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Free-Fall Alert, next STOP (no pun intended), a new intraday low?
S&P500 has a 1364 taget to fullfill?
Good trades.
nm
Another Curve-Ball, da-Boyz is about as good as any at confouding da-masses?
Looks like a CLOSE on the LOWS today, OUCH!? The Good news is they GAP up in da-morning and fall into the BUY slot at 41.58 beofre the day is over?
It wil for all intense purpose appear as a turn-around Tuesday, NOT, watch your backs as da-Boyz are stalking some Bulls?
Good trades,
nm
B... Yes and No, how many times have you seen the Trin at 1.0+ and then, well, minutes later the bottom falls out?
In this kind of volatility EVERYONE is Suspect, and I mean EVERYTHING!?
Stay tuned as da-Price turns some bulls into Sour-Grapes?
nm
Can you say Pressure Cooker, Time to Test da-bulls resolve?
Should see some capitulation as prices DUMP into the CLOSE?
B... not far away from a Melt-Down to test today's lows?
Thinking they do NOT hold and we tank into the CLOSE?
PUT Option Spreads increasing, LOOKOUT Below!?
Another confirmation of SELLING by da-BOYZ, they be getting ready to DUMP-em, AGAIN!?
Sellers are EVERYWHERE and wait until the CLOSE when thye all LIQUIDATE at ONCE!?
FAIR-E Good,, I'm outta here, Good-Bye!
NOT much of a chance we get above 43.00 for the remainder of this OE period, hence, we have to play between 43.00 and ??.??!
Currently, 43.00 and 42.06, and I suspect we'll NOT play in da-BURN-da-Premium-ZOME for NINE more trading days, or maybe so!?
regards,
nm
b...Pretty Much a Sealed Deal on the Down side, expecting a new low today and 41.58 tomorrow?
There really is NO Chart, Fib Line, Dream indicator that can account for emotional stability and the only way some will get their stability is to SELL?
ALL this Up action or sideways action is nothing more than da-Boyz supporting the Bid, accumulating enough shares to DUMP at THEIR decision time?
In Summary, da-boyz are controlling price and before the day ends they will cause another Exhaustive Corrective Discount Wave. This building da-Bulls confidence playmanship is NOT fooling long time players, NB = MD, as da-Smoothster would say!?
Good Trades,
NM
Gleno... the SMARTEST thing I've read in cyberspace since Friday!
We'll get miniburst UP as SHORTS get all emotional and RUSH in to take profits, who can blame-em!
That said, da-Bulls are even more emotional right now and they'll be selling on ANYTHING that remotely looks like a RALLY!?
Good trades,
nm
Not exactly, but could get back to that level by Aug07?
Of course after a Detour to 39.47, but hey, eventually you'll get your wish, we can only HOPE!?
Good trades,
nm
TWO... could even GAP up tomorrow morning, sort of the opposite of this morning, and then head back to test the recent lows at a minimum, 41.68 to get me LONG? NM
SELL Triggers will keep prices down for a couple more days!?
ALL sorts of sell triggers have been triggered along with MARGIN CALLS will keep the selling preasure on, especially at the close?
Will we bounce, you bet ya, but anyone buying during the COME CLEAN period as sellers get triggered out will be a skoosh bit Early?
Good trades,
nm
Gleno... When making money on the Long side seems like a No Brainer, it usually isn't!?
You're high priced GURU is correct for once, regardless of where we close today, flat, up, slightly down, prices will tag 41.58 before a bottom is in?
Good trades,
nm
I concur, Dis-Puppy doesn't BOUNCE on Monday then it's turn out da-Lights for a few months!?
Yes, we could GAP up on Monday but that would make me VERY Bearish, UNLESS we venver look back and keep going NORTH?
There is little chance of us heading back up for the remainder of the day, PROGRAM trades are pouring in and they'll be relentless for until dis-puppy closes for the day!?
Actually, they continue in after hours as well, Down, Down and more Down!?
Gleno... calm down, we close at the lows today and 42.52 is the number?
Yes, we'll GAP down Monday morning and back-test 42.24 then when you and all da-Bears are ALL-IN, KA-Boom, and a Short Squeeze will be born!?
Good trades,
nm
Gleno... Be patient, today's low is likely 42.52 and the high 43.33, that'll be .81 and a serious contender for volatile!?
Btw, get used to .75 swings as they'll be around for the duration of this OE period!?
regards,
nm
The probability of that is ZERO as da-Capitulation Wave hasn't unfolded yet, maybe today, and that would suggest a CLOSE at the lows?
Good trades,
nm
Wacht the NYSE, if it behaves like the 4cast then we can bottom, it it violates the low yesterday, RUN FORREST, RUN!?
Date Open High Low Close
Actual
23-Feb 9433 9437 9402 9420
26-Feb 9420 9464 9397 9421
27-Feb 9421 9421 9028 9122
28-Feb 9079 9167 9079 9123
1-Mar 9125 9125 8944 9074
4Cast
2-Mar 9074 9094 8979 8979
Good trades,
nm
Foot... Totally agree, bulls going to be tested today and bears will PILE in and wait to get Dare-Asskies-Kicked (AGAIN), LOL!?
Footster... Whatda, is it Groundhog Day - AGAIN!?
I thought Winter was Ending and the Sun was going to come out tomorrow, dat dam-GroundHog gave us a false signal - AGAIN!?
Put your hard-hats on people, today may trigger sell programs and we'll have another -5% down day before it ends, selling RALLY's here BOSS!?
