behave the way they wanted so, they trotted this clown out to jawbone some more, finishing the job, getting the results they wanted, all on futures expiry Friday, absolutely unbelievable!.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-08-26/feds-fischer-spoils-party
Me too...FRAUD on an epic scale!
I hope to God this $2.5 billion smack down is due to gold futures expiry today? Monday? I don't even know how to attempt to attach any justification or correlation to this in your face fraud anymore.
Between the fed's jawboning about rate hikes every f**ing other week and the relentless daily PM slams by the CB's I honestly don't see how we will get there without a major catalyst.
Cork, Doesn't scare me either, this correction will be short lived, the cartel's are only able to manipulate PM's lower due to market uncertainties with regard to Jackson Hole this week. IMO whether rates remain the same or .25 higher, all the quality miners will recover after the holiday if not next week. Remember prior to 2008 these same miners (now vastly more efficient and diversified) were trading at 3 times where they are now with $800 gold and $17 silver, now more than ever, way undervalued!
Question is, if this PM action is manipulation, which I truly believe it is, are they going to pull the same shit tomorrow before options expiry?
Yeah, thanks for the shares!
I thought I did good buying some at just under $14 today, damn!
Inside information about a rate hike is causing sell down of PM's/miners or PM's are being sold down ahead of a no-hike scenario so that they won't spike too high when announced. It's hard to say in a totally manipulated PM market. Silver's orchestrated decline this week is truly disgusting. Found this today...it's something to think about...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-08-24/no-rate-hike-fears-here-record-foreign-central-bank-bid-stellar-5-year-auction
Thanks Cork, for all your time and effort you put into that post, I couldn't agree more. These criminals just won't stop, its hard to believe we have tax payer funded agencies all around the world to police such criminality and we get this. By the way they just blatantly crushed gold again this morning!
The only shaky ground here is you and your comments which we all are learning quickly to ignore, keep it up and you'll be down to zero responses.
Thanks Bob, what is your opinion on GCM being perpetually stuck trading in this .13-.145 zone?
2018 Debentures-Frequently Asked Questions;
http://s21.q4cdn.com/834539576/files/GCM-2018-Debentures-FAQ-v2.pdf
S/A article from July;
http://seekingalpha.com/article/3987945-gran-colombia-gold-might-golden-stock
Fear of future dilution due to debentures convertible to .13 shares, not an unsolvable situation though with their substantial cash flow.
Geo, could you please clarify this for me, thanks in advance:
Is the 10% buy back limit for the life of debentures?
What are the payback terms aside from debt holders converting?
What incentive do the debt holders have not to immediately convert if fixed @.13?
from the company press release:
July 19, 2016
TORONTO, ON --(Marketwired - July 19, 2016) - Gran Colombia Gold Corp. (TSX: GCM)(OTC PINK: TPRFF) announced today that it has received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange (the "TSX") to commence normal course issuer bids for its Senior Unsecured Convertible Debentures due 2018 (the "2018 Debentures") and its Senior Secured Convertible Debentures due 2020 (the "2020 Debentures" and together the "Debentures"). The 2018 Debentures and 2020 Debentures currently trade on the TSX under the trading symbols GCM.DB.U and GCM.DB.V, respectively.
Under the terms of the bids the Company will have the right to purchase for cancellation up to a maximum of US$6,633,471 aggregate principal amount of 2018 Debentures and a maximum of US$9,629,597 aggregate principal amount of 2020 Debentures through the facilities of the TSX or alternative Canadian trading systems. This amount represents approximately 10% of the public float of the 2018 Debentures and 2020 Debentures, respectively, issued and outstanding as of July 11, 2016, determined in accordance with the applicable rules of the TSX. As of the date hereof, the aggregate principal amount issued and outstanding 2018 Debentures is US$63,742,176 and 2020 Debentures is US$103,294,350.
Management of the Company will determine the actual number of 2018 Debentures and 2020 Debentures that may be purchased and the timing of any such purchases, subject to compliance with applicable TSX rules. Daily purchases will be limited to US$17,154 principal amount of 2018 Debentures and US$12,279 principal amount of 2020 Debentures, other than block purchase exceptions. Purchases made pursuant to the bids will be made on the open market through the facilities of the TSX or other designated exchanges and published markets in Canada, and the price that the Company will pay for any such Debentures will be the market price at the time of the acquisition. The Company will not purchase Debentures when the market price per US$100 aggregate principal amount of Debentures exceeds US$100.
The Company is proposing to commence the bid on July 21, 2016, and have it remain open until the earlier of July 20, 2017 or the date on which the Company has purchased the maximum number of Debentures permitted under each bid. The Company has not purchased any 2018 Debentures or 2020 Debentures during the previous 12 months.
Under the terms of the indenture governing each of the Debentures, and as further described in such documents, the Company is required to set aside certain amounts of its excess free cash for repayment, repurchase or redemption of the Debentures. In accordance with each indenture, the Company is entitled and intends to use such funds for purchases of Debentures through the normal course issuer bids. The Company intends to make the bids because it believes: (i) that the 2018 Debentures and 2020 Debentures may be undervalued from time to time in relation to its current and future business prospects; (ii) that the purchase of Debentures though the bids is the best use of any excess free cash accumulated as per the terms of the indentures governing each of the Debentures and (iii) that Debentures may become available during the period of the bids at prices that would make the purchase of Debentures for cancellation an appropriate use of available funds and in the best interests of the Company and its shareholders.
