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no I'm not... at least not yet
but, the OIH had quite a day yesterday-- note the volume, and everytime we've seen that kind of action we've had a turn.
PREVIEW-Cycling-Tour riders face Galibier and summit finish
ALPE D'HUEZ, France, July 19 (Reuters) - The battle for the
Tour de France yellow jersey will continue on Wednesday with a
second day of climbing over some of the highest passes in the
Alps.
American Floyd Landis will play the leading role in the
182-km 16th stage from Bourg d'Oisans to La Toussuire after
reclaiming the jersey in Tuesday's showcase stage of L'Alpe
d'Huez.
The Phonak team leader will, however, start just 10 seconds
over previous holder Oscar Pereiro of Spain.
Frenchman Cyril Dessel, Russia's Denis Menchov, Spaniard
Carlos Sastre, Andreas Kloeden of Germany and Australian Cadel
Evans are less than three minutes off the pace.
"The time differences are not so big yet. I wouldn't write
any of the others off -- a bad day could change everything,"
Landis said.
On the second of three consecutive days of high mountain
climbing, the peloton will ride uphill from the start in Le
Bourg d'Oisans to the Col du Galibier, the highest point of the
2006 Tour at 2,642 metres.
The pass is so closely linked to the history of the Tour
that its summit is the site of the Henri Desgranges monument
built in 1947 in honour of the founder of the race.
From Saint-Jean de Maurienne, at the foot of the eastern
side of the mountain, the riders will not find flat road as they
bounce from one col to another -- Glandon, Croix-de-Fer,
Mollard.
The stage ends with the 18.4-km La Toussuire ascent, with an
average gradient of six percent, to 1,690 metres.
To add to the growing expectation, with only five days to
the finish, retired seven-times champion Lance Armstrong plans
to follow the stage in the Discovery Channel's car with team
manager Johan Bruyneel.
the only theoretical matchup I can wrap myself around at the moment is one where Jan and Ivan are in this peloton
so, would flandis be riding so conservatively...?
...my guess is that he'd probably be racing for third
if you want to call that racing...
you're right, great TdF moments have to include the feud between Lemond and Hinault, but without a doubt, Lance Armstrong was the greatest, most awesome TdF rider of all time, bar none.
Lance took this diabolical sport that destroys the lives of good Catholic boys and controlled every aspect of it with an iron fist.
now that's awesome...!!!
testosterone...???
at your age...???
maybe that's the problem with this thread-- we're a bunch of old guys in need of a testosterone boost with an estrogen blocker
cause otherwise it's "tits-up."
He didn't blast out of the group and he didn't turnaround to give them "the look," so yes, conservative is an apt description.
great tour riders are fabulous climbers who can ride a timetrial, mediocre tour riders are fabulous timetrialers who can limit their loses in the mountains-- which is pretty much the diff between Lance and Jan.
L ... all I know is that tomorrow's stage is a 2-pot coffee day-- up early at 5AM my time to catch the start.
"I still think this could be Cadel Evans' coming out party tomorrow."
I remember last year when he rode himself into contention at stage 16 of the TdF-- after coming in 2nd to Periero (Oscar wheeled sucked for better part of the race, very much like what Hincapie did to him the previous day) but when the opportunity came to chip away at Armstrong's lead, Cadel was there to capitalize. In an interview after the stage they asked him if this was the "new" Cadel-- his response was no, the "old" Cadel is back. I think he'll be very aggressive when the opp presents itself.
So yeah, I'm a fan.
...and on another note:
It could also be a coming out party for popo-v, the team itself is now finally organized around a GC contender. And more important, Hincapie resumes his role as lieutenant, which is something he's very familiar with. I think disco will be well oiled for tomorrow.
yes, now you understand my frustration ... I hope the winner of tomorrows stage can put 5 or more minutes into Landis-- then the stage the day after tomorrow becomes much more meaningful.
note the uphill finish
exactly...
the teams need to set tempo and keep their star riders sheltered until the final climb-- and the final climb is nothing more than a time-trial.
Popovych, Pereiro and Kloden are the wild cards-- Evans, Leipheimer and Menchov will end up riding this thing together-- and Rasmussen could very well win the stage if he hasn't blown himself apart on the Col d'Izoard pacesetting for Menchov.
The Alps will decide who wins this Tour
http://www.velonews.com/tour2006/details/articles/10447.0.html
There's one thing we can agree on is the stage win by popo-v, it gave the disco team a second life
so now we've got two ressurections:
disco and Caisse D'Epargne, courtesy of Phonak's "tactics."
...is the pay-off in the last 21 switchbacks of the Alpes d'Huez...? I for one cringe at the thought of Pereiro winning tomorrows stage while he's wearing yellow...and that's a real possibility, because he looked damned skinny on the podium.
I say Landis wins the TdF, and it's only because the of the length on the final timetrial and not because of his teams superior tactics.
What surprises me about you is that you haven't commented on Floyd's lack of enthusiasm for maintaining his hold on the yellow jersey...?
