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$APHB -- Reported positive data this morning.
Say good bye to the .40's!!
We still need support confirmation Monday, but so far @ .44+ low holding for 2 days, while noting that .45+ holding as a baseline intra-day since 12/1.
I'm fairly optimistic we are at or near bottom for short term reversal potential.
Going forward, also looking for a break above .49 that needs to occur (as latest intra-day resistance level for 12/1-12/2).
Where are you in it at??
It would be nice if this ever rebounds to 1+, so almost everyone can recover from this (if they would take opportunity to sell it).
I personally would be happy with .70+, which is attainable for a likely scenario at the least in my view.
If that makes you feel good to say that about me, ok!!
But since you are posting to me in such a manner, I'd like to say it is interestingly ironic how you may be appearing to poke a little fun at me, yet you are one of those who are in this since 1+.
With these types of stocks, you should only short term trade. I may have missed the bottom on this $APHB a short while back (while no one is 100% perfect all the time), but at least I'm using the right mind set for a strategy on it, which is treating a stock like this as only a short term mechanism-- not as a "long term investment hold" as you have been doing in a retirement acct (as noted in your past post below).
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=126096465
You should treat stocks like this as short term trades, not as long term hold investments.
APHB is part of the highly speculative category that continually has a long term downtrend while it funds most of its business on dilutive share offerings, and is a biotech only in development stage and many years away from any possibility of having a marketable approved drug. Treating this like an investment is almost like hoping for a lotto ticket with enormous odds against you. Good investing does not apply lotto ticket style risk (especially when it comes to an IRA)
************$APHB***********
You should get some in the .40s, if you haven't already.
I personally think APHB may be turning a corner from here on. Still early yet and it needs confirmation next week, but I think we just saw selling exhaust itself finally since about .44.
I mistakenly didn't use a stop-loss @ .55-.60 area, but since then have been averaging down on it (with followers/subscribers), and got avg down to approx low .50 area for ownership so far, which potentially is a decent position to be in if this starts reversing from mid-.40 area, and eventually soon we can have this hopefully turn out positive (instead of being in this avg down trap we've been in since Nov 21 @ .63 start)
I think when it finally reverses (in my opinion), .70+ at least should happen on technicals alone.... And maybe .90-1.00 if it gets news, which it is due to report data in December soon, & my speculation is the data should likely be a positive catalyst.
I replied to you over on APHB. I think it most likely finally found bottom at .44 for short term. But we need to see it trade Monday and beyond for confirmation.
As for the the shares available to short for retail at IBR, I would not over concern yourself about it.
It is true as one of many contrarian signs it is over shorted, but that's been true since .60 and it kept falling. And that is mainly a factor you see there on IBR for retail % charge fee and available shares, which is different than the institutions who are the primary shorts moving it.
I personally think APHB may be turning a corner from here on. Still early yet and it needs confirmation next week, but I think we just saw selling exhaust itself finally since about .44.
I mistakenly didn't use a stop-loss @ .55-.60 area, but since then have been averaging down on it (with followers/subscribers), and got avg down to approx low .50 area for ownership so far, which potentially is a decent position to be in if this starts reversing from mid-.40 area, and eventually soon we can have this hopefully turn out positive (instead of being in this avg down trap we've been in since Nov 21 @ .63 start)
I think when it finally reverses (in my opinion), .70+ at least should happen on technicals alone.... And maybe .90-1.00 if it gets news, which it is due to report data in December soon, & my speculation is the data should likely be a positive catalyst.
How many times are you going to follow me to reply to me, & how many times are you going to speak useless threats?
And how many times are you going to argue with me on things that you are always proved 100% wrong on??
"What you say is one thing"-- empirical evidence proves otherwise.
So, go away. Show me and anyone else looking here that you actually have better things to do (in addition to losing money & averaging down on bad investments over the months as post history prove that you do).
FYI--- You're the one who originally started it Thursday with me.
You took what T said the wrong way -- defensively, and ever since talked crap at me -- And what I've done ever since has been to counter your craziness & defamatory posts about me.
Why don't you just admit it, you were wrong earlier at APHB how you treated me?? Or at least "move on" with your own business.
