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In your original message >>>>>>Unfortunately, most of the drugs in the class have significant anti-glucocorticoid activity which would prohibit their chronic use. In human studies conducted by Repros to date, Proellex has exhibited little anti-glucocorticoid activity in humans.">>>>
Then you raise the question >>>I had thought in cancer there would be less concern. But in reference to hormone dependant BC, usage could be very long-term indeed.>>>>
So its a positive for Proellex in comparison to the other drugs since it does not exhibit the anti-glucocorticoid effects.
CVBT.ob - I'm still trying to figure out how they got an article in BusinessWeek. Does anyone have a position? They have one Phase I clinical trial.
The Search for Angiogenesis Therapy
The race is on to win FDA approval for a treatment that enables the human body to grow new blood vessels
by Connie Johnson Hambley
Technology
Three years ago, options had run out for Gail Keller, then only 39 years old. The Ohio woman had had triple-bypass surgery six years prior, but the benefits had worn off. "Walking even halfway into a store made me exhausted," she says. "I would have to rest every two or three steps." So she volunteered for an experimental procedure that uses proteins produced by the body to grow new blood vessels. It wasn't long before she was doing for herself what her aging parents had previously done for her. "Now I can care for them," she reports.
The science of enabling the human body to grow new blood vessels is known as angiogenesis and there's a race within the biotech industry to be the first company to win Food & Drug Administration approval for such therapies. More than $4 billion has been invested in research and development of angiogenesis-based medicines, "making this one of the most heavily funded areas of medical research in human history," according to the Angiogenesis Foundation, a Cambridge (Mass.)-based nonprofit organization. All told, more than 300 million people worldwide could benefit.
There are currently 659 clinical trials under way that mention some form of angiogenesis, which could become a primary treatment for diabetes-related complications, peripheral arterial disease, chronic back pain, stroke, wound healing, and even erectile dysfunction.
The biggest push is in the $65 billion cardiac care arena. With many diseases, clogged and damaged arteries cannot carry the volume of blood required for the body to function normally. With coronary artery disease, the heart starves for oxygen, leading to angina and heart attacks. Once drug therapy options are exhausted, state-of-the-art treatment runs to stents, angioplasties, and bypass surgery. Surgeries can be highly invasive and very expensive. And the benefits frequently do not last.
Some surgical procedures are simply ineffective. "The problem is that surgery only treats the narrowings in the large arteries," says Dr. Lynne Wagoner, director of cardiac services at the University of Cincinnati. "Meanwhile, the small vessels continue to be blocked and this is not addressed by surgery or stents." She adds that angiogenic "treatments are targeted towards small-vessel disease, which cannot be treated with surgery or stents because the vessels are too small."
Hence the race for angiogenesis-related therapies. It's a contest that involves players across the health-care spectrum, including Genzyme (GENZ) and Baxter International (BAX) in search of gene-based therapies, and Boston Scientific (BSX) in the area of medical devices.
But with large companies under pressure to bring drugs to market swiftly, some are hanging back as part of the most promising research is handled by smaller biotech players. "The bigger companies are largely out of this field now," says Dr. J. Anthony Ware, vice-president, cardiovascular and acute care, at Eli Lilly (LLY) Research Laboratories.
In the health-care industry, cost is measured not only during creating, testing, and delivering a product or treatment, but in monitoring and maintaining the benefit from that treatment for the life of the patient. More insurance companies are using outcomes-based analysis to look at medical and financial costs to determine a new treatment's eligibility for coverage.
The real winner in the field of angiogenesis will be evaluated by looking at the cost of the outcome for the patient and the industry as a whole.
That opens the field to contenders such as CardioVascular BioTherapeutics (CVBT). The Las Vegas company uses a naturally produced protein called fibroblast growth factor (FGF-1) to grow new blood vessels in the hearts of so-called zero-option patients, those patients who have no other treatment options available and in many cases are given less than two years to live.
CVBT co-founder Dr. Thomas Stegmann knew he was on the right track when, in 2006, he celebrated a 10-year reunion with patients from his first trial in Germany. "I focused on a human protein because of the lack of side effects," Stegmann says. "With a minimally invasive procedure, an injection of a growth factor can be delivered to the area of the blockage where tissue is not receiving enough blood. The patient goes home the next day and gradually feels better as new vessels grow over the next 12 weeks or less."
