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How long does it take to for a rig to produce... I realize they have slowly been coming online all along
isn't rig count just another short term reactionary number because of how long it takes to produce product
I don't know enough about DUCs
in fact I don't know natgas, because every time I think I do it teaches me something new
especially around expiration
chart technician... yeah maybe
in's and out's of natgas... no
Thoughts? Thanks... taking the day off trading
This is what a buyer's strike looks like_&...
This is what a buyer's strike looks like after March makes a parabolic move to new recent weather driven highs?!
3.261 comes back into play
I guess we'll see if any buyers... bite
It's midnight here... gnight
share http://tos.mx/IczVf2
3.261 prove this isn't an inverted head and shoulders pattern
unreal /ng trying to teach me something I just know it
interesting stagger...
slapped an outside chance 3.22 drawing alert in +.20/-.20 hindsight
Not that I think this will take place tomorrow but anything is possible
I find it hard to trade on expiration... can move against you fast
anything can happen on expiration... I've seen it
for no apparent reason...
Okay she's back from the game "pep band"
gLtrading
L8r
I'm not so sure shoulder season is a lock bud
we've seen it before
you are very welcome
/ng is trading under Spot$ and expiration is tomorrow...
I thought this might be happening but I thought it would come up incrementally 2,5,7,9 NOT over +5% wow
Weather related demand? Ships lined up ready to take on load?
I've been posting weather a week+ in advance, saying its coming the 27th on.
I thought Spot$ could be up a nickle today since it didn't move the day before when I thought it would do a nickle also...
ANYWAY I thought Spot$ could be up a nickle, say... @3.30 and it wouldn't matter if I left a nickle on the table "I bailed @/ngG7 Feb +/-3.35"
So if /ng fell over night to 3.30 It wouldn't matter... Back to Spot$ for expiration... 3.30
now Spot$ is 3.42 hmm
Spooky something going on
has been... I was suspicious and sold 1/2 my original shares for a nice gain, then bailed on the other 1/2 at a small loss... and warned.
After /ng went parabolic, I stabbed it again and more than made up for the tiny loss on the second 1/2 but I HAD TO PUT A -neg ON THE BOOKS "I don't like to lose anymore"
We have to pay attn to our dog Spot$
I'm glad I don't have mid-day cash/spot update
else I'd have bailed @ 3.42
Good job... I've learned not to trust gas either...
always on the lookout... for whats around the corner
i-hub is a history book
<3
duplicate post
Whoa: Spot$ jumps .17 @3.42...
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00
closed dgaz @3.57 probably leaving some on the table but I'm taking home 1k+$
so I'm good with it
Being on the west coast I find myself run ragged towards the end of the week.
up @3/4am every morning... can trade @5am to 5pm
I'm a single parent with a Mr. Mom roll so I do that until she goes to bed and then I'm back on the charts till I can't see straight.
One benefit of being on east coast time while living in the west is after 1:00pm my day is open to do whatever... pretty cool really
Current concerns:
* inventory under 5year avg #msg-128171346
* possible rising Spot$ pushing exuberance up daily during this cold spell
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
drawing alert: set for G7 @3.37 so I'm coherent for 3.35... watching Volume
need to close my eyes
glTrading
naptime
L8r
Re: >>Current storage is 2,798 Bcf which is 20 Bcf below the five-year average of 2,818 Bcf<<
Thank you for consistently reporting.
I may have to re-think my short depth expectations
appreciate it
gosh, welcome to the grind. Waiting on volume to add
minutes away -117B forecast https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/natural-gas-storage-386
report link http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html
Re: I think big money shorted at 4.20 plus
How do you determine this?
Thanks guys. I found myself over exposed cash wise so I dumped 1k @3.30
I'll take it back on if /ng revisits premarket highs
... would much rather see the long's-stops trigger as gravity kicks in
cmon gravity
Shorted exuberance @5:00pacific 8estern. 10seconds before my open I slapped the ask on the trade ladder @3.30 filled @dgaz 3.29
/ngG7 & /ngH7 both over 3.45
odds are better here .20 over spot$ @3.25
Intraday target: I don't have a problem with taking gains @ /ngH7 3.35
Spot$ could climb a nickle today... moves exuberance to 3.50
yerabad@ssmanwhatcanIsay change your handle to titaniumballs
RE: >>>I found this on SPY, any thoughts?<<<
it goes with everything traded/bought/sold...
The price is what the market will bear and then... it isn't.
think like a criminal
weather: The one thing that is very consistent is the blue dashed lines
about like this... annotated
as I slide back and forth through the days... the blue dashed lines have been constantly coming into the picture every run bringing cold down regardless what the Ecoastline looks like on any given day.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
keeping an eye on this... see if it breaks
expiration: Friday the 27th
yesterday Spot$ climbed a dime @3.25
IF it's up a nickle today it could be again tomorrow.
always have to be looking out for how I'm gonna get screwed
FOR ME the odds don't favor holding short in this environment
March /ngH7 share http://tos.mx/9Maqga
its afternoon now so if /ng bounces here intraday @3.30
it could be bouncing from spot$ mid day report
...wonder if Spot$ is up a nickle?
grind it all back up on the roll
10:4 roger that...I couldn't stand that kind of pain...EDIT...
oops: just to be clear... I assume you mean /ng 3.50?
Don't feel safe anymore with spot$ @2.25...
it could climb a nickle today
I'm REALLY not happy about it
P ! $ $ e d
effing light volume. 9am futures green open killed the daily gravestone...
maybe the wrong thing to do but I'm out and slow to post it
if by chance /ng prints 3.45 (exuberance) I'll stab it again
not happy
wish I hadn't seen your cup... thanks...
thats a, shorts better pay attn... pattern
Spot$ up a dime chaps my hide...be careful...I don't feel safe now
take a peak @April /ngJ7 60min Bbands
GOD I hate stockcharts.com... when I posted those charts they did not have ma's and they had BBands smh
well it's something I've recently stumbled on after trying to figure out how/why I kept getting washed out of a perfectly good short.
I would say "Uncle" and bail, only to have it turn right around and come back in the money.
You saw me call it/cap it and add @3.35 yesterday. A perfect .20 over last reported Spot$
A low Spot$ is what kept me comfortable holding this short... now I'm not
It swings extremes both directions. I want to apply it south this time...
The war begins today. I find it hard to believe this thing is going to terminate that perfectly good daily gravestone before the open, but stranger things have happened.
It's expiration week... roll war
Spot$ climbs a dime... smh
baker hughes must be in the market
will we ever see the Lower Daily Bband &...
Spot$ climbs a dime @3.250
https://www.investing.com/commodities/natural-gas-contracts?page=chart&symbol=NGY00
Someone needs to throw a stick down the hill for Spot$ to fetch otherwise...
"currently" the best we could hope for is 3.05 (.20 under Spot$) short-term
3.45 would suck...
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