I mean, he gave up over 30 minutes and handed the lead to, of all people, Oscar Pereiro ... who is great in the mountains ... who could very well ride with a big heart, not unlike the heart Thomas Voekler showed us a couple of years ago...??
What happens if Landis turned that entire squad into a team of Thomas Voeklers...???
Landis must be pretty damned confident that he won't falter in the mountains and that he can win this race in the final time-trail.
So calling these guys conservative, is w-a-y off the mark. Landis has taken a h-u-g-e risk, something Lance Armstrong would of never done.
...which in turn leaves me, the viewer, the enthusiast, the speculator(?) somewhat frustrated.
Saunier-Duval...?
do you mean this Chris Horner
TSX just turned green-- EOD buying
green in both the energy and mining indices
I see Haven responded-- gotta like the internet...!
-- about Ullrich, being that he's a product of a communist sports program, the only surprise in his linkage to doping would be the time it took to do it.
-- as for Hamilton and his wife (the drug mule) they were being interviewed earlier today by OLN and I just about fell off my chair when see said that Tyler and doping was too complicated to explain.
Uhh, yeah right-- it's simple enough with the right tests ... the best thing for cycling is for Tyler and his drug mule to disappear.
...or legalise the use-- because I don't think its going away anytime soon when the sport is filled with these sociopaths.
Savoldelli quits Tour, Discovery Channel down to seven
CARCASSONNE, France, July 14 (Reuters) - Italian Paolo
Savoldelli pulled out of the Tour de France during Friday's 12th
stage, organisers said.
The double Giro d'Italia champion stepped off his bike after
43 kms. The Discovery Channel rider was hit on the head by a
spectator on Thursday and had to get stitched up by the Tour's
medical staff overnight.
The American team are now down to seven men after Spaniard
Benjamin Noval also pulled out earlier on Thursday.
ohh, I think his hip is good enough-- his two wins earlier this year suggests that he can manage ... if you want something bad enough you can manage ... DZ says his the most "courageous" rider in the peloton ... and then there's Hamilton who won a mountain stage back in the 2003 TdF all busted up-- they managed, lowered the gearing on his bike (compact drive) to reduce the amount of torque to his upper body.
Was he courageous or did he just want to win...?
I think his hip is not an issue until after the operation.
Savoldelli lost 26 minutes...?
You know, that completely escaped me-- you know you're up to no good when the camera's eye never finds you.
...and Discovery got very little camera time yesterday.
natural gas stocks should have a decent day tomorrow-- nothing like a little consolidation to kick start an upmove.
Believe it or not, I owned Find Energy a couple of days ago-- stopped out because the reversal wouldn't hold ... still holding CMT and CYS-- now I need to find a third favorite gas play.
Shiningbank to buy Find Energy in C$443 mln deal
http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/articlehybrid.aspx?storyID=urn:newsml:reuters.com:20060713:MTFH21904_2...
What I liked best about today is that they're weren't that many surprises-- the men who I thought could lead did.
------------
Too bad for Mayo-- abandon due to a bad cold. He looked great racing up the Ventoux just earlier on in the Dauphine-- VL gave him a nice write up "Mayo Reborn" ... after seeing him perform earlier this year I wouldn't be surprised if he rode the Vuelta in his old winning ways.
Uranium at record high, expected to rise furthur
NEW YORK, July 13 (Reuters) - Spot uranium prices are at
all-time highs and should continue to rise through the end of
the year, as demand for the nuclear power reactor fuel remains
strong, according to uranium analysts.
Since the late June, the spot price of uranium has been at
about $45.50 per pound, according to data from Ux Consulting Co.
LLC, beating the prior high of $45 set in June 1978, before the
accident at the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant in
Pennsylvania.
Ux Consulting, Roswell, Georgia-based uranium consultant
and publisher of world uranium prices, expects uranium prices
to reach $50 or higher by the end of the year.
In a research report
http://rsch1.ml.com/9093/24013/ds/4647_327.PDF , Merrill Lynch
analysts said prices, up more than four times (from about $11)
since late 2003, have increased due in part to demand from the
new power reactors currently under construction.
In June, there are 27 power reactors under construction,
most in Asia or Eastern Europe (seven in India, four in China,
four in Russia, two in Taiwan, two in Bulgaria and two in the
Ukraine), according to the International Atomic Energy Agency.
There are 442 nuclear power plants in operation.
In addition, Merrill Lynch noted the inflow of money from
investment funds, which was down a bit from last year, remained
strong.
Nufcor, an affiliate of South African uranium trading
company Nufcor International, based in London, for example, is
looking to start a uranium fund similar to Canadian investment
fund Uranium Participation Corp. <U.TO>
South African miner AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. <ANGJ.J> and
South African bank FirstRand Ltd own Nufcor International.