LOL,
nm
An OEPM 4cast update and it's pointing UP in da-morning and Up next week? Looks like we'll have to wait until next week to have lift-off?
regards,
nm
Actual
28-Feb 43.16 43.76 42.98 43.33
1-Mar 42.55 43.54 42.24 43.13
Friday 4Cast
2-Mar 43.31 43.34 42.91 43.19
Next Wk 4cast
5-Mar 43.08 43.77 42.98 43.74
6-Mar 43.70 44.08 43.60 43.98
7-Mar 43.80 43.96 43.17 43.52
8-Mar 43.69 44.08 43.64 44.00
9-Mar 43.74 44.45 43.68 43.97
Footster... Feels GOOD after about 1000 4cast, LOL, kinda know how Gleno feels when he gets ONE right, LOL!?
Yes, I'm exiting shorts and will accumulate longs into Friday's close?
nm
Huhh... Forget support, RUN FORREST, RUN!!?
That said, we'll be buyers at the YTD low on the Q's, 42.52, although it will take great discipline to Buy when ones emotions are saying, RUN FORREST, RUN, LOL!?
Good trades,
nm
Whatda... didn't da-Boyz read my 4cast, supposed to GAP down at 42.96, NOT 42.61, why I otta!?
Looking for a test of the YTD lows, 42.52, today!?
I'd be a buyer at 42.52, although it might be nearly impossible to buy when ones emotions are saying, RUN FORREST, RUN!?
Good day,
nm
Gleno, not likely to happen as Fear should return tomorrow as da-Boyz take-r down to test the YTD lows at 42.52?
Here's the OEPM 4cast and a GAP down is on the agenda? Surprised we made it up to 43.76 today as 44.50 should of been the daily top?
That said, still have 44 plus on da-radar for next week?
Good trades,
nm
23-Feb 45.42 45.46 45.06 45.26
26-Feb 45.48 45.50 44.76 45.04
27-Feb 44.36 44.48 43.06 43.19
28-Feb 43.16 43.76 42.98 43.33
1-Mar 42.96 43.56 42.68 42.80
2-Mar 42.97 43.01 42.58 42.85
Footster... Yes, Blank is a Blissful place, for me anyway?
NOT FUNNY... apparently everything just went BLANK, NO FEEDS------- Auhh Oh!?
Correction, down to 42.50, then up to 43.50, and then tank-a-roony?
Yes, but only one problem, GREENIE is Short the Market and it won't but a day or two before he publicly declares this a BEAR Market, LOL!?
Is that possible, could GREENIE be SHORT da-Markets and publicly influence his positions with a word or TWO!?
Whatda, Ben is Long and Greenie is Short, who'll profit accordingly!?
BTW, FYI, 42.52 is the YTD Low for the Q's and it's EVEN money that we CLOSE at or just above said level today or tomorrow?
Maybe, so we go down to 42.50 just before he talks, then we bounce to 44.40 +/- as he talks, then we tank into the close?
Howz dat for not letting da-Bulls down, LOL!?
Here's a ST perspective posted on Foot's and AJ's boards this morning?
Can the Q's Bounce to 44.00, sure, but today, NOT!?
We'll be sellers at 43.50 and buyers at 42.50 for today and tomorrow for day trades?
Starting Friday the ST bottom should be completed and we'll play a Markup wave that tops out at 44.25/44.50 into 08/09Mar?
We'll get a MANDATORY SELL trigger if prices gets ANYWHERE near 44.77 (the MarOE Pivot), but with the YTD OE Pivot at 44.43 one can pretty much Short with reckless abandon at those levels?
Best regards,
nm
Gleno... da-Real correction is a move to sub 41.00 and that suggest a bounce to 44.00 is darn near a given based on da-OEPM facotr?
Good trades,
nm
Can the Q's Bounce to 44.00, sure, but today, NOT!?
We'll be sellers at 43.50 and buyers at 42.50 for today and tomorrow for day trades?
Starting Friday the ST bottom should be completed and we'll play a Markup wave that tops out at 44.25/44.50 into 08/09Mar?
We'll get a MANDATORY SELL trigger if prices gets ANYWHERE near 44.77 (the MarOE Pivot), but with the YTD OE Pivot at 44.43 one can pretty much Short with reckless abandon at those levels?
Best regards,
nm
Bounce to 44.00, sure, but today, NOT!?
We'll be sellers at 43.50 and buyers at 42.50 for today and tomorrow for day trades?
Starting Friday the ST bottom should be completed and we'll play a Markup wave that tops out at 44.25/44.50 into 08/09Mar?
We'll get a MANDATORY SELL trigger if prices gets ANYWHERE near 44.77 (the MarOE Pivot), but with the YTD OE Pivot at 44.43 one can pretty much Short with reckless abandon at those levels?
Best regards,
nm
A Day of learning for Sure!?
Definitely a lesson on how selling increases by the Put sellers as price violates the strike price!
The only way da-boyz can protect their open put positions is to sell short once the strike is violated!?
In other words, huge open put positions often exacerbate the down move if momentum is DOWN!?
regards,
nm
AJ, True, BUT, if you or I sold those Options to some smuck, what would be our strategy when prices got to 44.00?
We'd Short the underlying stock and add to the selling pressure since if we sold short above 44.00 or 45.00 we'd NOT loose a dime?
It is true that huge amounts of either puts or calls can inversely effect price but at some point the put sellers must join da-Frey and sell short to protect those positions?
We'll see if we get more weakness after the initial bounce as the owners of those puts buy the dip?
good trades,
nm