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I had zero impact on the vote, and zero people due to me believe that Simpson may surprise substantially on the upside if the company continues. My only known impact is to increase usage of an ihub message board, but I am not employed by ihub
Can't imagine an extension. No need for guessing except on whether there will any information in the a.m. That will spur more guessing, if a bunch of quiet
My assumption being the vote is done, I can't imagine rainy and other like minded having any meaningful impact on anything future oriented.
Sec is not going to delve into clinical trials
All she could ever promise is to seek commercial advancement, she can't guarantee we all know that financings will be successful.
If there was a ballot theoretically between her and Pedder, most would vote for Pedder, I might would abstain. That would just be a fantasy idea to think on
I would say over 50 percent chance as Simpson does not want to fail in her mission, but who knows what a.m. will bring for us
You can do better than that, if there is no convertible the strategy is far different from the last 2 reverse splits. I am optimistic, but execution must be proven.
This should be if the 4th reverse split, the last if Simpson can deliver on fixing enrollment pace
I was talking about on NO/NO vote where Simpson can't override. On YES/YES, company could run out but I am optimistic that Simpson is going to surprise to the upside
Incidentally I bought some shares at the best time in the history of delcath and I bought some shares at one of the worst times as well.
The June vote bailed out my worst buys to a degree as I sold into the mighty run up. 20 cents this time like last is nuts, nobody is going to pay between $80 million to $200 million right now to take over company
I challenge you to use your intellect. Worst case unknown and best case unknown. Not a big deal, just risk vs. reward.
Everybody knows history shows a time in little more than 12 months, stock went up near 15 fold. The best time to buy was more than 12 months in that case before end of phase 3.
There is no way to prove what is the most effective way to stay in business and raise adequate cash.
The short way to view is if this a delcath/roth joint plan, the devastation will be mild. Share count jumps big, cash jumps big, into the unknown fog of phase 3, the end do or die
I suspect best case is $3 as an approximate bottom. On never a reverse split or authorized increase, more than 50 percent chance company runs out of money
I think an offering could be either satisfying or scary bad. The main difference between I and the average Joe here, I believe delcath wants an offering smooth as silk and Simpson is smarter than a box of rocks.
Is she smart enough first to handle the NO vote massacre attempt
If reverse split, chances of a good offering are much better if roth has Simpson's back for this next stretch. It could be
Possibly on financing but keep in mind all the fat cats on the bod with years of experience. I have always thought since 2013 that bankruptcy was a possibility and since July of last year, Simpson gave warning on this.
I don't think a magician would have had any working room by the time of that reverse split as the company was running on empty and no investor support, except for the few that held and were destroyed.
Nobody cares to analyze though, that is fact number one on this board
You are supposedly a very smart man, so why would you not know if they could have raised money at $12 they would have. They popped up an offering then which evaporated as the stock crashed down rapidly to $1 million market cap.
Nobody here is fit to tie the shoe of magicians that can command cash out of Wall Street
The primary complaint of interest to me would be not knowing enrollment count. That could be a turn off to know that count.
But in comparison to Rap and others misleading about clinical status and other pie in the sky, she is a fount of wisdom.
The truth of the company is closely tied to phase 3. So little thought by most on the topic
we've been fooled by your analysis, we not including me
Bad trading comes with the territory. Delcath the company is much better clinically than acknowledged.
The theft here in my opinion is reason. I would never in a million years vote NO on zero evidence of b/o interest. I am at odds with all that voted NO whether NO wins on all counts or not
why scare people with iffy (shorts is a problem). During convertible maybe. There is no convertible. The stock is performing like fear of reverse split, I wonder why.
Time for reality. Maybe a filing in about an hour
So h2004, you really can read the message board and come to a conclusion that the sum total of posters = chaos is a faulty conclusion?
All it takes is negative code words to keep some happily frothing at the mouth
Unless there is a new convertible, you got nothing
Not exactly part 2: if NO then why drag out notification so long, unless you see a filing talking about b/o, dangerous ground for those that bid up with a fury
With maxm at .01, what are the chances there is roth support on YES outcome, that is if. I certainly am sticking with fair value of sub penny regardless of vote outcome.
You forget split vote
Interesting but message boards for delcath have their peak. Investorvillage is a ghost town, but it became the big deal when Ladd commanded the takeover I think 2006 and stayed big until maybe as late as 2015 to a degree
I am fairly confident 50 percent of votes including certain ill defined non votes. 75 percent actually means YES ultimately more likely. That would mean this was just a preliminary that she knew would fail.
I wish much to dispel the notion that Simpson has completely forgotten shareholders. That would not be in her self interest. When will people apply logic to this?
The only thing proven about all this to me is on the financing front, execution has been a failure. It could continue to be a failure. That is risk number one. It hurts shareholders so far, more than Simpson, I get that. I should know, I am down a fair amount of money under Simpson, more than most here, more than most here ...
Nobody wants to discuss in a positive way clinical trials when there is discussion of Simpson. I submit I may be the only poster with an interest in the whole picture.
Also nobody wants to admit, it makes no sense for Simpson to be clinically good and endanger intentionally the company through excessive financial struggles.
I submit total of shareholders here = chaos = zero, of course shareholders only need to supply money, critical but beyond the money, nothing
It is not actually the splits, but investors will never, never recognize anything along those lines. It was self realizing though the way people abandoned the stock after the last reverse split. I will continue to tell the truth
Congratulations on repeating the mantra that most believe as much as you.
Bulls are very inconsistent though, they believe delcath has grown in clinical value under Simpson or would not that lessen chance of buyout?
I am more consistent on my outlook than most want to believe. I have been for instance quite consistent with sub penny is current fair value
Nobody cares about whether reverse split is smart, they just don't. But what will you think if 212 million plus YES votes. No need to answer if YES votes falls much below that
Don't count on NO being the more positive result, both ways have additional unknown factors. It takes time for that good hindsight to see clearly
If YES vote, it is a good sign the over all trading for the week so far. If 7 million units are sold at $3, that would be a pretty nice dream.
I am all for judging performance objectively, but still any whack for $20 million at once would be huge, huge, HUGE so maybe not too likely
Tragic, like a mantra. I am a YES vote man here. If right, ask why the offering people voted YES. A convertible would not be the answer and is not being suggested, so real thinking caps is the challenge
People can potentially flip their priorities. If the buy mantra gets a good bone, but first if a NO vote without additional news maybe a short end game
It is sad that people are so convinced of delcath corruption. Do you ever think you might be wrong?
I have followed the company many years, sometimes a lot of money riding versus usually more modest amounts, now none.
It is fair to demand proof you got something good on the company. I don't think anybody here does.
I am a percentage guy. 95 percent of the time invalid view points are harmful when creating an environment driving prices artificially high. No one person could come close to accomplishing that either.
So the message board is for education and entertainment purposes most of the time.
If somebody believes the vote is NO, that's their business, and a complicated one it is unless there is additional informative news
I don't consider hedge funds invincible, but they are not dumb. One needs to be at least 80 percent confident of YES to be short at end of Friday.
I am 95 percent confident that authorized share vote will be YES. Right now 90 percent confident reverse split will be YES also. I would never short delcath if anybody is easily confused