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This is the post where you started to attack me wrong at:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=126927749
(I said nothing bad)
Thanks))
FYI--- I've been telling people since early August at least ---- 5+ weeks prior to September to avoid MSTX before it dropped on bad news in September. And since then I told you to avoid it (along with our minor loss on PVCT at same tome I gave some advice).
You didn't listen to all my advice when I told you to also avoid MSTX after it fell under .10 (which would've saved you more money) and you learned the hard way in recent weeks that it's truly garbage with mostly garbage in front of it, and that there are tons of other biotechs or other trades to look at I said to you back in Sept-October...
So with that said.... you are learning along the way, & I also thank for your post & support))
I always reciprocate to you and everyone with well intended, honest info, & good trades (usually so far overall)
I'm truly glad you've done well wiht my trades overall.
Precisely-- way to make my point even more
"LMAO", shows
1) you actually care enough to be a troll & follow me here, &
2) it definitely shows as usual that you can't back up anything with empirical evidence-- And
3) that you always reply with short lame, meaningless statements statements; proving everything about you as immature overall.
**And by-the-way, how badly down are you on APHB?? (since you've been buying ever since October at 1+, while giving advice to people to buy it along the way).. You must be down -55-70% or more, even after your recent avg down... You started at 1.15+.
And what i said above excludes your overall crappy trading record compared to mine beyond APHB
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Rogerthat1
Friday, 11/04/16
"Slapped 10K shares. Patience needed on this sucker. But longs will be rewarded imo."
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=126319334
Monday, 10/24/16
"Nice. I picked up some as well. I've got the time this one needs. Reward will be handsome imo."
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=126017482
Wednesday, 10/19/16 08
"You too. This will be over $3 in no time. I've seen this move in the past. It moves on air. Best to build a position here and wait for catalysts."
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=125914601
Friday, 09/30/16
"Buyers waking up here. There is something brewing for sure. See 8-K yesterday."
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=125500362
{Have fun with this guy's posts as you also notice the declining stock chart}
I noticed you thanked that ***** prick at APHB board, yet you didn't simultaneously thank me recently. Compare my record and advice to him on e-mail and on I-Hub. And also look how he treated me.
I'm observant.. I see things. Should I stay silent? I deserve better.
I usually stay out of pissing contests & arguments, but this is different.... As I said... I deserve better, especially from my supporters who follow me &/or benefit from my trades.
I've always 100% acted in best interests of my followers, and always been responsible for my posts & e-mails.
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This is the post that guy started to attack me over:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=126927749
LOL-- WTF!!
I never started anything bad!! He just cant handle objective, contrarian, intellectual opinions!!
That's the guy who's been buying at 1+ since at least October and disregarded the signs of their low cash before the November share offering which crashed the stock. Be wary of his info. He continually puts a positive spin on everything, & chastises anyone like me who post with objectivity.
You know me fairly well. I've usually given you profitable trades with well intended help.
My record speaks for itself, unlike others who may post here.
>>>You can also see this stock as a great example of my rule to follow on biotechs needing to have a minimum amount of cash burn ability. There were plenty who bought this in October @ 1+ area before they announced the cash offering in November, & those buyers since then are here yet today giving advice on this stock (LoL!).
I waited to enter after the share offering news in November because of one of my rules I always follow (that don't let me down) for cash on the on books, which APHB did not qualify for prior to November.
It's a good rule to strictly follow, so one doesn't get caught holding something that crashes after share offering news.
I told you that weeks ago about APHB. The cash raise that occurred in November shouldn't have been a surprise to any experienced trader. Its why avoided it, despite being tempted earlier at .80-1.00.
And so you see now why I've been objectively skeptical about this stock as its dropped down on us since first entry Nov 21, & for example; yesterday I noted .50 needed to hold more than 2 days before declaring better chance at a bottom and before doing any celebrating.
A trader always has to be objective regardless of any ownership of a stock in order to make best overall decisions for for ability to achieve profitable consistency.
In contrast to certain others here who post that tend to rationally spin things as overly positive, you see how much worse they are doing on APHB for entries (& in general for trading) compared to those of us who remain objective and hence analyze things more correcly for what they are.
And yeah, the Alert here on I-Hub for PSID resaly paid off for us a couple weeks ago, which helps allow for offsetting during times like this APHB trade.
Adding once more down in .40's may be prudent for a 3rd avg down (for those who've followed me since low .60's on initial entry), after doing some more evaluating of this thing while also considering our limited choices.
