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Yipeeee!
It's going to be so sweet when Sadam get's his Ass kicked and is gone! I am going to take the day off work to celebrate the end of this sadistic bastard and his sadistic bastard sons.
Jibes
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Tom
I just think it's time for the market to rally. The fact that the war is going to happen with or with out the UN, helped to resolve that issue. True, I think it will still have an imediate neg effect but not as much. Looking at this bear market compared to the 1929 one shows how far we have come down. This market could get quite wild and you know we would just love that!
Jibes
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Bernie.
I do respect O'Higgins and I have his book beating the dow. All I meant is this sort of talk of a depression is usualy heard around the end of bear markets. There is/was tons of doom and gloom talk out there on the Economy. This is not the sort of talk you hear when the market is making new highs.
If you recall, the talk around the peak was how great everything was. Couldn't be better! Then it's time to watch out below.
Now it's the opposite. Doom and gloom you could cut with a knife.
Jibes
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Oh yes, I forgot to say that a good indication that the market is ready to turn up is when this Board's comments dry up. That has been the case the last few weeks.
Jibes
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Tom.
I find the data you have posted to be of great interest. I see the market like a wound up spring ready to let go. It looks like up might be the direction by the level of the IW.
As you may or may not have heard, Michael O'Higgins has predicted a depression in the coming years and starting soon or already. This is the sort of stuff you hear at the end of Bear Markets , so there is that. Where was he at the begining of the Bear trend? Plus all the negative news making the prospects good for an end to this down trend.
Something is up as indicated by the strange reading on your IW and my indicators also.
Is the opposite sort of thing shown in the IW right at the peak of the Nasdaq in early 2000? Where the IW shot up at the very peak and gave a very high reading? Not exactly the same but still this current reading is quite odd. The impetus of the IW going down with such great vigor could carry it lower still. I could see a very sharp sell-off with the advent of the Iraq invasion followed by a equal and very sharp recovery. A great buying opportunity!
Jibes
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Hi Qarel.
I agree that "AIM" means what we have come to know and love as Mr Lichello's invention.
Therefore I have decided to call my method "DDCA" and its what I really thought of when I first discovered it as "Dynamic Dollar Cost Averaging".
Maybe this name is already used as well (other than the "Dollar Cost averaging" part I mean). If so, anyone, please let me know and I will change it to somthing else.
Thanks for your input.
Jibes
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Qarel.
New AIM is in the true sense of the definition AIM. AIM is "Automatic Investment Management" New AIM fit's into this definition. SR does not. I don't know about Vortex. I can never understand what Conrad is saying. #:)
I tried CDP but it did not work well but I see your point about it being similar.
Jibes
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Let me add that once you have run out of money and get locked in, you are in effect a potential bag holder. This could continue for a long time.
Jibes
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Hey Rien.
<In the Cisco case you stop when the share price has not yet recovered to its old high
True but I ran this test on the same data as Jeff Weber did on his Web site. I wanted to see how New AIM would have done in this case.
I agree that if the price of CSCO suddenly jumped back to it's starting price AIM would do much better. But how would you have felt if you had done this on ENE? True, New AIM would have been bad too, but if you had kept feeding cash to a losing proposition, disaster!
Jibes
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Hello to all.
If you have the time and your so inclined, please check out the little example I posted on my site on the "New AIM" page.
It's near the bottom of the New AIM page under the heading "The power of New AIM." It is an eye opener!
And please, If anyone objects to me calling it "New AIM" let me know. I can change it.
Thanks
Jibes
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IMHO I think JNPR is ready to pop. As a mater of fact the whole market is ready to do somthing big. Now, if only I knew which way?.....
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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Robo.
>Whoa, I just had a flashback to a few months ago, on this board.
I guess I missed out on that discussion. Are you talking about some deviated sort of topic? #:)
>Jibes, you sound like my kind of guy.
Thanks old chap.
Jibes
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RoboAIMer.
I haven't tried Solver tool . It does sound interesting though and I'll have to look into it.
With so many variables in "New AIM" it's tough to nail down a good solid answer for most situations.
Yes. Over tuning can be a problem with "New AIM". One must be realistic. I could put in parameters that would yield good results only to find myself out of shares when I should have been loading up on them.
