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NAVB I'm going on memory here but having traded this for almost a year I recall volume buying way up each time we move up into low 3's, possibly suggesting selling into higher 4's on gain locking. Agree that 2011 much less relevant than current, both pointing north on strong potential catylists and sound mgmt to date. link below back to one version of the technical story, noting I recall it was about MArch 2011 when moved to AMEX. good luck all on this a solid play IMO
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=NAVB&p=W&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p90287983226
Agree with you and Trade2much on that - weekly charts very strong! . trailng support well up into the 3's now. volitility will increase with SP and volume IMO. GLA
NAVB Altropane Option - IMO this news is nuetral for now. A positive SP driver if optioned next month. Both Tulip and Pykett came to NAVB from Alseres, so to not option this after all the DD time and expense would not look great upon them IMO. If licensed, could be a part of a nice string of events in late July and August. Seems this would also impact Alseres SP as well, I think it trades for around 10 cents. GLTA
NAVB $3.51 Within a few days the low 3.50's will also be the 52-week high (unless we break out), adding to the drama. Watching this week from the sidelines for the most part, looking to re-enter very soon. Altropane annoucement due later this week should give reason for some non-market driven SP action one way or another off this key R/S area. GLA
NAVB Among all the ARNA money gyrations, looks like the other PDUFA plays all up for the most part. Also, isn't today 6/22 (could be wrong) Index/Fund adjustment day, possibly adding to the re-shuffle. just my 2 cents. good luck all
NAVB Performing very well and charting very well. IMO one of the safer PDUFA plays. I am trading this short term as the neck-line of a H&S reversal pattern, noting 3.02-3.04 key resistance-breakout ahead,and 2.79-2.83 support. Keeping my stops very tight in this market. Good luck everyone
GNOM I had some from this level a few weeks ago, on an oversold play. Never got to complete my position before it popped along with the sub-sector, and I quickly exited. For me this is not a company to risk a large position in, but keeping it on watch. Good luck
NAVB 2.87 I see also the potential for a head & shoulders reversal setting up, and may trade at least a portion of my position accordingly. Volume next few days may be the tell. Any green trade these days is a good trade:)
EXEL $4.85 Closed position via trailing stop at 2.92. Still some upside potential possible here but locked in 9% and will be keeping on close watch.
NAVB Chart - agree with you on that and holding solid here. In addition to the 50d MA, 2.90 is always been somehwhat of a "pivot point" and also marks the current downtrend breakout. watching very close, good luck everyone.
NAVB $2.78 Very nice chart set-up with bullish signals improving each day. Next on the list should be a decision on the Altropane option due before 6/30 (extendable to 7/30). I also still wonder if a modification to the Hercules terms is in the cards (next draw tied to LS approval but expires 6/30).
NAVB I understand there was some speculation that funds tied to this index have end-of-month rebalanced positions over the past week based on the index changes, and that this caused the recent decline, and resulted in the large block trades. Personnaly, I dont subscibe to this theory, however DDbuyer is a long time NAVB activist long, and maintains his own DD website dedicated to NAVB, worth checking out if you havent already.
Thanks Sheff -agree completely. At even money here - battle lines seem to be 4.50-4.52. Other than NAVB, safe in cash at this point.
EXEL 4.53 Had an open order in at 4.44 that filled while I was out this morning, completing my postion. Looking forward to ASCO - even with very modest expectations given markets. Down the road lots happening here as well, plan to keep high on watch list. Good luck everyone in the trade.
NAVB 2.68
update on 4694
http://ir.navidea.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=68527&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1700266&highlight=
edit - sorry for the repeat.
significant support level 2.65-2.68...hopefully this helps
GENE, ROSG, GNOM: all off the chart 50%+ moves. only nibbled into GNOM, not the others, but interesting to watch unfold near term
That was enough for me...locked in and closed at 2.47. nearly 30% of float traded already. Good luck to all staying with this
GNOM 2.12 huge volume. have small position from 1.80 but did not expect this. any thoughts appreciated. tx
edit..now 2.30. short sqeeze following the reports, partner talk, lots of speculation
CDLX: 4.68 I feel like a cowboy riding a rodeo bull in the after/pre market on this. Won't be hanging on too much longer - good luck everyone in this.