This thing has been in similar situations in past 2 years before experiencing short term major recoveries, and also there is data due out in December at anytime yet, which I think most likely will be good (although it is a gamble to speculate).
So given the circumstance of the down 'hole' followers with me are in on APHB so far, I'm going to make the tough decision to add more risk at these new low levels and take a chance on waiting on a recovery in December, rather than abandoning this trade for a large loss.
The time for a stop-loss was at .55+ (which I mistakenly didn't do this time), and so at this point I think it is worth giving this time yet to play out in the short term while averaging down again a 3rd time.
But notably, this is not a standard strategy I apply on my usual trades, doing excessive averaging down on a loss rather than applying a stop-loss, but as already explained, at this point it is a matter of tough choices, and I think that this will most liekly eventually recover higher from today's .40's area, so selling here seems more irrational than instead buying more here.
Based on chart history for volatility, the endured timing of the very low RSI, along with the tight share structure and potential for a short squeeze that could occur at anytime, in addition to other technical factors I apply, I think this trade still has good potential to play out for a profit toward .70+ at least.
1.5 Years saved chart as of 12/01/16 (2:00pm Eastern time):
https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/24/75/a7/2475a7a74dee0a87223b0e1ac8ca3334.png
Unfortunately this thing keeps getting crushed. I say that because I'm objective. I don't like it anymore that anyone else (because I'm down on it)... I just call it what it is. Other(s) here can't handle the truth.
It just took a hit into mid .40s on huge intra-day volume at anew low AGAIN.
The others here who want to point out everything with positive spin aren't doing anyone any favors.
I have agreed that the high % short interest as a contrarian view should be helpful for a reversal upward, but so far trying to time this stock applying that short interest has been very wrong.
The potential is there, but objectively the shorts are still in full control.
It was one post, in response to your crazy, lecturous version of twisted logic towards me.
Maybe instead you should realize how much sense I actually made to you & how unfair you were earlier to me, and therefore take my advice and stop posting to me. You're actually the one who keeps wasting all our time with your replies (and 'ramblings").
I only "Rambled" once earlier in response to you-- which you needed to hear. Since then you keep replying to me and complaining how much time you waste on it, etc... LOL
Apparently you don't want to hear objectivity. I was pointing out that we both have been applying 'contrarian' style approaches, yet you seem to have bad attitude over my posting.
Apparently the difference between you and me is that I like to be more objective, and it would also explain why I'm not down on this thing nearly as much as you. You're the type who keeps rationalizing everything with positive spin while you average down many times over the longer term.
Maybe you haven't noticed the obvious, but most of my posts with you have been replies to you posting to me first.
In response to your last post:
That says I should "sell and move on" & that I don't have to listen to you--- Instead my suggestion to you would be, perhaps you should just stop posting to my posts if you don't like what I have to say.
You haven't realized that you've primarily been posting to me. You should take your own advice instead, and stop posting to me & thus realize that your prior post makes entirely no sense, particularly coming from your situation.
You and others such as me have certainly been pointing out the contrarian view over last 1-2 weeks with the excessive short interest.
However, the pps keeps dropping. The % of shorts has not been a good indicator so far of timing approx bottom area, so let's all be objectively honest about that.
At some point it will come to an inflection point, but for now the shorts have been kicking our azzzzzes & continually do so yet.
This trade reminds me of $HELI back in July-Aug 2015 (when it was NYSE listed and crashed below .30 for a short period). I was in for about 5-6 weeks and averaged down 3 times, and eventually it short squeezed itself into a profitable trade. It was a painful hold, but eventually followed thru. I don;t like to normally be in situations like this.
I see a similar scenario developing here, including chart pattern.
But that said, this type of average down trading is not something that normally works out for most people.
$APHB better have a technical short squeeze &/or good data news to report soon, or we'll be in a permanent & unrecoverable major loss.
70% fees is a % relevant to what?
Just trying to be specific. That sounds crazy high, if it is % interest on dollar amount used.
That said, I'm sure the institutional fees are way less, who are the primary shorts forcing this thing down.
The cost % you quote is for average retail folks most likely (as one of many possible retail broker quotes)
Why don't you just tell me if you know? I don't have IBKR (broker) & haven't looked at such.