I think by pre-testing each issue for maybe 6 months to 1 year, you could tell approx what would be a good set of parameters to use for that given issue. Not everyone will have a SpreadSheet and some would not want to use it if they did. So, like AIM a set of rules would have to be established for gen use.
In the long run though good old common sense will prevail in the end! If your running out of money then conservation would be the route to go. If running out of shares then maybe splitting your portfolio in two and starting two new programs would be prudent.
Thanks.
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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RoboAIMer
Thanks.
I am greatful for any feedback good or bad. This "New AIM" is a concept right now. I was eager (maybe too eager) to get this idea out to all of you.
I havn't tested it fully and I'm still at a slight quandry as to how much to invest at any given signal for any given stock. This can and will be worked out.
How well will it work with low beta stocks or funds?
What time period works best?
These and other questions will come up and if some of you out there want to test it on your fav stocks/funds we could get the best out of it I'm sure.
I am very excited by what iv'e seen so far and though it's not AIM, but rather a hybred, it was inspired by AIM. And thats what it's all about.
Jibes
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lostcowboy.
I agree and I was plagued by that prospect also. But looking back on some of the tests I ran it didn't seem to be a problem at all. (I used higher beta stocks though.)
In reality it should be done as you stated and with a lower beta stocks most definetly.
If used for real it would not be a problem. If you have a price that does not trip a buy or sell then ignore that entry and wait untill the next period or price qualification.
If you are just testing however, it does become more dificult to enter data by pasting historical data it as we are used to doing.
Thanks for the feedback.
Jibes
For those interested the "New AIM" Spread Sheet is now on my site at the bottom of the "New AIM" page.
Enjoy.
Thanks
Jibes
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lowtcowboy
What type of brain food have you been eating?
Just the usual junk food. #:)
The idea came to me when doing my SR method. What would happen if I just apply this to a percentage change instead of going through all the technical hoops. I was quite happy with the results but I couldn't belive it. So I tested more stocks. The more I tested, the more I liked it.
Too me then, SR is dead. It still works but I like the automatic aspect of "NEW AIM" much better.
I don't know if I can call it "NEW AIM" or not but it doesn't matter what it's called as long as it works.
Maybe it has a flaw I haven't seen yet and it's only a pipe dream, but as more people try it the facts will become clear.
I will try to get the spreadsheet up this week.
Jibes
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Tom.
I thought it would be a bold move to start a AIM prog with neg cash. If one could only predict what the future would be...Well I guess he wouldn't need AIM or anything else.
It's been a great trading stock for a tiny company.
I agree! I may add it to my port.
Thanks
Jibes
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Tom.
On STKL: Did you start with neg cash on this issue?
Jibes
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A quote from my website:
"Yet another new trading system....
This one called: NEW AIM!
From now on it's a whole new game!"
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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Grabber
SAFE is dead, may it rest in peace!
Port Control is dead, may it also rest in peace!
Jibes
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hamvestor.
I agree. Looks like GLW could be a winner! Now if we could get the rest of the market to go along with it.
Jibes
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Bucky
You asked:
I am looking for 'ACTION" where I can tweak my AIM portfolio about once a week. Is this a reality?
I have found that once a week seems to give very good results overall. There are exceptions of course but who can predict them?
If you want action check out my new "SR", it handle cash very well which is a major bugaboo with reg AIM and it's very easy to do, really!
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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If anyone tried to download the SR spreadsheet and it didn't work I fixed it and it will work now.
I am sorry about not having instructions for the SS but I will post them ASAP. The SS has some notes built in but maybe not enough.
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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greyhound
I'm glad you liked it. When I ffirst discovered the concept I was very happy with the results and still am.
At first i didn't know what you meant by $12 but I assume you mean brokerage costs. Yes, AIM RE-bal is more costly in that regard. Perhapes a min buy amount would be good in order to eliminate a lot of small buys / sells.
Check out my new (just posted tonight) trading system called "SR". I think it has lots of promise. It's another AIM hybred.
Now that I think about it some aspects of SR may be used in AIM RE-bal to enhance it even more.