Yes Geo, I know, just checked GCM, only sell volume was high enough to cover my 327k, so my shares must have come from GCM sell side hours later, late in the day, that's odd, what do you think is going on there?
Geo, thanks that does help, the reason I brought that up is, I bot 327k of TPRFF earlier today and the volume shows up nowhere, do you see it anywhere?
Geo, So, share purchases are now going to debt holders (who are converting debt to shares) instead of going to the company resulting in a higher share price, correct? Is this why my recent buys don't show up anywhere?
Do you think there is a chance of TPRFF moving after earnings?
Everybody wants a piece of this one today up 1.33 WOW!
Nice beat, I thought it was higher than .13, nice pre-market, should be a great day
It's funny how there was no mention in the article regarding the 100's of billions of easy money borrowed over the last 8 years buying back stock to goose market value while propping up the general stock market and providing golden parachutes for all the executives.
Things are heating up...gold and silver soaring tonight.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-08-09/bank-england-suffers-stunning-failure-second-day-qe-goodness-knows-what-happens-next
Interesting quote from Stockhouse board:
"The deb price has been moving up. At the same time the share price has dropped back down after the jump in share price from the news of buyback and increase in production number.
The "Easy" Arbitrage is no longer an easy arbitrage. Add in the extra cost of currency conversion for the poor arbitragers. Cry a tear for them. They will starve without easy arbitrage. Thanks to the "Smart" people telling others to arbitrage and dump all their shares to drive the share price down. More like Dumb people shooting themselves in the foot.
The good news is without an easy arbitrage, there is no reason to convert and dump shares.
When there is no longer an easy arbitrage, people who converted may be stuck with more shares than they want (because there is a long delay to convert) and they sell at any price once they get the shares. That reminds me of what happened at NMI. A lot of people thought there was an "Easy" Arbitrage (promoted by Katusa), then they found out it was really a fake arbitrage and were stuck with too many shares and unloaded at any price driving the share price down. Little did they know that they were selling their shares at "pound head on wall" crazy low prices and missed out on a multi bagger.
The source of the problem (the extra shares) is the long time debenture holders who were looking at big losses for a long time and don't mind selling cheap to get out. This problem is being addressed by the company buying back the debs. They can't buy them back all at once. It will have to be gradual as they generate cash. At $1300 gold they will be generating that cash. The share price will gradually rise as the debs are bought back.
Say the company is able to buy back $50m of the debs and the rest convert to shares. That would be a market cap of $190m-$50m=$140m. $140m debt free for 140k oz production is way cheaper than any gold producer out there. The 2020 debs with higher 6% interest are likely to convert last. By 2020 the company is likely to generate a lot more cash than $50m with a $1300 gold price. The more debs they buy back the cheaper it will be. This is the cheapest market cap/EV per oz producer i can see (that doesn't have something unusual like a stream). Any other 140k oz gold producer would have a market cap of $300m or higher. In comparison to other gold miners, GCM is trading at CRAZY low prices."
I think one of the problems with the way SSRI trades is that, the same characters that used to short the hell out of CLGRF are still here.
I'm out too, break even point, they really have nothing other than Cooke at the helm and I'm not even sure anymore if that is an asset. They have sold half EDR shares for 6.5M and that money will be spent, all that is left is a poultry 7M or so, I won't fall in love with this stock only to be disappointed again, I'm beginning to see a pattern here.
Nice, wonder if the market will notice.
Thanks Geo.
I hope they've already locked in one of those prospects they were looking at, they are getting fewer and more expensive with every passing week.
If you did some research and learned some facts, you would realize it is their 2018/2020 debt debentures convertible to shares that is holding them back, continued massive profits will ultimately outweigh this.
Remember, only half those shares are now following EXK, they've already sold half @ 6.5M, I don't think the parity is as strong now.
Bla, Bla, Bla, Bla, all miners dropped to their bottom this January, a lot barely surviving, where were you? Your comments are baseless.
T, This stock will be trading sideways until closing of Gryphon deal or not, in October. I have exited my position to use the proceeds elsewhere for now, taking advantage of more immediate opportunities, may buy back in this September.
CD
Great performing stock, year end price target high of $19, Q3 EPS high side estimate of .21.
http://www.zergwatch.com/2016/08/04/what-wall-street-is-saying-about-coeur-mining-inc-nysecde-2/
Naw, Quality miners are holding up well in spite of PM dump, even little old TPRFF, mostly buy side action this morning, with a couple sells, last one raising the bid to .11
No way, not going to happen, the company fundamentals and market climate are too good right now, IMO, perfect storm territory.
Post Q1 Stats: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=TPRFF
Nope, not at all, just some profit taking today. IMO easily $20 this year $25-30 next year if gold/silver stay at this level or above.