The focus on protein could give CVBT an advantage. Protein-based therapies "are intuitively right to create a natural bypass" around a clogged artery, says Dr. Joseph Kaufman, chief medical officer of Sierra Health Services (SIE). "From a financial perspective it is potentially cost-effective to eliminate long-range failure of muscle function. As treatments become more successful, people live longer, requiring more treatments and thereby increasing overall costs." According to a study by consultancy the Bruckner Group, use of FGF-1 could save health-care insurers up to 20% of treatment costs for limited-option coronary artery disease patients over a five-year period after treatment.
It's for reasons like this that CVBT may be well ahead of the pack in developing an effective and economic angiogenic therapy—and setting new standards for cardiac care.
http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/jul2007/tc2007075_259598.htm?chan=search
CHM, I can send you the four analyst reports if you give me an e-mail. I don't know if they say anything more then you can find by listening to the CC's.
Why is it so hard to fathom? I have a core position, but I also buy the dips for swing trading. If you don't think alot of others do the same thing then your in fantasy land. It adds up.
The smart money knew the gains couldn't hold based on rat studies. It was a no brainer.
The biggest trades today were below the level RPRX was trading so wouldn't you think someone was selling shares. Someone is selling on any volume.
JAV - I rarely see a bio-tech give a CC to update the clinical progress and then the stock price respond positively. I think shorts & traders get a better idea when any clinical milestones will be reached and use it to their advantage. Maybe investors were disappointed with the nasal Ketamine timelines or thought that Dyloject could be delayed since their waiting the manufacturing re-inspection. Who knows, painful day is all I can say.
Looks like they are holding it down. That 16K was below the bid.
"Was this a block buy??" - 11,100 shares @$12.71 15:10 which was .01 below the bid. This was the only trade all day over 3,000 shares from a quick scan. Trading is pretty slow.
You can buy JAV below $6, errrrrrrrrrr.pissing me off.
"10K or larger block orders", are we watching the same stock? As long as the news flow remains positive I'm not going to complain that the stock is trading in this range. We got alot of coverage this morning for only 68K shares traded.
I doubt todays PR is going to cause that big of a jump since it was pre-clincial, but it reinforces the potential for Proellex. We needed something to draw attention to the stock and get the positive mojo working and this may be the ticket. If you want to buy the company then todays news just increased the price by 100 million or so. Good luck
I just realized that the Street.com mentioned RPRX this weekend. Of course it was in a negative context to some extent. Possible reason for todays trading.
AIS- Thats a bad subject, I should have taken more profits. I guess the private placement was known and thats why its been beaten up lately. Its a safe play, but I'm not expecting any movement until TEVA starts using their injector system which is supposed to occur in the 2nd half 2007. They could also announce a partnership for Anturol which would be another catalyst.
Its undervalued, revenues are increasing from royalties and injector sales but it needs something to take it higher. I'm looking to add on any additional dips.
What about JAV? I thought you were buying at these levels. I've got a nice size position.
POZN's problems has caused me to be wary of any NSAID coming before the FDA. Does the IV form of Diclofenac add additional safety concerns? Migraine sufferers are not going to be taking meds everyday and the FDA gave them an approvable letter due to the Naproxen concerns so I think its a valid question.
I guess you answered my question that its not a risk in your opinion.
Jav- I'm invested in POZN so I've done a fair amount of research into the FDA's position concerning NSAID's. I posted an article last night which mentions the cardiovascular risks associated with Voltaren,(Diclofenac) .
"On the other hand, high doses of Advil (800 mg three times a day) and Voltaren (75 mg twice daily) were associated with rates of heart attack that were 51 percent and 63 percent higher, respectively, than placebo. An analysis of a large number of trials comparing COX-2 inhibitors to other NSAIDs found similar results – that Voltaren was estimated to increase vascular risk by about 70 percent over Aleve".
http://www.seniorjournal.com/NEWS/Health/2007/7-04-25-FDACauses.htm
Javelins management has stated that they don't foresee any safety challenges before the FDA for Dyloject, but I'm not as confident. Does the cardiovascular risks associated with Diclofenac concern you?