If you mean fees on borrowing shares to short at that broker(??)
You're talking about a very tiny % of the enormous amount of shares outstanding that these institutions may be holding. It has no significance on the price action.
Furthermore, as a short term trader, that has zero significance, unless you're talking about long term investing?? (which is crazy in stocks like that to invest long term).
....And when I look at PHOT, it looks ready to crash lower. Looks like the pump from earlier in Sept-October is over with.
Since you're posting here, I'm just giving you my honest feedback, so please realize that.
And you're actually better off posting about your stocks somewhere else. Your promotions won't have much impact here.
This P-O-S can't hold a support level more than 2 days. It's moving like a slow death, so far @ .48 for latest low.
It's quite amazing how it never-ever gets any decent pops on this latest short term down trend.
I know we love to talk about how low the share float is relative to avg stocks like this, but it would seem to me the short interest has unlimited capacity to short shares.
It's almost trading like its headed to 'BK', although I know that's not happening, that's how bad the stock is performing lately--- very very oversold.
I haven't been involved in such a bad stock pick in a long time.
I should have had a stop-loss on it at .58 or .60. I usually don't make such mistakes. Unless this thing turns around soon, this will be a certain loss on my trade record.
It's one of the 3 subpennies I'm already watching. and have been eye-balling this recent pull back.
The HCTI news of A/S increase a short while back that took it down after that last profitable trade was bad news, but not the end of the world for those of us quick flip traders. It would've been really bad had they proposed a rev split, and at that point I would not try to trade it with that hanging over its head.
As another rule, I don't usually trade any stock that has authorized &/or has a rev split being proposed, because most of the time it hangs downward on the stock until after it has been completed.
That said, it probably is a developing opportunity, but .0006 would be my preferable limit entry on it.
Yes--- .50+ may be holding after today. We'll see soon enough.
This is 'overdue' for a technical rise upward back to at least .70s, & I think I'm seeing signs today finally (after recently seeing approx 3 multi-day gaps downward since mid-November, there should be a reversal upward due).
So far .50+ has held for 2 days, which serves as an early potential sign of next direction. If .50+ holds Thursday (& Friday better yet), then likely odds favor some upside for us yet regardless of News data catalyst possibility.
The short interest keeps increasing more than anticipated, so it has been troublesome and has thrown a 'monkey wrench' into our plans so far; Although .50's has been an anticipated possibility I've had a contingency plan all along for it (to add more if it hits .50's), but honestly I don't prefer this type of trading of waiting and averaging down.
Hopefully it will play out better to the upside for us soon.
Another risk here is the end of year tax loss selling. Hopefully it does not affect it by prolonging a down trend in the interim short term, and that we may be able to trade out of it before too long.
You're right--- The promoters here will just keep promoting this thing regardless of the toxic debt dumping & where ever the price is at.
The chart selling off since early AM today from under .002 resistance really gives bad clues to direction here.
It has hope-- that is if .0013 area holds.
I hope it does for sake of the longs in it. But that low .001+ area needs to hold.
Latest support established in past couple days is approx .0013 since the pull back from last run 2 weeks ago.
But if that latest support breaks, I wonder if the promoters will keep doing same thing?? LOL, of course
It's developing that way already, even worse soon after I mentioned it. The debt converters just pounded this hard down toward .0014.
What a disgusting shame!
Hopefully it will still hold .0013-.0014 (support from a few days earlier), then bounce for those still long.
But doesn't look good the way these pricks are dumping on it
I had to bail on $PSID. I got out at break even this time since yesterday.
I wish I would've been around when it popped earlier toward .0019 on some news, but I missed it there.
Seems to have strong resistance @ .002 area and the debt converters came back hard at it.
Chart last couple days showing a recovery higher, but the debt converters came back. What a shame!!
Unfortunately the Debt Converters are still merciless, despite how nice the chart has been forming for a recovery higher the last couple days.
They seem to be standing in the way yet big time.
Yep, let's hope .50+ holds. It's an important area.
But so far it's a real P-O-S lately.
One of those occasional trades that makes me go---- #@#@#@#@#
I re-entered $PSID on pull back this afternoon. Re-invested last traded amount with profits from 2 weeks ago (to help hedge my risk, much of it is the market's money being used)...