Thanks for your interest.
jibes
Anyone interested.
As you may or may not know I have a new AIM like trading system in the works and it is now posted on my site.
it's called "SR" for want of a better name but it is a short name and that is good. I would be glad if you took the time to check it out.
Anyone is free to offer any tips on making it better. I believe the system could be adapted to AIM as well. I have not had the time to delve into this aspect of it but if anyone else cares to that would be great.
Thanks
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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Tom
I've heard that you had done a study on the Williams%R indicator. It's one of my favorites too. How do you use it?
Did you know that the Stochastic and Williams%R give the same exact results? I was amazed to see this. I discovered this when I set Williams%R to 100 (my fav settings) and compared this to the Fast Stochastic 100...the same pattern! Not a big deal but the Fast Sto has a moving average parameter which is nice. I set this to 60. Actually, I use the Slow Sto since it smooths the data. Set to 100 60.
Work is going smoothly on my new trading system. Don Carlson has been helping me. I have ironed out the bugs and am now working on the web pages so it will take a bit longer.
I am presenting it to the world free of charge. The only money I will make off it will be from my own acount unless someone else wants to make money off it and then I would demand a cut! #:)
It is not automatic like AIM but is much like AIM in that a percentage of the Port Value is bought or sold each time depending on signals.
It's also somewhat subjective as to exactly when to act, however with a little practice one can get the hang of it.
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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Undertaker.
Ditto.
I been down this road before and wuz told that it was all quite straight forward. Must be that new math.
Jibes
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Well!
I must have forgot to fix it last night because when I looked today BA was still there.
I'll keep tring.
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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nimbus.
Good eye! BA posted instead of GM is a product of being in too much of a hurry. I'll fix it tonight.
Thanks.
Jibes
TrendSeekers at:
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Lostcowboy.
I am intrigued by the 39 period STO but I think my method will do much better.
It all depends on your philosophy. If your not into a high frequency of trading then the 39 STO will be better for you. I did check it out on some stocks and some of the signals were late but still I think I could improve upon it by adding the RSI but not the OBV.
I never use Volume in any of my chart reading. I do like OBV but to me Volume is not something I personally can grasp with consistency.
But that's just me.
Jibes
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devron
I will shortly be posting on my website a new AIM like Srategy that will use the Stochastic and RSI indicators to signal buy and sell points that will be fantastic.
It could also be used to signal buy and sell points for AIM as well.
Jibes
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Very funny!
I can relate since I run ME on my sony V.
Jibes
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Hey! that sounds good to me. I hope your right. I will however follow the clues the market gives which may or may not say hold til Feb.
Jibes
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If another great depression should happen in this day and age people here in the US at least will be less equipped to handle it as compared to those in the 30s. In those days people were more self sustaining then now. I hope it doesn't come to that however.
Jibes
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Linda
Ameritrade (merged with datek which I had) works with mac. Using Explorer and OSX I have been able to use all the tools. I do not subscribe to level II however so I can't attest to that.
BTW it's now $11 for all orders market or limit. And the thing i like is that ($11) is the max charge for 1 or 1,000,000 or even more shares which is a real boone to penny stock traders.
Jibes
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Linda
The only charting service I've seen with the PPO indicator is stockcharts.com. It;s really the same as MACD but is percentage based. The nice thing about stockcharts.com is the ability for the user to change the parameters and PPO XOver would not be possible without the ability to do that.
It is a free charting service. They also have a subscription service that offers many more features but I just use the free one. No real time though. Unless your day trading realtime is not a big issue.
No, I do not use any AIM software. I use a spreadsheet for AIM.
Good luck
Jibes
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Max
I tend to agree with you. To short though, would be bucking the trend that is prevalent at this time. It looks like WFR Icould be a very good trading candidate.
Jibes
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I also use a Mac (a new IMAC) . I love it! At work I use a new Dell top-of-the-line, it's nice too I must admit. I also have a sony VAIO but it uses the POS windows ME. Compared to OSX everything sucks.
If you are into trading check out my PPO XOver method at my site. It is very good and easy.
Jibes
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I agree with you SAH is looking great. RSI is now on + side and climbing. Should be good for more.
Jibes
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