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I don't often drum but I am quite confident CLSN is MDVN's history in making...all the more reason for myself to hold my shares for an year to cut my capital gains tax
With MDVN getting is approal today, it's interesting to see the MDVN Chart since around this time last year and where the PPS is now.
Perfect fit for CLSN
Thanks, Guys
yep..almost it seems it goes up or down by tick based on thumbs up/down count on the YMB..lol
Bit surprised..not seeing 3 calls for '14 on TDAMERITRADE..only 3.5 and above..?
Yeah..tremendous rise in private indeed..lol
Looking at the hard bounce back to 4.80, it's definitely not retail buys let alone short covering...I see big boys all over the place...
ROFALMAO ! A fool indeed
He meant for shorts..lol
Bit funny.... you cannot borrow shares from someone who is already short..I assume you are
Looks like the 'pullback' is over...lol..folks who have been waiting may have to buy higher. Today's Motley Fool's article is drawing more speculators who want to position themselves for the next leg up...
FWIW, for option holders of 2014, I see 'deep in the money' scenario playing out. What this would mean is for every
point change in the underlying asset's price, there will be an equal and simultaneous change in the price of the option, in the same direction.
It will be like investing in the underlying asset, except the holders will have the benefits of lower capital outlay, limited risk, leverage and greater profit potential.
I am not sure what will happen to the Time Value though, as that's one of the components to the Option Premium. Any thoughts from Options gurus would be appreciated. TIA
Not sure what's so special about the 9 day moving average..with the big boys now buying this stock, how about trying 2 day moving average which is at 4.80 ? Folks who want to cash out early have done so above 5 today and the stock has not budged much..closing fairly strong...
I predict we go over 5 tomorrow and stay there..
oh yeah..everyone has a right to dream..lol..
It was 3.63 gap earlier and now 4.25..lol..5 would seem like a no-brainer when pps is at 10 soon...
FWIW, I smell a big pharma partnership....
You want to load another boat load cheaper, don't you ? *wink, wink* Under 5, it's still a bargain...
Me as well
Todays move over $5 pretty much shoots down any hope of filling the gap...lol
Good comparison between MDVN and CLSN. With similar OS counts and with potential for their respective treatments becoming a standard care , a positive HEAT results from CLSN will likley make the pps soar...
Yes of course but with recent cc it all changed. To me (IMHO ) mgmt's confidence starting with $1 billion forecast and level of confidence in the cc was two 'material' events that lot of investors have taken note of.
Look at THLD. It went from sub-2's to 7+ almost in a vertical climb and it's basing there. There are gaps that THLD is not expected to fill. I expect CLSN to do the same.
Got it. I thought I read somewhere that mgmt may not PR the 380 event (i may be wrong) and let the trail run its course. DMC might also simply affirm continuation.
Either way the strong volume last few days is not all due to retail buys. The funds are indeed accumulating.
Should it not be that no pr means forecast remains valid ? Why would they exit if the timeline remains same ?
Huge break-out this morning..
We will be over 5 today. strong PM action with big blocks going at ask.
Day trading Clsn might be costly on two accounts. For me personally it will throw me into much higher tax bracket as well as loose out on a potential big pay off. Chasing a stock which has strong fundies like Clsn, one ends up buying higher for a short ride without knowing for sure where the lows are.
Oldben,
I don't disagree with you; however this time , the cc was exceptionally strong - I have not seen the mgmt being so confident. While it is not a shoe in, I am very confident the pps will be north of 10 by early next year and that's a heck of a ride from where we were recently and now. So holding for the long haul.
Well said
Exactly. All the more reason we won't see. 4's again let alone the gap fill ...lol
Agree with you. Volume was too huge to get any pullback. I bet big boys are in now after the CC. I see odds of getting over 5 more than any drop. 2 cent day trades have left for now.
Any CEO purport to leave on their own usually stay or help until successor is found. Also the filing says there is a severance dispute. Lastly no buy-side analysts have come out with any report yet on this development or even reiterating buy. The dust still not settled, IMHO
I believe in their science as well. Even if it's two patients (small treatment population), it's remarkable they are cancer free after several years by taking IMUC vaccine. So somthing must be working
Dr. Sanjay Gupta (recent CNN coverage of IMUC) covered very well the IMUC clinical trials and its impact in real world situation. We are not talking about lab rats here...
Yep. However, the way one should (IMHO) approach such early stage biotech is trust the science assuming the background information is fully vetted by multiple sources & publications and take a long term position for at least a year or more. I am not a day trader and rather pocket the tax dollars than cut an extra check to Uncle Sam.
How did you conclude that a momentum is lost ? Just because a CEO has left ? Usually big investors or big guns from Walllstreet expect lot more from a CEO before they invest their big money. May be Singh is all science (which is not bad) and they want someone who is 'street' smart to move rapidly and get big boys' attention. It may be one step backward but it will be 2 steps forward as Dr Yu is not stupid.
The good thing is Dr. Yu is going nowwhere..he is the founder of IMUC and has strong tie with the Sinai hospital. I think he is looking for someone with deep street connections to move this puppy forward quickly. Dr. Singh is great but more of a scientist and he has done his job superbly during his initial years at IMUC...Now it all depends on quality of new CEO coming in...I will be a buyer < 2.50 tomorrow for sure.
Thank you & biomanbaba ! Now I have some serious options to consider, pun intended Not sure why I suddenly feel like a leprechaun...lol !
I would agree. Another spin to that options can be long (thus saving some tax) but if I exercise & flip, i may have to pay short term gains on the commons which can be high for a stock that potentially can be so far out ITM & a year from now. Am I making sense ? TIA
Can u explain how it's 20x ? And u plan on exercising ?
I like your plan ! Except I have to cut a bigger check to Uncle Sam..lol
I see what you mean. Loosing an intensic value is riskier than waiting for the option to expire. However if I have enough cash to exercise the options on the strike date and flip, all I would incur is a short term sales tax, right ? Obvioiusly this assumes the pps will be well north of my strike price on the expiration date. For CLSN, this should not be a problem.
I have 250 calls of 4's for Jan '14 and am trying to understand the best exit strategy..lol
guys, a dumb question, perhaps..what happens if Jan 14's 4's expire and the options are well ITM ? Do I just pocket the pps difference on the 3rd Friday of Jan '14 ?
In other words, assuming PPS is @ 15 when options expire, the difference would be 15-4 (11 per share x # of options)