I'm Looking for a potential developing double bottom bounce soon. Also looking at some other short term indicators showing reversal that may be in process again.
Some nice .0015-.0016's available so far late day, after pullback from early morning highs.
Just add 2nd time, along with me based upon certain technical levels. Don't continually add & add for avg down purposes too excessively.
I don't avg down often. Just sometimes, when I feel it is prudent, such as recently on $APHB.
Don't use avg down (especially more than 2 avg downs) as a usual standard strategy process, as it is a bad habit that puts most average people into a continually worse loss. If this keeps going down, you will be glad you did not keep adding risk.
Anyhow, frustrating not seeing any upside action yet, but it's still possible and early yet.
So still seeing how it plays out. But don't add anymore than 2nd recent pps area where I did recently at new lows in mid-50's.
$APHB ~~ Just can't pick up any real steam. It likes to come out of the gate (at open) in morning with springs sometimes, but then it sags afterwards.
This thing is so oversold here & due a short squeeze higher.
Just turning out to be one of those frustrating circumstances.
Was plenty of opportunity Wednesday (11/23) to buy in .50's also (in addition to earlier today).
I alerted to buy more late-morning on Wednesday via private subscriber e-mail platform.
Avg typically should be approx .59 (or .58-.61 variating per individual follower).
Started buying low .60's Monday, then alerted again Wednesday to add a 2nd time.
I'm confident we likely have another winner here soon.
We shall see.
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>>>Keep in mind you can set (GTC) limit orders to trigger for you when you are not available to trade during certain hours. This applies to buying & selling.
Had you done that prior to today, you still could've picked up shares in early AM @ .55-.57 (applying a pre-set limit buy order of .57, etc,).
Don't let schedules be an excuse for missing out on opportunity.
All this I always inform my trading followers to apply.
Participating in these trades can be done with very limited time per day or per week when following my platform.
November 23 & 25:
Nov 18-25:
**********$APHB ~~~~~~~~~ ...
One of the main reasons I chose this trade--- the share structure & high potential for short squeeze.
Likely ready to start reversing today or next week.
Huge short term upside % potential if/when it does.
I hope you bought it this time (& won't be missing out on another one of my trades)
November 24:
The stock of Ampliphi Biosciences Corporation (NYSEMKT:APHB) registered an increase of 33.51% in short interest. APHB’s total short interest was 721,200 shares in November as published by FINRA. Its up 33.51% from 540,200 shares, reported previously. With 135,600 shares average volume, it will take short sellers 5 days to cover their APHB’s short positions. The short interest to Ampliphi Biosciences Corporation’s float is 14.85%. The stock decreased 8.87% or $0.055 on November 23, hitting $0.569.
**********$APHB ~~~~~~~~~ ...
One of the main reasons I chose this trade--- the share structure & high potential for short squeeze.
Likely ready to start reversing today or next week.
Huge short term upside % potential if/when it does.
Avg ownership price of approx .59 (after buying earlier this week in low .60's and again near .56 Wednesday)
Looking for potential upside short term of .75-1.00
Well stated, but we have yet to see if $Gold tests 1100. So far it's broken below that significant 1200 threshold towards 1180.
A lot of people have underestimated the $USD move upward in recent weeks & have been getting burned trying to find a bottom in miners. I've avoided attempts to swing trade JNUG for that reason, as I've respected the $USD to be increasingly stronger lately, but am watching it now.
That said, for the time being this is best played as a 'quick flip' trade after major sell offs for very short term entry-holds & quick profit taking, rather than trying to time a longer term swing trade hoping for a bottom during this period of gold's current state of risk combined wiht the 3x daily fund decay.
Likely a bottom will form again by about January (or sooner), but it's too dangerous to try to determine or presume a bottom (as this could sink quite a bit yet from now thru January, etc.), & it wouldn't surprise me at all to see JNUG hit 4 or even 2 in coming weeks
But again--- It's great for intra-day trading or quick flipping, rather than excessive holding periods.
Good DD. But it keeps dropping-- Now into .50's. Perhaps it is the Holiday week affecting it(?)
I personally think it likely short term capitulates this week.
Ever since I started entering this & covering it Monday in low .60's, the .50's area has been a possibility yet in my analysis that we may need to endure, and might add to it a 2nd time at.
We'll see what happens. The Holiday week is almost over.