In addition to the strong demand, the analysts noted the
uranium market, like other commodity markets, was experiencing
rising costs caused by project delays (like the flooding at
Canadian miner Cameco Corp.'s <CCO.TO> Cigar Lake project in
northern Saskatchewan this year), labor shortages and
difficulty in obtaining environmental permits for new mines.
both the XEG and XGD C$ ETFs look like crap going into this close ... would I be selling...??? Probably not, because there is not enough technical damage-- give me a bad day tomorrow I might change my mind.
I certainly wouldn't be overweight, but I certainly wouldn't be underweight either without some kind of confirmation.
...and I still like Cyries Energy <end of pump>
I have been doing some selling this afternoon, but who wouldn't...? Especially if you've been weighted like I have in U levered stocks.
But I'm also buying more of what hasn't become dramatically overbought.
Check out Compton Petroleum (CMT-TSX) and Energy Metals (EMC-TSX)
C$ relative to the PoO is not good-- they do not confirm one another, but in all fairness, our central bank stopped raising interest rates for the interim
A$ relative to the PoG is good-- they confirm one another
yes, I think gold stocks are lagging-- the HUI as shown in the chart below has always led gold by a wide margin except in the last month.
...again, I think it's broad market related-- but nevertheless, it's there and it's noteworthy.
relax a little-- it's midday and all gold stocks are lagging
...and it's because the markets are bad
...let's see what the EOD gives us
...being that gold stocks are up at all is actually quite remarkable
...
...for the life of me I can't figure out why I take a fancy to something-- and I fancy this (CTQ) support is only a bad day or two away-- or maybe I stop out before my losses amount to something I'd be embarrassed to talk about.
Anyway...
...and thanks for the Faber links, haven't read'em yet, but I'll get to it in the morning.
~ later...
a NG levered stock...?
Cyries Energy-- bot some towards the close. I like it when the stocks lead the commodity.
fingers X'd
speakin' of NG
painful, bloody painful
I agree-- when you have everything moving together, you've either got too much liquidity or not enough ... every time we've seen an institution go down (last one that comes to mind was Refco) stocks prices evaporate.
fed. <period. end of story>
Onto another topic...
Can you give me a very brief opinion on this PR from CTQ...?
Should it be reason enough to sell like crazy like everyone else did today...?
The longest hole drilled at Mirador Norte to date is MN65, which is in the middle of the deposit and over 420 metres in length. Hole MN65 has an intersection of 350 metres @ 0.52% Cu and 0.08 g/t Au, which generally represents the grade of Mirador Norte's primary mineralized body.
To me, they reported nothing-- in this environment I suppose the markets wanted an intersection of 350 metres @ 2% Cu and 1.00 g/t Au -- anything short of that and your handed your head back to you on a copper plater.
Unreasonable...?
which generally represents the grade of Mirador Norte's primary mineralized body.
...or maybe they did report something important to this already "potentially" large project.
Large property holdings in a prolific mining district, here's the latest presentation:
http://www.corriente.com/media/PDFs/corriente_june_06_presentation.pdf
Originally paid C$4.80 fo the stock-- and I expect it to revisite the lower Bollinger Band.
ohh, la-la...!
gonna be an ugly close
probably continue Monday
...in bear markets, Friday and Mondays are your most likely down days.
-- look to buy back your favorites on Monday afternoon.
IAC ... Thanks for posting such a long-term chart...!
-- first off, I'm swing-trading around a 9-day EMA, actually I've been basing my view of the markets from that alone, (sometimes using candlesticks as a secondary indicator) in turn avoiding everything from news release to the talking heads.
-- the things I notice first on your chart is the positive (?) can't remember what they call it-- but nevertheless, there's a higher low/higher high in both the RSI and the MACD
-- BLDP, over the last 4-years (?) this has been one ugly bear of a stock to hold, that said, this stock like many others in this sector have a very telling OBV indicator -- IMO, professional buying ... that said, knowing where the markets are sitting (at the top of the BB with no trend strength) I tend to avoid buying into strength without seeing confirmation the following day.
In a strong uptrend I like buying strength, in this kind of market I avoid it.
Anyway, BLDP is still above the 9-day EMA-- fwiw, I'd be a buyer if this thing turns up towards the close and I'd probably be patient if it does'nt. The downside is limited from here, possibly one more down-day and you've got great support in this area.
thanks.
what do you think of FCEL...?
bought some here this morning-- it's being accumulated.
...and with cash-- I say "bring-it-on...!!!"
yup, that's another one sitting on my watchlist...
anyway, working my way back to cash
next couple of days looking to be pretty tough
I noticed Ballard Power is doing well-- what about ATS Automation...?
Took a small position here this morning-- on the bet that PBW isn't overbought by any measure-- certainly not looking great at the moment.
I'd be cautious with energy-- normally you sell into the rockets.
Ohh, I dunno about that... having everyone in love, at least for awhile, is a good thing.
...but the charts say we're experiencing a topping process.
...not crazy about the action here in the early afternoon, commodities are still being affected by world liquidity-- everything is moving together.
IMO, Japan's interest rate hike is more of a bomb to the markets than what NK is delivering-- they just so happen to be happening at the same time.