POZN - " I don't know if the drug will get approved because naproxin has some cardio effects as does immitrex and the fda may be concerned that combining the drugs may make the cardio effects worse."
POZN's management has indicated that the FDA's concerns centered around possible increased cardiac risks from the combo. However, it looks like the FDA may have errored by black boxing the entire group of NSAIDS. Trexima's approval may have a lower bar since Naproxen's cardiovascular risks were overblown when Trexima originally went before the FDA for approval.
"The FDA is adding ‘black box’ warnings to all prescription and over-the-counter pain relievers – even to naproxen (Aleve) – which the evidence shows is safe,” said Furberg, who serves on the FDA Drug Safety and Risk Management Advisory Committee." http://www.seniorjournal.com/NEWS/Health/2007/7-04-25-FDACauses.htm
Thanks for the update. I wish JP would do a few more presentations in order to maintain investor interest and let everyone know that the clinical development is on schedule. The last one was over two months ago.
"Quiet around here" - As long as the stock trades between the $12.50 - $13.25 range then I don't think you'll get to much activity on the board.
I can't even remember the next announcement. I guess it will be the start of the Proellex drug holiday trial.
JAV- Thomas lighten up, don't you think the start of the call was unusual? I'm long the stock and adding at these levels. I think Dyloject will be a bigger market opportunity then Ketamine.
JAV- CC started out bad. The speaker couldn't make it through the safe harbor statement without someone else taking over. I'm waiting to hear an ambulance in the background.
Another positive development announced today. ISIS has more going for it then any biotech in the last few months and the best RNAi research.
"CAMBRIDGE, Mass.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: ALNY - News) announced today the achievement of an important milestone in its strategic alliance with Isis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: ISIS - News). Alnylam has initiated IND-enabling studies with an RNAi therapeutic clinical candidate that utilizes technology and intellectual property licensed exclusively from Isis. Under the 2004 strategic alliance agreement, Alnylam obtained an exclusive license to Isis intellectual property for double-stranded oligonucleotide therapeutics that mediate RNAi, such as small interfering RNAs (siRNAs), in return for upfront cash payments, milestone payments, and royalties. The achievement of the development milestone demonstrates the importance of Isis technology for the advancement of RNAi therapeutics."
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/070627/20070627005317.html?.v=1
Looks like alot of people are playing the channel so $13.75 would be a good breakout. Anyone else notice how quiet the board got once the trading weakness ended. The stealth bashers have suddenly vanished.
Does anyone have any explanation for the crazy after hour trading. I thought most of the funds did their rebalancing before todays close. Whose selling and whose buying all these shares without any movement in the stock prices? An example of this is MGRM which had 8 million shares trade in AH's.
Cleverrox, if RPRX had made a slow incline and was trading at todays closing price you would be happy, but since RPRX made one big move higher your whining. I've never seen so many people unhappy about a 100% return.
RPRX does not have any cash concerns. The only people making those predictions want to scare investors so that they can buy cheaper shares. Alot of us hope RPRX waits to sell the pipeline in order to maximize its value. If they decide to raise additional capital in a year then the impact to the share price will be minimal.
Its only a few months before we get histology results for Proellex and an FDA decision on QOL's for Androxal. Either one of these events could move us much higher. Rome wasn't built in a day.
Thickening of the endometrium has been a risk indicator and thats why RPRX is undertaking the histology studies. Biopsies will be performed on pre and post Proellex endometrial tissue. The tissue will be classified as normal tissue, "Benign Endometrial Hyperplasia" or EIN "Endometrial Intraepithelial Neoplasm". It is extremely important to not get any classifications for EIN since this is a precursor of malignant carcinoma. 89% incidence.
RPRX had data on biopsies of 20 pts at the Jan/06 presentation with no incidence of EIN.
This must be the yahoo message board, but I swear its the same link as I-Hub. Posting negative comments in order to scare weak hands should not be the goal of any posts.
"I'm just trying to figure out why"
Did you ever consider the possibility that RPRX is not valued correctly due to the small float and number of employees. If RPRX had 70 million shares and 70 employees it would trade in the $6 - $8 range based on our pipeline development and have a market cap $350 - $400 million.