NAVB dilution has been a hot topic lately and seems to be based from the short side of the trades IMO. NAVB has had short attacks like many others. They have cash on hand until Q4, but not longer, and this to me makes for the only short thesis, since the LS NDA acceptance debate long gone.
After LS approval would seem prime time for an offering to raise new capital at higher SP and also wipe out the Hercules loan and it's restrictions(which was really a LS commercialization bridge loan IMO). Big blocks of the older warrants also set to expire in early 2013 I recall, all bringing analysts float estimates up a good 20% next 12 months. Regardless, very good trading opportunities in this one, now and down the road.
filled balance of my position 2.78-2.80. sure seems like a very large position was unwound into market strenth last 2 hrs. GL!
Have a small lotto position on CLDX. Would be great to see a positive unfolding here, but wasnt willing to put too much into it. Better to see data now than wait for ASCO, as can then focus on the others.
NAVB : very solid technical set-up. 14d Stoch will likely swing up strong as back-end peaks drop off by 0.20 next 2 days - baring market meltdown should bring momuntum-swing buy trades in and good ASCO timing. One thing I really like beyond the LS play is their solid pipeline (especially 4694) should make this a good trader well beyond LS PDUFA. One of the recent analysts reports had a really good catalyst summary ranked low-med-high. will try to dig up and post. PS-this blame the eurozone-greeks really getting old; hopefully the words "shrug off" appear in the headlines soon. GLA
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=NAVB&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p72276748273
CHARTS: Nice technical recovery set-ups on AMRN, PGNX, ECTE, NAVB topping my buy list. Looking close at others thanks to the great DD posts here. Good luck to all
NAVB 2.88. agree, nice move on NAVB and many others as bargain hunters seem in charge today. Had a block filled at 2.77 Friday morning while i was golfing . waiting on a close above 2.87 to fill rest of position...looking good. recent strength relative to market last week was very encouraging. GLTA
NAVB 2.77 I'll second that....I try to fill half my target position when were oversold (like this week) and the other half on the recovery swing. As a chart geek, I simply forward calculate my primary technical indicators to determine what i believe will generate a buy signal. Of course I can't predict the price in advance, but i know that a close (not intraday high) today at 2.87 or better will trigger a potential uptrend nice buy (%k move through 20). I'll be at a charity golf outing all day today (perfect ohio weather/golf day!); and be more than happy to buy more NAVB early next week at 2.90's if I get the signal. If not, small buys in the 2.70's are fine with me till the recovery does come. Best of luck to you on your trades . link below to chart....love to talk technicals if anyone interested
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=NAVB&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p97112549400
NAVB spot on wrinkles, i just got a fill at 2.78. The market turmoil aside, I belive we are seeing a nice bottom formation. anything under 3 IMO is a great deal on hold into summer. for me I trade, so look for a bit more precision on the timing. good set-up to move above 3 and shake off the last of the "PDUFA delay" hangover.
NAVB
Agree with you on that. big down pressure from bio indx and market - may help get my NAVB orders filled (2.70-2.78). closely watching markets and all my other orders to make adjustments as needed. good luck!
NAVB: demonstrating nice technical bottom formation this week. Still have open orders in the 2.70's, starter position fill yesterday at 2.82. IMO this week will set up nice for an upturn well into the 3's, assuming some cooperation from the market/indicies. New Managemnt has been very solid and for me a great home-town story as well. LS PDUFA is of course the big play but pay attention to 4694 if you trade, that will help make this an excellanet trade over the longer term IMO. GLE
OT new member - regular visitor now member hoping to contribute. I screen biotech plays based on fundamentals and focus on PDUFA and other event plays. I only trade based strickly on technicals and stick to my trading signal rules....period. Been in many of the boards current short-list of active plays. Normally I don't unbalance into any given stock but over the past 6 months have really been heavy into NAVB, and have amped up my DD on that as a result. Been good to me so far. Hope to add something on the board here and there...in return for the great information it has provided me. GLTA
ps - closed my last NAVB trade at 3.15 and been very tempted last few days to nibble back in....but my rules are my rules....and looking for a charted bottom closer to 2.70-2.75. but in this market anything possible. closed my HZNP today on the pop...tomorrow should be interesting to say the least. Thanks for all the quality posts and honest DD.