The market looks at the share price and says, that looks like a good short or its overpriced. The market will eventually catch-up to the data.
Nerf, you either want the stock to go lower or the short has gotten into your head. Your only concentrating on the possible negatives instead of looking at the real clinical trial data. Are we looking at the same clinical results since I can't find anything negative.
"the market has clearly spoken" - yes we're trading at the same level we were a month ago after some profit taking. Nothings guaranteed, but most people would look at the dip as a good buying opportunity. Can you keep saying that, instead of we're going to hell in a hand basket.
They could still license Androxal for the EU market since QOL's won't be a hurdle.
If RPRX ever has to go back to the financial markets then we will have more clinical data to support the stock price. To think that the stock price is going to go down due to cash problems does not consider where we will be in the clinical development stage. Like I said, your only thinking about negatives. I think you should sell now and wait for that $7.00 price target to buy back in.
Last weeks move was just a trade, it had nothing to do with the pipeline. The stock price may move lower, but its starting to look pretty cheap again.
Ency - I really didn't follow the company that closely, but I bought a few shares friday since the risk/reward ratio was favorable. ENCY has a proven track record with Argatroban's FDA approval not to mention three positive regulatory opinions for Thelin in hand. In addition some analysts think the company is undervalued even without the US market. I have no idea how this decision will impact EU sales so the CC spin should be interesting. Win some lose some.
Nerf, your post clearly has a negative slant to it. I thought we had lost some momentum, but now your talking about the share price being cut in half from here. The stock market is irrational, but I'm not sure its crazy.
We have two drugs that have not shown any safety problems, billion dollar market opportunities, potential gold standard for their indications, and $160 million market cap.
Find me another company which can say the same thing so I can buy some shares.
ENCY/GILD - How does the FDA approve a drug with significant safety issues, but fails to approve another drug for the same indication for failure to demonstrate effectiveness when three regulatory agencies have not questioned the efficacy data? The agency even admits that the data indicates an improved exercise tolerance. Somethings wrong with this picture.
Zip, I'll admit that I was surprised by the FDA decision. Not that ENCY was given another approvable letter, but for the reason. Interesting that a drug with safety risks gets approval, but another drug for the same indication fails due to efficacy issues when three other regulatory agencies have not questioned Thelin's efficacy. Doesn't pass the smell test.
Thats got to be a pretty big surprise when you turn on the computer and see the dive RPRX took this week. Glad to hear that you made it back. Hopefully we'll recover some on monday since I took a flyer with ENCY for fun and it looks like I'm going to get burned monday. Only 1k shares, but who wants to lose $1,500 or so on the open.
I'm working next week so you won't see me on the boards much.
Have a good one.
Back to a $160 million market cap. This is when RPRX starts looking extremely undervalued and someone could decide to take out the whole company.
RPRX does not trade with the market so I wouldn't be surprised to see it move up even if profit taking occurs in the general market. Looking for a rebound also, this has been a brutal week for the longs. Just wish I had traded more of my shares, but I can't complain since this was a good week overall.
I got some @ $12.48. I wish they would get rid of all option trading. Total BS on a low float stock like this.
OT- Spartex, where have you been? POZN's gone up about $2 since I mentioned it to you. Had to take some off the table.
Whats your thoughts on RPRX?
I'm a simple mind, sometimes thats the best kind for investing.
Nerf, I think we may need pathology data, an FDA decision on Androxal, or a analyst upgrade to get us moving again. Its pretty clear that investors sold since we are in a lull at this point in the studies.
We know Androxal will not be partnered until after the FDA decision and JP's not interested in selling Proellex so whats going to move us over the next few months? The Proellex data was from a small population so shorts are trying to spread doubt in investors minds at this point.
Maybe a big fund will realize that we're undervalued and start buying again, but I doubt that unless JP starts making the rounds.
Biotechs are strong today so maybe I'll be proven wrong.
"RPRX closes Friday ~$12.50" I think that was the plan, but its meeting to much resistance. Short may have to roll-over and cover.
I'm going to edit this message after seeing the increased selling and say that $12.50 looks within reach.